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Trump approval rating near record low on eve of US midterm elections: Poll

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Al Jazeera Staff. (2026, November 2). Trump approval rating near record low on eve of US midterm elections: Poll. Al Jazeera. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/11/2/trump-approval-rating-near-record-low-on-eve-of-us-midterm-elections-poll?traffic_source=rss

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Al Jazeera · collected 2026-11-02 · by Al Jazeera Staff

Quick Summary

President Donald Trump's job approval rating stands at 32% according to a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll, just above his record low of 31%. The poll also indicates that generic Democratic candidates are favored by 46% of respondents compared to 38% for Republicans. Ahead of the midterm elections on November 3rd, Trump has been campaigning aggressively but acknowledges it is common for sitting presidents not to fare well in midterms.
Written by AI on 2026-11-03, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of November 2, 2026, President Donald Trump’s approval rating is near its career low, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll completed on November 1. The poll indicates that 46% of registered voters would prefer Democrats over Republicans by an 8 percentage point margin (46%-38%), in what is known as a "generic ballot" question, reflecting voter opposition ahead of the midterm elections scheduled for November 3.

The poll also underscores Republican vulnerabilities due to rising fuel prices since Trump launched a war on Iran in February. However, this Democratic advantage narrowed from an 11-point lead a week earlier, suggesting that the race could be tightening before Election Day. Despite these national trends, Republicans are still contesting state-by-state and district-by-district races for control of the US Senate and House of Representatives, where they hold some structural advantages.

Written for “Trump Approval Rating Near Record Low” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 3 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence medium
Leaning: leans left for article 124346 (medium confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-11-03

Story

📰 Trump Approval Rating Near Record Low
Politics · 4 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 18% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Trump approval near record low ahead of elections, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds Same event
The Straits Times
Hedges 1 of 16 claims Outlet record 66/100
Trump’s approval rating is near a career low ahead of elections, poll finds Same event
South China Morning Post
Hedges 1 of 4 claims Outlet record 63/100
Trump approval near record low ahead of elections, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds Same event
The Straits Times
Hedges 2 of 10 claims Outlet record 66/100
US midterms: 3 days to go – What latest polls say as early voting surges Different event
Al Jazeera
Hedges 9 of 54 claims Outlet record 60/100
“Article A discusses the general state of polls and early voting three days before the election, while Article B focuses on a specific poll about Trump's approval rating near the eve of the election.”
Poll: Voters demand change and a check on Trump, fueling a steep Democratic midterm advantage Different event
NBC News
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this Hedges 3 of 66 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles report different aspects of public opinion polls conducted around the midterm elections but do not describe the same specific poll or incident.”
These midterms could effectively end the Trump era – but neither side is yet ready for what comes next | Nesrine Malik Different event
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this Hedges 5 of 42 claims Outlet record 66/100
“While both articles discuss Trump's low approval ratings ahead of the midterm elections, they are describing different aspects and do not focus on the same specific incident or outcome.”
Trump describes midterms as 'most important in our lifetime' Different event
ABC News (AU)
Hedges 1 of 28 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss Trump's situation regarding midterm elections and his low approval ratings but describe different aspects of the broader context rather than a single incident.”
They voted for Trump last time. Now some are having second thoughts Different event
ABC News (AU)
Hedges 5 of 101 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss different aspects related to Trump's approval ratings and midterm elections but do not describe the exact same incident or occurrence.”
Trump approval rating is historically low for a president heading into the midterms Different event
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 27 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles describe different polling data from distinct sources near the same time, indicating they are reporting on separate survey results rather than a single identical incident.”
US midterms: Five days to go – What the polls say as Trump, Harris campaign Different event
Al Jazeera
Hedges 6 of 52 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the midterm election period and do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
17
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
18%
3 of 17 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
60/100
Al Jazeera's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
4
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-03 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Al Jazeera · 4743 article(s) · 3 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 3 correction(s)
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Who wrote this

Al Jazeera Staff
853 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Meanwhile, the Republican Party continues to be unpopular among those polled: When asked whether they would vote for a generic Democrat or Republican candidate, 46 percent of respondents preferred Democrats compared with 38 percent preferring Republicans.
2026-11-02 · assertive framing · Trump approval rating near record low on eve of US midterm elections: Poll
🔮 Americans will vote in the US midterm elections on Tuesday, with the economy, the cost of living, and immigration among the top issues.
2026-11-02 · assertive framing · US midterms 2026: What polls reveal about Democratic, Republican voters
🔮 California says the move could disenfranchise thousands of eligible voters.
2026-11-02 · mixed framing · Trump asks Supreme Court to block 20,000 California ballots before midterms
🔮 “The Russians could not have been unaware that every week residents who have remained in Komyshuvakha were receiving assistance aid right there.
2026-11-02 · assertive framing · Russian bombing of Ukrainian aid centre kills 24 people
🔮 Officials in Tehran said on Monday that the seven-step plan they put on the table last month remains the same, but could now be implemented more quickly.
2026-11-02 · mixed framing · Iran pushing accelerated plan for ceasefire talks with US
🔮 “I will not bury my head in the sand and pretend I cannot read a calendar,” Faruqui said in court, referring to its proximity to the midterms.
2026-11-02 · assertive framing · Judge dismisses charges against FBI agents involved in Hunter Biden case
🔮 The global financial crisis in 2008 cost him major sponsors, adding to delays that stretched what he had expected to be a 12-year journey into 28 years.
2026-11-02 · assertive framing · British adventurer Karl Bushby returns home after 28-year walk around world
🔮 Republicans are trying to hold their majorities in the Senate and House of Representatives despite Trump’s low approval ratings and polls predicting that the Iran war, high energy prices, and the affordability crisis could mean a strong night for Democrats.
2026-11-02 · mixed framing · Trump, Vance and candidates make final push before US midterms
🔮 Reflecting the step up in activity, China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced on Monday that Zhai Jun, Beijing’s special envoy on the Middle East, will visit Iran, Oman and Saudi Arabia this month.
2026-11-02 · assertive framing · China steps up Middle East diplomacy with Iran and Oman meetings
🔮 Israel’s Arab parties, which won a record-breaking 19 seats in last week’s general elections, are set to back opposition leader Gadi Eisenkot’s bloc, further trampling Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s chances of leading another government.
2026-11-02 · assertive framing · Arab parties back Eisenkot: What’s the latest in Israel’s coalition talks?
Wire or desk byline, not an individual reporter.
Also by Al Jazeera Staff
US midterms 2026: What polls reveal about Democratic, Republican voters
2026-11-02 · Al Jazeera
Trump asks Supreme Court to block 20,000 California ballots before midterms
2026-11-02 · Al Jazeera
Iran pushing accelerated plan for ceasefire talks with US
2026-11-02 · Al Jazeera
Russian bombing of Ukrainian aid centre kills 24 people
2026-11-02 · Al Jazeera
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 853 articles by Al Jazeera Staff →

Topics

Democrats Republican Reuters United States the Republican Party

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 9× Republican NORP · 3× 3Trump PERSON · 2× Democrats NORP · 2× the Republican Party ORG · 2× Democrat NORP · 1× Donald Trump PERSON · 1× Reuters ORG · 1× United States GPE · 1× Vance PERSON · 1×

Narrative

The job ran months late and cost more than 10 times its original estimate, with a special liner for the pool that Trump touted peeling away soon after it was installed. “It was a work of art that never worked, but now it will work,” Trump said at the rally.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-03
🔮 Meanwhile, the Republican Party continues to be unpopular among those polled: When asked whether they would vote for a generic Democrat or Republican candidate, 46 percent of respondents preferred Democrats compared with 38 percent preferring Republicans.
2026-11-03 · Al Jazeera
Trump approval rating near record low on eve of US midterm elections: Poll · assertive framing

Claims (17 extracted, 3 hedged)

Ahead of the United States midterm elections, President Donald Trump’s job approval rating continues to sit near a record low, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll. uncertain
rating → continue → poll
Some 32 percent of respondents approved of Trump’s handling of the presidency, 1 percentage point above his rating two weeks ago. asserted
percent → approve → rating
Recommended Stories list of 3 items- list 1 of 3Trump approval hits record-low 31 percent, polls show Republican struggles - list 2 of 3How asserted
polls → hit → struggles
the president’s party has fared in every US midterm election since 1946 - list 3 of 3Trump, Vance campaign with candidates on last day before US midterms asserted
party → fare → midterms
Meanwhile, the Republican Party continues to be unpopular among those polled: When asked whether they would vote for a generic Democrat or Republican candidate, 46 percent of respondents preferred Democrats compared with 38 percent preferring Republicans. asserted
percent → continue → Republicans
Trump himself is not on the ballot, but he has repeatedly told his supporters to vote as if they are voting for him. asserted
they → tell → him
If the Republican Party loses control of the US Congress, Trump has warned, Democrats may seek to impeach him for a third time. uncertain
Democrats → lose → time
Trump’s approval rating has dropped steadily, polls suggest, especially since the launch of the US-Israel war on Iran on February 28. asserted
polls → drop → February
The conflict has driven up petrol and diesel prices and has had secondary effects for US consumers worried about inflation and the economy. asserted
conflict → drive → inflation
The president embarked on a nearly monthlong campaign blitz ahead of the November 3 midterms in an effort to shore up support for Republican candidates, who are trying to retain control of the US House of Representatives and Senate. asserted
who → embark → Representatives
Trump wrapped up his campaigning on Monday afternoon with a rally in Washington, DC, at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool. asserted
Trump → wrap → Pool
The president has devoted significant attention to the site as part of his attempt to renovate the capital. asserted
president → devote → capital
The job ran months late and cost more than 10 times its original estimate, with a special liner for the pool that Trump touted peeling away soon after it was installed. “It was a work of art that never worked, but now it will work,” Trump said at the rally. asserted
Trump → run → rally
He spent much of his speech on his renovation plans for the city, including a “Triumphal Arch”, which is facing legal challenges. asserted
which → spend → challenges
Trump seemed to acknowledge on Monday that his campaigning might not deliver the results he wants for his party, but said this was the political norm for midterm elections. uncertain
this → seem → elections
“For some reason, the sitting president doesn’t win the midterms,” Trump said. asserted
Trump → sit → midterms
“But we gave this a very strong shot.” asserted
we → give → shot
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