Who are the AfD? Germany’s far-right party on the brink of power in key state

The Independent · collected 2026-09-07 · by Andy Gregory and James C. Reynolds
Read the original at The Independent ↗

Summary

The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party won nearly 44% of the vote in Saxony-Anhalt state elections, falling short of an absolute majority but delivering a significant blow to Chancellor Friedrich Merz's government. The AfD has sought to restrict immigration and establish better ties with Russia, and its leadership in Saxony-Anhalt could lead to sweeping reforms on various issues. According to official results, support for the CDU party slumped to 17.2%, while the AfD won 39 of the 83 seats. France and Poland reacted with alarm to the election results, while Russia's presidential envoy hailed it as an "historic win" for the AfD.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-07, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
37
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
3%
1 of 37 hedged
Leaning
Leans right
of the writing, not the subject
Publisher trust
59.0
red-flag proxy, not a credibility rating
Outlets on this story
61
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-07 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

A far-right party called the Alternative for Germany (AfD) is poised to gain power in a state election in Saxony-Anhalt, which would be the first time a far-right party has held state-level power in Germany since World War II. The AfD's candidate, Ulrich Siegmund, has been campaigning on a platform that includes restricting immigration, quitting the Euro, and restoring ties with Russia. According to exit polls, the AfD is leading with around 44% of the vote, more than double its showing five years ago in the region.

This election could have significant implications for German politics and potentially signal a shift towards a harder-right path for the EU's biggest economy. The AfD has been gaining popularity in recent years, buoyed by popular disillusion with successive governments in Berlin and drawing support from formerly communist states in the east. A win for the AfD would also mean that they could overcome the "firewall" of mainstream parties' refusal to work with them.

The election is seen as a potentially historic shift in German politics, and the outcome will be closely watched by observers around the world. If the AfD does gain power, it would likely lead to significant changes in areas such as education, immigration policy, and foreign relations.

Written for “Germany's AfD Rise to Power” on 2026-09-12, grounded in this article and the 60 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Score +0.35 Confidence high
Leaning score +0.35 for article 6660 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-09-11

Story

📰 Germany's AfD Rise to Power
Politics · 61 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans right and hedges 3% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
CBC News · 0.87 cosine similarity
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 14% hedged 7 of 49 📰 publisher trust 95
“Both articles report on the Alternative for Germany (AfD) winning historic victory in Saxony-Anhalt state elections on the same day, September 7, 2026”
The Independent · 0.86 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 23% hedged 7 of 31 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles report on the same state election in Saxony-Anhalt where the AfD party won a significant number of votes, with official results showing they secured 39 seats out of 83.”
CBC News
⚖️ Leans left further left than this 🔴 26% hedged 15 of 58 📰 publisher trust 95
“Both articles report on the same state election in Saxony-Anhalt, held on Sunday (exact date not specified), where AfD won nearly 44% of the vote and gained control.”
NPR
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 8% hedged 3 of 37 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles describe the AfD party winning a state election in Saxony-Anhalt, with similar details on their vote share and the implications of the result.”
Semafor
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 20% hedged 1 of 5 📰 publisher trust 96
“Both articles report on the same state elections in Saxony-Anhalt where AfD won nearly 44% of the vote and fell short of an absolute majority.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Centre further left than this 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 2 📰 publisher trust 96
“Both articles report on the AfD's historic victory in Saxony-Anhalt state election”
CBS News
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 13% hedged 8 of 63 📰 publisher trust 60
“Both articles describe the same regional election in Saxony-Anhalt, Germany on Sunday (September 6 or 7, exact date not specified), where the AfD party won nearly 44% of the vote and is close to forming a state government.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 9% hedged 4 of 47 📰 publisher trust 58
“Both articles describe the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party winning state elections in Saxony-Anhalt, with Article A mentioning Magdeburg and the broader European context, while Article B provides more specific election results and international reactions.”
Times of India
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 35% hedged 9 of 26 📰 publisher trust 94
“Both articles report on the outcome of the Saxony-Anhalt state election, which saw the AfD party win nearly 44% of the vote and gain 39 seats.”
Fox News
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 13% hedged 7 of 52 📰 publisher trust 95
“Both articles report on the same state election in Saxony-Anhalt and mention the AfD's historic victory, with identical locations and outcomes.”

Publisher

The Independent · 254 article(s) · 1 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 1 correction(s)
2026-09-04
Pennsylvania confirms second death of child with measles after RFK Jr. told CDC director to delete numbers

Who wrote this

James C. Reynolds
7 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Voters will head to the polls on Sunday for a tight election that stands to decide whether the country will shun the direction of the last government or deepen this political shift.
🔮 The price of oil touched $108 a barrel on Friday for the first time since May after the Houthis captured Yemen’s strategic port city of Mokha.
🔮 Leadership in Saxony-Anhalt could see sweeping reforms around migration, education, culture and family, offering a preview of the AfD’s plans for the country ahead of the 2029 national elections.
🔮 AfD had been looking to secure an absolute majority of above 50 per cent, to ensure they could try and implement their own radical agenda.
🔮 In the weeks leading up to Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, the headlines in a Kyiv newspaper looked much like they would anywhere else.
🔮 The far-right will be vying to seize its first taste of power in Germany since the Second World war on Sunday as voters head to the polls in the eastern state of Saxony-Anhalt.
🔮 It was the first known trip to Moscow by a US spy chief since his predecessor, William Burns, held talks with Vladimir Putin in November 2021.
More on this subject from James C. Reynolds
All 7 articles by James C. Reynolds →
Andy Gregory
1 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Leadership in Saxony-Anhalt could see sweeping reforms around migration, education, culture and family, offering a preview of the AfD’s plans for the country ahead of the 2029 national elections.
The only article under this byline in the corpus.

Topics

AfD Alternative for Germany CDU Russia Saxony-Anhalt

Subjects

AfD ORG · 15× Germany GPE · 5× Saxony-Anhalt GPE · 4× Russia GPE · 3× Alternative for Germany ORG · 2× CDU ORG · 2× Islam ORG · 2× Ukraine GPE · 2× Friedrich Merz’s PERSON · 1× Merz PERSON · 1×

Narrative

Mass protests broke out in early 2024 amid calls from parliamentarians to ban the party, after a bombshell investigation exposed a secret meeting with far-right extremists in Potsdam to discuss the mass deportation of foreigners and “non-assimilated” Germans should the AfD win power. But while AfD politicians initially denied the reports as a smear, the party began actively campaigning for “remigration” – deportations – just weeks later.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-07
🔮 Leadership in Saxony-Anhalt could see sweeping reforms around migration, education, culture and family, offering a preview of the AfD’s plans for the country ahead of the 2029 national elections.
2026-09-07 · The Independent
Who are the AfD? Germany’s far-right party on the brink of power in key state · assertive framing

Claims (37 extracted, 1 hedged)

The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party has won an historic victory in state elections in the east of the country, delivering a fresh blow to Friedrich Merz’s ailing government and paving the way for the party to trial its radical policies. asserted
party → win → policies
The anti-immigration, pro-Russia AfD won nearly 44% of the vote in Saxony-Anhalt, official results showed, falling short of an absolute majority with 39 of the 83 seats, while support for Merz’s CDU slumped to just 17.2%. asserted
support → win → %
Both France and Poland reacted to the election results with alarm, while Russia’s presidential envoy Kirill Dmitriev hailed an “historic win for the pragmatic AfD”. asserted
envoy → react → AfD
The AfD was only formed in 2013 but is already the country’s most popular party at the national level. asserted
AfD → form → level
It has sought to secure a foothold for advancing its agenda, which includes heavy restrictions on immigration, better ties with Russia, and leaving the euro. asserted
which → seek → euro
Leadership in Saxony-Anhalt could see sweeping reforms around migration, education, culture and family, offering a preview of the AfD’s plans for the country ahead of the 2029 national elections. uncertain
Leadership → see → elections
Alice Weidel, co-leader of the party at the national level, presented Sunday’s result as a milestone and said her party aimed to win at least 40 per cent in the upcoming federal elections. asserted
party → present → elections
The party Alternative for Germany (AfD) was first set up in 2013, with its initial manifesto focusing solely on dissolving the Eurozone and opposing bailouts for countries struggling with the debt crisis. asserted
manifesto → set → crisis
Founded by breakaway members of the conservative CDU party, it was initially dubbed a “party of professors” and veered away from harsh anti-migrant sentiment, crafting a reputational shield against accusations of extremism. However, a series of leadership changes saw the party veer further into a hardline territory marked by its anti-migrant and anti-Islam stance, and rooted in nativism, following successes in regional elections. asserted
party → found → elections
Earlier this year, the party revealed some of its proposals for governance in a lengthy ‘programme’ for Saxony-Anhalt, detailing plans to clamp down on immigration, restore ties with Russia and support families of German origin. asserted
party → reveal → origin
The party outlined plans for a task force to expedite deportations, while the children of refugees would be placed in separate classes at schools. They also said schools would be banned from flying rainbow flags, with the national flag raised daily instead. asserted
flag → outline → flags
Schoolchildren would follow a curriculum built around a ‘patriotic cultural policy’ and be expected to sing the national anthem at school events. asserted
Schoolchildren → follow → events
An AfD state government would advocate for removing war refugee status for Ukrainians in Germany as long as the conflict remains concentrated in eastern Ukraine, arguing they should seek refuge in western Ukraine. Since 2023, Germany’s domestic intelligence agency BfV has listed AfD as a suspected extremist organisation which requires surveillance, while classifying its youth wing Young Alternative as extremist. asserted
which → advocate → wing
The country’s mainstream parties have all refused to work with the AfD as part of a Brandmauer, or ‘firewall’, against the far-right. asserted
parties → refuse → right
But none currently appear to be able to muster the popular support to defeat the party on their own. asserted
none → appear → own
What has AfD said about Islam and Nazism? asserted
AfD → say → Islam
While it ostensibly began as a ‘party of professors’, by the time of the 2017 election - which saw the party enter the Bundestag for the first time with 12.6 per cent of the vote - AfD’s manifesto was claiming that “Islam does not belong in Germany”. asserted
Islam → begin → Germany
The party said that Germany’s Muslim population posed “a great danger to our state, our society and our system of values”. asserted
population → say → values
The more recent proposals for Saxony-Anhalt promised an AfD state government would exhaust “all legal avenues” to limit Islamic expression. asserted
government → promise → expression
The AfD dismisses accusations of extremism as scaremongering and an insult to the party's millions of supporters. asserted
AfD → dismiss → supporters
But party members have shown sympathy for Germany’s Nazi past. asserted
members → show → past
Bjorn Hocke, AfD’s leader in the eastern state of Thuringia, has twice been fined by a court for using the banned slogan “Alles für Deutschland” (Everything for Germany) during public speeches, which was engraved on the daggers of Nazi SA Stormtroopers. asserted
which → fin → Stormtroopers
Mr Hocke, whose branch won in state elections last September – marking the first such far-right victory in post-war Germany – has also described Berlin’s Holocaust Memorial as “a monument of shame”, and has called for a “180-degree turn” in how Germany remembers its past. asserted
Germany → win → past
Alexander Gauland, an AfD co-founder and former leader, has claimed that Germans should “have the right to be proud of the achievements of the German soldiers in two world wars”. asserted
Germans → claim → wars
The AfD’s rhetoric on immigration has also increasingly tested the boundaries of Germany’s post-war society. asserted
rhetoric → test → society
Mass protests broke out in early 2024 amid calls from parliamentarians to ban the party, after a bombshell investigation exposed a secret meeting with far-right extremists in Potsdam to discuss the mass deportation of foreigners and “non-assimilated” Germans should the AfD win power. But while AfD politicians initially denied the reports as a smear, the party began actively campaigning for “remigration” – deportations – just weeks later. asserted
party → break → remigration
How has support for AfD grown? asserted
support → grow → AfD
Despite the efforts of the mainstream parties to contain the rise of the AfD, the party has gone from strength to strength in recent years. asserted
party → contain → years
The party won just 4.7 per cent of the vote in their first federal election in 2013. asserted
party → win → 2013
That had climbed to 12.6 per cent by 2017, before falling to 10.4 per cent in 2021, and then doubling to 20.8 per cent last year. asserted
That → climb → cent
At the state level, victory in Saxony-Anhalt this weekend illustrates the simultaneous drop in support for Merz’s party on the centre-right, which has led the state for 24 years. asserted
which → illustrate → years
The AfD claimed 43.8 per cent of the vote, more than double its showing five years ago. asserted
AfD → claim → vote
Turnout was very high at 77.8 per cent and the party appeared to have won over many people who did not vote last time around. asserted
who → appear → people
Once previously the party won a state election in neighbouring Thuringia but did not end up governing, as a CDU governor took power with a minority government. asserted
governor → win → government
CDU state candidate Sven Schulze attributed part of his party's poor performance over the weekend to developments in Berlin, where Merz — the most unpopular chancellor in German history — is struggling to revive Germany's sluggish economic growth. asserted
Merz → attribute → growth
Merz faces more state elections in the coming weeks and into next year, though he hopes his mix of reforms and higher spending in some areas will revive growth in Europe's largest economy. asserted
mix → face → economy
The euro was little changed in Monday trade but analysts are closely monitoring the surge in support for far-right parties across Europe, noting that the AfD wants to take Germany out of the common currency. asserted
AfD → monitor → currency
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