Trump's economic record is working against him in the midterms

Los Angeles Times · collected 2026-09-07 · by Michael Wilner, Ana Ceballos
Read the original at Los Angeles Times ↗

Summary

President Trump's economic policies, including his trade wars and tax cuts, are driving up prices on everyday goods and gas, hurting voters and making it difficult for Republicans to defend their record. A recent poll found that only 22% of Americans perceive the economy in a good or fair state, with less than a third supporting Trump's job performance on their most pressing concerns. The economic downturn is particularly challenging for Republican candidates heading into the November midterms, with some distancing themselves from the president and others embracing his policies. Economists warn that it will be hard to recover voter confidence in the economy ahead of election day, as bad news tends to sink confidence quickly while good news takes longer to have an impact.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-07, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
51
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
4%
2 of 51 hedged
Leaning
Leans strongly left
of the writing, not the subject
Publisher trust
95.1
red-flag proxy, not a credibility rating
Outlets on this story
5
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-07 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

Donald Trump's approval rating has dropped to a record low of 33%, according to a Financial Times poll. This marks the lowest number recorded since the newspaper began asking the question in May and is a three-point decrease from the previous month. The drop is attributed to pessimism about the economy and cost of living among Americans, with almost two-thirds of registered voters saying they believe the economy is heading in the wrong direction and 57% saying they are worse off financially under Trump's presidency. Fuel costs have also hit an unprecedented high, with diesel soaring to a record national average of $5.85 a gallon. The low approval rating presents a headache for Republicans ahead of the midterm elections, which take place in November.

Written for “Trump Approval Rating Plummeting” on 2026-09-07, grounded in this article and the 4 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Score -0.85 Confidence high
Leaning score -0.85 for article 6704 (high confidence, 6 verified quotes) · logged 2026-09-07

Story

📰 Trump Approval Rating Plummeting
Politics · 5 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans strongly left and hedges 4% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 12% hedged 2 of 16 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles report on a new poll's results about Donald Trump's approval rating, published on the same date.”
The Bulwark
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 8% hedged 6 of 76
“Article B discusses a broader topic (Trump's economic record working against him) and mentions the war in Iran, while Article A focuses on Trump's foreign-policy obsession, specifically mentioning an inflation-spiking war in Iran”
The Dispatch
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 5% hedged 7 of 137 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article B appears to be a general commentary on Trump's economic record and its impact on midterms, while Article A specifically discusses the tariffs' effectiveness”
The Bulwark
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 20% hedged 1 of 5
“Article B discusses Trump's economic record and its impact on the midterms, while Article A describes a recent misreading of the jobs report by Trump, but without mentioning any connection to midterms or inflation”
September 2, 2026 different event · 80%
Letters from an American
⚖️ Leans strongly left 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 59
“Article B mentions a current economic situation with gas prices surging amid the war with Iran, which does not match Article A's context of Trump's win in 2024 and its aftermath”
Reason
⚖️ Leans strongly left 🔴 35% hedged 8 of 23 📰 publisher trust 88
“Article A discusses Trump's expansion of executive power and its effects, while Article B focuses on Trump's economic record and how it is affecting his popularity in midterm elections”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 15% hedged 7 of 48 📰 publisher trust 59
“Article A discusses a hypothetical theory about Donald Trump's intentions regarding midterm elections, while Article B provides an analysis of how Trump's economic record is affecting his popularity during midterms.”
Reason
⚖️ Leans strongly left 🔴 14% hedged 5 of 36 📰 publisher trust 88
“Article B mentions a broader context of Trump's economic record and policies, while Article A focuses on a specific tariff cut on beef, suggesting they describe different aspects of Trump's presidency”
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 8% hedged 1 of 12 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article B describes a broader economic impact of Trump's policies, whereas Article A mentions his job approval rating as a predictor for midterm election performance”
Semafor
⚖️ Leans strongly left 🔴 6% hedged 2 of 36 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article A discusses polling data that shows Democrats' focus on affordability is resonating with voters, while Article B discusses how Trump's economic policies are hurting him in the midterms due to inflation and gas prices”

Publisher

Los Angeles Times · 85 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Ana Ceballos
7 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Trump’s economic agenda has emerged as an increasingly awkward liability for Republicans heading into the November elections, leaving lawmakers to defend policies that have delivered political pain at home, even as the White House argues they will pay off in the long run.
🔮 - Click here to listen to this article - - The White House has said the sweeping oil deal between the U.S. and Venezuela would make elections ‘possible’ in a country long battered by economic and other problems.
🔮 “The magnitude of difference between official information from the Department of Defense and firsthand reports from the crew should be troubling, and may have serious implications about what else the Pentagon may be withholding regarding the conflict in Iran,” Roland added.
🔮 Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), the top Democrat on the Senate Banking Committee, and nine other Senate Democrats introduced a bill Saturday that would bar the president, the vice president, their immediate family members and other senior government officials from owning or controlling banks.
🔮 There are few details about what these incentives would look like at this time, but Trump said “the amount of money spent” on tax breaks will be made up “tenfold by the money pouring into the Treasury’s coffers.”
🔮 The family would attend services regularly at Shadow Mountain Church in El Cajon, where pastors would deliver sermons like the one from a recent Sunday, calling on God to use its thousands of congregants “in a way that turns this world upside down.”
🔮 - Click here to listen to this article - - Iranian officials downplayed the significance of the pressure campaign, and suggested it could shut down all oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz. -
Also by Ana Ceballos
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 7 articles by Ana Ceballos →
Michael Wilner
7 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Trump’s economic agenda has emerged as an increasingly awkward liability for Republicans heading into the November elections, leaving lawmakers to defend policies that have delivered political pain at home, even as the White House argues they will pay off in the long run.
🔮 - Click here to listen to this article - - White House officials are betting the risks to Tehran are greater than the political costs Trump will incur in the midterm elections. -
🔮 Anxiety grips Pacific allies as Trump pulls back - Click here to listen to this article - - Trump said the annual military drills would needlessly provoke North Korea’s dictator, Kim Jong Un. - South Korea’s president responded to Trump’s last-minute decision to pull back involvement in the drills with a degree of alarm.
2026-09-06 · assertive framing · Anxiety grips Pacific allies as Trump pulls back
🔮 They sought the devices as part of their inquiry into whether Swalwell violated a federal law that makes it a crime for anyone acting under official government authority to willfully deprive a person of their constitutional rights, according to the court filings.
🔮 At issue is whether the president acting on his own may build a huge new ballroom complex that is expected to dwarf the historic Executive Mansion.
🔮 By a 5-4 vote, the justices granted an emergency appeal from Trump and his lawyers on Monday, setting aside a judge’s order that would stop the construction.
🔮 Canada’s retaliation might be felt most acutely in border states set to hold midterm elections that could swing control of the U.S. Senate.
Also by Michael Wilner
Anxiety grips Pacific allies as Trump pulls back
2026-09-06 · Los Angeles Times
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 7 articles by Michael Wilner →

Topics

Americans GOP Iran Republican Republicans

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 14× Republican NORP · 4× Americans NORP · 3× Iran GPE · 2× Republicans NORP · 2× GOP ORG · 1× U.S. GPE · 1× WASHINGTON GPE · 1× the University of Massachusetts Amherst ORG · 1× the White House ORG · 1×

Narrative

Joanne Hsu, director of the University of Michigan’s Survey of Consumers, said that gas prices were a chief frustration among Americans, and found that consumer sentiment soured rapidly once it became clear the conflict in Iran would not be short-lived. “Consumers are absolutely not feeling great about the economy right now, and the factors that are underpinning their frustrations with the economy at this time are factors that are pretty tough to turn around on short notice,” Hsu said.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-07
🔮 Trump’s economic agenda has emerged as an increasingly awkward liability for Republicans heading into the November elections, leaving lawmakers to defend policies that have delivered political pain at home, even as the White House argues they will pay off in the long run.
2026-09-07 · Los Angeles Times
Trump's economic record is working against him in the midterms · assertive framing

Claims (51 extracted, 2 hedged)

Trump’s economic record is working against him in the midterms - Click here to listen to this article - asserted
record → work → article
- Trump’s trade wars, tax cuts and immigration crackdown have driven up prices on everyday goods and gas. - asserted
wars → drive → goods
With inflation elevated and gas prices surging amid the war with Iran, voters give Trump dismal marks on the economy as Republicans brace for midterm losses. asserted
Republicans → elevate → losses
- Some GOP candidates are embracing Trump and touting his policies but others are distancing themselves from the president. asserted
others → embrace → president
A sporadic global trade war led by President Trump is fueling inflation across the U.S. economy, elevating prices on everyday goods, as the war with Iran sends the price of gas on a roller coaster. asserted
war → lead → coaster
Aggressive tax cuts have pushed the national debt past $40 trillion, driving a growing crisis in the bond market. asserted
cuts → push → market
And an unprecedented immigration crackdown is disrupting the labor supply in agriculture, construction, hospitality and food processing, raising prices even further. asserted
crackdown → disrupt → prices
Approaching the halfway point of Trump’s second term, a president who won reelection based on a promise to turn the economy around now faces a reckoning in the midterm elections centered largely on his economic record. asserted
who → approach → record
Trump’s economic agenda has emerged as an increasingly awkward liability for Republicans heading into the November elections, leaving lawmakers to defend policies that have delivered political pain at home, even as the White House argues they will pay off in the long run. asserted
they → emerge → run
Polling on Trump’s handling of the economy has remained in precariously low territory throughout the summer, entering Labor Day weekend with less than a third of Americans supporting his job performance on their most pressing concerns. asserted
third → remain → concerns
One recent poll, from the University of Massachusetts Amherst, found that only 22% perceive the economy in a good or fair state. asserted
% → find → state
And Americans’ confidence in the economy is unlikely to improve much ahead of election day, Nov. 3, in part because bad economic news has shown to sink confidence fast. asserted
news → improve → confidence
Good news takes much longer to win people back, experts said. asserted
experts → take → people
“Voters’ opinion of the economy has mostly hardened,” said Aaron Klein, chair of economic studies at the Brookings Institution. asserted
Klein → harden → Institution
“People vote the economy of the spring and summer, not November.” asserted
People → vote → spring
Good news has been harder to come by. asserted
news → come → ?
Heading into the holiday weekend, Trump dismissed communities opposed to data-center construction as “backwards and poor.” asserted
Trump → head → construction
A rapidly escalating trade dispute with Canada threatens Republican gains in battlegrounds along the northern border that could determine control of the Senate. uncertain
that → escalate → Senate
And fresh polling found that more than 90% of Americans believe corruption is rampant in Trump’s government, even as the president spends hundreds of millions of dollars on vanity projects across the capital. asserted
president → find → capital
Susan Collins, the incumbent Republican senator from Maine seeking another term in a strategically critical race, chastised the Trump administration for its latest trade spat with Ottawa as “making the job harder” of securing reelection. “There’s just nothing good you can say about them,” Collins said of the tariffs. asserted
Collins → seek → tariffs
Trump has pushed back on criticisms of his record, declaring the country has “the greatest economy we’ve ever had” and touting what he calls a manufacturing boom, all while distancing himself from potential midterm losses. asserted
he → push → losses
“I’m not affected by the election,” Trump told reporters last week. asserted
Trump → affect → reporters
“I’m not running. asserted
I → run → ?
But my party’s running, and I’m going to help my party.” asserted
I → run → party
But Rep. Mike Johnson, a Louisiana Republican and speaker of the House, said last week that the midterms would serve as a referendum on Trump’s presidency. asserted
midterms → say → presidency
“Even though his name isn’t in the midterm, his legacy is,” Johnson said. asserted
Johnson → say → midterm
Several embattled incumbents fear that’s the case and are distancing themselves from the president. asserted
that → fear → president
Several Republican lawmakers — including Reps. Tom Barrett of Michigan and Zach Nunn of Iowa — plan on skipping a midterm GOP convention called by Trump for this week in Texas. asserted
lawmakers → include → Texas
Joanne Hsu, director of the University of Michigan’s Survey of Consumers, said that gas prices were a chief frustration among Americans, and found that consumer sentiment soured rapidly once it became clear the conflict in Iran would not be short-lived. “Consumers are absolutely not feeling great about the economy right now, and the factors that are underpinning their frustrations with the economy at this time are factors that are pretty tough to turn around on short notice,” Hsu said. asserted
Hsu → say → notice
Even if the Iran conflict reached a resolution, confidence in the economy is likely to change only when the prices are reflected at the gas station, she said. asserted
she → reach → station
“When it comes to the views of the economy, it’s really about what’s happening to my wallet,” Hsu said. asserted
Hsu → come → wallet
During a White House press media briefing on Thursday,Vice President JD Vance acknowledged the Iran war has led gas prices to rise and that he does not know when Americans can expect those prices to go down. asserted
prices → acknowledge → prices
“The reason gas prices are so high now is because the Iranians are shooting at commercial shipping,” Vance said. asserted
Vance → shoot → shipping
But I am not going to make a promise about when it is going to return to $3.” asserted
it → go → 3
The day after Vance spoke, diesel hit a record all-time high of $5.85 a gallon. asserted
diesel → speak → 5.85
In California, it sold for as much as $7.71. asserted
it → sell → 7.71
Yet Trump has tried to downplay the economic pressure the war in Iran is placing on Americans, in particular as the Strait of Hormuz — a vital shipping corridor for oil and gas — remains under threat by Iranian troops. asserted
Strait → try → troops
“We have the Strait of Hormuz in extremely good shape,” Trump said, adding that the U.S. Navy has escorted ships through the channel. asserted
Navy → have → channel
“A lot of oil is coming out. asserted
lot → come → oil
That’s why you haven’t seen the price of oil going the way they thought it might have to go.” uncertain
it → ’ → oil
…and 11 more, not listed.
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