Iran war costs $38 billion as CBO warns of higher inflation, depleted weapons

ABC News (US) · collected 2026-09-15 · by Steven Beynon, Lauren Peller
Read the original at ABC News (US) ↗

Summary

The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) reports that the U.S. war with Iran has cost $38 billion through early August and is projected to add another $2 to $3 billion per month, potentially increasing inflation by half a percentage point. The CBO warns of severe depletion in weapon stocks, which could take up to five years to replenish, significantly hampering the Pentagon's readiness for future conflicts.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-16, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
41
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
20%
8 of 41 hedged
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject
Correction & hedging signals
94.2
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
unclustered
not grouped into a story yet
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-16 · source text last changed 2026-09-15 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Score -0.55 Confidence high 1 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning score -0.55 for article 11867 (high confidence, 3 verified quotes) · logged 2026-09-16

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 20% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
CBS News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 16% hedged 27 of 164 📰 publisher trust 77
“The articles discuss different points in time regarding the cost of the Iran war, with Article A mentioning a $33.4 billion cost up to mid-June and Article B reporting a $38 billion cost through the end of July.”

Publisher

ABC News (US) · 227 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Steven Beynon
2 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Iran war costs $38 billion as CBO warns of higher inflation, depleted weapons The nonpartisan agency describes the consequences of the war that will persist.
🔮 On May 16, more than a year after Hernandez applied her father for the Military Parole in Place program, ICE officers detained Hernandez-Reyna at a gas station just outside of Phoenix in front of Hernandez's two younger brothers.
Also by Steven Beynon
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
Lauren Peller
2 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Iran war costs $38 billion as CBO warns of higher inflation, depleted weapons The nonpartisan agency describes the consequences of the war that will persist.
🔮 Congress returns for short stint before bolting again Although it put off its annual funding fight, there's still pressure to produce. Lawmakers from both chambers return to Washington this week for the final legislative push before the November midterm elections, the first time since July 23 that both chambers will be in Washington.
Also by Lauren Peller
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

CBO Iran Pentagon U.S. the United States

Subjects

CBO ORG · 8× Pentagon ORG · 7× U.S. GPE · 5× Iran GPE · 4× ABC News' ORG · 1× American NORP · 1× Congress ORG · 1× Congressional Budget Office ORG · 1× the Congressional Budget Office ORG · 1× the United States GPE · 1×

Narrative

Depleted weapons stockpiles The war has significantly depleted U.S. inventories of missiles and anti-air defense weapons, leaving fewer munitions available for another major conflict. "The shortfall would become especially problematic if a conflict arose with an opponent whose arsenal included large numbers of ballistic and cruise missiles," the CBO said in its report.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-16
🔮 Iran war costs $38 billion as CBO warns of higher inflation, depleted weapons The nonpartisan agency describes the consequences of the war that will persist.

Claims (41 extracted, 8 hedged)

Iran war costs $38 billion as CBO warns of higher inflation, depleted weapons The nonpartisan agency describes the consequences of the war that will persist. asserted
that → cost → war
The war with Iran has cost the United States at least $38 billion through the end of July and is expected to further push inflation higher for American households, according to a nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) assessment released Tuesday. uncertain
war → cost → assessment
The CBO also warned that depleted weapon stocks could take a half decade or longer to rebuild, crippling the Pentagon's ability to respond to another major conflict. uncertain
stocks → warn → conflict
It also warns that depleted weapon stocks could take a half decade or longer to rebuild, crippling the Pentagon's ability to respond to another major conflict. uncertain
stocks → warn → conflict
The assessment describes the financial and military consequences that will persist beyond the fighting, leaving the Pentagon with fewer weapons available for another major conflict while skyrocketing energy prices put pressure on household budgets. asserted
prices → describe → budgets
The report notes that the Pentagon did not cooperate with the analysis or provide information requested by the Congressional Budget Office. asserted
Pentagon → note → Office
The Pentagon did not respond to ABC News' request for comment on the report. asserted
Pentagon → respond → report
The CBO serves as Congress' scorekeeper, providing lawmakers with independent estimates of federal spending and the costs of legislation. asserted
CBO → serve → legislation
Its reports noted it relied heavily on public information. asserted
it → note → information
The budget office's estimate covers direct costs from the U.S. and Israel launching their campaign against Iran on Feb. 28 through Aug. 1, excluding expenses related to U.S. bases devastated by Iranian bombardments. asserted
U.S. → cover → bombardments
Munitions account for most of the spending. asserted
Munitions → account → spending
CBO projects another $2 to $3 billion in monthly costs, but says the bill could climb during sustained fighting. uncertain
bill → project → fighting
Americans will also bear what could be mounting costs adding to already inflation rates, with projections estimating the consequences of the war to add roughly a half percentage point to the inflation rate early next year, meaning the costs of goods, housing and food will continue to rise, driven largely by climbing energy prices stemming from supply disruptions in the Middle East. uncertain
costs → bear → East
Depleted weapons stockpiles The war has significantly depleted U.S. inventories of missiles and anti-air defense weapons, leaving fewer munitions available for another major conflict. "The shortfall would become especially problematic if a conflict arose with an opponent whose arsenal included large numbers of ballistic and cruise missiles," the CBO said in its report. asserted
CBO → deplete → report
Those concerns predate the Iran war. asserted
concerns → predate → war
A congressionally mandated commission warned in 2024 that the U.S. could largely exhaust its munitions inventories within three to four weeks of a conflict with China. uncertain
U.S. → mandate → China
Some critical weapons, including anti-ship missiles, could run out within days. uncertain
weapons → include → days
"Missile defense interceptors are in short supply because they have been produced at relatively low rates; thus, DoD's inventory of such missiles was limited," the CBO said in its report. asserted
CBO → produce → report
A Pentagon inspector general report on Monday came to the same conclusion that the massive expenditure of munitions against Iran has "resulted in strategic inventory shortfalls," which revealed significant issues with U.S. force's ability to resupply, as missiles take years to build. asserted
missiles → come → years
Persistent bottlenecks include the complexity and daunting list of materials and the recruitment of skilled labor to build them. asserted
bottlenecks → include → them
Patriot and SM-6 interceptors, used to shoot down incoming missiles and drones, cost roughly $4 million each, according to the CBO. uncertain
interceptors → use → CBO
THAAD interceptors cost about $12 million apiece, while more advanced SM-3 interceptors can cost roughly $28 million each. asserted
interceptors → cost → million
The stark warning on munitions shortages comes just days after Adm. Brad Cooper, the war's top commander, said in an interview on CBS Sunday that he's not concerned about munitions depletions. asserted
he → come → depletions
"We're armed and ready for any contingency," he said. asserted
he → say → contingency
President Donald Trump on Monday dismissed the Pentagon IG's report. asserted
Trump → dismiss → report
The administration has maintained the Pentagon can continue fighting with the arsenal it has. asserted
it → maintain → arsenal
Care for casualties, damage to bases will push up costs The war's ultimate cost is likely to be far higher once decades of veterans' disability payments and medical care are included. asserted
decades → push → payments
More than 800 U.S. troops have been wounded, with traumatic brain injuries emerging as the conflict's signature wound. asserted
injuries → wound → wound
"Counting munitions expended while leaving veterans' care and benefits is not a real war-cost analysis," Rep. Mark Takano, of California, the ranking Democrat on the House Veterans Affairs Committee said in a statement to ABC News. asserted
Takano → count → News
"It is a bill sent to veterans and taxpayers later. asserted
It → send → veterans
CBO's estimate excludes much of the costs associated with the damage to U.S. bases in the Middle East, including those in Kuwait, Bahrain and Jordan, some of which have been devastated by Iranian bombardments. asserted
some → exclude → bombardments
Pentagon planners have long anticipated shrinking the military's footprint in the region to shift resources to the Pacific. asserted
planners → anticipate → Pacific
The analysis comes as Congress has not enacted funding to cover the costs of the Iran war. asserted
Congress → come → war
In July, the House passed a $95 billion budget blueprint to provide up to $60 billion for military funding. asserted
House → pass → funding
The plan would also provide up to $13 billion for intelligence costs, totaling $73 billion to cover the Iran war. asserted
plan → provide → war
The Senate has no immediate plans to move on the budget blueprint to provide Iran war funding before the midterm elections. asserted
Senate → have → elections
Historically, conflicts have had special supplemental funding as to not eat much into the military's day-to-day operational needs in its $1 trillion budget. asserted
conflicts → have → budget
ABC News was first to report that the Army has dramatically scaled down much of its training this year, partly to accommodate the enormous surprise expense of the conflict. " asserted
Army → report → conflict
No, I mean that'll probably be a post-election push," Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R, S.D., told reporters on Tuesday. asserted
Thune → mean → Tuesday
House Budget Committee ranking Democrat Brendan Boyle of Pennsylvania said the report, "makes clear that the war has also cost American taxpayers tens of billions of dollars and counting, while continuing to drive up costs. asserted
cost → rank → costs
…and 1 more, not listed.
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