U.S. businesses that rely on Canadian tourism brace for tariff impact

The Globe and Mail · collected 2026-08-28 · by Mike Hager, Jesse Winter
Read the original at The Globe and Mail ↗

Summary

American businesses that rely on Canadian tourism are bracing for a potential decrease in visitors due to the ongoing trade war between the US and Canada. According to Statistics Canada, there was a 5-per-cent year-over-year increase in trips to the US in June, but volumes remain below pre-2017 norms. Mayor Mary Lou Steward of Blaine, Washington, expects a significant drop in Canadian visitors with the new tariffs, citing a 40-per-cent decline in border crossings for shopping and tourism last year. Businesses like Artpark's Dave Wedekindt have already seen a decrease in interest from Canadians, prompting him to give up on advertising shows to his Canadian neighbors for the remainder of the season.
Written by the local model on 2026-08-28, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
30
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
17%
5 of 30 hedged
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject
Publisher trust
21.1
red-flag proxy, not a credibility rating
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-08-28 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

Roger Daltrey, the frontman of The Who, was scheduled to perform in Niagara Falls, New York, but not in Canada. Concert promoter Dave Wedekindt thought that since Daltrey's tour wasn't coming to Canada, people from Southern Ontario might be interested in watching him at the Artpark amphitheatre on the American side of the falls. However, an ad campaign targeting Canadians within a 48-kilometer radius of the venue failed miserably, with users responding politely but firmly saying they weren't interested in traveling to the US. With the recent breakdown in trade negotiations between Canada and the US, Wedekindt has given up on trying to attract Canadian tourists for the remainder of the season, which runs from May to September. American businesses that rely on Canadian tourism are bracing themselves for the impact of a full-on trade war.

Written for “Canada US Trade Tensions” on 2026-08-31, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Score -0.35 Confidence high
Leaning score -0.35 for article 3049 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-08-28

Story

📰 Canada US Trade Tensions
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event. This is the one the site leads with.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 17% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Bulwark
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 17% hedged 1 of 6
“Article A discusses the collapse of trade negotiations between the US and Canada, while Article B describes the impact of tariffs on Canadian tourism, but there is no mention of the same specific incident”
National Post
⚖️ Leans strongly right further right than this 🔴 10% hedged 3 of 31 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article A discusses trade dispute and tariffs, while Article B describes the impact of tariffs on Canadian tourism specifically through an anecdote about a concert promoter”
National Post
⚖️ Leans strongly right further right than this 🔴 6% hedged 2 of 35 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article A discusses Canadian economy and trade relations, while Article B is about U.S. businesses affected by tariff impact on tourism”
National Post
⚖️ Leans strongly right further right than this 🔴 19% hedged 7 of 36 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article A and B report on unrelated news: tariffs removal and Canadian tourism impact, respectively”
US news | The Guardian
⚖️ Leans right further right than this 🔴 14% hedged 8 of 57 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A discusses a concert promoter's failed ad blitz targeting Canadians, while Article B discusses US-Canada trade talks and tensions”
National Post
⚖️ Centre further right than this 🔴 14% hedged 1 of 7 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article A discusses Canada's retaliatory tariffs against the US, while Article B mentions a failed ad blitz targeting Canadians due to the new U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods”
CBC | World News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 100% hedged 2 of 2 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A discusses the potential impact of tariffs on US-Canada trade, while Article B focuses on the effect of tariffs on tourism and Canadian businesses in the US”
CBC | Top Stories News
⚖️ Leans strongly right further right than this 🔴 7% hedged 3 of 42 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A discusses trade issues between Canada and the US related to Canadian content on streaming platforms, while Article B mentions the impact of tariffs on Canadian tourism, specifically concert promotion”
National Post
⚖️ Leans strongly right further right than this 🔴 3% hedged 1 of 39 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article A mentions trade talks falling apart between Canada and US, while Article B is about Canadian tourism being impacted by tariffs”
CBC | Top Stories News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 14% hedged 5 of 35 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A discusses consumers switching to Canadian products due to US tariffs, while Article B describes a failed ad campaign for a concert at a venue in New York, with Canadians responding that they're not interested in traveling to the US”

Publisher

The Globe and Mail · 34 article(s) · 7 correction(s) detected
SignalValueWeight
Correction rate 0.206 0.4
Uncertainty density 0.078 0.25
Assertive mismatch rate 1.000 0.35
Running correction rate · 7 correction(s)
2026-08-31
Ontario plan to stop mandatory inquests for inmate deaths a mistake, advocates say
2026-08-31
Morning Update: Mapping new points of resistance
2026-08-28
Morning Update: Lake Ontario forever
2026-08-27
Morning Update: Rethinking resources as a trade weapon
2026-08-26
Morning Update: Ottawa bites back
2026-08-25
Morning Update: A new trade deal remains in the cards
2026-08-24
Morning Update: ‘You are at war when you get attacked’

Who wrote this

Mike Hager
1 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Concert promoter Dave Wedekindt figured that because Roger Daltrey’s solo tour wasn’t coming to Canada, people living in Southern Ontario might be keen to watch the frontman of the legendary rock band The Who perform at his amphitheatre on the American side of Niagara Falls.
The only article under this byline in the corpus.
Jesse Winter
2 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 After proving the disease was transmissible from a sick animal to a healthy one, they tested whether contaminated water could be made safe by heat-treating it.
🔮 Concert promoter Dave Wedekindt figured that because Roger Daltrey’s solo tour wasn’t coming to Canada, people living in Southern Ontario might be keen to watch the frontman of the legendary rock band The Who perform at his amphitheatre on the American side of Niagara Falls.
Also by Jesse Winter
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

American Canada Canadian Canadians U.S.

Subjects

Canadians NORP · 5× U.S. GPE · 5× Wedekindt PERSON · 5× Canadian NORP · 4× American NORP · 3× B.C. GPE · 2× Canada GPE · 2× Washington GPE · 2× Dave Wedekindt PERSON · 1× Roger Daltrey’s PERSON · 1×

Narrative

The venue has redirected its marketing to upstate New York to lure more people, Mr. Wedekindt said, but even before the latest round of tariffs is expected to raise the cost of everyday life for Americans, it has been difficult because “as consumers, we all feel everything has gone up in price.”
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-08-28
🔮 Concert promoter Dave Wedekindt figured that because Roger Daltrey’s solo tour wasn’t coming to Canada, people living in Southern Ontario might be keen to watch the frontman of the legendary rock band The Who perform at his amphitheatre on the American side of Niagara Falls.
2026-08-28 · The Globe and Mail
U.S. businesses that rely on Canadian tourism brace for tariff impact · assertive framing

Claims (30 extracted, 5 hedged)

Concert promoter Dave Wedekindt figured that because Roger Daltrey’s solo tour wasn’t coming to Canada, people living in Southern Ontario might be keen to watch the frontman of the legendary rock band The Who perform at his amphitheatre on the American side of Niagara Falls. uncertain
frontman → figure → Falls
But Mr. Wedekindt, president of the non-profit running the Artpark, said an ad blitz last week on Facebook targeting Canadians living within 48 kilometres of the Lewiston, N.Y., venue definitely failed. asserted
blitz → run → venue
User after user replied to the promotion with a polite “No,” stating they aren’t keen to go to the United States. asserted
they → reply → States
That was before the trade war erupted last Friday with the failure of bilateral negotiations in Washington. asserted
war → erupt → Washington
Now, Mr. Wedekindt says, he has given up on trying to advertise any shows to his neighbours to the north for the remainder of the season, which runs from May until September. uncertain
which → say → September
“We’re certainly following all this news here and it’s difficult because we’ve always had such a great Canadian base and they’ve been great patrons and supporters,” he said. asserted
he → follow → base
American businesses that rely on Canadian tourism and who spoke to The Globe and Mail say it’s too early to see how devastating a full-on trade war will be on their bottom lines. asserted
war → rely → lines
But they are bracing for fewer visitors after already seeing a drop off last year as the bilateral relationship frayed. asserted
relationship → brace → drop
The renewed conflict is also expected to halt the rebound of Canadian travel to the U.S. Last week, Statistics Canada published data showing there was a slight increase of Canadians’ trips south of the border at the start of this summer. asserted
Canada → renew → summer
In June, the latest month for which data are available, Canadian residents returned from 2.3 million trips to the U.S., marking a 5-per-cent year-over-year increase, Statscan stated. asserted
Statscan → return → increase
The number of trips increased for the third month in a row after 15 consecutive months of year-over-year declines, although volumes remained well below pretension norms. asserted
volumes → increase → norms
There were nearly 25-per-cent fewer trips this June than in June, 2024, before U.S. President Donald Trump took office for the second time and began referring to Canada as the “51st state.” asserted
Trump → be → state
But other public data from Cascade Gateway, which monitors crossing volume and wait-time data for the four border crossings between B.C.’s Lower Mainland and Washington’s Whatcom County, appear to show a slight dip in crossings on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. asserted
which → monitor → Tuesday
Over all, data for the months of August in 2025 and this year are down significantly from the same month in 2024, before the trade war’s opening salvos a year ago, Cascade’s data show. asserted
data → show → salvos
Mary Lou Steward, the mayor of Blaine, Wash. – a popular cross-border shopping destination for British Columbians – said she expects that trend to continue. asserted
trend → say → Columbians
“When the rhetoric and tariffs first came into effect last year, we did see a 40-per-cent decline in border crossing for shopping, tourism and visiting family,” Ms. Steward wrote in an e-mail. asserted
Steward → come → mail
With the new tariffs, she said she expects “a significant drop in Canadians visiting the U.S.” asserted
she → say → U.S.
More people could swear off planning American vacations this fall as leaders, such as B.C. Premier David Eby this week, urge Canadians to avoid the U.S. as a way to increase Ottawa’s position in the trade war. uncertain
leaders → swear → war
Mr. Wedekindt’s conservative estimate is that the decline in cross-border visitors cost his 52-year-old concert facility US$300,000 in the last fiscal year. asserted
decline → cost → year
Canadians accounted for up to 15 per cent of the venue’s revenue until last year, when tensions increased and Artpark saw that number cut in half and stay there, Mr. Wedekindt said. asserted
Wedekindt → account → half
“Older audiences are a little more dug in and don’t want to come over or won’t come over,” he said. asserted
he → dig → ?
The venue has redirected its marketing to upstate New York to lure more people, Mr. Wedekindt said, but even before the latest round of tariffs is expected to raise the cost of everyday life for Americans, it has been difficult because “as consumers, we all feel everything has gone up in price.” asserted
everything → redirect → price
At the nearby Aquarium of Niagara, in Niagara Falls, N.Y., the number of Canadian patrons was cut in half last year and the home of rescued harbour seals, Humboldt penguins and California sea lions hit a 20-year low in visitors, according to Chad Fifer, president and chief executive of the private non-profit. uncertain
home → cut → profit
“The overall sentiment for the past year and a half has been tough, mostly because we’ve been bracing for continued decline,” he said. asserted
he → brace → decline
For Steve Wright, the general manager of Jay Peak Resort in Vermont, the bilateral breakdown of the past week was worrisome enough that he issued his second public appeal in as many years, reminding Canadians “you’re always welcome at Jay.” asserted
you → issue → Jay
Mr. Wright said Canadians make up half of the resort’s total visitors each year. asserted
Canadians → say → visitors
While he said the venue hasn’t seen significant cancellations yet, some of its larger Canadian clients with bookings for major events such as conferences and larger ski packages have started to ask questions. asserted
some → say → questions
“You know, we’ve been through this enough with this administration so that when the narrative starts to escalate relative to the Canadians and Canadian sovereignty, we tend to start to see this, and understandably so,” he said. asserted
he → know → this
“The border might feel different right now. uncertain
border → feel → ?
We do not.” asserted
We → do → ?
💬 Give feedback
🕘 History 🎫 Support