German and Chinese business leaders met in the German city of Düsseldorf for an economic dialogue last week.
asserted
leaders → meet → dialogue
Although the panel focused on trade and investment between China and Europe, ongoing US-China rivalry was the elephant in the room.
asserted
rivalry → focus → room
As Xi Jinping and Donald Trump sit down in the US capital Washington this week, there is some hope that talks will show progress on alleviating the ongoing trade war launched by the US president.
asserted
talks → sit → president
The last time the two leaders met at a Beijing summit in May did not yield any tangible results.
uncertain
leaders → meet → results
"The assumption in Beijing, and that's the way they're operating, is that China and the US will hold each other in check for the foreseeable future," Mikko Huotari, director of the Berlin-based China think tank MERICS, told a policy briefing last week.
asserted
Huotari → operate → briefing
"Xi really doesn't need a breakthrough in Washington.
asserted
Xi → need → Washington
He needs more time.
asserted
He → need → time
So we have this strategic stalemate situation, which I think is the best description of what we see currently.
asserted
we → have → what
"
A deal could benefit Trump's Republican Party ahead of the important US midterm elections in November, but that outcome remains far from certain.
uncertain
outcome → benefit → November
"We will discuss everything," Trump said about Xi's visit to the White House.
asserted
Trump → discuss → House
Beijing and Washington are competing on multiple levels and nowhere is this rivalry more consequential than with artificial intelligence (AI).
asserted
rivalry → compete → intelligence
The US government prohibits the export of high-performance chips to China.
asserted
government → prohibit → China
Beijing, in turn, restricts the export of rare earth elements, which are indispensable for semiconductor production.
asserted
which → restrict → production
And amid concerns about the dangers of unregulated AI, there is some expectation that Xi and Trump will discuss AI guardrails during their talks.
asserted
Xi → be → talks
Xi has called for international cooperation on AI development, while Trump sees its regulation as a threat to the US' leadership in the field.
asserted
Trump → call → field
After meeting with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in New York on Sunday, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that US and Chinese officials have already discussed creating a "notification mechanism" to share information about AI-related security incidents.
asserted
officials → meet → incidents
From a European perspective, both China and the US are currently considered difficult partners.
asserted
China → consider → perspective
The second "China shock … is already here" in Europe, said European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen in her 2026 State of the Union address last week.
asserted
Leyen → say → address
The first "China shock" came 25 years ago, triggered by China's accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO), when inexpensive "Made in China" products began to flood the global markets.
asserted
products → come → markets
The second one stems from China's technological progress in industries such as battery technology, green energy and mobility.
asserted
one → stem → technology
"It shows in our communities and in factories across our Union.
asserted
It → show → Union
It leads to deindustrialization in the industrial heartlands of Europe.
asserted
It → lead → Europe
This is unsustainable," von der Leyen said in her address.
asserted
Leyen → say → address
The EU is aiming for a rapid transition to e-mobility and wants to drastically reduce CO2 emissions from road traffic.
asserted
EU → aim → traffic
At the same time, Brussels is calling for additional tariffs on low-cost electric cars from China, as China enjoys competitive advantages with cheaper cars and high government subsidies.
asserted
China → call → cars
China denies having an unfair advantage, and German automakers VW and BMW also oppose punitive tariffs due to potential revenue losses resulting from Chinese retaliatory measures.
asserted
VW → deny → measures
A Chinese participant at the Düsseldorf economic dialogue told DW anonymously that China's domestic consumption cannot absorb manufacturing.
asserted
consumption → tell → manufacturing
Companies are worried about their business and urgently need to tap into foreign markets," said the Chinese executive, who used to work in the European branch of a Chinese state-owned enterprise.
asserted
who → worry → enterprise
Trump pressuring EU over China, but also on trade, security
"Against the backdrop of the ongoing escalation of strategic rivalry between the US and China, the US is constantly urging its allies to tighten restrictions on China in the areas of technology, supply chains, and security," said Yang Xiepu, director of the Center for Sino-German Cooperation at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS).
asserted
Xiepu → pressure → Sciences
At the same time, Trump frequently threatens the EU with tariffs while injecting instability into the strategic NATO alliance.
asserted
Trump → threaten → alliance
When the EU offered Canada "associate membership" last week, Trump floated the possibility of new punitive measures from the US.
asserted
Trump → offer → US
While Carney expressed interest, Trump called the idea "ridiculous."
"If I think it's at all a hostile act, I will put very serious tariffs or stop trading with Europe on many things," Trump said, without specifying what he considers about EU-Canada ties to be "hostile."
Copying Canada's 'middle' approach
Facing the Trump administration's tariff upsets and caustic rhetoric, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney is openly hedging his bets on the world stage.
asserted
Carney → express → stage
"We know the old order is not coming back.
asserted
order → know → ?
We shouldn't mourn it," he declared at the 2026 World Economic Forum in Davos in January, with the US allies rattled by Trump threatening to annex Greenland from Denmark.
asserted
Trump → mourn → Denmark
Carney said that great powers can "afford for now to go it alone," but middle powers need to work better together.
asserted
powers → say → it
"When we only negotiate bilaterally with a hegemon, we negotiate from weakness.
asserted
we → negotiate → weakness
We accept what's offered.
asserted
what → accept → ?
We compete with each other to be the most accommodating.
asserted
We → compete → other
This is not sovereignty," Carney told the forum.
asserted
Carney → tell → forum
"If we're not at the table, we're on the menu," he emphasized.
asserted
he → emphasize → menu
…and 12 more, not listed.
The Aporia
