How “One of the Most Costliest Blunders Anyone’s Ever Made” Helped Put a Republican Seat in Play

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Murphy, T. (2026, October 26). How “One of the Most Costliest Blunders Anyone’s Ever Made” Helped Put a Republican Seat in Play. Mother Jones. https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2026/10/bobby-pulido-texas-congress-de-la-cruz/

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Mother Jones · collected 2026-10-26 · by Tim Murphy

Quick Summary

Bobby Pulido, a Tejano music legend running as the Democratic nominee in Texas's 15th congressional district, is unexpectedly leading polls against Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz despite the district being historically favorable to Republicans. Pulido’s campaign leverages his cultural influence and grassroots support, exemplified by his final performance at a street festival where his fans and supporters rallied around him without overt political messaging. Recent shifts in Latino voter sentiment have bolstered Pulido's prospects, making this race a key battleground for both national and regional trends.
Written by AI on 2026-10-29, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Bobby Pulido, a Tejano music legend running as the Democratic nominee for Texas's 15th congressional district, has unexpectedly put his race against Republican Rep. Monica De La Cruz into play despite initial expectations that Trump would have carried the district by 18 points in 2024. The district, which stretches from Hidalgo to Alice and includes parts of South Texas where LBJ’s allies secured a Senate win in 1948, was redrawn by Republicans to ensure their victory. However, recent polls show Pulido leading consistently, with the Cook Political Report now considering it a "toss-up." Latino voters in Texas have shifted 16 points away from Trump since 2024, potentially favoring Democrats across South Texas.

Written for “Republican Seat in Play Due to Blunder” on 2026-10-29, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
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Leaning: leans left for article 108197 (medium confidence, 3 verified quotes) · logged 2026-10-29

Story

📰 Republican Seat in Play Due to Blunder
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Claims extracted
58
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
7%
4 of 58 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
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95/100
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Who wrote this

Tim Murphy
8 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Donald Trump would have carried the district by 18 points in 2024 and Republicans were so encouraged by recent swings in South Texas that they redrew the maps to secure a clean Republican sweep.
🔮 In a district Donald Trump would have carried by 11 points in 2024, a C-SPAN camera was there too, to capture the scene in what is shaping up to be one of the more unexpectedly competitive House races of 2026.
🔮 I don’t mean that I don’t understand it—I mean I don’t know what it is, because before I could listen to his remarks at the launch of the “Come and Take It” bus tour in Rockwall, Texas, on Saturday morning, I was kicked out of the event and escorted to my car by a police officer.
🔮 The reference—a one-off post with no accompanying context or follow-up—might have gone over the heads of most of Collins’ constituents.
🔮 “I will not kick us off.”
🔮 When Jon Rosenthal announced his campaign last fall for a seat on the Texas Railroad Commission, he never expected to talk about the short-lived Republic of Rhodesia.
🔮 It’s a cliche, at this point, to suggest that if elected officials in this country talked about members of any other religious group the way they talk about Muslims, they would be shunned from polite society—or at least called to account for it.
🔮 That year, thanks to a furious lobbying effort and the work of lawmakers like Sen. Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania, the industry fended off a repeal effort with only a minor tweak—lengthening the period an investment firm had to hold onto an asset before it could apply the discounted rate, from one year to three.
Also by Tim Murphy
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Topics

Democrat Democratic Republican Tejano Texas

Subjects

Pulido PERSON · 11× Democratic NORP · 3× Democrat NORP · 2× Democrats NORP · 2× Republican NORP · 2× Tejano NORP · 2× Texas GPE · 2× Alice GPE · 1× Bobby Pulido PERSON · 1× South Texas GPE · 1×

Narrative

Bobby Pulido played one of the final shows of his career on a Friday night in early October at a street festival in the South Texas town of Alice, a county seat near the King Ranch where LBJ’s allies stole the 1948 Senate election and generations of Tejano music stars got their start.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-29
🔮 Donald Trump would have carried the district by 18 points in 2024 and Republicans were so encouraged by recent swings in South Texas that they redrew the maps to secure a clean Republican sweep.

Claims (58 extracted, 4 hedged)

Bobby Pulido played one of the final shows of his career on a Friday night in early October at a street festival in the South Texas town of Alice, a county seat near the King Ranch where LBJ’s allies stole the 1948 Senate election and generations of Tejano music stars got their start. asserted
generations → play → start
The 53-year-old Pulido, who is both a Tejano music legend and the son of one, is the Democratic nominee in the state’s 15th congressional district, a freshly gerrymandered swath of Texas that starts on the border in Hidalgo and stretches north for about 300 miles. asserted
that → start → miles
When he entered the race last year to unseat Republican Rep. Monica De La Cruz, it seemed like an uphill climb. asserted
it → enter → climb
Donald Trump would have carried the district by 18 points in 2024 and Republicans were so encouraged by recent swings in South Texas that they redrew the maps to secure a clean Republican sweep. asserted
they → carry → sweep
But polls have shown the Democrat with a consistent lead in the race, and the Cook Political Report now considers it a “toss-up.” asserted
it → show → race
Pulido has been buoyed by both national and regional trends. asserted
Pulido → buoy → trends
One recent survey showed that Latino voters in Texas have swung 16 points away from Trump since 2024, raising the possibility of a Democratic sweep in South Texas instead. asserted
voters → show → Texas
(I wrote about Democrats’ efforts to hold onto the new 35th district, outside San Antonio, last week.) asserted
I → write → Antonio
But his success, for now, is also a feature of what Pulido specifically brings to the race—and how he’s gone about it. asserted
he → bring → it
The performance in Alice was not, strictly speaking, a campaign event—Pulido was headlining a free show celebrating the legacy of the accordionist Ruben Naranjo Sr. asserted
Pulido → speak → accordionist
People brought their own folding chairs and sat on the sidewalks and in the street under twinkling lights, while a few brave souls danced in front of the stage. asserted
souls → bring → stage
When the Democrat was introduced, his candidacy was mentioned only in passing. asserted
candidacy → introduce → passing
It was billed as his last show in the area before he retires from his current profession; a little more than a week later, he played his official farewell concert before 3,000 people at an arena outside McAllen. asserted
he → bill → McAllen
But it was hard to avoid the context in which Pulido was performing. asserted
Pulido → avoid → which
Behind the crowd, near the smoker and the truck selling pickles, a group of supporters in Pulido for Congress t-shirts was frying up chicharron. asserted
group → sell → chicharron
Everywhere I turned downtown, I could see his smiling face on signs, peering out from under his trademark cowboy hat. uncertain
I → turn → hat
He arrived in a campaign van, and when he finished performing, after a spirited rendition of “Ojalá Te Animes,” Pulido descended the steps on the side into a mob of fans and photograph seekers. asserted
Pulido → arrive → fans
I followed the crush until we finally escaped into the nearest building to chat briefly about the race. asserted
we → follow → race
Pulido took in the racks of pastel quinceañera gowns and shrugged. asserted
Pulido → take → gowns
After Pulido emerged from his primary runoff last May, De La Cruz, who handily defeated a serious Democratic challenger two years ago, seemed confident she could do it again. uncertain
she → emerge → it
“This election isn’t about who you want performing at your niece’s quinceañera,” she said in a video message. asserted
she → want → message
“It’s about who you trust with your family’s future.” asserted
you → ’ → future
Pulido says now, “it could be one of the most costliest blunders anyone’s ever made.” uncertain
anyone → say → blunders
“We would never have done a quinceañera—I promise that that was not in the plan,” he told me. asserted
he → do → me
But after the congresswoman’s jab, people began reaching out, seeing if he was available. asserted
he → begin → jab
“We didn’t think we’d get that kind of response. asserted
we → think → response
After one day we had a thousand invites. asserted
we → have → invites
And we’ve done almost 80 of them. asserted
we → do → them
We’ve collected lots of data from people. asserted
We → collect → people
Like, willingly, they give it to us. asserted
they → give → us
And we’re able to get in front of a different type of working-class voter that during the week they’re too busy working, you’re never gonna see them throughout the course of the campaign. asserted
you → ’re → campaign
For us to be able to get in front of them is truly a gift that she gave us. asserted
she → get → us
Pulido offers a glimpse of how Democrats aim to win back the kinds of voters who have recently been drifting away from them. asserted
who → offer → them
He hammers the Iran war and talks about how the president’s tariffs and misleadership have crushed the regional economy, which is hugely dependent on agriculture and international trade. asserted
which → hammer → agriculture
Trump promised to make things cheaper; gas in the district has hit $3.99 a gallon. asserted
gas → promise → 3.99
Pulido is comfortable criticizing conditions on the border during the Biden administration but full of anger over the pervasive racial profiling and cruelty of Trump 2.0. asserted
Pulido → criticize → Trump
When I was there in 2024, Democrats flooded the airwaves in De La Cruz’s district with ads about abortion; Pulido, who has said he is personally pro-life but that “it’s not my place to tell a woman what she can do with her body asserted
she → flood → body
,” describes the voters of his district as “culturally very conservative, hard-working people that really want our elected officials to focus on pocketbook issues.” asserted
officials → describe → issues
In battleground districts in 2026, populism plays too—lower drug prices, congressional stock trading, Citizens United, data centers, and the Epstein files. asserted
populism → play → 2026
“People feel like they got lied to,” he says. asserted
he → feel → ?
…and 18 more, not listed.
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