US midterm elections 2026 in maps and charts

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Cite

Chughtai, A., & Sherif, H. (2026, October 26). US midterm elections 2026 in maps and charts. Al Jazeera. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/26/us-midterm-elections-2026-in-maps-and-charts?traffic_source=rss

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Al Jazeera · collected 2026-10-26 · by Alia Chughtai, Hoda Sherif

Quick Summary

On November 3, about 210 million registered voters will participate in the U.S. midterm elections, which could determine the balance of power in Congress and indirectly reflect on President Donald Trump's performance. The elections will decide all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 out of 100 Senate seats, including special elections in Florida and Ohio to fill recently vacated positions. Al Jazeera provides a visual explainer focusing on how these elections work, key races to watch, and potential implications for both parties' control over Congress.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-26, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

On November 3, 2026, about 210 million registered voters will participate in the US midterm elections, which will determine the balance of power in Congress for President Donald Trump's remaining term. All 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 out of the Senate’s 100 seats are up for election, including special contests to replace former Senator Marco Rubio (now US Secretary of State) from Florida and Vice President JD Vance from Ohio. These elections will influence federal legislation and spending over the next two years, affecting Trump's policy agenda significantly.

Written for “US Midterm Elections 2026” on 2026-10-26, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 108469 · logged 2026-10-26

Story

📰 US Midterm Elections 2026
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

Nothing to compare against. No article is close enough to this one for the pipeline to have linked or judged the pair.
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
101
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
20%
20 of 101 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
60/100
Al Jazeera's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-26 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Al Jazeera · 4095 article(s) · 2 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 2 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Alia Chughtai
7 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 On November 3, about 210 million registered voters will decide how much power Donald Trump has for the rest of his US presidency.
2026-10-26 · assertive framing · US midterm elections 2026 in maps and charts
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🔮 - list 2 of 4Iran bets economic pain will pressure Trump in game of ‘chicken’ - list 3 of 4Iran, Oman agree on new temporary route in Hormuz - list 4 of 4Trump threatens Iran’s partners: How do secondary sanctions work?
Also by Alia Chughtai
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 7 articles by Alia Chughtai →
Hoda Sherif
7 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 On November 3, about 210 million registered voters will decide how much power Donald Trump has for the rest of his US presidency.
2026-10-26 · assertive framing · US midterm elections 2026 in maps and charts
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🔮 Under pressure by New York Governor Kathy Hochul and Attorney General Letitia James, the university announced this week it would be appointing a law firm to conduct an independent internal review of how it initially handled the case.
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🔮 El-Sayed, who is seeking the Democratic nomination for the US Senate seat in November’s midterms, will face a high-stakes general election battle against Republican Mike Rogers.
Also by Hoda Sherif
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 7 articles by Hoda Sherif →

Topics

Congress Democrats House Senate the House of Representatives

Subjects

House ORG · 9× Democrats NORP · 6× Senate ORG · 6× Congress ORG · 5× Trump PERSON · 5× Republicans NORP · 4× the House of Representatives ORG · 3× Al Jazeera ORG · 2× Belt PERSON · 2× Iran GPE · 2×

Narrative

All 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 of the Senate’s 100 seats are being contested, including special elections in the states of Florida and Ohio to fill the seats vacated by US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Vice President JD Vance.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-26
🔮 On November 3, about 210 million registered voters will decide how much power Donald Trump has for the rest of his US presidency.
2026-10-26 · Al Jazeera
US midterm elections 2026 in maps and charts · assertive framing

Claims (101 extracted, 20 hedged)

On November 3, about 210 million registered voters will decide how much power Donald Trump has for the rest of his US presidency. asserted
Trump → register → presidency
Made up of the House of Representatives and the Senate, Congress writes the country’s laws and controls federal spending. asserted
Congress → make → spending
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Trump → slam → them
In this visual explainer, Al Jazeera breaks down how the elections work, which races matter and what the results could mean for either party. uncertain
results → break → party
What happens in the midterm elections? asserted
What → happen → elections
Held halfway through a US president’s four-year term, midterm elections decide the makeup of Congress. asserted
elections → hold → Congress
All 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 of the Senate’s 100 seats are being contested, including special elections in the states of Florida and Ohio to fill the seats vacated by US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Vice President JD Vance. asserted
seats → contest → Rubio
Voters in 36 states will also elect governors. asserted
Voters → elect → governors
House members represent one congressional district each and serve two-year terms, while senators serve six-year terms. asserted
senators → represent → terms
Midterm elections are also widely considered a referendum on the sitting president’s performance. asserted
elections → consider → performance
Since 1946, the president’s party has lost an average of 26.5 seats in the House and a handful in the Senate in midterm elections, according to Todd Belt, a professor of political management at George Washington University. uncertain
party → lose → University
Beyond Congress and governors, voters will also elect state legislators and local officials. asserted
voters → elect → legislators
Nadia Brown, a professor of government at Georgetown University, said that while national elections get most of the attention, “It is important to remember that local politics is where most Americans interact with government.” asserted
Americans → say → government
She added that “It is the local propositions or referendums on ballots [that] will impact the everyday lives of people.” asserted
that → add → people
Republicans hold majorities in both chambers. asserted
Republicans → hold → chambers
Losing either would give Democrats the power to block legislation and launch investigations into Trump’s administration. asserted
Losing → lose → administration
Democrats need to gain three seats in the House and four in the Senate to take control. asserted
Democrats → need → control
A 50-50 split in the Senate would leave Republicans in control, because Vance can cast tie-breaking votes. asserted
Vance → leave → votes
Belt said a Democratic victory could significantly limit Trump’s ability to pursue his domestic agenda. “If Democrats take one chamber, all non-government funding legislation will grind to a halt,” he told Al Jazeera. uncertain
he → say → Jazeera
How do House elections work? asserted
elections → work → ?
Its 435 members each represent one local district and serve two-year terms, so every seat is contested every two years. asserted
seat → represent → terms
Seats are divided among the states by population, based on the US Census conducted every 10 years. asserted
Seats → divide → Census
California, the most populous state, has 52 seats, while the least populous, such as Wyoming and Vermont, have one each. asserted
populous → have → one
A party needs 218 seats for a majority. asserted
party → need → majority
Republicans currently control the House, with 218 seats to the Democrats’ 214, and one independent sits with the Republicans. asserted
independent → control → Republicans
Two seats are vacant, one last held by each party. asserted
one → hold → party
The new House will be sworn in on January 3, 2027. asserted
House → swear → January
The House races to watch Each district elects its own representative, and the party that wins 218 seats takes control, so a few narrow wins in close districts can decide the majority. asserted
wins → race → majority
Belt estimates that about 35 House races could decide the majority. uncertain
races → estimate → majority
He predicts Democrats could gain about 15 seats, despite Republican redistricting that he says has given the party an advantage in nine additional districts. uncertain
he → predict → districts
“People generally vote straight ticket, meaning they will vote for all the candidates of one party, so this is likely to affect down-ballot races [as well],” he said. asserted
he → vote → races
A battleground district is a seat either party could realistically win. uncertain
party → win → ?
The graphic below highlights 12 of these key races to watch. asserted
graphic → highlight → races
How do Senate elections work? The Senate is the upper house of the US Congress. asserted
Senate → work → Congress
Its 100 members, two from each state regardless of population, are elected statewide and serve six-year terms, with about a third of seats contested every two years. asserted
third → elect → seats
This year, 33 seats are being contested in regular elections, alongside special elections in Florida and Ohio. asserted
seats → contest → Florida
Those two contests will fill the remaining two years of terms previously held by Marco Rubio and JD Vance. asserted
contests → fill → Rubio
Of the 35 seats being contested, Republicans hold 22, and Democrats hold 13. asserted
Democrats → contest → 13
Republicans currently have 53 senators. asserted
Republicans → have → senators
Democrats have 45, and two independents sit with them, giving the Democratic bloc 47 seats. asserted
independents → have → seats
…and 61 more, not listed.
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