J.D. Tuccille: Canada can win at trade by ignoring Trump

National Post · collected 2026-08-25 · by Carson Jerema analysis
Read the original at National Post ↗

Summary

J.D. Tuccille argues that Canada can succeed in its trade dealings with the US by ignoring Donald Trump's demands and instead adopting a policy of free trade. The US and Canadian leaders have engaged in a war of words over tariffs, but Tuccille believes that governments should get out of the way of people exchanging goods and services. According to economist Milton Friedman, who is cited in the article, protectionist policies like tariffs raise prices for customers and waste resources, while free trade promotes economic growth. The article suggests that Trump's administration is making a mistake by pushing for "reciprocal" trade deals, which are actually a form of protectionism.
Written by the local model on 2026-08-25, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
39
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
3%
1 of 39 hedged
Leaning
Leans strongly right
of the writing, not the subject
Publisher trust
95.9
red-flag proxy, not a credibility rating
Outlets on this story
193
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-08-25 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

Here are the articles grouped by topic:

Iran War

Trade Tariffs

Other

Note that some of the article summaries are quite similar, and it may be worth combining or rephrasing them to reduce duplication.

Written for “US-Iran Trade Dispute Escalation” on 2026-08-31, grounded in this article and the 192 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Score +0.85 Confidence high
Leaning score +0.85 for article 2203 (high confidence, 3 verified quotes) · logged 2026-08-27

Story

📰 US-Iran Trade Dispute Escalation
Politics · 193 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans strongly right and hedges 3% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
CBC | World News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 10% hedged 4 of 39 📰 publisher trust 95
“Both articles discuss the recent trade talks between Canada and the US, specifically mentioning President Trump's comments about a potential oil pipeline project”
National Post
⚖️ Leans strongly right 🔴 7% hedged 3 of 44 📰 publisher trust 96
“The articles cover different topics: one is about Canada's sovereignty over its northern regions, and the other is about trade talks between Canada and the US.”
The Independent World
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this 🔴 8% hedged 3 of 40 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A describes a statement made by Manitoba Premier Wab Kinew on 2026-08-21, while Article B mentions an exchange of talking points between Trump and Canada over trade talks that 'fell apart over the weekend', which is likely referring to 2026-08-20 or earlier”
CBC | Top Stories News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 25% hedged 1 of 4 📰 publisher trust 95
“Both articles describe the breakdown of trade talks between Canada and the US on Friday”
Reason.com
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 19 📰 publisher trust 94
“Both articles describe the breakdown of trade negotiations between the US and Canada, resulting in the imposition of tariffs by Trump.”
The Bulwark
⚖️ Leans left further left than this 🔴 17% hedged 1 of 6
“Both articles report on the collapse of trade talks between the US and Canada over the weekend”
Morning news brief different event · 100%
NPR Topics: News
⚖️ Centre further left than this 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 2 📰 publisher trust 93
“Article B discusses trade talks falling apart over the weekend, while Article A mentions a new round of economic pressure on Iran and Canada's response to it, indicating two different events”
National Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 2% hedged 1 of 48 📰 publisher trust 96
“Both articles mention the collapse of trade talks between Canada and the US, citing the same reasons and referring to the same time period.”
World news | The Guardian
⚖️ Leans strongly right 🔴 11% hedged 3 of 28 📰 publisher trust 95
“Both articles report on the breakdown in US-Canada trade negotiations and Trump's response to it”
CBC | Top Stories News
⚖️ Leans strongly right 🔴 7% hedged 3 of 42 📰 publisher trust 95
“Both articles report on the same trade talks between Canada and the US, specifically mentioning the disagreement over Canadian content requirements for streaming companies”

Publisher

National Post · 80 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
SignalValueWeight
Correction rate 0.000 0.4
Uncertainty density 0.082 0.25
Assertive mismatch rate 0.000 0.35
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Carson Jerema
7 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Anyone willing to bet Findlay will remain at the party’s helm longer than the typical leafy green can prevail in your fridge clearly isn’t paying attention to current events.
🔮 The new, higher U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods have come into effect, and Canada has officially confirmed the retaliatory tariffs that will come into effect on Sept. 8.
🔮 If it was worth producing, the government wouldn’t need to force Netflix or Amazon to fund it, or to alter their algorithms to promote it.
🔮 The next massive blackout may happen because trade barriers raised the cost of preventing it beyond the industry’s ability to afford resilience.
🔮 True, at some point, their ancestors may have set sail from Britain or France or wherever else in the world their forebears sailed from.
2026-08-24 · assertive framing · Geoff Russ: This is the land of the Canadian people
🔮 Chris Alexander, a longtime diplomat and former minister of citizenship and immigration for then-Conservative Prime Minister Stephen Harper, announced on July 29 that he intended to run for Mayor of Toronto.
2026-08-21 · assertive framing · Michael Taube: Quit the race, Chris Alexander
🔮 Canada has a particularly robust immune system, but rather than rejecting what is harmful, the country’s Laurentian standard-bearers swoop in to attack anything that could be positive, particularly if it is not aligned with a mushy left-wing worldview or with the interests of the Liberal party.
2026-08-18 · assertive framing · Carson Jerema: Tobi Lütke will not comply
More on this subject from Carson Jerema
All 7 articles by Carson Jerema →

Topics

America Canada Canadians Politico U.S.

Subjects

Carney PERSON · 4× U.S. GPE · 4× Canada GPE · 3× Trump PERSON · 3× Canadians NORP · 2× Donald Trump PERSON · 2× Friedman PERSON · 2× America GPE · 1× Mark Carney PERSON · 1× Politico ORG · 1×

Narrative

Or, as the late British economist Joan Robinson wrote, “The popular view that free trade is all very well so long as all nations are free-traders, but that when other nations erect tariffs we must erect tariffs too, is countered by the argument that it would be just as sensible to drop rocks into our harbours because other nations have rocky coasts.”
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-08-25
🔮 The next massive blackout may happen because trade barriers raised the cost of preventing it beyond the industry’s ability to afford resilience.
2026-08-25 · National Post
J.D. Tuccille: Canada can win at trade by ignoring Trump · assertive framing

Claims (39 extracted, 1 hedged)

Prime Minister Mark Carney insists Canada is “at war” with the U.S. after trade talks between the two countries fell apart over the weekend. asserted
talks → insist → weekend
But the exchange of talking points instead of bullets is foolish and destructive enough, and evidence of the futility of managing trade rather than simply getting governments out of the way of people freely exchanging goods and services. asserted
people → manage → goods
For his part, U.S. President Donald Trump responded that “Canada wants the benefits of being a State, without being one.” asserted
Canada → respond → benefits
He complained that Canadians have “charged our great farmers, for many years, massive amounts of Tariffs. asserted
Canadians → complain → Tariffs
Amidst recriminations as to who caused the breakdown — Politico reports the talks “ultimately buckled under a combination of last-minute demands and political constraints on both sides” — the two national leaders are threatening new trade barriers in addition to preexisting tariffs. asserted
leaders → cause → tariffs
Pundits and policy experts are digging through such details as have leaked to figure out just where the deal went off the rails. asserted
deal → dig → rails
Strictly speaking, Carney is the more credible figure in the dispute since he’s right that “America has changed” and the U.S. government is trying to “put a series of tariffs on its closest allies and use economic integration as a weapon.” asserted
government → speak → weapon
Trump has been notably belligerent in the process of reshaping trade — as he is in all things — making Carney’s “war” talk somewhat believable. asserted
talk → reshape → things
But the parsing of trade demands and personalities misses a larger point. asserted
parsing → miss → point
While Donald Trump can be a bully and Carney retains his calm while sniffily complaining about insults to the sovereignty of his country, both of them, and their flunkies, have engaged in the presumptuous business of trying to negotiate the rules of exchange between millions of buyers and sellers in two countries. asserted
both → retain → countries
We’d all be far better off if even just one of them stepped aside and let matters work themselves out. asserted
matters → step → themselves
Decades ago, economist Milton Friedman noted that protectionists constantly hand-wave away arguments in favour of free trade as “fine in theory” while insisting that trade must be “reciprocal” — precisely the argument the Trump administration makes as it reworks already rule-burdened trade deals. asserted
it → note → deals
At a time when Japan was the feared economic behemoth that was supposedly going to eat the world, Friedman warned that tariffs “raise prices to customers and waste our resources.” asserted
tariffs → fear → resources
He argued that when the governments of other countries shield their markets from competition, instead of benefiting their economies they hurt their people and businesses. asserted
they → argue → people
“The wise course for us is precisely the opposite — to move unilaterally toward free trade. asserted
course → move → trade
If they still choose to impose restrictions, that is too bad but at least we have not added insult to injury.” asserted
we → choose → injury
Evidence for Friedman’s position is found in a recent New York Times article about the vulnerability of electricity grids, largely because of their dependence on expensive, hand-crafted power transformers that are difficult to replace. asserted
that → find → transformers
While U.S. companies are building manufacturing facilities and developing alternative transformer technologies, they’re hampered by tariffs on copper and aluminum. asserted
they → build → copper
“Costs are up almost 20 percent,” an industry executive told the Times. asserted
executive → tell → Times
“We need relief on all of the metals.” asserted
We → need → metals
The next massive blackout may happen because trade barriers raised the cost of preventing it beyond the industry’s ability to afford resilience. uncertain
barriers → happen → resilience
Just because Trump is an economic ignoramus who thinks economic activity can be successfully managed by government, despite a long history of evidence to the contrary, doesn’t mean that Carney should follow his example and contribute to the conflict. asserted
Carney → think → conflict
Quebec-born Vincent Geloso, an economics professor at Virginia’s George Mason University, argues that “Canada’s response to American tariffs should be incredibly simple: slash our own tariffs and trade barriers. asserted
response → bear → tariffs
He makes the same argument offered by Friedman, that tariffs hurt consumers and businesses in the countries that impose them. asserted
that → make → them
“How exactly does making Canadians poorer punish Donald Trump? asserted
Canadians → make → Trump
If the Trump admin wants to shoot itself in the foot, the Carney government is under no obligation to shoot Canadians in the face with a twelve gauge shotgun for the sake of ‘reciprocity.’” asserted
government → want → reciprocity
Or, as the late British economist Joan Robinson wrote, “The popular view that free trade is all very well so long as all nations are free-traders, but that when other nations erect tariffs we must erect tariffs too, is countered by the argument that it would be just as sensible to drop rocks into our harbours because other nations have rocky coasts.” asserted
nations → write → coasts
In a 2025 paper, Geloso pointed out that Britain benefited from repealing “Corn Law” tariffs on imported grain. asserted
Britain → point → grain
“The Corn Laws had the effect of keeping food prices in the UK 9% higher relative to world markets. asserted
Laws → have → markets
He added that most 19th century trade liberalization was unilateral, with no expectation that other nations would necessarily reciprocate. asserted
nations → add → expectation
Liberalizing nations quickly prospered. asserted
Liberalizing → liberalize → nations
Yes, it’s better when all governments get out of the way and let people and businesses exercise their right to engage in voluntary exchange without regard to borders. asserted
people → ’ → borders
But holding trade hostage to the intelligence, decency, and economic wisdom of political leaders in multiple countries is a sucker’s bet. asserted
holding → hold → countries
Inevitably, populists with neo-mercantilist ideas arise and burden their own people with tariffs while claiming to help them. asserted
populists → arise → them
In the days to come, people will spend much time digging for and through the details of the failed U.S.-Canada trade talks. asserted
people → come → talks
But that’s a waste of time. asserted
that → ’ → time
The only definition of “fair” that matters is what people voluntarily agree to in their own dealings. asserted
people → matter → dealings
If, under current management, the U.S. won’t embrace free trade policies that make everybody wealthier, Canada should do so on its own. asserted
Canada → embrace → own
Canadians would be freer and more prosperous by avoiding the American mistake of burdening commerce with tariffs and conditions. asserted
Canadians → avoid → tariffs
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