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Trump approval near record low ahead of elections, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

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The Straits Times. (2026, November 2). Trump approval near record low ahead of elections, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds. The Straits Times. https://www.straitstimes.com/world/trump-approval-near-record-low-ahead-of-elections-reutersipsos-poll-finds

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The Straits Times · collected 2026-11-02 · by The Straits Times

Quick Summary

President Donald Trump's approval rating remained near its record low as voters prepared for Tuesday’s congressional elections, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll completed on Monday. The poll found that 46% of registered voters intended to vote Democratic, while 38% planned to vote Republican in the upcoming midterms, narrowing from an earlier 11-point lead for Democrats. Additionally, 32% of respondents approved of Trump’s performance, unchanged from a week prior and just above his previous low of 31%. The survey also indicated that 50% of independents viewed their votes as opposition to Trump.
Written by AI on 2026-11-02, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of November 2, 2026, President Donald Trump's approval rating remained near its record low according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll. The poll indicated that 46% of registered voters planned to vote for Democrats in the upcoming congressional elections, compared to 38% intending to vote Republican, marking an 8 percentage point advantage for Democrats but narrower than the previous week's 11-point lead. This national sentiment reflects voter opposition to Trump's presidency and suggests a tightening race between Democrats and Republicans ahead of Election Day. However, while these polls provide a general view of public opinion, they do not capture the nuances of state-by-state and district-by-district contests that will determine control of the US Senate and House, where Republicans hold structural advantages.

Written for “Trump Approval Near Record Low” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.30, but none of the 1 quote(s) it offered could be found in the article text, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 124030: no verified evidence · logged 2026-11-02

Story

📰 Trump Approval Near Record Low
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 20% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 4 of 20 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles report on different polls conducted at distinct times with varying results.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans strongly left Hedges 5 of 42 claims Outlet record 66/100
“While both articles discuss Trump's low approval ratings leading up to the midterms and suggest a possible Democratic victory, they describe different aspects of the overall situation and do not clearly refer to the same specific incident or moment.”
TIME
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 14 of 51 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles refer to different polls and time periods for Trump's approval ratings leading up to the midterms.”
Los Angeles Times
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 4 of 58 claims Outlet record 95/100
“While both articles discuss Trump's low approval ratings before an election, Article A discusses broader implications for the GOP and MAGA movement, while Article B focuses on a specific poll result.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 27 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles report on Trump's low approval ratings but reference different polls (Pew Research Center vs. Reuters/Ipsos) and slightly different timeframes.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 31 claims Outlet record 59/100
“While both articles discuss Trump's approval ratings around the time of midterms, they cite different polls and provide distinct data.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 5 of 19 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles report on different polls with varying results and do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

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Claims extracted
10
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
20%
2 of 10 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
66/100
The Straits Times's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-02 · how these are computed

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Publisher

The Straits Times · 4203 article(s) · 5 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 5 correction(s)

Who wrote this

The Straits Times
2735 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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Also by The Straits Times
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
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Topics

Democrats Republicans Reuters Reuters/Ipsos WASHINGTON

Subjects

Democrats NORP · 4× Trump PERSON · 4× Republicans NORP · 3× Reuters ORG · 3× Reuters/Ipsos ORG · 2× Congress ORG · 1× Donald Trump PERSON · 1× Republican NORP · 1× WASHINGTON GPE · 1× the US Senate ORG · 1×

Narrative

While these polls provide a view of national public sentiment, they do not capture the nuances of the state-by-state and district-by-district contests that determine control of the US Senate and US House, contests in which Republicans hold some structural advantages.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-02
🔮 The results of the five-day nationwide poll also showed signs the race between Democrats and Republicans could be tightening ahead of Election Day.
2026-11-02 · The Straits Times
Trump approval near record low ahead of elections, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds · assertive framing

Claims (10 extracted, 2 hedged)

Trump approval near record low ahead of elections, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds asserted
poll → find → elections
WASHINGTON, Nov 2 - President Donald Trump's approval rating held near a record low as a broad swath of the US electorate saw their vote in Tuesday's congressional elections as a way to oppose the Republican president, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll completed on Monday. uncertain
swath → hold → Monday
The results of the five-day nationwide poll also showed signs the race between Democrats and Republicans could be tightening ahead of Election Day. uncertain
race → show → Day
Some 46% of registered voters in the poll said they would pick Democrats in congressional elections, compared to 38% who picked Republicans, in what is known as a "generic ballot" question. asserted
what → register → question
That 8 percentage point advantage for Democrats was narrower than in a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted a week earlier, when Democrats led by 11 points. asserted
Democrats → conduct → points
Generic ballot polls are national polls that provide an overall view of which party voters would like to see in charge in Congress. asserted
voters → provide → Congress
While these polls provide a view of national public sentiment, they do not capture the nuances of the state-by-state and district-by-district contests that determine control of the US Senate and US House, contests in which Republicans hold some structural advantages. asserted
Republicans → provide → advantages
Some 32% of respondents said they approved of the job Trump was doing in the White House, unchanged from a week earlier and just above his record-low reading of 31% two weeks ago. asserted
Trump → say → %
Among registered voters, some 50% of independents said they saw their vote in congressional elections as a vote against Trump, compared with 13% who said it was a vote for Trump and 33% who said the president wasn't a factor in their vote. asserted
president → register → vote
The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll surveyed 1,765 US adults online and had a margin of error of 2 percentage points. asserted
poll → survey → points
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