The Aporia · Trump’s approval rating is near a career low ahead of elections, poll finds

Trump’s approval rating is near a career low ahead of elections, poll finds

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Reuters. (2026, November 2). Trump’s approval rating is near a career low ahead of elections, poll finds. South China Morning Post. https://www.scmp.com/news/world/united-states-canada/article/3373049/trumps-approval-rating-near-career-low-ahead-elections-poll-finds

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Quick Summary

A recent Reuters/Ipsos poll indicates that President Donald Trump's approval rating is near its lowest point in his career as voters approach the midterms, with many seeing their vote as an opposition to him. The poll shows a preference for Democrats over Republicans by a margin of 46% to 38%, though this gap has narrowed from 11 points a week earlier to 8 points currently.

Written by AI on 2026-11-03, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of November 2, 2026, President Donald Trump’s approval rating is near its career low, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll completed on November 1. The poll indicates that 46% of registered voters would prefer Democrats over Republicans by an 8 percentage point margin (46%-38%), in what is known as a "generic ballot" question, reflecting voter opposition ahead of the midterm elections scheduled for November 3.

The poll also underscores Republican vulnerabilities due to rising fuel prices since Trump launched a war on Iran in February. However, this Democratic advantage narrowed from an 11-point lead a week earlier, suggesting that the race could be tightening before Election Day. Despite these national trends, Republicans are still contesting state-by-state and district-by-district races for control of the US Senate and House of Representatives, where they hold some structural advantages.

Written for “Trump Approval Rating Near Record Low” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 3 other(s) covering the same event.

Why this leaning score

The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.35, but all 2 of its quote(s) are attributed speech - words the article quotes from someone, not the article's own narration, so the score is not published.

Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.

Leaning score withheld for article 124318: attributed speech only · logged 2026-11-03

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This article reads unscored and hedges 25% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.

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How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

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Claims extracted

sentences that state something as happening or true

Uncertain

25%

1 of 4 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")

Leaning

withheld

no quote in the article backed the model's score

Publisher signals

63/100

South China Morning Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.

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Analyzed 2026-11-03 · how these are computed

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Running correction rate · 7 correction(s)

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Who wrote this

Reuters

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Wire or desk byline, not an individual reporter.

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Topics

Democrats Iran Republican Reuters Reuters/Ipsos

Subjects

Democrats NORP · 2× Republican NORP · 2× Reuters ORG · 2× Trump PERSON · 2× Democratic NORP · 1× Donald Trump PERSON · 1× Iran GPE · 1× Republicans NORP · 1× Reuters/Ipsos ORG · 1×

Narrative

Voters in the nationwide poll said they preferred Democrats over Republicans - 46 per cent to 38 per cent - in what is known as a “generic ballot” question.

framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-03

2026-11-03 · South China Morning Post

Trump’s approval rating is near a career low ahead of elections, poll finds · mixed framing

Claims (4 extracted, 1 hedged)

Trump’s approval rating is near a career low ahead of elections, poll finds A broad swathe of the US electorate see their vote in Tuesday’s midterms as a way to oppose the president, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll US President Donald Trump’s approval rating held near a career low as a broad swathe of the US electorate saw their vote in Tuesday’s congressional midterm elections as a way to oppose the Republican president, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll completed on Monday. uncertain

swathe → find → Monday

The poll results underscore Republican vulnerabilities brought on by a surge in fuel prices since Trump launched a war on Iran in February. asserted

Trump → underscore → February

Voters in the nationwide poll said they preferred Democrats over Republicans - 46 per cent to 38 per cent - in what is known as a “generic ballot” question. asserted

what → say → question

Still, that 8 percentage point Democratic advantage was narrower than in a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted a week earlier, when Democrats led by 11 points. asserted

Democrats → conduct → points