DAVID MARCUS: In blue Maine, nobody believes Susan Collins will lose until they see it

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Marcus, D. (2026, October 23). DAVID MARCUS: In blue Maine, nobody believes Susan Collins will lose until they see it. Fox News. https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/david-marcus-blue-maine-nobody-believes-susan-collins-lose-until-see

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Fox News · collected 2026-10-23 · by David Marcus analysis

Quick Summary

Columnist David Marcus reports from the ground in Maine's Senate race, highlighting Susan Collins' longstanding presence and popularity among voters despite polls showing her Democratic opponent Troy Jackson with a slight lead. Marcus interviews various Mainers who express deep appreciation for Collins due to her long-term senatorial service and contributions to the state; many voters view it as unlikely that she will lose this election. Despite some skepticism, particularly from younger voters who have never known Maine without Collins, almost everyone interviewed refers to her by her first name, underscoring a personal connection and familiarity that seems insurmountable for Jackson to overcome.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-23, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

As of October 23, 2026, Republican Senator Susan Collins is facing Democrat Troy Jackson in the Senate race in Maine, despite polls showing Jackson with a slight lead, many voters remain loyal to Collins. A lifelong Mainer from Bangor, Philip, expressed his support for Collins, stating it would be "stupid" not to vote for her due to her role as chair of the appropriations committee and her contributions to the state, such as new fire stations in numerous towns. Firefighters Andy and Hank also echoed this sentiment at Seasons restaurant in Bangor, viewing Collins as an institution in Maine and doubting Jackson's chances of winning. This widespread support among ordinary Mainers presents a significant challenge for Jackson, despite polls indicating a close race.

Written for “Susan Collins Election Odds” on 2026-10-23, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it +0.35, but 1 quote(s) could not be found in the article and the other 2 are attributed speech rather than the article's own narration, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 102460: no verified evidence · logged 2026-10-23

Story

📰 Susan Collins Election Odds
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 7% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Fox News
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 37 📰 publisher trust 67
“The articles discuss different aspects of the Maine Senate race and do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
30
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
7%
2 of 30 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
67/100
Fox News's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-23 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Fox News · 5247 article(s) · 9 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 9 correction(s)

Who wrote this

David Marcus
10 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Philip, a lifelong Mainer in his 70s from Bangor, told me in an accent straight out of "Murder, She Wrote": "It would be stupid, in my opinion, not to vote for Susan, she's chairman of the appropriations committee, and she's brought a lot of money to the state," adding, "we've got new fire stations in every little town you can think of." The appreciation for Collins among ordinary Mainers represents the daunting uphill battle Democrat Troy Jackson faces in a race where polls give him a slight lead, but the word on the street has him dead in the water. Speaking of fire stations, I met Andy and Hank, both firefighters, at Seasons restaurant in Bangor.
🔮 So what will tip the balance?
🔮 For nearly a year now, the assumption from the chattering classes has been that the 2026 midterm election will be decided on the issue of affordability, but on the ground, in the mid-American states that will decide control of the senate, it is local issues that dominate, not the vague, overarching question of prices.
🔮 It breaks one’s heart to see the monumental architecture of past glory, as intricate in detail as it is overpowering in scale, brought low — often literally empty shells of a once mighty Midwestern city.
🔮 While Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed and Colorado’s House candidate Milot Kiros have snagged headlines for their far left views, Flanagan has been able to hide a bit. However, the tightening race in Minnesota, as shown both through on-the-ground reporting and in polling, is putting Democrats everywhere in an awkward position because they had thought Flanagan’s leftist lunacy would float under the radar this cycle.
🔮 His speech, about the future of the nation, could have been addressed directly to the town of St. Cloud, Minnesota, and its environs.
🔮 For Tafoya, as well as gubernatorial candidate Lisa Demuth and others down ballot for the GOP — not to mention their potential voters — the general attitude toward Trump is that while they support much of what he has done, they also represent what a post-Donald Trump Republican Party could look like.
🔮 Six months ago, very few people imagined that this year’s senate and governor races in Minnesota would be anything but Democratic Party blowouts, but as we approach October, and the beating heart of the midterms, the Gopher state appears suddenly and stunningly in play.
🔮 He would seek us out, often one by one, first through social media, then a lunch or dinner carefully choreographed to accommodate his severe disability.
🔮 In 2026, the WFMD radio station in Frederick, Maryland, is celebrating its 90th year on the AM airwaves, and thanks to a bipartisan bill set for a vote in Congress this week, every new car sold in America will have an AM antenna to pick up its signal.
Also by David Marcus
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 10 articles by David Marcus →

Topics

Bangor Maine Mainers Seasons Senate

Subjects

Collins PERSON · 8× Maine GPE · 8× Bangor GPE · 5× Jackson PERSON · 5× Susan PERSON · 5× Senate ORG · 4× Hank PERSON · 3× Democrat NORP · 2× Mainers NORP · 2× Philip PERSON · 2×

Narrative

Philip, a lifelong Mainer in his 70s from Bangor, told me in an accent straight out of "Murder, She Wrote": "It would be stupid, in my opinion, not to vote for Susan, she's chairman of the appropriations committee, and she's brought a lot of money to the state," adding, "we've got new fire stations in every little town you can think of." The appreciation for Collins among ordinary Mainers represents the daunting uphill battle Democrat Troy Jackson faces in a race where polls give him a slight lead, but the word on the street has him dead in the water. Speaking of fire stations, I met Andy and Hank, both firefighters, at Seasons restaurant in Bangor.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-23
🔮 Philip, a lifelong Mainer in his 70s from Bangor, told me in an accent straight out of "Murder, She Wrote": "It would be stupid, in my opinion, not to vote for Susan, she's chairman of the appropriations committee, and she's brought a lot of money to the state," adding, "we've got new fire stations in every little town you can think of." The appreciation for Collins among ordinary Mainers represents the daunting uphill battle Democrat Troy Jackson faces in a race where polls give him a slight lead, but the word on the street has him dead in the water. Speaking of fire stations, I met Andy and Hank, both firefighters, at Seasons restaurant in Bangor.

Claims (30 extracted, 2 hedged)

There are two elements of the Senate race in Maine that truly stand out on the ground. asserted
that → be → ground
The upshot is that almost everyone I've met here has met her. asserted
I → meet → her
Philip, a lifelong Mainer in his 70s from Bangor, told me in an accent straight out of "Murder, She Wrote": "It would be stupid, in my opinion, not to vote for Susan, she's chairman of the appropriations committee, and she's brought a lot of money to the state," adding, "we've got new fire stations in every little town you can think of." The appreciation for Collins among ordinary Mainers represents the daunting uphill battle Democrat Troy Jackson faces in a race where polls give him a slight lead, but the word on the street has him dead in the water. Speaking of fire stations, I met Andy and Hank, both firefighters, at Seasons restaurant in Bangor. asserted
I → tell → Bangor
And just like Philip, they can't really see Collins going down. asserted
Collins → see → Philip
"We've all met her," Andy said of "Susan," not "Collins," adding, "She's an institution in Maine, I can't believe that Jackson can beat her." asserted
Jackson → meet → her
Everyone I spoke to at Seasons seemed to agree, even the Democrats, who have a unique affection for Collins. asserted
who → speak → Collins
As the burly Hank put it, "I'll believe she loses when I see it." asserted
I → put → it
In fairness, while Collins may be the Tom Brady of New England politics, even he lost twice to Eli Manning in the Super Bowl. uncertain
he → lose → Bowl
So Jackson does have a chance to unseat the 73-year-old stalwart of the Senate. asserted
Jackson → have → Senate
John and Jeff, two voters I spoke with, are hoping and voting for just that. asserted
I → speak → that
Jeff told me his top issue this election is ICE, saying, "We shouldn't have federal troops in every city … the Portland police should be able to handle things without having immigration backing them up." asserted
immigration → tell → them
John went a bit further. asserted
John → go → ?
When asked about the riots in France, he told Fox News Digital, "We should probably start rioting more in America, to be honest," but then hedged a bit with, "I would say, not riot. asserted
I → ask → riot
I met Paul at the bar of the Hollywood Casino in Bangor. asserted
I → meet → Bangor
He and the bartender, both in their early 70s, knew each other from the town where they grew up, "up north." asserted
they → know → town
Frankly, it seems like everyone in Maine knows everyone. asserted
everyone → seem → everyone
Paul lives in South Carolina now, making him a bit of a two-for-one for this columnist. asserted
him → live → columnist
He told me he thinks the GOP will hold the Senate seat in the Palmetto State and that Maine will "come around for Susan like it always does," adding, "She has a house right up the road." asserted
She → tell → road
The word that kept resounding in my mind as I wandered the dusty back alleys of Bangor and marveled at the sea of colors clinging to the leaves along the dusky Penobscot River was "Susan." asserted
I → keep → River
Almost everyone I talked to called her by her first name, a level of familiarity I have rarely encountered while covering a political race. asserted
I → talk → race
The inescapable reality of this Senate campaign in Maine is that many Mainers under 40 have no memory of a time when "Susan" was not their senator. asserted
Susan → have → time
And to break that streak would require a call to arms that Troy Jackson just can't seem to muster. asserted
Jackson → break → that
Among the kindest words I heard about Jackson in Bangor were those of a woman in the antiques emporium on Main Street who said, "Somebody had to run." asserted
Somebody → hear → Street
Maine voter Wendy told Fox News Digital of Jackson, "He was a last-ditch effort," adding that she hopes Collins wins. One word I didn't hear much in Maine, and this is a problem for Jackson, is "Trump." asserted
this → tell → Jackson
Almost everyone I spoke with sees Collins as independent of the president, who, after all, would serve only two years of the six-year term she is running for. asserted
she → speak → term
At Reagan National Airport on Tuesday, I bumped into former U.S. Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia, himself the kind of institution in my home, the Mountain State, that Collins is in Maine. asserted
Collins → bump → Maine
He was on his way to campaign for her. asserted
He → campaign → her
The message of Manchin's mission was clear: a former Democrat, a centrist, a guy who can get things done with both sides, but also very much a former senator who could not survive the purity tests of the modern, far-left Democratic Party. uncertain
who → get → Party
For Collins' part, Republicans across the country, especially in Maine and even in the White House, are willing to look past her centrism and just be thankful a Republican has a shot in a state like Maine. asserted
Republican → look → Maine
But let's be honest: Polls or no polls, a Collins loss would be an absolute shocker in Maine, and one that this column sees no evidence is in the works. asserted
evidence → let → works
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