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They handed Trump the White House and now hold the fate of Congress in their hands. What the blue-collar men of five battleground states told us should terrify every Republican

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Allen, N., Raasch, J. M., Shirazi, E., Nieto, P., & Schwab, N. (2026, November 2). They handed Trump the White House and now hold the fate of Congress in their hands. What the blue-collar men of five battleground states told us should terrify every Republican. Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.com/news/us-politics/article-16240825/They-handed-Trump-White-House-hold-fate-Congress-hands-blue-collar-men-five-battleground-states-told-terrify-Republican.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490

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Daily Mail · collected 2026-11-02 · by Nick Allen, Jon Michael Raasch, Elina Shirazi, Phillip Nieto, Nikki Schwab

Quick Summary

A New York Times poll indicates declining approval among white working-class voters for President Trump, who previously relied heavily on their support in his three presidential runs. These voters now express widespread dissatisfaction with the economy and living costs, compounded by frustration over the handling of the Epstein scandal. This shift is evident in key battleground states like Michigan’s Macomb County, where voters are moving towards Democratic candidates due to perceived failures in Trump's policies and leadership.
Written by AI on 2026-11-02, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of November 2, 2026, white working-class voters who previously supported former President Donald Trump are now showing signs of breaking away from him. This shift is particularly evident in battleground states like Michigan, where Colton Weaver, a 37-year-old mechanic from Beaumont, Texas, is voting for the Democratic candidate Abdul El-Sayed. Exit polls indicate that fewer than half of white voters without college degrees approve of Trump’s job performance, marking a significant decline since his previous electoral victories in 2016, 2020, and 2024. The change stems from widespread frustration with economic conditions, the ongoing conflict with Iran, and anger over the handling of the Epstein files by the Trump administration.

Written for “Blue-Collar Voters Influence Elections” on 2026-11-02, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
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Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans left for article 122424 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-11-02

Story

📰 Blue-Collar Voters Influence Elections
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

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This article reads leans left and hedges 14% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Daily Mail
Hedges 3 of 100 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss voter opinions in different states and contexts, not the same specific incident or occurrence.”
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Claims extracted
59
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
14%
8 of 59 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
68/100
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Daily Mail · 8757 article(s) · 21 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 21 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Nick Allen
10 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The blue-collar coalition that powered him to the White House in 2016, and stuck with him through 2020 and 2024, may finally be breaking.
🔮 If the GOP loses overall control of the Senate, then this may well be where the dream died.
🔮 With nearly all reputable experts forecasting that the House will be captured by the Democrats, the focus is on control of the Senate, which will be decided by a handful states.
🔮 One could almost sense the feral beast that is the White House Press corps smelling blood in the water.
🔮 These would seem rather extreme labels to put on a soft-spoken, meek-looking seminarian running for office in Texas.
🔮 Then, a pause, a grimace and an unfortunate mangling of the promotion of an Alaska pipeline investment: 'In addition to that it will be... it, we, will be...he, it... ahh... there is 54 billion dollars...
🔮 It's the opening to an ad for congressional candidate Chris Gallant – and Democrats couldn't believe their luck.
🔮 He could have been announcing an annexation of Iceland.
🔮 The judge said the remedies she laid out would be 'sufficient to effectively pry open to competition the ad tech markets that were injured by Google’s unlawful conduct,' and would 'prevent Google from reverting to anticompetitive conduct in these markets.'
Also by Nick Allen
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 10 articles by Nick Allen →
Jon Michael Raasch
50 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The blue-collar coalition that powered him to the White House in 2016, and stuck with him through 2020 and 2024, may finally be breaking.
🔮 She continued: 'Well, maybe I should be upset he didn't talk about my asset.'
🔮 With nearly all reputable experts forecasting that the House will be captured by the Democrats, the focus is on control of the Senate, which will be decided by a handful states.
🔮 Cox's comments, with a week to go until the midterms, will sink like a stone in the Jackson camp.
🔮 Take Daily Mail's quiz and find out The largest political donor in US history, Elon Musk, is warning that Democratic victories in the midterms could seal a 'permanent one-party state' and the end of democracy in America.
🔮 Democrats Mary Peltola, James Talarico and Troy Jackson all hold leads over their Republican opponents in the latest surveys, though many are within the margin of error, meaning the races could go either way.
🔮 After the trick-or-treating line concludes, he will hold two more tele-rallies.
🔮 Telle was seen as a known entity who would keep his head down and not rattle the cage upon his interim appointment.
🔮 'The Department of Agriculture will be launching a new harvest fuel relief program, providing our farmers with $8 billion in support to offset diesel costs during this harvest season,' the president shared.
🔮 - Sign up HERE to our DC Insider newsletter - your guide to what's rocking Washington, rattling the White House and setting tongues wagging on the Hill Donald Trump promised that he would never let America turn into a scene of riots amid mass demonstrations in France during his Monday night rally in Kansas.
Also by Jon Michael Raasch
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 50 articles by Jon Michael Raasch →
Elina Shirazi
42 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The blue-collar coalition that powered him to the White House in 2016, and stuck with him through 2020 and 2024, may finally be breaking.
🔮 With nearly all reputable experts forecasting that the House will be captured by the Democrats, the focus is on control of the Senate, which will be decided by a handful states.
🔮 Court documents reveal he said he would be 'happy' when her face is 'canoed by an assault rifle.'
🔮 - Sign up HERE to our DC Insider newsletter for your guide on all the latest from the midterms campaign trail and what's rattling the White House A dramatic surge in military tension has taken center stage as President Trump ordered a third US aircraft carrier to the Middle East – all while making cryptic claims that the standoff will soon reach its conclusion.
🔮 President Trump loves his supporters, and in addition to nearly 20 tele-rallies, he will hold back-to-back rallies in Kansas and Iowa on Sunday,' the White House said in a statement.
🔮 Only a stupid person would run the country like that,' Trump said.
🔮 - Sign up HERE to our DC Insider newsletter for your guide on all the latest from the midterms campaign trail and what's rattling the White House Ted Cruz delivered a stark warning to voters, claiming that 'there is a very real risk that Americans will die' if Democratic candidate Abdul El–Sayed is elected to the US Senate next week.
🔮 The two chatted aboard Air Force One en route to President Donald Trump's rally in Michigan, where Minaj is expected to speak on stage later in the day.
🔮 Backstage, the Vice President of the United States was watching – and couldn't take it anymore.
🔮 Trump pitched the proposed moniker as an economic and cultural boost, claiming 'home values and incomes would rise' alongside local patriotism. He also connected the pitch to his broader commentary on voting integrity, adding, 'Maybe even the Crooked Elections, that New Mexico is known for, would become honest again!'
Also by Elina Shirazi
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 42 articles by Elina Shirazi →
Phillip Nieto
31 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The blue-collar coalition that powered him to the White House in 2016, and stuck with him through 2020 and 2024, may finally be breaking.
🔮 With nearly all reputable experts forecasting that the House will be captured by the Democrats, the focus is on control of the Senate, which will be decided by a handful states.
🔮 Governor Mike Dunleavy said on Wednesday night that investigators would examine whether the campaign should face criminal charges or civil penalties.
🔮 The GOP holds only a narrow edge in each chamber, and forecasters have Democrats favored to take the House.
🔮 Trump, who has promised not to attack before the midterms, has not given the final order but is leaning toward a massive post-election strike that could hit Iranian infrastructure and nuclear sites.
🔮 Some US planners are convinced a three-day pounding could tip Iran’s battered economy over the edge and force Tehran to cave on its nuclear program after nearly eight months of war.
🔮 ‘Lindsey would be appalled,’ Senator John Cornyn fumed on Saturday, invoking the late Lindsey Graham, whose name sits on the sanctions act the president has now sidelined.
🔮 ‘What aren’t we doing that we could be doing to obtain the previous Trump administration’s gas prices?’ he asked.
🔮 I looked at his jawline,’ Trump continued, before marveling that Husted’s jaw was so strong it would be ‘very unfortunate’ to pick a bar fight with him.
🔮 Soon after that meeting, White House communications director Steven Cheung made it official, stating that Zacharia will be 'transitioning into a new role that will be announced at a later date.' Cheung, it was noted, had just days ago loudly insisted that 'up and down the White House, everyone has been thoroughly impressed with Katie in just a few short days on the job.'
Also by Phillip Nieto
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 31 articles by Phillip Nieto →
Nikki Schwab
14 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Take Daily Mail's quiz and find out President Donald Trump finished his sprint to the midterm elections Sunday night with final rallies in Iowa and Kansas, as a doomsday poll showed Republican candidates behind in all seven key Senate races. Trump hoped that headlining 30 rallies - and pumping up his MAGA base - would prevent a blue tsunami, where the GOP majorities in the House and Senate are wiped out.
🔮 The blue-collar coalition that powered him to the White House in 2016, and stuck with him through 2020 and 2024, may finally be breaking.
🔮 With nearly all reputable experts forecasting that the House will be captured by the Democrats, the focus is on control of the Senate, which will be decided by a handful states.
🔮 Trump was expected to head to Salina, Kansas, on Saturday to boost Republican Senator Roger Marshall, who's in a surprisingly tight reelection race, but strangely abandoned the adoring crowds and scheduled tele-rallies from Mar-a-Lago instead.
🔮 'It says something to the effect that: "Under no circumstances, and for any reason, will you even consider thinking about running for President if you had,"' Trump said before changing tack.
🔮 He suggested the media would have been all over the story had his mother bad-mouthed the President.
🔮 As for Melania Trump, according to observers, she didn't really give Kimberly the time of day when she was with Don Jr, so why would she now?
🔮 White House press secretary Katie Zacharia held a 14-minute press briefing on Tuesday, which was widely panned for its length and substance Over on CNN, pundit Ana Navarro had joked Tuesday night after Zacharia's first briefing that Jennings 'might get another shot at the apple.
🔮 The new press secretary told Real America's Voice's Jack Posobiec Thursday that her briefing materials weren't fully baked until 8 am Tuesday morning - and she was set to meet the press at 9:30 am.
🔮 A poll released late Thursday indicated that Musk's dollars might already be turning the ship around.
Also by Nikki Schwab
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 14 articles by Nikki Schwab →

Topics

Democratic Democrats Macomb County Senate the Daily Mail

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 10× Macomb County GPE · 6× Abdul El-Sayed PERSON · 4× Democratic NORP · 4× Epstein PERSON · 4× Senate ORG · 4× Democrats NORP · 3× El-Sayed PERSON · 3× Republican NORP · 3× the Daily Mail ORG · 3×

Narrative

Macomb County, Michigan, is where the 'Reagan Democrats' phenomenon was born Voters in Michigan tell the Daily Mail that they're voting for Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed Former President Barack Obama rallied on behalf of Abdul El-Sayed in Detroit last weekend President Trump speaks at a campaign rally this week in the lead-up to the elections In Sedgwick County, a key electoral area of Kansas, a deep red state where the Senate race is now a toss-up, the biggest issue for white working class men was affordability.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-02
🔮 The blue-collar coalition that powered him to the White House in 2016, and stuck with him through 2020 and 2024, may finally be breaking.

Claims (59 extracted, 8 hedged)

Take Daily Mail's quiz and find out Colton Weaver, a 37-year-old mechanic from Beaumont, Texas, is exactly the kind of voter who made Donald Trump president. On Tuesday, he is voting for a Democrat. asserted
he → take → Democrat
‘I think it’s time for some changes from what we have now, and I think we need to hurry up and get them done,’ he told the Daily Mail. asserted
he → think → Mail
Exit polls show Trump won about two-thirds of white voters without a college degree in each of his three runs. asserted
Trump → show → runs
Now, a New York Times poll finds fewer than half of them approve of the job he’s doing. asserted
he → find → job
The blue-collar coalition that powered him to the White House in 2016, and stuck with him through 2020 and 2024, may finally be breaking. uncertain
that → power → 2020
And there is fury, too, including among those on the MAGA right, over the Trump administration's handling of the Epstein files, encapsulated by the podcaster Joe Rogan who called it 'a line in the sand' and accused the administration of 'trying to gaslight' the electorate. asserted
who → be → electorate
President Trump's support among white working class voters has fallen and could impact the midterms Dwight Phillips, a working class voter in Macomb County, said he was voting for Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed Jeff Borja, a retired history teacher also in Macomb County, voted for Trump in 2016 but is now throwing his support behind El-Sayed Democrats believe the Epstein issue is resonating with working-class voters and in Kansas launched ads accusing Republican senator Roger Marshall of 'protecting pedophiles' with his votes in Congress, and being a member of the 'Epstein class.' uncertain
issue → fall → class
In Florida, they spent big running a 30-second ad during Game 3 of the World Series, featuring an Epstein survivor accusing Republican Senator Ashley Moody of 'voting to protect the man who abused me.' asserted
who → spend → me
One vital of Trump's remaining clout amid the white working class will be in Michigan's Macomb County. asserted
vital → remain → County
It was there that the 'Reagan Democrats' phenomenon was born – white working class voters who abandoned the traditional support they had shown for Democratic candidates since the 1930s and Franklin Roosevelt's New Deal. asserted
they → bear → 1930s
Dwight Phillips, a working class voter in Macomb County, said he was voting for Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed. asserted
he → say → Sayed
'People are tired of the same old story,' he told the Daily Mail. asserted
he → tell → Mail
People hate Trump, not just disliking, hating, and they want to see new ideas like Medicare for all. asserted
they → hate → all
Jeff Borja, a retired history teacher also in Macomb County, voted for Trump in 2016 but is now throwing his support behind El-Sayed. asserted
Borja → vote → Sayed
'I didn't like what he did in his first term,' Borja, 59, said of Trump, pointing specifically to the lack of a peaceful transfer of power in 2020. asserted
Borja → like → 2020
Now, Borja is strictly voting on policy. asserted
Borja → vote → policy
He views El-Sayed as the candidate focused on domestic economic relief and sharply criticizes Republican economic proposals. asserted
He → view → proposals
'The only people that suffer from tariffs are the citizens of this country,' Borja noted. asserted
Borja → suffer → country
Macomb County, Michigan, is where the 'Reagan Democrats' phenomenon was born Voters in Michigan tell the Daily Mail that they're voting for Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed Former President Barack Obama rallied on behalf of Abdul El-Sayed in Detroit last weekend President Trump speaks at a campaign rally this week in the lead-up to the elections In Sedgwick County, a key electoral area of Kansas, a deep red state where the Senate race is now a toss-up, the biggest issue for white working class men was affordability. asserted
issue → bear → men
It came up again and again. asserted
It → come → ?
Damien Gilbert, a 32-year-old union carpenter said his friends can no longer afford their lives. asserted
friends → say → lives
'Everything is just getting more expensive, especially with this ridiculous war of choice. asserted
Everything → get → choice
Now we can't afford gas. asserted
we → afford → gas
Food keeps getting more expensive.' asserted
Food → get → ?
It's a sentiment replicated across the Midwest. asserted
It → replicate → Midwest
'I'm a fast food worker, and I haven't seen a raise in a year and a half,' said Cody, a 32-year-old looking for work in Dayton, Ohio. asserted
Cody → see → Dayton
It's like there's no real chance. asserted
It → be → ?
Yeah, it's hard for people to make it like an honest living. asserted
people → make → living
' 'I'm a fast food worker, and I haven't seen a raise in a year and a half,' said Cody, a 32-year-old looking for work in Ohio Tariffs are a big part of the frustration. asserted
Tariffs → see → frustration
Trump initially surfed a wave of anger in the industrial heartlands about the loss of manufacturing in the aftermath of NAFTA, President Bill Clinton's North American Free Trade Agreement. asserted
Trump → surf → NAFTA
In his second term, blue collar workers backed Trump believing tariffs would bring jobs back. asserted
tariffs → back → jobs
But that faith has collapsed, with support plummeting 25 percentage points among blue-collar workers, according to the State of the American Worker Survey compiled by Echelon Insights. uncertain
support → collapse → Insights
Now, just 36 percent back Trump on tariffs, while 58 percent are against them. asserted
percent → back → them
More than two-thirds of blue-collar workers believe tariffs have increased the cost of living for them, according to the survey. uncertain
tariffs → believe → survey
'What everyone around me says is, we love Trump,' said John Foret, 35, an electrician in Jefferson County, Texas, who's spent eight years in the oil and gas industry. asserted
who → say → industry
Foret says former President Joe Biden 'just didn't care' about blue collar workers, and that sentiment will prevent some from crossing into the Democratic column. asserted
sentiment → say → column
'I did the math, I don't know the exact numbers (but) it seems like I have more money in my pocket, or they're working toward me having more money in my pocket,' Foret claimed. asserted
Foret → do → pocket
Josh and Stephanie spoke with the Daily Mail ahead of Election Day on Tuesday Daily Mail spoke to voters during a Halloween block party in Dayton's Oregon District, many who are unhappy with the current cost of living 'Trump, in my eyes, seems to support the blue-collar worker and the men and women in this world who go out and make a living with their hands,' he added. asserted
he → speak → hands
This belief has pushed him into the column for Ken Paxton, the scandal-plagued Senate candidate in Texas who is depending on the Trump coalition to drag him over the finish line against Democrat James Talarico. asserted
who → push → Talarico
At his final rally in Texas last week, before a largely male crowd Trump pitched 'free oil' from Venezuela promising it would come at zero cost. asserted
it → pitch → cost
…and 19 more, not listed.
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