Why election surveys come with an extra layer of uncertainty.
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surveys → come → uncertainty
Witnesses recall the horrific scene as a truck plowed through a youth soccer game in Kansas.
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truck → recall → Kansas
Who will actually show up to vote?
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Who → show → ?
The question complicating election polls
With Democrats favored to win the House and state-level polls showing the Senate within the party’s reach, turnout remains the biggest unknown that will decide what kind of election we have.
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we → complicate → election
Republicans are hoping the polls this year are underestimating their support, which has happened in the past.
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which → hop → past
But no one can know for sure who will turn out until after votes are counted — polls aren’t predictions, only snapshots in time.
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polls → know → time
This is Morning Rundown, a weekday newsletter to start your day.
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This → start → day
Kornacki analyzes new Decision Desk poll on midterm enthusiasm
National surveys can vary based on how pollsters identify a population that doesn’t yet exist: the “likely voter.”
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that → analyze → population
Depending on how we choose to identify likely voters, Democrats have anywhere between a 14- and 4-point advantage over Republicans when it comes to control of Congress.
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it → depend → Congress
Each firm has its own method, but all likely voter polls rely on two factors: letting the voters tell us what they’ll do, or predicting whether someone will vote based on who they are.
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they → have → what
Marc Trussler, a senior elections analyst on the NBC News Decision Desk, breaks down how this works using our latest poll as an example.
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this → break → example
The fight for Congress is playing out largely on Republican-held turf.
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fight → play → turf
But headwinds for President Donald Trump’s party have made Democrats optimistic.
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Democrats → make → party
See the latest data and which states are in play here.
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states → see → play
Plus, 71% of U.S. adults think the country is on the “wrong track,” the highest share yet in Trump’s second term.
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country → think → term
Witnesses haunted by moment pickup plowed through a Kansas youth soccer game
Witnesses of a deadly collision in which a pickup truck barreled through a youth soccer game in Kansas, killing two people and injuring nearly a dozen others, said they are haunted by what they saw and heard.
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they → haunt → what
A 6-year-old boy and 35-year-old man were killed in the incident, which unfolded Saturday at a sports complex in Wichita, police said.
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police → kill → Wichita
The driver, 34, was released from custody with a toxicology and mechanical report pending.
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report → release → custody
Erica Case said it was halftime during her son’s soccer game on an adjacent field when she first heard an engine revving, followed by several “boom” sounds.
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engine → say → sounds
“The moment that I recognized that that wasn’t gunshots, that that was bodies, I lost it,” Case said.
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Case → recognize → it
“I lost it because it wasn’t just adults.
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it → lose → it
NFL Week 6: The return of Caleb Williams, and life gets worse for the Rams
Week 6 of the NFL season featured a star player’s return and another devastating loss for a Super Bowl contender.
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Week → get → contender
Here’s all the action you need to know about from yesterday:
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you → ’ → yesterday
- Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams played for the first time since an injury in Week 2, with a 31-23 victory over the Atlanta Falcons.
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Williams → play → Falcons
- After entering the season as a Super Bowl favorite, the Los Angeles Rams (2-4) are in last place in the NFC West after an 18-16 loss to the Arizona Cardinals.
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Rams → enter → Cardinals
- The Kansas City Chiefs improved to 5-0 with a 22-6 win over the Los Angeles Chargers.
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Chiefs → improve → Chargers
Is their offense returning to their dynastic heights?
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offense → return → heights
Staff Pick: How Flock’s cameras spread through government deals that bypassed public scrutiny
I’ve covered Flock Safety’s ALPR cameras for more than a year.
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I → spread → year
These cameras are license plate readers that in many cases create detailed portraits of Americans’ vehicle movements, accessible to police across the country without a warrant.
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that → create → warrant
A major part of that story has been how many Americans from multiple walks of life and across the political spectrum have fought back against the cameras in their communities, both legally through their local governments and through illegal vandalism.
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Americans → fight → vandalism
Over and over, I heard them asking how these cameras, from a company less than a decade old, suddenly went up in their towns and counties, often with their tax dollars and without their knowledge.
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cameras → hear → knowledge
So I dug into dozens of Flock contracts across the country, and found at least one answer: Many of them were structured in ways that helped reduce how much attention they might get from local communities.
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they → dig → communities
In some cases, they would be for amounts just a few dollars shy of a key threshold — like the number that would require a city council to approve them — with local leaders saying outright this was to avoid a vote.
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this → require → vote
In far more cases, I found contracts where Flock helped local officials secure a “no-bid” contract, claiming that their technology was particularly unique and they didn’t have to open up a process of looking at multiple vendors.
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they → find → vendors
Flock didn’t invent these tactics, and there’s no indication that they did anything illegal with these contracts.
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they → invent → contracts
But this survey gives some clear insight into how existing rules communities use for purchasing police tech can help a surveillance tech company quietly install cameras across the country.
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company → give → country
— Kevin Collier, cyber security reporter
Read All About It
- A service member died after falling during a pregame aerial demonstration at a college football game in San Antonio, Texas.
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member → read → Antonio
- Cindy Crawford has paid tribute to her son Presley Gerber.
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Crawford → pay → son
Crawford addressed the tragedy for the first time since Gerber’s death in September, in an Instagram post shared yesterday.
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Crawford → address → post
The former supermodel and actor wrote that the family is “beyond heartbroken to lose our beloved son and brother.”
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family → write → son
…and 11 more, not listed.
The Aporia
