The Aporia
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“The races that will decide control of Congress Democrats need a net gain of four seats in both the US House of Representatives and US Senate to overturn Republicans’ narrow 218-214 and 53-47 majorities.”
“Democrats have made significant gains in the final days of the 2026 midterm campaign, with new polls showing them leading in several states that President Donald Trump carried in 2024.”
“THE RACES THAT WILL DECIDE CONTROL OF CONGRESS Democrats need a net gain of four seats in both the US House of Representatives and US Senate to overturn Republicans' narrow 218-214 and 53-47 majorities.”
“Despite a broad wave of Democratic support buoying candidates across the country – and the eight- to 10-point polling lead Ossoff has on his Republican opponent, US Representative Mike Collins – Bottoms is statistically tied in polls with Jackson.”
“Polls for Ohio give Democrats a slight lead in both those races, but the results are expected to be close.”
“Polls for Ohio give Democrats a slight lead in both those races, but the results are expected to be close.”
“In 2020, Trump’s allies pushed Kanye West on to ballots in states including Vermont, Arkansas and Wisconsin to take away votes from Democrats.”
“Alaska is one of a handful of states with Senate races this year that Democrats are targeting in order to win back a majority in the chamber, where they hold 47 seats to the GOP’s 53, and recent polls have shown Peltola in the lead.”
“He is optimistic, despite the polls, which hand both the House and the Senate to Democrats.”
“Democratic House leader Hakeem Jeffries said this weekend that he was "very confident" his party was on course to win control of the House of Representatives, as senior Democrats including former President Barack Obama made final appeals to voters.”
“Polls show Democrats are favored to win a majority of the House and are locked in a tight battle for control of the Senate, where the outcome likely will rest with a handful of states, including Michigan and Alaska.”
“Polls show Democrats are favored to win a majority of the House and are locked in a tight battle for control of the Senate, where the outcome likely will rest with a handful of states, including Michigan and Alaska.”
““A big Democratic lead in House generic ballot polling suggests that the House is almost certain to flip to Democrats,””
“Experts caution that Democrats’ higher turnout in the early vote does not guarantee they’ll maintain that edge, with tens of millions more Americans still expected to show up at the polls.”
“Democrats have also shown strength in competitive state races, including in Texas, where Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico holds a narrow lead in polls over Republican candidate Ken Paxton.”
“And while the GOP gained nine seats in the House, that wasn’t as substantial a win as many had predicted—and Democrats actually gained a seat in the Senate.”
“Democrats hold leads in each of these states and Trump is saddled by double-digit disapprovals, even among Republicans.”
“High-profile races that will determine which party controls the Senate for the next two years are extremely tight, according to a new CNN poll, as Maine and Kansas remain close and Democrats extended their leads in Texas and Michigan.”
“Netanyahu’s opponents, led by 66-year-old former armed forces chief Gadi Eisenkot, say Israel’s longest serving leader is also the country’s greatest threat — and the main reason for its growing international isolation.”
“Polls show the bloc led by Netanyahu’s Likud party neck and neck with the bloc led by former military chief Gadi Einsenkot’s Yashar party, and voters are turning out at levels not seen in Israel for half a century.”
“In the five-day nationwide poll, registered voters preferred Democrats to Republicans by 47 per cent to 36 per cent when asked which party they would back for Congress.”
“Factoring in their responses, the national race appeared somewhat tighter, with Democrats leading by 9 percentage points, 50% to 41%.”
“Polls show Becerra with a predictably wide lead over Hilton, in the state where Democrats hold a roughly two-to-one voter advantage over Republicans.”
“A four-seat gain by Democrats would give them control - and with it the power to limit Trump's ambitions, reject his judicial nominations and investigate his administration.”
“In 2021, he joined fellow Democrats in leaving Texas to block a vote on Republican-backed voting restrictions by denying the state house the minimum number of members needed to conduct business.”
“Polls, forecasts, and prediction markets are now ringing alarm bells for Republicans, as virtually all key races move in Democrats’ direction.”
“So lots of House race results will be coming in during the 7 p.m.”
“Control of Congress is on the line Tuesday as voters decide pivotal Senate and House races across the country, while closely watched contests for governor will shape the political landscape in key states during President Donald Trump's second term.”
“House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries has broad support in the New York congressional district he represents and is on track for re-election in a race against Republican opponent Lewis Mizrahi that is widely considered uncompetitive.”
“In 2024, following the reluctant withdrawal of Joe Biden, Harris launched a 107-day campaign for the White House which again brought to the US tantalizingly close to electing its first female president.”
“Having seemingly given up on the House of Representatives, President Donald Trump and the officials in his administration are indicating that they intend to steal the 2026 midterm election to maintain Republican control of the Senate.”
“Macomb County, Michigan, is where the 'Reagan Democrats' phenomenon was born Voters in Michigan tell the Daily Mail that they're voting for Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed Former President Barack Obama rallied on behalf of Abdul El-Sayed in Detroit…”
“But there are indications of a massive reversal now, with a recent New York Times/Sienna poll giving Democrats a 30-point lead among the diverse voting bloc. | How does Celia rate Trump? | | |---|---| | First term: | B | | Second term: | D | | "It's bad.”
“Democratic candidates lead in well over the 218 seats needed to flip control of the lower chamber of Congress, the House of Representatives, the polls suggest.”
“CBC was to keep the Hockey Night in Canada name for its Saturday night sports program, including Professional Women’s Hockey League games. 4 - A tax increase on B.C.‘s highest earners was at the centre of an election promise from NDP Leader David Eby.”
“And the campaigner in chief is making one final trip to the heartland to get his party to the polls.”
“Polls suggest the Democrats are poised to win the House of Representatives and possibly snatch control of the Senate.”
“With polls suggesting Republicans are likely to lose the House and perhaps the Senate too in the midterms, the man who refused to accept Americans’ democratic verdict in 2020 is hawking a narrative of cheating Democrats who will steal seats via illegitimate…”
“Accola’s white steeple home, built in 1899 as a one-room school house and later used as a church, sits just across the road from the proposed datacenter site.”
“Registered voters prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress by a 7-point margin, with Democrats leading Republicans 52%-45% — 2 points more than in last month’s poll.”
“In other words, if Democrats have such a wide lead in the House, won’t the Senate fall too?”
“El-Sayed overcame the spending onslaught in the primaries, but Rogers – a staunch Israel supporter – has seized on the criticism of El-Sayed from pro-Israel advocates, including some Democrats.”
“As the final day of voting nears, Democratic Senate candidate Sherrod Brown has a slight lead on Republican Senate incumbent Jon Husted in polling, and the economy has been a key factor in the fight.”
“The first calls will start soon after polls begin to close in the United States, first with Indiana and Kentucky at 6 p.m.”
“National polling reflects that complication: although Democrats lead in preferences for Congress, many Americans still view the party unfavorably.[1][3]”
“For governor, former state health director, Democrat Amy Acton is leading in the polls against venture capitalist, Republican Vivek Ramaswamy, who recently launched an attack ad against Acton featuring her estranged mother.”
“Celinda Lake, a Democratic strategist and pollster working with El-Sayed’s campaign in Michigan, said Democrats were also facing questions about what they would deliver if they controlled Congress.”
“On Tuesday, voters across the United States will head to the polls to cast a ballot in the 2026 midterm elections.”
“For the Texas Senate race to come to the point where recent polls suggest Talarico has a slim but stable lead has required a unique confluence of events and political dynamics – a "perfect storm", in the words of Steinhauser.”
“‘Much more macro than Maga’ With Republicans clinging to a paper-thin 218–214 margin in the House and 53–47 lead in the Senate, opinion polls indicate a rising “blue wave”.”
“Republicans, who are widely projected to lose their slim House majority, currently hold a 53-47 lead in the Senate.”
“And just to be clear, if Republicans have won the House, that’s almost certainly a major disaster for Democrats in the Senate.”
“The challenge for Republicans, and opportunity for Democrats, is that many races in those states — like Michigan, Maine, Ohio, Iowa, Alaska and Nevada — will decide whether the Democrats retake the House of Representatives and Senate.”
“Kansas is traditionally a conservative stronghold and it has not sent a Democrat to the Senate since 1932, but recent polls show Hamilton has taken a small lead in the race.”
“Polls have consistently shown Ossoff leading, and Democrats narrowly lead Republicans in outside spending, $19m to $17.9m.”
“National polls show this sense of disillusionment among Latino voters is widespread, offering Democrats the hope that they can capitalise and seize control of at least one house of Congress next week.”
“…featuring the estranged mother of his opponent, Amy Acton, has been a galvanizing moment for Democrats in a state that became redder with President Donald Trump’s rise in politics after a long run as one of the nation’s most competitive battlegrounds, Henry…”
“As voters across the United States head to the polls for the midterm elections – widely seen as a referendum on President Donald Trump’s second term in office – the state of California is set to play an important role.”
“His 27-percentage-point advantage grew from a 25-point lead in September.”
“Abbott led Hinojosa by 5 percentage points in that Fox poll, and most polls in the race show the governor with a slim lead.”
“With Democrats being significantly more likely to view climate action as a priority, many in the climate movement are hopeful that if the Democrats take back some leadership in Congress, as it could prove essential in helping to prevent further rollbacks.”
“In the race for governor, Democrats have nominated a former Republican to lead them out of the electoral doldrums.”
“House races in a difficult midterm climate for the GOP.”
“Democrats Mary Peltola, James Talarico and Troy Jackson all hold leads over their Republican opponents in the latest surveys, though many are within the margin of error, meaning the races could go either way.”
“It wasn’t yet one of the most contentious ballot measure fights in state history – pitting Democrats against Democrats, drawing national attention from political heavyweights, and netting hundreds of millions of Silicon Valley dollars to fight it.”
“House representatives to districts newly redrawn to favor Republican candidates in contests that could be decisive in Democrats’ bid to retake control of Congress.”
“Millions in independent expenditures have poured into the race, though in early October, the Senate Leadership Fund, a major Republican super PAC aligned with Senate Majority Leader John Thune, cancelled millions in advertising planned for North Carolina,…”
“In the 134-member state House, Democrats and Republicans were deadlocked at 67 seats each until a Republican member vacated his seat after the session adjourned for the year.”
“The Keystone State is one of several states whose House races could determine whether Democrats take back power in the chamber.”
“The GOP-commissioned polls3 imply a Senate map that is at best a toss-up for Republicans, but really leaning D, along with deep prospective gains for Democrats in the House and bad results for Republicans in swing-state governorships.”
“Current polling suggests opposition Democrats are on course to win back the majority in the House of Representatives and possibly the Senate too, empowering them to launch investigations into the president and his inner circle, block his legislative agenda…”
“…aansi Srivastava for The Washington Post via Getty ImagesIf Democrats take control of the House or Senate, they won’t be able to overturn previous Republican actions like gutting the Inflation Reduction Act, and they can’t pass new legislation that Trump…”
“In 2022, Democrats under President Joe Biden lost nine seats in the House, and in 2018, during Trump’s first term, Republicans lost about 40 seats in the lower chamber.”
“North of $16 billion have been raised ahead of Tuesday’s looming elections, with ad spending in House and Senate races topping $4 billion.”
“If the Republicans, and by implication Trump, are punished at the polls on these issues it could lead to a change in direction for the last two years of the presidency.”
“The numbers broadly align with polls showing Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido leading Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz and Democratic incumbent Vicente Gonzalez leading Republican challenger Eric Flores in two Rio Grande Valley congressional districts.”
“At her debut briefing, the former White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt reserved a “new media seat” in the briefing room, inviting podcasters, influencers and content creators to apply for credentials.”
“With four days to go before the United States midterm elections, Democrats are leading in national polls as both parties make their final push for votes.”
“The conventional wisdom in Washington is that Democrats are well-positioned to take control of the House, and possibly even the Senate, after the vote next week.”
“In 1994, 367 Republican congressional candidates signed on to the eight government reforms and 10 concrete policy proposals of Newt Gingrich’s “Contract with America,” powering them to their first House of Representatives majority in 40 years.”
“In 2010, just two years into Barrack Obama’s first term, Democrats lost 63 seats in the House, obliterating Obama’s majority to pass legislation.”
“The GOP has controlled the White House, Senate and House since Trump returned to power in January 2025.”
“…er bid for office also signals the growing power of the Democratic party in the state, where Democrats control the legislature, hold all top offices and have enacted progressive policies, such as universal childcare, that have been heralded across the…”
“In other words, if Democrats have such a wide lead in the House, won’t the Senate fall too?”
“A poll from Silver Bulletin gives the Democrats over a 90 percent chance of flipping the House of Representatives and upwards of a 70 percent chance of regaining control of the Senate.”
“Nader told the Guardian during one of several long phone calls, speaking of the Democratic leaders in both houses of Congress.”
“Inquire, a polling firm run by Republican pollster Rob Schmidt, surveyed about 500 general election voters in Ohio and Iowa earlier this month and found voters prefer “reasonable””
“In the House of Representatives, the Republicans hold a five-seat majority, with 219 seats (including an independent who votes Republican) against the Democrats’ 214.”
“Yet polls suggest the race remains extremely tight — Talarico possibly has a small lead in a state that hasn't had a Democratic senator in more than 30 years.”
“With five days to go before the United States midterms, Democrats are ahead in national polls, but several Senate races remain close.”
“The United States midterm elections appear stacked against the ruling Republicans, with polls suggesting the Democrats average an eight-point lead in the House of Representatives and the Senate.”
“Democrats also lead in polls in more than enough Senate races to be able to take control of that chamber as well (although many of those leads are within the margin of error).”
“Plus, Andrea Mitchell digs into President Donald Trump’s potential next moves on Iran. — Adam Wollner Meet the Democrats trying to flip the script on gun rights By Frank Thorp V and Ryan Nobles A group of Democratic candidates on the ballot next week are…”
“Log in Donald Trump’s favorite pollster, Harry Enten from CNN, has predicted that Democrats will win big in next Tuesday’s midterm elections and have a substantial majority in the House of Representatives.”
“…e training slideshow, which cites a U.S. law that bars armed civil or military officers from posting at voting sites, to law enforcement personnel in the run-up to Maine’s primary election in June and again in the lead-up to the general election on November…”
“Top Democrats, including House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., and Rep.”
“But most pollsters surveyed by The New York Times—including Nate Silver and Patrick Ruffini, both former guests on my show, Just Asking Questions—seem to believe Democrats will win both the House and Senate.”
“Among voters who say they're extremely motivated, Democrats lead Republicans by 24 points.”
“Immigration and ICE raids Senior Democrats - including Robert Garcia, the California Democrat tapped to lead the House Oversight Committee should the party take back the chamber - have identified immigration enforcement as a key priority for potential…”
“See who’s running and how Republicans and Democrats fared in past elections.”
“With Democrats in control of the Oklahoma House, she exploited a battle between candidates for speaker to win a top post on the powerful Appropriations and Budget Committee, then became its chair.”
“In the lead-up to the midterm, the US wrapped up its primary elections, in which several career politicians across the country were ousted from their offices by insurgent newcomers whose campaigns prioritised economic equality and expanded healthcare and…”
“Talarico's persistent lead in the polls and on the prediction markets (which, in late October, put the chances of him winning at nearly 70 percent) suggest that these attacks are not working.”
“In both years, Democrats won the House with at least 30 seats flipped.”
“In the lead-up to the midterms, Trump has tried to assert more control over the elections, calling on Republicans to “nationalize” voting and pushing for restrictions on mail-in ballots.”
“Rogers' reluctance to explicitly embrace the MAGA label raises questions about how he is positioning himself in a state that Trump won in 2024, but where Democrats will be fighting hard to retain their Senate foothold.”
“Democrats need to gain three seats in the House and four in the Senate to take control.”
“But polls have shown the Democrat with a consistent lead in the race, and the Cook Political Report now considers it a “toss-up.””
“The Committee on House Administration, which has jurisdiction over federal elections, runs an annual election watcher program aimed at adding oversight in districts where races are anticipated to be particularly close, and in some cases, paving the way for…”
“The RealClearPolitics average of national generic polls showed Democrats leading Republicans by 8.2 points in early October.”
“…oesn't need congressional approval for the “Trump dividend” checks he announced during last week's Republican Midterm Convention in Dallas, which took place as polls show Democrats with an average 6.6 percent lead in the so-called generic congressional…”
“…oesn't need congressional approval for the “Trump dividend” checks he announced during last week's Republican Midterm Convention in Dallas, which took place as polls show Democrats with an average 6.6 percent lead in the so-called generic congressional…”
“Democrats, meanwhile, have a seven-point lead in polling on a generic ballot.”
“Polls show former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper with a commanding lead over Republican Michael Whatley, a former senior party official, in a Senate race that could help decide the balance of power in Washington.”
“Polls show former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper with a commanding lead over Republican Michael Whatley, a former senior party official, in a Senate race that could help decide the balance of power in Washington.”
“Cooper has retained a wider-than-expected lead throughout much of the race, and recent polls show him holding a double digit advantage over Whatley.”
““Sad to see that Fox & Friends (Sunday) is not covering our packed house and incredibly enthusiastic (beyond!),” he said.”
“With Democrats favored to take back the House and potentially the Senate in the midterms, Trump fired up the crowd at Butler High School in Vandalia, near Dayton, with a promise for a Republican victory.”
“Saturday’s rally is just outside Dayton, Ohio, where he is stumping for key candidates in competitive races for the House, Senate and the governor’s mansion in Columbus.”
“Polls show Vance comfortably in the lead of a 2028 Republican primary.”
“In 2019, as Pelosi’s unpopularity roared, 15 Democrats refused to vote for her on the House floor.”
“So, you can’t really trust anything going on in the polls before then.”
“At a rally in San Antonio on Wednesday night, the president tossed out the usual insults at James Talarico — the man who polls show might be about to become the first Democrat to win statewide in Texas in over 30 years — and then directly threatened the…”
“He also mocked climate change and falsely claimed Democrats want to kill thousands of oil and gas jobs in Texas.”
“… crowd after El-Sayed spoke at a rally at the Detroit Opera House on July 18, 2026 The Democratic party's left wing has shown growing momentum in the run up to the November elections, scoring victories from New York to Michigan as voters clamor for a new…”
“The Democrats have a crazy animal living in their house called the DSA [Democratic Socialists of America] and they believe truly insane things.””
“Democrats had just a 12-point lead among Latino voters going into the 2024 elections, showing that Trump and the GOP have lost some of the ground they gained with the voting group.”
“Against that backdrop, Democrats have a 24-point lead on whom Latino voters want to see in control of Congress, 59%-35%.”
“With Democrats dominating the midterm polling all year and leading across nearly every competitive Senate race, the GOP went all in on the spectacle, hoping a polling bounce would shock its campaign back to life.”
“Log in President Donald Trump’s midterm convention in Texas earlier this month was intended to rally his Republican base ahead of the fast-approaching midterm elections but, in fact, appears to have given Democrats a major boost.”
“Log in New polling ahead of the November midterms show Democrats with a significant lead in House and Senate races.”
“Democrats are heading into the final stretch of the 2026 midterms with their largest lead yet in the race for Congress and President Donald Trump’s approval rating at a significant low, according to NBC News’ newly released polling averages.”
“Democrats would win three House seats in the 2018 midterm elections, only for Iowa to have an all-Republican delegation by 2022.”
“The latest resolution passed the House 220-204 last Tuesday, with seven Republicans joining all Democrats present in supporting it.”
“Democrats are currently virtually tied or leading in all four of these races.”
“Democrats have a dramatically smaller lead over Republicans in the battle for control of Congress than they did at this point in the blue wave cycle of 2018 — when the won the House but failed to flip the Senate, according to new polling.”
““After the Willie Horton ad dropped, Bush established a lead in the polls and never looked back,” said Andra Gillespie, political scientist at Emory University outside Atlanta.”
“Democrats ahead in polls A Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted in the past week found Trump’s approval rating at 35 per cent, up from a record-low 33 per cent in the previous poll.”
“Several Democrats have introduced impeachment articles against Hegseth before, but Massie’s effort goes further: Because he introduced them as a privileged resolution from the floor, the House will have to vote on them tomorrow unless House Speaker Mike…”
“Reuters/Ipsos poll results released on Sept 14 showed Democrats lead Republicans 44 per cent to 37 per cent in congressional vote preference.”
“Polls show that Democrats could win a simple majority in the House and perhaps even the Senate in the midterm elections.”
“Pressure is building in Washington for urgent action to rein in AI's rapid development after a flurry of dire warnings from industry leaders.”
“- Published The US Supreme Court has rejected President Donald Trump's plan to restrict voting by mail before November's midterm elections, in a setback for the White House.”
“As with so many of Trump’s corrupt and lawless actions—from his crypto schemes to bulldozing the East Wing of the White House—the president often carries out his illegal schemes in public.”
“In the Pine Tree State, Democrat Troy Jackson has a slight lead in the polls.”
“Other polls have seen Peltola take a slight lead, sparking fears among Republicans that the once ruby-red state might turn blue in November.”
“Americans head to the polls on Nov. 3 for midterm elections which could see the Democrats seize control of both the Senate and the House of Representatives from the Republicans.”
“So why is he still ahead in the polls?”
“House be controlled by the Democrats, and 43% prefer the Republicans to be in control.”
“Andrew Payne, research director for Europe, Russia and the Americas at Chatham House, argued in an October 15 analysis that foreign policy could play an unusual role in this year’s midterm elections.”
“And with control of Congress now in reach for Democrats, the stakes for the trillionaire are higher than ever.”
“…bott has warned that a 'blue wave' midterms victory for the Democrats could lead to a disaster for Republicans in the 2028 presidential election Trump-backed senatorial candidate Ken Paxton's campaign has been swamped by scandals James Talarico could become…”
“The appreciation for Collins among ordinary Mainers represents the daunting uphill battle Democrat Troy Jackson faces in a race where polls give him a slight lead, but the word on the street has him dead in the water.”
“Democrats roundly condemned Ramaswamy for turning this chapter of Acton’s life into a political attack.”
“…entieth-century Marxist thinker and Italian Communist Party leader Antonio Gramsci, who was imprisoned by Mussolini’s fascist government in 1926 until his death in 1937, that’s been much quoted in recent years: The old world is dying, and the new world…”
“Hamilton, a megachurch pastor who has billed himself as an “independent-minded Democrat,” vowed to not support Sen Minority Leader Chuck Schumer for party leader if he is elected and slammed Marshall for supporting the war in Iran.”
“So did Speaker Mike Johnson: France is descending into chaos because they wanted OPEN BORDERS—just like the socialist Democrats in America.”
“Democrats are more likely to say that the growth of AI will lead to a high risk of human extinction (40%) than Republicans (24%), with independents falling in between (34%).”
“…epublicans bet Musk’s millions can rescue Texas’ Ken Paxton in US Senate race AI generated HOUSTON, Texas - Texas Democrats’ best chance at a statewide win in more than three decades is facing a wall of Republican money, with Elon Musk and other donors…”
“His appearance comes as Jolly has narrowed the gap with his Republican challenger, Byron Donalds, who now holds just a single-digit lead in recent polls in their bid to succeed term-limited Republican Governor Ron DeSantis.”
“Currently, the Republican Party holds slim majorities in both legislative chambers, but Democrats are seeking to leverage Trump’s declining popularity to flip the Senate and the House of Representatives.”
“With Trump’s ratings lower than any of his predecessors, experts say Democrats could reach their goal of flipping both the US House of Representatives and the Senate in the congressional vote.”
“The FiveThirtyEight founder's model puts Democrats' chances of taking the Senate at 75 percent, up from 50 percent in early September, while their odds of winning the House have climbed from 81 percent to 94 percent over the same period.”
“…s later he raged that Fox & Friends had ignored his 'packed house' rally in Vandalia, Ohio, complaining that the network 'spends more time talking to Communists, Socialists, and Dumocrats, often without rebuttal.' He was back at it on October 6, branding…”
“Republican groups are outspending Democrats here, but most opinion polls show Jackson holding a narrow lead.”
“The question complicating election polls With Democrats favored to win the House and state-level polls showing the Senate within the party’s reach, turnout remains the biggest unknown that will decide what kind of election we have.”
“Albertans head to the polls today to decide whether to remain in Canada or begin the formal process of separation.”
“At this point in 2018, the last blue wave, Democrats led the generic ballot by roughly 7 points before gaining 41 House seats.”
“After all, despite the gloomy polls and wall-to-wall negative media coverage, the Senate is salvageable for Republicans, even if the House follows historical precedent and falls to the Democrats.”
“The midterms are just two weeks away and President Trump is using his power to intimidate the people who run our elections, putting the voting system under remarkable stress.”
“Vice President JD Vance he may not run for president in 2028 during an hour-long town hall hosted by CBS News on Saturday Vance said there was certainly a chance he would not pursue the presidency to succeed President Trump as polls show Republicans are…”
“Hochul has the advantage against Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, with polls showing her holding a comfortable lead in the reliably blue Empire State.”
“But this year — as they clamour to retake Congress amid President Donald Trump’s final White House bow — the Democrats are facing an unexpected problem with African-American support, and they’re not entirely sure what to do about it.”
“Segura is the kind of voter Democrats are counting on as Talarico, a state representative from Austin, tries to defeat Ken Paxton, the state’s Republican attorney general, to become the first Democrat to win a statewide race in Texas since 1994.”
“Democrats lead Republicans in House vote choice as Trump's approval rating hits record low: ABC/Post/Ipsos poll Half or more Americans call every household purchase measured "unaffordable."”
“And how bad could the map get for Republicans if polls underrate Democrats instead?”
“Czech PM Babis suffers setback in Senate elections PRAGUE, Oct 17 - Leading Czech opposition parties won the most votes in Senate elections on Saturday, while Prime Minister Andrej Babis' party failed to secure any of the seats it contested in one of its…”
“Kathy Hochul on Saturday because of a scheduling clash — as other down-ballot New York Democrats distance themselves from the unpopular Empire State leader.”
“Lawson acknowledges a shift to the Democrats is coming, not only because the midterms almost always shift against the party in the White House, but due to pervasive economic headwinds: inflation and high petrol prices caused by the war in Iran.”
“The nationwide duel for the Senate is going on in the dark because polling this year has produced a series of spectacular busts, especially in Michigan, where polls on the primary battle between Democrats Abdul El-Sayed and Haley Stevens posted double-digit…”
“…isinformation’ after just this year telling Virginians that Democrats’ illegal gerrymandering power grab was about ‘fairness’," the Republican Party of Virginia (RPV) said in a statement, referencing Jones’ previous reported text messages envisioning shooting…”
“Republicans have spent approximately $27 million more than Democrats in Maine, making the state another major target in the GOP's effort to reshape the Senate map And recent polling has Brown leading Husted.”
“Much has been made of the impending Blue Wave that’s sure to deliver Democrats control of the House, could make Chuck Schumer the Senate’s new majority leader and will in all likelihood render Donald Trump impotent in the final two years of his presidency.”
“As early voting kicks off this week, a higher inflation reading would come at a precarious moment for Republicans defending majorities in the House and Senate.”
“All that needs to be known from the polls at this point is that over the last several months, the compass needle has moved more in Democrats' direction.”
“Democrats in the House have already begun the impeachment resolutions.”
“If Democrats gain control of the House in a couple of weeks, the "Age of MAGA" is in jeopardy.”
“House of Representatives: Female Democrats outnumber female Republicans three to one 125 of the 435 representatives in the House are women.”
“Voters are telling pollsters they see more corruption these days, and when that collides with a sour economy, apathy can curdle into anger.”
“The Democrats just handed the GOP a loaded weapon heading into November, and some Republicans still have not pulled the trigger.”
“It comes as national polls show the GOP at a disadvantage, finding that voters are more likely to choose Democrats over Republicans when asked which party's candidate they would back in their district.”
“Obama is also expected to campaign in Michigan later this month for Democratic senatorial contender .The former president, who continues to be one of the most popular Democrats according to a CNN poll released this summer, is reprising his role as…”
“The showdown marks an escalation in an increasingly contentious campaign trail where both candidates have traded sharp broadsides Rogers previously skipped a September candidate forum with El–Sayed, prompting the Democrat to remark at the time, 'If I were…”
“Writing on Truth Social, he declared that the White House “considers anyone that uses the term, ‘Artificial Intelligence,’ as opposed to the highly accepted new and more accurate term, ‘Super Intelligence,’ THE ENEMY!””
“Now, the Democrats hold a double-digit lead as some voters reject a party they thought would deliver better economic results, temper inflation and bring about peace.”
“In particular, she pointed to laws President Joe Biden signed on preventing stillbirths and providing mental health services to rural veterans on which she was the lead Republican sponsor in the House.”
““Frustration with the president” may hand Dems the House majority, but winning the White House in 2028 requires telling “voters why they’re the right party to lead — not only that the other party can’t be trusted.””
“Democrats’ striking progress in key races where few had favoured them is tied to standout candidates and especially unpopular opponents – notably in Texas, where the Christian pastor and economic populist James Talarico is leading Ken Paxton, viewed…”
“Iowa hasn’t elected a Democratic governor in two decades but that could change this year as polls show gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand leading his Republican opponent Zach Lahn.”
“While the Democrats have been favored for some time to take control of the House of Representatives with the GOP having just a five-seat advantage, Democrats need to pick up four seats in order to flip control of the Senate while defending some of their own.”
““Dozens of lawmakers are now touting new proposals to regulate artificial-intelligence models that have stepped up their capabilities,” according to the Wall Street Journal, and House Democrats are now considering creating a select committee focused on AI.”
“In an average of the 2026 polls, Democrats have a nine-point advantage on this question, known as the congressional ballot test.”
“The liberal media is positively giddy over polls showing Republicans lagging in key Senate races, and others showing the GOP likely to lose the House.”
“Democrats are almost giddy a month before the Nov. 3 elections as polls and prediction markets capture them being on the precipice of controlling Congress, but some are warning the party to pump the brakes, as a premature victory lap could depress turnout in…”
“El-Sayed maintains a slight lead in the polls over Republican and former Congressman Mike Rogers in a key state that Democrats must not lose in order to flip the Senate blue.”
“In multiple polls taken since mid-September, Trump’s personal approval rating hovers anywhere from 34 percent to 42 percent, an alarmingly low number for his allies were he at the top of the ballot and a serious problem for Republicans who don’t have the…”
“But here we are, in October of an election year, with polls showing Democrats potentially leading in competitive Senate races in Michigan, Ohio, North Carolina, Georgia, even Texas.”
“The polls are very good for Democrats right now.”
“(ANNOUNCEMENTS) MARGARET BRENNAN: Our new CBS News Battleground Tracker poll finds that, if the election were held today, Democrats have a lead in that battle for control of the House.”
““The president asked that a group be put together that was going to ensure exactly what he said … [that] we stay the leaders in superintelligence and that the interests of the American people are put first,””
“…line: 'you go to hell.' President Donald Trump participates in a midterm election rally in Oklahoma on October 1 Last month, the US House of Representatives tabled a resolution to impeach Trump, sponsored by outgoing Texas representative Al Green Democrats…”
“In 2024, 55% of Texas Latinos supported Trump, according to exit polls, but recent surveys show statewide Democrats garnering at least 55% of the Latino vote.”
“Generic congressional polls show Democrats holding a lead approaching double digits, raising the spectre of a “blue wave” that could sweep away Republican majorities in the House of Representatives and Senate.”
“His mission: to take back the congressional seat, and in the process both help the national Democratic party regain control of the US House and teach it a lesson or two about Mexican American politics.”
“The nation’s two largest states by land area gave Democrats a boost in the battle for Senate control Saturday, with candidates in Texas and Alaska hitting 50% or more in new polls.”
“The president didn’t stop there, warning that if Democrats take the majority in Congress, they will raise taxes and lead to another Great Depression.”
“The GOP’s effort to redraw the Lone Star State’s congressional map and expand its House majority has created an unexpected problem in South Texas, where Rep.”
“In the House, certainly the expectation should be that Democrats win.”
“On an afternoon in late January, Mitch Sylvestre, the leader of Alberta’s most prominent separatist organization, gathered with three of his lieutenants in a boardroom not far from the executive hangars at the Calgary International Airport, where private jets…”
“Is President Donald Trump’s ramped-up travel schedule a sign the White House is in damage limitation mode with a month to go until the midterm elections?”
“Democrats could gain roughly 20 seats in the House and about four or five in the Senate, according to Charlie Cook, founder of the non-partisan Cook Political Report.”
“Democrats are also competitive in Ohio, Alaska, Iowa, Texas, Florida, Nebraska, Mississippi, South Carolina and Kentucky with less than five weeks to go until Election Day.”
“President Donald Trump sat down for an interview with TIME at the White House on Sept. 28.”
“On Sept. 29, he met with AI leaders at the White House, where the President and top executives from six leading tech companies signed a “constitution” to police themselves—a covenant of self-regulation in lieu of government oversight.”
“WASHINGTON — Republicans have a surprising, yet slim advantage over Democrats on cost-of-living issues with “swing” voters in eight critical states, a grassroots survey by a right-leaning group found.”
“Recent polls show Hamilton, a pastor who leads the largest United Methodist church in Kansas, has a fighting chance.”
“…n of dissatisfaction with the economy, gas prices and the immigration crackdown could lead to a Democratic wave in the November midterm election, particularly in the House of Representatives where Democrats only need to pick up four seats to take the…”
“Statewide polls show Democrats ahead in large states that had voted Republican for president and threatening incumbents in historically Republican states such as Kansas and Nebraska.”
“As for election results, pollsters and trade watchers expect the Democrats to win a majority in the House of Representatives, while the Senate remains a closer call.”
“He was also a deputy cabinet secretary in the Obama White House.”
“The White House's decision to spend public money on the campaign is drawing widespread criticism, including from Republicans.”
“As of Tuesday morning, Democrats have a 63 percent chance of winning control of the Senate while the party has a 92 percent chance of winning the House of Representatives, according to data from the prediction market Kalshi.”
“Iowa is in play as a seat Democrats could flip in the midterm elections, with Republican Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek in November and with polls suggesting a tight race.”
“In 2018, Democrats flipped a Senate seat in Arizona and also flipped a House seat in Oklahoma’s fifth district.”
“Republican concerns are intensifying about the party’s ability to block Democrats from flipping Texas’s Senate seat blue, as polls continue to paint a razor-thin picture of the race.”
“AUSTIN, Texas — Former White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel insists his five-point plan would clean up ethics in government, and whoever emerges as the 2028 Democratic nominee could learn from Republican-led states if they want to help fix America’s…”
“Not just the political class of consultants and others intimately involved in campaigns — they have been pessimistic for a while, although their sense of foreboding seemed to rise to a higher level in recent days — but also among those who follow the news…”
“Democrats appear ready to ride a tidal wave into the House, and their voters want vindication for their decadelong Trump monomania.”
“The Texas contest has tightened considerably — with the Republican stalwart’s polls falling from a 7-point lead to just 1.8 point in the RealClearPolitics average.”
“In September, Democrats posted their biggest lead of the cycle, 53% to 42% — and the trend seems to be in Dems’ favor.”
“In Ohio, where President Donald Trump won by 13 points over Kamala Harris in the 2024 White House race, former Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown now holds a 4-point lead over appointed Republican Senator Jon Husted.”
“Republicans are pouring campaign money into Senate battleground states as new polls show them struggling in red territory — with warning lights flashing in both the House and Senate.”
“Cook Political Report shifted 15 races toward Democrats this week, RealClearPolitics has the Democrats with an 8.7 point lead on the generic congressional ballot, and DecisionDeskHQ gives the Democrats even odds to take both the House and the Senate.”
“His approval rating with independents stands at 26% in the polling average, and they’re breaking toward Democrats on the generic ballot in a big way.”
“Ambassador Rahm Emanuel hasn't been shy about his potential prospects for the White House, but as 2028 approaches, the hypothetical Democratic field continues to get more crowded.”
“Democrats are leading in the polls amid concerns about the rising cost of energy, triggered by the war which the US started.”
“Facing what polls indicate is an enthusiasm gap with Democrats, the president and Republican leaders are hoping to energize the MAGA base, which doesn't always vote when Trump isn't on the ballot.”
“…a month and a half to go before the 2026 midterm elections, Democrats hold an overall 5-percentage-point lead over Republicans, according to an NBC News poll released on Sunday, after an August survey indicated Democrats held a 6-point lead among likely…”
“Jeff Landry, despite 42,000 already-cast ballots, suspended Louisiana’s House primaries to give his party time to push through a new map reducing Black representation in Congress before the 2026 midterms.”
“More voters believe Democrats will effectively address gas prices, the economy and foreign policy amid rising costs and the war in Iran.”
“Hinson has leaned into a similar message as she seeks a promotion from the House to the Senate.”
“Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez inched closer to a potential 2028 White House run in a new interview that also left open the possibility that she'll challenge powerful fellow New York Democrat Chuck Schumer for his Senate seat.”
“The Republicans' anti-war sentiments came as some pollsters claim the Democrats can take back the Senate, as well as the House, if they sweep key swing states.”
“Democrats appear likely to flip the House, and Republicans are increasingly worried the Senate may also be in play for Democrats.”
“Five key races are unexpectedly close, with some polls giving Democrats a better edge than expected, but the outcomes are still in doubt, as swaths of voters remain undecided.”
“Every week, the generic ballot, which determines if voters would prefer a replacement-level Democrat or Republican for Congress, shows Democrats gaining a lead with almost every survey.”
“To regain a trifecta in Michigan after two years of split control, Democrats need to add four seats in the House, maintain a majority in the Senate and win the governor’s race.”
“Trump actually reined in the enforcement excess himself over a year ago, only to have Noem create a needless spectacle in Minneapolis that’s left an ugly, lasting impression that could cost the GOP multiple House seats this November.”
“Democrats’ big lead on the generic ballot is consistent with history It’s not hard to understand why Democrats have made further gains in polls lately.”
“Polls show Democrats leading in the so-called generic congressional race, 50.4 percent to 42.3 percent, according to Real Clear Polling, but the Cook Political Report rates future control of both chambers as a toss-up.”
“Democrats hold a 5-point edge in the battle for control of Congress, 50%-45% — not nearly as large a lead as the 12-point advantage the party enjoyed at this point before the 2018 election, when Democrats rode an anti-Trump wave to the House majority in his…”
““If Democrats are to win the majority in the House and/or the Senate, it will be because moderates flip seats from red to blue,” said Matt Bennett, an executive vice-president at the thinktank Third Way.”
“Former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper leads Former RNC Chairman Michael Whatley by double digits in North Carolina's US Senate race In Texas, Democrats are currently besting Republicans in the statewide races for US Senate, governor, and even Texas Railroad…”
“According to the VoteCast survey conducted for the Associated Press and Fox News after the 2024 election, union members preferred Harris over Trump by 16% in 2024, 57% to 41% for Trump, matching Biden’s 16% lead over Trump with union households in 2020.”
“In 2020, Joe Biden looked like he would win by a landslide, but he only narrowly won, Democrats lost seats in the House and only got a 50-seat majority in the Senate.”
“Allen's once-comfortable lead evaporated, and Webb eventually won by just 9,329 votes, giving Democrats the 51st seat they needed to take control of the Senate.”
“He can’t get Congress to pass the SAVE America Act, which would require IDs at the polls, so there seems to be every opportunity for Democrats to have illegal immigrants vote and have mail-in ballots galore.”
“The Democrat leads the Republican 60% to 38% among likely voters if the Nov. 3 gubernatorial election were held today, according to the Public Policy Institute of California poll conducted Sept. 4–10.”
“But less than two months out from Election Day, the party’s internal divide reflects the urgency with which they’re working to hang onto at least one chamber of Congress next year — as the House looks increasingly likely to flip to Democrats.”
“Don’t look now, but the Democrats’ Senate nominee has a bigger lead in Texas than in Minnesota.”
“James Talarico and Attorney General Ken Paxton may represent Texas Democrats’ best chance to win a statewide race in more than 30 years, French’s lead over Rosenthal is just outside the margin of error.”
“All four will be hard-fought through the close of polls on November 3, but the five described above, in which Democrats nominated radicals and ultra-progressives?”
“Among those certain to vote (10s), the Democrats’ lead in the generic ballot grows to 11 points (54-43%).”
“With the midterm elections less than two months away, Democrats are training thousands of volunteers on how to respond to any potential incidents of voter intimidation at the polls in November.”
“The general trend in off-year elections, the Trump slump in job approval, and Republicans’ continuing weakness in generic polls make Democrats the favorites to gain House and maybe Senate majorities this year.”
“Seven House Republicans backed the resolution, including three voting in favour for the first time, joining all House Democrats who are opposed to the war.”
“Harris, the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee, offered the clearest signal yet that she could seek to lead Democrats back to the White House in 2028.”
“And here’s where I think the leading institutions play such an important role.”
“(Good polls for Democrats in Maine and Michigan yesterday offset some of the recent movement.) I didn’t discuss this on the podcast, but another factor is that the way the model uses expert ratings.”
“Josh Shapiro, whom polls show holds a commanding double-digit lead over Garrity, and incumbent Lt.”
“House: Democrats remain in the lead as two seats fall away from the GOP Democrats are still the favorites to take the House this November, with 212 seats in their columns to the GOP’s 206.”
“… has a, quote, "low probability," unquote, of retaining the House of Representatives, and his snapshot of competitive Senate seats based on current polling averages has Democrats leading 9 of 11 races, which would mean somewhere in the vicinity of a two-seat…”
“Alaska was more competitive than Democrats thought Some Democratic Party leaders had initially ranked Alaska behind other states with the potential to flip a Senate seat.”
““Democrats had a big lead in party identification, which was then a prelude to the 2006 and 2008 elections, which were big victories for Democrats.””
“They had won the House of Representatives, but only by a slim margin, while Democrats had expanded their majority in the Senate and built up their strength in state legislatures.”
“…ed. [But] with the midterm model, 80 percent of the work is in gathering these 68 fucking files that we have, and making sure that the 550-odd races5 that we’re forecasting — governor, House, Senate — making sure all that information is accurate, merging…”
“…R makes a more comprehensive series of adjustments: FLIPR’s house effects adjustment — house effects are persistent differences in polling firms tending to rate Republicans or Democrats more highly — is more robust because FLIPR has more data to rely upon: it…”
“In other swing states, such as Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, Democrats are also leading their opponents.”
“Anthropic is very impressive, I would say, given that it’s kind of stayed in the lead lap without that kind of heritage — but at the same time, it started with a lot of seed capital.”
“Republicans, he added, are fighting internally over the issue and “Democrats just need to get out of the way.””
“Even some dyed-in-the-wool MAGA pollsters are starting to sound the red alert.”
“Abdul El-Sayed is leading in the polls, but will his fellow Democrats let him keep that lead, especially the fellow Democrat he beat in the primary?”
“WASHINGTON (AP) — Massachusetts Democrats will decide the latest head-to-head matchup between the party’s moderate and progressive wings in a state primary Tuesday, but this time, top progressives are backing the incumbent against a more moderate challenger.”
“Jon Ossoff (D-GA) holds a 7-point lead in the latest InsiderAdvantage poll against Rep.”
“None of this entirely explains polls suggesting Ossoff's lead in battleground Georgia.”
“Hendersonville, North Carolina THERE’S BEEN NO SHORTAGE OF MEDIA ATTENTION for dynamic Democratic Senate candidates, especially as the party casts around for new faces to lead it into the future—or at least, with luck, win control of the Senate.”
“It applies a likely voter adjustment, which in this case benefits Democrats and moves their lead from D +7.5 to D +8.2. -EMD, 9/15/26 This is the landing page for Silver Bulletin’s 2026 generic congressional ballot polling average.”
“In an interview, Prakash said he was motivated to start the fake polling project after a significant polling miss in the Michigan Senate primary, where polls had showed Abdul El-Sayed with a heavy lead over his opponent Haley Stevens before election day.”