The Aporia
214 articles about 187 events for “Democrats Lead in Midterm Polls” in Politics.
“Democrats Mary Peltola, James Talarico and Troy Jackson all hold leads over their Republican opponents in the latest surveys, though many are within the margin of error, meaning the races could go either way.”
“Yair Golan, the leader of the centre-left Democrats, a junior partner in the Jewish Israeli opposition bloc, told Israeli media on Thursday that he was meeting Eisenkot and others for initial talks.”
“Even as Israels political climate is expected to remain unsettled for some time, Trump may have to contend with what opinion polls project could be the Democrats’ takeover of one or both chambers of Congress in the midterms.”
“Even as Israel’s political climate is expected to remain unsettled for some time, Trump may have to contend with what opinion polls project could be the Democrats' takeover of one or both chambers of Congress in the midterms.”
“With three days to go before the US midterm elections, Democrats are leading national polls as millions of Americans cast their ballots early.”
“US midterm early voting hits record 48 million AI generated WASHINGTON - A record 47.9 million Americans have already voted in next week’s US midterm elections, with participation surging in key battleground states and registered Democrats outpacing…”
“Democrats are outpacing Republicans in early ballots Registered Democrats so far represent a larger share of early voters in the midterms than Republicans, having cast roughly 45% of early ballots compared to 31% cast by GOP voters, according to the…”
“Barack Obama, speaking at a Wednesday campaign rally in suburban Atlanta, offered a closing argument for Democrats in the final week of the midterm election campaign.”
“Polls for Ohio give Democrats a slight lead in both those races, but the results are expected to be close.”
“Polls for Ohio give Democrats a slight lead in both those races, but the results are expected to be close.”
“Democrats have also shown strength in competitive state races, including in Texas, where Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico holds a narrow lead in polls over Republican candidate Ken Paxton.”
“The vast majority of generic ballot polls—surveys that ask respondents which party they would back in the midterms or which party they would like to hold the majority in Congress after Election Day—show that Democrats are outpacing Republicans.”
“Trump’s Republican Party is fighting to keep control of Congress in the November 3 midterm elections.”
“Factoring in their responses, the national race appeared somewhat tighter, with Democrats leading by 9 percentage points, 50% to 41%.”
“Explainer-How US news organizations will make midterm race calls Nov 1 - On Tuesday night, newsrooms across the US will call winners in one of the country's most closely contested midterm election cycles in recent years, long before all the votes are counted.”
“National polling reflects that complication: although Democrats lead in preferences for Congress, many Americans still view the party unfavorably.[1][3]”
“Celinda Lake, a Democratic strategist and pollster working with El-Sayed’s campaign in Michigan, said Democrats were also facing questions about what they would deliver if they controlled Congress.”
“On Tuesday, voters across the United States will head to the polls to cast a ballot in the 2026 midterm elections.”
“Trump goes into the elections with the lowest approval rating of any president before the midterms since Harry Truman’s Democrats were crushed 80 years ago.”
“Polls suggest Jackson is in the lead by a few points.”
“The blowout threatened to upend El-Sayed’s effort to unify Democrats in the final days of his campaign, where he has maintained a narrow lead over Rogers in public polls.”
“Polls have consistently shown Ossoff leading, and Democrats narrowly lead Republicans in outside spending, $19m to $17.9m.”
“But in next week’s midterm elections, he won’t be voting for candidates backed by the Republican president.”
“In today’s edition, we have the latest midterm campaign trail updates from our reporters in the field.”
“As voters across the United States head to the polls for the midterm elections – widely seen as a referendum on President Donald Trump’s second term in office – the state of California is set to play an important role.”
“President Trump, who campaigned in the state multiple times in the lead-up to the midterm election, has made clear where he stands.”
“Abbott led Hinojosa by 5 percentage points in that Fox poll, and most polls in the race show the governor with a slim lead.”
“A source close to the Trump administration told Al Jazeera on Friday that Trump will be headlining, in person, the previously cancelled rallies in Kansas and Iowa ahead of Tuesday’s midterm elections.”
“With Democrats being significantly more likely to view climate action as a priority, many in the climate movement are hopeful that if the Democrats take back some leadership in Congress, as it could prove essential in helping to prevent further rollbacks.”
“In the race for governor, Democrats have nominated a former Republican to lead them out of the electoral doldrums.”
“WASHINGTON (AP) — The 2026 midterm election is one of the biggest tests of Republican dominance in Texas — and Democrats’ best shot in decades at winning a key U.S.”
“WASHINGTON (AP) — Voters in North Carolina will cast their ballots for a new U.S. senator in one of the nation’s most highly scrutinized midterm contests, a race that may lay bare whether an association with President Donald Trump represents a boon or a…”
“…ightest recovery for Republicans on the generic ballot — but I’d argue that state and district polls have, if anything, been getting better for Democrats, like in a set of CNN polls yesterday morning that had them winning Kansas by 4 points and Texas by 6…”
“The RealClearPolitics polling averages showed Democrats leading in six of eight toss-up Senate races as of Thursday night.”
“Pope Leo XIV has registered to vote in next week’s midterms and will become the first pontiff ever to cast a ballot in an American election if he submits his ballot, according to a report.”
“If Democrats do well, they could gain leverage to oppose Trump’s anti-climate agendaA worker installs solar panels on the roof of a home in Kensington, Maryland, on 3 July 2025.”
“History suggests that Democrats will gain seats, as the party in power usually cedes representation in the midterms.”
“The Intercept tracked how super PAC spending is flowing into the midterms and how growing public skepticism of special-interest money in politics is affecting campaign strategies.”
“However, when millions of Americans go to the polls in the US midterms on Tuesday, November 3, the billionaire president may finally find himself reigned in.”
“The numbers broadly align with polls showing Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido leading Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz and Democratic incumbent Vicente Gonzalez leading Republican challenger Eric Flores in two Rio Grande Valley congressional districts.”
“With four days to go before the United States midterm elections, Democrats are leading in national polls as both parties make their final push for votes.”
“In 2026, the Grand Old Party and its Speaker of the House, Mike Johnson, are offering the “Contrast for America,” summarized simply (and in all-caps) as “THE 2026 MIDTERMS ARE A CONTRAST FOR AMERICA BETWEEN COMMON SENSE AND CRAZY.””
“When the incumbent president got his own shellacking in his 2018 midterms – with Democrats picking up 41 seats to win control of the House but Republicans keeping the Senate – Trump tweeted: “Tremendous success tonight.””
“Democrats hold leads in each of these states and Trump is saddled by double-digit disapprovals, even among Republicans.”
“But polling throughout the midterm cycle has consistently shown voters favoring Democrats, and the gap has widened in recent months.”
“Among the many names of candidates running in next week’s midterm elections and tribal elections later in November, there’s one that is poised to make history.”
“In other words, if Democrats have such a wide lead in the House, won’t the Senate fall too?”
“Volodymyr Zelensky has said the forthcoming US midterm elections could impact the future of Ukraine, as Donald Trump’s Republican Party faces gloomy polls.”
“Going into the midterm election, Ricketts has a slight lead in the polls.”
“The same poll found 43 per cent of registered voters planned to vote for the Democrats in these midterms, and 35 per cent for the Republicans – the biggest lead for the Democrats this year.”
“Yet polls suggest the race remains extremely tight — Talarico possibly has a small lead in a state that hasn't had a Democratic senator in more than 30 years.”
“With five days to go before the United States midterms, Democrats are ahead in national polls, but several Senate races remain close.”
“The United States midterm elections appear stacked against the ruling Republicans, with polls suggesting the Democrats average an eight-point lead in the House of Representatives and the Senate.”
“Democrats also lead in polls in more than enough Senate races to be able to take control of that chamber as well (although many of those leads are within the margin of error).”
“Nearly 300,000 New Yorkers cast ballots in the first four days of early voting – a nearly 72% increase since the last midterm election, according to city Board of Elections data.”
“Log in Donald Trump’s favorite pollster, Harry Enten from CNN, has predicted that Democrats will win big in next Tuesday’s midterm elections and have a substantial majority in the House of Representatives.”
“Basically, Democrats need to pick up four seats to get control of it; seven races are considered toss-ups by Cook Political Report as of right now, just a few days before Election Day, but Democrats have leads (within the margin of error) in all of them,…”
“But in a midterm election, the more important question may be whether they care enough to show up.”
“- Published Democrats in the US Congress are already planning how they would use their power if they win a majority in the House or Senate in next week's midterm elections.”
“With six days to go before the November 3 midterm elections in the United States, Democrats are leading Republicans in national polls, but several key Senate races seem too close to call.”
“A victory for Bolsonaro would help to spread the idea of Trump’s control over the Western Hemisphere as he helped to install right-wing leaders across Latin America.”
“In the lead-up to the midterm, the US wrapped up its primary elections, in which several career politicians across the country were ousted from their offices by insurgent newcomers whose campaigns prioritised economic equality and expanded healthcare and…”
“Talarico's persistent lead in the polls and on the prediction markets (which, in late October, put the chances of him winning at nearly 70 percent) suggest that these attacks are not working.”
“Democrats still poised to make gains, but poll shows warning signs for just how many 📲 Get the latest on the midterms & more in the NPR App Democrats retain significant midterm electoral advantages, with key data pointing to them being the favorites to win…”
“In the lead-up to the midterms, Trump has tried to assert more control over the elections, calling on Republicans to “nationalize” voting and pushing for restrictions on mail-in ballots.”
“Rogers' reluctance to explicitly embrace the MAGA label raises questions about how he is positioning himself in a state that Trump won in 2024, but where Democrats will be fighting hard to retain their Senate foothold.”
“Because Republicans have historically been less likely than Democrats to vote by mail, some states could initially appear to favour Republican candidates before later-counted ballots narrow or reverse their leads.”
“Their documentation could potentially lead to recounts in close races or even lawsuits.”
“The RealClearPolitics average of national generic polls showed Democrats leading Republicans by 8.2 points in early October.”
“Other polls have seen Peltola take a slight lead, sparking fears among Republicans that the once ruby-red state might turn blue in November.”
“OTTAWA - American Democrats living in Canada are prepared to shout their political choices from the rooftops ahead of next month’s midterm elections — while some of those who back Republican candidates seem leery of speaking out fearing a backlash from their…”
“In a non-cowardly era, the slur would be denounced by Republicans as well as Democrats.”
“Earlier this year, Trump chose Paxton to run against Talarico, a political newcomer who Democrats hope will flip Texas’s longtime red senate seat to blue in the midterm elections next month.”
“With Democrats dominating the midterm polling all year and leading across nearly every competitive Senate race, the GOP went all in on the spectacle, hoping a polling bounce would shock its campaign back to life.”
“…oesn't need congressional approval for the “Trump dividend” checks he announced during last week's Republican Midterm Convention in Dallas, which took place as polls show Democrats with an average 6.6 percent lead in the so-called generic congressional…”
“…oesn't need congressional approval for the “Trump dividend” checks he announced during last week's Republican Midterm Convention in Dallas, which took place as polls show Democrats with an average 6.6 percent lead in the so-called generic congressional…”
“Democrats, meanwhile, have a seven-point lead in polling on a generic ballot.”
“Polls show former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper with a commanding lead over Republican Michael Whatley, a former senior party official, in a Senate race that could help decide the balance of power in Washington.”
“Polls show former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper with a commanding lead over Republican Michael Whatley, a former senior party official, in a Senate race that could help decide the balance of power in Washington.”
“Trump's visit comes as part of a multi-state campaign blitz he's launched in the final stretch of the midterms, which includes stops in South Carolina, Iowa, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, and Texas.”
“Trump continues to bleed support, and surveys show Democrats are more motivated to turn out than Republicans, as is usually the case in midterm elections with the minority party.”
“With Democrats favored to take back the House and potentially the Senate in the midterms, Trump fired up the crowd at Butler High School in Vandalia, near Dayton, with a promise for a Republican victory.”
“VANDALIA, Ohio (AP) — After a few days of campaigning in safe conservative territory, President Donald Trump on Saturday is taking his midterm tour into Ohio, a battleground state that’s home to one of the top-tier Senate races this cycle.”
“Polls show Vance comfortably in the lead of a 2028 Republican primary.”
“The GOP is in final preparations for the Republican Midterm Convention in Dallas to bolster support among its base.”
“So, you can’t really trust anything going on in the polls before then.”
“…The Democratic party's left wing has shown growing momentum in the run up to the November elections, scoring victories from New York to Michigan as voters clamor for a new generation of leaders they consider better equipped to counter President Trump's MAGA…”
“But some pundits have underscored that Democrats are expected to surf the blue wave this election cycle and warned against reading too much into the results on Nov. 3.”
“The data is the latest in a series of polls showing Democrats have large advantage over Republicans heading into the midterm elections.”
“And while Democrats have a midterm lead, Republicans are pulling more Latino support than in any NBC News poll before the 2024 election cycle, too, dating back to 2012.”
“Log in New polling ahead of the November midterms show Democrats with a significant lead in House and Senate races.”
“Democrats are heading into the final stretch of the 2026 midterms with their largest lead yet in the race for Congress and President Donald Trump’s approval rating at a significant low, according to NBC News’ newly released polling averages.”
“"After the Willie Horton ad dropped, Bush established a lead in the polls and never looked back,"”
“Democrats ahead in polls A Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted in the past week found Trump’s approval rating at 35 per cent, up from a record-low 33 per cent in the previous poll.”
“Here in Iowa, seven public polls in the last month are split between three that have Republican Ashley Hinson ahead, three that have Democrat Josh Turek leading.”
“Reuters/Ipsos poll results released on Sept 14 showed Democrats lead Republicans 44 per cent to 37 per cent in congressional vote preference.”
“- Published The US Supreme Court has rejected President Donald Trump's plan to restrict voting by mail before November's midterm elections, in a setback for the White House.”
“Trump may try to interfere in the midterms through actions like sending ICE to the polls, seizing ballots, or declaring a fake national emergency.”
“Republicans, including in the state of Texas, could be secretly voting Democrat in midterm elections (Pictured: US President Donald Trump after he casts his ballot in the 2026 midterm elections) Racial minorities, worshipped by white Democrats, seemed to like…”
“Midterm elections are almost always a referendum on the party in power in Washington, and Democrats hope to capitalize on deep voter dissatisfaction with the president’s job performance and what they’ve framed as a crisis of affordability that Republicans…”
“With midterm elections approaching on November 3, polls show widespread dissatisfaction with the war, particularly over rising fuel prices and the risk to American troops.”
“But as the country's midterm elections approach, Mr Musk is making another foray into politicking.”
“As Republicans struggle to convince voters across the country ahead of November’s midterm elections, Trump’s allies in the conservative media have followed suit, seemingly hoping that the scenes in France can scare people to the polls.”
“He added that the November vote was “the Most Important Midterm Elections in our Country’s History”.”
“That represents a 12-point advantage for the Democrats, the widest ever in the current cycle, and is up from the seven-point lead two weeks ago.”
“Democrats also held a nine-point lead over Republicans ahead of the midterms.”
“Log in Democrats must secure at least four additional seats in November's midterm elections to capture control of the 100-seat US Senate, where Republicans currently maintain a 53-47 majority.”
“With an 8-point lead on the generic congressional ballot — among their highest of the cycle — Democrats could well be on the cusp of a major wave election.”
“The News FREDERICKSBURG, Va. — In a matter of weeks, when the midterm results are tallied and the next campaign begins, Democrats with presidential dreams know the question will be coming.”
“The Michigan senator told students at the University of Chicago last week how she plans to use the power that will come to Democrats if they win Senate control in the midterms next month.”
“The midterms are just two weeks away and President Trump is using his power to intimidate the people who run our elections, putting the voting system under remarkable stress.”
“Hochul has the advantage against Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, with polls showing her holding a comfortable lead in the reliably blue Empire State.”
“Barely two weeks before America’s crucial midterm elections, Black voters could very well emerge as the unanticipated kingmakers in key state races nationwide.”
“Democrats lead Republicans in House vote choice as Trump's approval rating hits record low: ABC/Post/Ipsos poll Half or more Americans call every household purchase measured "unaffordable."”
“Kathy Hochul on Saturday because of a scheduling clash — as other down-ballot New York Democrats distance themselves from the unpopular Empire State leader.”
“Democrats love it – Trump’s approval ratings are at record lows, so they are happy for Republicans to turn the midterms into a referendum on him.”
“Last week JD Vance was in the state to warn that Democrats would 'do whatever they need to do, right up to cheating,' to win the midterms.”
“Much has been made of the impending Blue Wave that’s sure to deliver Democrats control of the House, could make Chuck Schumer the Senate’s new majority leader and will in all likelihood render Donald Trump impotent in the final two years of his presidency.”
“Polls are a snapshot, and other helpful things to remember during the midterm elections This is about the time of year when the country engages in the Great American Biennial Polling Freakout.”
“He did , for refusing to testify about his role in the events leading up to the (including telling podcast listeners on Jan. 5, 2021, "All hell is going to break loose tomorrow").He set up an influential podcast, "War Room": Two hours in the morning, two…”
“All 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in the Senate are up for election in the midterms.”
“Voters are telling pollsters they see more corruption these days, and when that collides with a sour economy, apathy can curdle into anger.”
“The Democrats just handed the GOP a loaded weapon heading into November, and some Republicans still have not pulled the trigger.”
“Most polls show the Democratic incumbent holding a commanding lead with less than a month to go until Election Day.”
“Democrats in tight Midwest US races split on trans rights strategy Oct 8 - After being caught flat-footed on transgender issues in the last US election, Democrats in tight midterm races are pursuing different strategies, with some adopting more conservative…”
“Here's the data that has Trump's Republicans spooked Traditionally 'red' states are suddenly in play as president's popularity craters, various polls show The upcoming midterm elections are a crucial test for U.S.”
“In a surprise twist at a time when many Democratic Senate candidates are distancing themselves rhetorically from Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., Hinson said she could team up with him if Democrats win the majority and she wins the Iowa Senate seat.”
“Midterms are in large part a referendum on the incumbent, and Trump’s war on Iran and its impact on the cost of living have boosted support for Democrats.”
“…ton, the Texas attorney general running as the Republican candidate in a competitive Senate race, admitted privately that rising fuel prices as a result of Donald Trump’s Iran war were hurting his party before the midterms in the latest leaked audio…”
“Georgia has been at the center of Trump’s election fraud claims, and the president said he plans to send 1,000 election monitors from the Department of Justice to the polls in the midterm elections.”
“Trump has been confident Republicans will triumph in the midterms, the polls remain against them.”
“On an individual level, Democrats have wide leads in swing states like Georgia and North Carolina.”
“Democrats' advantage is clear with less than a month to go in the midterm elections President Trump was elected in 2024, in large measure, with a mandate to bring down prices.”
“Democrats are almost giddy a month before the Nov. 3 elections as polls and prediction markets capture them being on the precipice of controlling Congress, but some are warning the party to pump the brakes, as a premature victory lap could depress turnout in…”
“The 11-point lead is the largest quarterly margin Democrats have recorded since the first quarter of 2009, poll aggregator Interactive Polls wrote on X Monday.”
“In a post on Truth Social on Sunday, he complained that polls “have ALWAYS underestimated MAGA” and pointed to his approval rating in the Trumpworld pollster McLaughlin & Associates as evidence that Republicans could still pull off a midterm win.”
“…line: 'you go to hell.' President Donald Trump participates in a midterm election rally in Oklahoma on October 1 Last month, the US House of Representatives tabled a resolution to impeach Trump, sponsored by outgoing Texas representative Al Green Democrats…”
“In 2024, 55% of Texas Latinos supported Trump, according to exit polls, but recent surveys show statewide Democrats garnering at least 55% of the Latino vote.”
“Generic congressional polls show Democrats holding a lead approaching double digits, raising the spectre of a “blue wave” that could sweep away Republican majorities in the House of Representatives and Senate.”
“How Pulido fares in the November midterm elections could have ripple effects for fellow Democrat James Talarico’s currently neck-and-neck fight for a US Senate seat against the state’s scandal-ridden Republican attorney general Ken Paxton.”
“The nation’s two largest states by land area gave Democrats a boost in the battle for Senate control Saturday, with candidates in Texas and Alaska hitting 50% or more in new polls.”
“With 2026’s midterm elections fast approaching, both Republicans and Democrats in battleground states like Florida, Michigan, and Pennsylvania are wooing voters by promising to place guardrails on unregulated surveillance technologies.”
“The president didn’t stop there, warning that if Democrats take the majority in Congress, they will raise taxes and lead to another Great Depression.”
“Recent polling shows Democrats making gains in several states President Donald Trump carried comfortably in 2024, tightening the party’s path to potentially reclaiming the Senate as the midterm elections approach.”
“In this week’s conversation, Yascha Mounk and Galen Druke discuss whether Democrats are headed for a blue wave in the 2026 midterms, why the Senate map remains an uphill climb even in a favorable national environment, and what the persistent unpopularity of…”
“On an afternoon in late January, Mitch Sylvestre, the leader of Alberta’s most prominent separatist organization, gathered with three of his lieutenants in a boardroom not far from the executive hangars at the Calgary International Airport, where private jets…”
“A major Republican political action committee pulled the plug on financial support for its Senate candidate in North Carolina, Michael Whatley, according to multiple reports, as the party begins to triage resources amid increasingly dire midterm polling.”
“Is President Donald Trump’s ramped-up travel schedule a sign the White House is in damage limitation mode with a month to go until the midterm elections?”
“The program, called VoteSafe, includes recruiting trusted community leaders to help address voter hesitation associated with fears around armed agents at the polls, said Mary Corcoran, executive director of the Save America Movement and a leader in the effort.”
“… Trump still try to curb who can vote? 5 weeks from now, Americans will cast midterm ballots Five weeks from now, Americans will cast their ballots in the midterm elections to decide who controls Congress, and right now, Democrats have reason to be…”
“Democrats are also competitive in Ohio, Alaska, Iowa, Texas, Florida, Nebraska, Mississippi, South Carolina and Kentucky with less than five weeks to go until Election Day.”
“We think it’s an important story, providing historical context on midterm elections that helps to explain FLIPR’s increasingly optimistic forecast for Democrats.”
“Looking ahead to the midterms, Trump dismisses unfavorable polls as fake and insists Republicans can prevail.”
“Democrats lead in nationwide polling, but key races remain up for grabs: “The battle for the Senate is on a knife’s edge,””
“A plethora of polling, including polls from AFP, has consistently pegged affordability as voters’ top concern heading into the midterm election cycles, which many experts have viewed as a warning sign for the party in power.”
“…n of dissatisfaction with the economy, gas prices and the immigration crackdown could lead to a Democratic wave in the November midterm election, particularly in the House of Representatives where Democrats only need to pick up four seats to take the…”
“Statewide polls show Democrats ahead in large states that had voted Republican for president and threatening incumbents in historically Republican states such as Kansas and Nebraska.”
“As for election results, pollsters and trade watchers expect the Democrats to win a majority in the House of Representatives, while the Senate remains a closer call.”
“While it's true that Trump is not up for re-election in the midterms, he did urge the audience watching this month's Republican convention to "pretend that I'm on the ballot," an attempt to boost turnout for GOP candidates in tight House and Senate races.”
“US diesel fuel prices recently hit an all-time high The new policy is the latest maneuver by a Republican official to help provide economic relief to voters ahead of the midterms, which are increasingly looking dismal for the GOP.”
“In the RealClearPolitics average of polls at this moment, Cooper has an 8-point lead over Republican Michael Whatley, a former chairman of the state GOP.”
“A few polls before that showed Marshall in the lead.”
“Iowa is in play as a seat Democrats could flip in the midterm elections, with Republican Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek in November and with polls suggesting a tight race.”
“Log in Welcome to the final sprint of the 2026 midterm elections.”
“The RCP average is 38.7%, which is terrible for a president leading his party into midterm elections.”
“Democrats appear ready to ride a tidal wave into the House, and their voters want vindication for their decadelong Trump monomania.”
“The Texas contest has tightened considerably — with the Republican stalwart’s polls falling from a 7-point lead to just 1.8 point in the RealClearPolitics average.”
“In September, Democrats posted their biggest lead of the cycle, 53% to 42% — and the trend seems to be in Dems’ favor.”
“Republicans have offensive opportunities in Michigan and New Hampshire, battlegrounds currently represented by Democrats, but the midterm landscape is otherwise challenging — more so than Senate Republicans believe it should have been.”
“Covey said, citing the midterm election in which Democrats flipped 40 House seats.”
“Cook Political Report shifted 15 races toward Democrats this week, RealClearPolitics has the Democrats with an 8.7 point lead on the generic congressional ballot, and DecisionDeskHQ gives the Democrats even odds to take both the House and the Senate.”
“Democrats are leading in the polls amid concerns about the rising cost of energy, triggered by the war which the US started.”
“Facing what polls indicate is an enthusiasm gap with Democrats, the president and Republican leaders are hoping to energize the MAGA base, which doesn't always vote when Trump isn't on the ballot.”
“With about a month and a half to go before the 2026 midterm elections, Democrats hold an overall 5-percentage-point lead over Republicans, according to an NBC News poll released on Sunday, after an August survey indicated Democrats held a 6-point lead among…”
“Trump’s own falling approval ratings alongside polls that show Democrats in the lead ahead of November’s midterms have likely emboldened politicians who were reluctant to criticize the president.”
“As Democrats are seeking to flip several seats, polls are showing that races are the most competitive they’ve been in decades.”
“Glad you’re finally following my lead after waffling on the proposals I put forward last week to address the rising costs of the war in Iran.””
“Democrats would win three House seats in the 2018 midterm elections, only for Iowa to have an all-Republican delegation by 2022.”
“They also followed comments she made to The Independent in July after a poll showed her with a narrow lead over other potential Democratic contenders in New Hampshire, which holds the nation's first primary elections.”
“Democrats are currently virtually tied or leading in all four of these races.”
“Polling, however, has consistently shown Cooper, a Democrat who has never lost statewide office, leading Whatley in polling and in fundraising strength.”
“Five key races are unexpectedly close, with some polls giving Democrats a better edge than expected, but the outcomes are still in doubt, as swaths of voters remain undecided.”
“During the unprecedented (for a reason) Republican midterm convention, the GOP frequently invoked communism and socialism, painting Democrats as all in thrall to the far left of the party.”
“Democrats are poised to achieve trifectas—control of the governor’s office and both legislative chambers—in at least three states in this year’s midterm elections, and maybe even more.”
“Democrats’ big lead on the generic ballot is consistent with history It’s not hard to understand why Democrats have made further gains in polls lately.”
“Polls show Democrats leading in the so-called generic congressional race, 50.4 percent to 42.3 percent, according to Real Clear Polling, but the Cook Political Report rates future control of both chambers as a toss-up.”
“Democrats hold a 5-point edge in the battle for control of Congress, 50%-45% — not nearly as large a lead as the 12-point advantage the party enjoyed at this point before the 2018 election, when Democrats rode an anti-Trump wave to the House majority in his…”
“Former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper leads Former RNC Chairman Michael Whatley by double digits in North Carolina's US Senate race In Texas, Democrats are currently besting Republicans in the statewide races for US Senate, governor, and even Texas Railroad…”
“Allen's once-comfortable lead evaporated, and Webb eventually won by just 9,329 votes, giving Democrats the 51st seat they needed to take control of the Senate.”
“He can’t get Congress to pass the SAVE America Act, which would require IDs at the polls, so there seems to be every opportunity for Democrats to have illegal immigrants vote and have mail-in ballots galore.”
“Republicans are reportedly worried the North Carolina seat could be lost as Cooper’s lead in polls and fundraising has not abated despite the frequent attacks on his crime record, with some even suggesting that the GOP stop investing in the Tar Heel State.”
“Don’t look now, but the Democrats’ Senate nominee has a bigger lead in Texas than in Minnesota.”
“With the midterm elections less than two months away, Democrats are training thousands of volunteers on how to respond to any potential incidents of voter intimidation at the polls in November.”
“That is a sharp decline from after the 2024 election, when 77% of Democrats, 82% of Republicans and 73% of independents expressed such confidence, the same pollsters found then.”
“Polls show that Democrats could win a simple majority in the House and perhaps even the Senate in the midterm elections.”
“(Good polls for Democrats in Maine and Michigan yesterday offset some of the recent movement.) I didn’t discuss this on the podcast, but another factor is that the way the model uses expert ratings.”
“… unquote, of retaining the House of Representatives, and his snapshot of competitive Senate seats based on current polling averages has Democrats leading 9 of 11 races, which would mean somewhere in the vicinity of a two-seat Democratic Senate majority…”
“WASHINGTON — As the year’s midterm primaries draw to a close, Tuesday’s results in Florida, Wyoming and Alaska continued to underscore an unpredictable election season marked by unreliable polls, intra-party divides and surprise showings by political…”
““Democrats had a big lead in party identification, which was then a prelude to the 2006 and 2008 elections, which were big victories for Democrats.””
“A US federal judge has extended a block on President Donald Trump’s executive order seeking sweeping restrictions on mail-in voting, marking another legal setback to the administration less than two months before the November midterm elections.”
“When voters went to the polls in the 2022 midterm elections, all the ingredients were there for Joe Biden’s allies to suffer a wipeout.”
“…, you don’t want to be too results-oriented. [But] with the midterm model, 80 percent of the work is in gathering these 68 fucking files that we have, and making sure that the 550-odd races5 that we’re forecasting — governor, House, Senate — making sure all…”
“So now we’re calling our model FLIPR 🐬 instead.1 In line with our tradition of silly backronyms, FLIPR stands for Forecast with Leading Indicators, Polls and (Expert) Ratings.”
“…n the public perception that data centers are responsible for rising utility costs, Democrats have tied the proliferation of those facilities to the party’s overarching midterm theme of affordability, and they’ve blamed Republican incumbents for courting…”
“Even some dyed-in-the-wool MAGA pollsters are starting to sound the red alert.”
“Abdul El-Sayed is leading in the polls, but will his fellow Democrats let him keep that lead, especially the fellow Democrat he beat in the primary?”
“WASHINGTON (AP) — Massachusetts Democrats will decide the latest head-to-head matchup between the party’s moderate and progressive wings in a state primary Tuesday, but this time, top progressives are backing the incumbent against a more moderate challenger.”
“One of the defining questions of the 2026 midterm elections is whether voters will still cross party lines in prominent statewide races or whether polarization has made straight-ticket voting the default.”
“It applies a likely voter adjustment, which in this case benefits Democrats and moves their lead from D +7.5 to D +8.2. -EMD, 9/15/26 This is the landing page for Silver Bulletin’s 2026 generic congressional ballot polling average.”
“The non-partisan Cook Political Report updated its midterm election forecast to rate the US Senate races in both Texas and Iowa, which had leaned in favor of Republicans, as toss ups that could break for Democrats.”
“Primary polls show former public health official Abdul El-Sayed in the lead.”