With three days to go before the US midterm elections, Democrats are leading national polls as millions of Americans cast their ballots early.
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millions → go → ballots
Meanwhile, President Donald Trump has announced he will carry on with his campaigns in Kansas and Iowa as both parties make their final push ahead of Election Day on Tuesday.
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parties → announce → Tuesday
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this → know → elections
polls expose vulnerabilities in US elections ahead of midterms
Here is what you need to know:
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you → expose → what
What do the US midterm polls say?
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polls → say → What
According to RealClearPolling’s latest national congressional ballot average, Democrats still lead Republicans by 8.2 percentage points.
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Democrats → accord → points
Democrats lead by 51.4 percent to 43.2 percent.
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Democrats → lead → percent
A separate Economist/YouGov survey released on Thursday found that 44 percent of registered voters expect Democrats to control the House of Representatives after the election, compared with 31 percent who expect Republicans to retain control.
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Republicans → release → control
Expectations were much closer for the Senate, with 39 percent expecting a Democratic majority and 36 percent a Republican one.
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percent → expect → majority
Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, told Al Jazeera that the Democratic lead in national polling suggests a different picture for the two chambers.
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lead → tell → chambers
“A big Democratic lead in House generic ballot polling suggests that the House is almost certain to flip to Democrats,” Kondik said.
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Kondik → suggest → Democrats
“However, that does not mean the Senate is going to flip – it certainly could, but it is much more up in the air.”
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it → mean → air
How many Americans have already voted?
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Americans → vote → ?
According to an Associated Press analysis released on Friday, more than 43 million Americans had voted early in person or returned mail ballots five days before Election Day.
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Americans → accord → Day
That’s nearly 10 million more than at the same point before the 2022 midterms, with some of the biggest increases recorded in states having competitive Senate races.
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some → ’ → races
In Texas, more than 6.3 million people had voted early as of Wednesday, compared with 4.2 million at the same point in 2022, an increase of 50 percent.
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people → vote → percent
Al Jazeera’s Phil Lavelle reported from Houston on Friday that voters were continuing to arrive at polling stations as the state’s early voting period was drawing to a close.
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period → report → close
In Georgia, more than 2.5 million ballots had been cast by Friday morning, surpassing the 2.3 million recorded during the early voting period in 2022, according to Al Jazeera’s Matthew Torres.
Torres reported long queues at an Atlanta polling station and more participation among young voters.
“We all just really want a better future for everyone, especially like the next generation,” one young voter told Al Jazeera.
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voter → cast → Jazeera
Another young voter pointed to social media as a reason for the increased interest in the election.
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voter → point → election
Social media and the media has put voting in the limelight,” the voter said.
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voter → put → limelight
Democratic political strategist Celinda Lake said many voters were looking for change.
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voters → say → change
“You got a lot of voters who say, ‘I’m going to do a Hail Mary for change, but I hope you do something,'” she said.
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she → get → something
Early voting also increased by more than 30 percent compared with the same period in 2022 in Maine, Michigan, North Carolina and Kansas, according to the AP analysis.
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voting → increase → analysis
However, early turnout figures don’t show which candidates voters have chosen or what the final results will be.
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results → show → candidates
What’s happened on the campaign trail in the past 24 hours?
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What → happen → hours
Trump reversed his decision to cancel two weekend rallies in Kansas and Iowa, with the White House confirming that both events would go ahead on Sunday.
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events → reverse → Sunday
The rallies had been cancelled on Thursday, with the White House saying Trump would instead take part in nearly 20 telephone campaign events.
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Trump → cancel → events
But less than a day later, the president put the rallies back in his schedule.
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president → put → schedule
Al Jazeera’s Tanya Nouri reported that Trump’s campaign team sees his personal appearances as a way to mobilise Republican voters.
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team → report → voters
“He is energised to go back and rally in person on Sunday,” Nouri said, quoting her campaign sources.
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Nouri → energise → sources
She also said that Trump’s team believes his appearances have a stimulating effect on Republican supporters, especially in states where the Republicans are running for Senate seats against strong opposition.
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Republicans → say → opposition
Trump also campaigned in Florida on Friday, where Republicans are defending Senate and gubernatorial seats.
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Republicans → campaign → seats
“You got to vote.
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You → get → ?
Bad things happen when you get too confident, right?
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you → happen → ?
So let’s pretend they’re one point down,” Trump told the rally crowd.
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Trump → let → crowd
Meanwhile, in Texas, Republican Senate candidate Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico were focusing their final campaign efforts on Houston, according to Al Jazeera’s Lavelle.
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Paxton → focus → Lavelle
Paxton cancelled an event in El Paso to concentrate on Harris County, Texas’s most populous county, as early voting drew to a close.
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voting → cancel → close
On Friday, former President Bill Clinton campaigned for the Democratic Party in Mississippi.
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Clinton → campaign → Mississippi
He also urged people to vote.
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He → urge → people
“I can’t tell you how many people I care for that have lost in Mississippi because of those who did not vote at all,” Clinton said.
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Clinton → tell → those
…and 14 more, not listed.
The Aporia
