SUE REID: Germany in shock as hard-Right party stands on the brink of power

News | Mail Online · collected 2026-09-07 · by Sue Reid analysis
Read the original at News | Mail Online ↗

Summary

Germany is on the brink of a political earthquake as an exit poll shows that the hard-Right nationalist party Alternative for Germany (AfD) may win control of Saxony-Anhalt regional parliament, with 44.5% of voters backing them. The AfD's victory would be the first time a far-Right party has taken power in the region since the end of Nazi rule eight decades ago. If successful, the AfD plans to deport all illegal migrants, shut the border, and halt wind farm construction. The outcome is seen as a major blow for German Chancellor Friedrich Merz's CDU party, which is expected to lose power in the region.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-07, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
26
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
4%
1 of 26 hedged
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject
Publisher trust
57.6
red-flag proxy, not a credibility rating
Outlets on this story
42
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-07 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

In a closely watched regional election, Germany's far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is poised to gain power in the eastern state of Saxony-Anhalt. The AfD is expected to secure at least 44% of the vote, more than double its showing five years ago, according to exit polls. This would give the party a significant majority and potentially mark the first time a far-right party has held state-level power in Germany since World War II.

The AfD's rise to prominence is seen as a threat to mainstream parties, including Chancellor Friedrich Merz's Christian Democratic Union (CDU), which is currently leading the state. The party's success is attributed to its promise to restrict immigration and restore ties with Russia, as well as its charismatic leader, Ulrich Siegmund.

A victory for the AfD in Saxony-Anhalt would be a significant milestone for the party, which has been gaining momentum in recent years. It could also have broader implications for German politics, potentially leading to a shift towards a harder line on immigration and European integration.

Experts warn that an AfD government could lead to significant changes in areas such as education and foreign policy, including creating separate classrooms for refugees and promoting a patriotism agenda that focuses less on the country's Nazi past. The party has also been accused of adopting tactics inspired by President Trump, including casting doubt on the integrity of absentee voting.

The outcome of the election is still uncertain, but it is clear that the AfD's rise to power would be a historic event with significant implications for Germany and Europe.

Written for “Far-Right Party's Rise in Germany” on 2026-09-07, grounded in this article and the 41 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Score -0.35 Confidence high
Leaning score -0.35 for article 6532 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-09-07

Story

📰 Far-Right Party's Rise in Germany
Politics · 42 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 4% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Sydney Morning Herald - Latest News · 0.87 cosine similarity
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 12% hedged 4 of 34 📰 publisher trust 97
“Both articles report on the same regional election results, citing the Alternative for Germany (AfD) winning 44-44.5% of the vote in Saxony-Anhalt.”
CBC | World News
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 26% hedged 15 of 58 📰 publisher trust 95
“Both articles describe the same vote for regional parliament in Saxony-Anhalt, with article A mentioning Sunday's vote and article B referencing last night's exit poll showing a projected victory of the AfD party”
BBC News
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 16% hedged 7 of 44 📰 publisher trust 96
“Both articles describe the same election in Saxony-Anhalt, Germany, with Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) on the brink of winning a majority in the regional parliament for the first time.”
Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera
⚖️ Centre further right than this 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 2 📰 publisher trust 96
“Both articles report on the projected win of the far-right AfD party in the Saxony-Anhalt election, citing a similar exit poll figure (44.5%) and the significance of it being the first time a far-right party has taken control of a regional parliament since World War II.”
Home - CBSNews.com
⚖️ Leans right further right than this 🔴 13% hedged 8 of 63 📰 publisher trust 60
“Both articles report on the same regional election in Saxony-Anhalt, with similar exit poll results for the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party”
The Straits Times World News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 30% hedged 3 of 10 📰 publisher trust 94
“Both articles report on the same exit poll results from the Saxony-Anhalt state elections, held on September 6, with the AfD winning 44.5% of the vote.”
World News, Today World News, Latest International News, World Breaking News, Trending News of World - Times of India
⚖️ Leans right further right than this 🔴 35% hedged 9 of 26 📰 publisher trust 94
“Both articles report on the same state election in Saxony-Anhalt, with the same outcome (AfD's potential win) and timing (same date)”
World news | The Guardian
⚖️ Leans right further right than this 🔴 12% hedged 4 of 34 📰 publisher trust 93
“Both articles report on the exit poll results of the Saxony-Anhalt state election, citing a predicted AfD victory and its implications.”
Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans right further right than this 🔴 10% hedged 2 of 20 📰 publisher trust 96
“Both articles report on the same state election in Saxony-Anhalt, with identical parties and outcome projections.”
CBC | World News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 7% hedged 2 of 30 📰 publisher trust 95
“Both articles describe the same regional election in Saxony-Anhalt on Sunday, with similar details about the AfD's performance and implications for German politics.”

Publisher

News | Mail Online · 186 article(s) · 2 correction(s) detected
SignalValueWeight
Correction rate 0.011 0.4
Uncertainty density 0.090 0.25
Assertive mismatch rate 1.000 0.35
Running correction rate · 2 correction(s)
2026-09-07
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2026-09-06
Clarifications and corrections

Who wrote this

Sue Reid
2 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 - See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source Germany stands on the brink of a political earthquake as a hard-Right nationalist party looks set to take control of a regional parliament for the first time since the end of Nazi rule eight decades ago. Last night an official exit poll showed that 44.5 per cent of voters in the sprawling eastern state of Saxony-Anhalt backed the xenophobic and anti-migration party Alternative for Germany (AfD).
🔮 - See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source The rise of the Right across Europe is being spearheaded from the German medieval city of Magdeburg, where today a nationalist party is expected to seize power for the first time since Nazism was destroyed and Hitler committed suicide in a Berlin bunker.
More on this subject from Sue Reid

Topics

AfD Alternative for Germany CDU Germany Saxony-Anhalt

Subjects

AfD ORG · 13× Saxony-Anhalt GPE · 7× CDU ORG · 4× Alternative for Germany ORG · 3× German NORP · 3× Germany GPE · 3× Merz PERSON · 3× Ulrich Siegmund PERSON · 3× East Germany GPE · 2× Magdeburg GPE · 2×

Narrative

Members and supporters of the hard-Hard Alternative for Germany (AfD) party react after the first exit poll results were announced at the AfD's election party on September 6, 2026 The prospect of a hard-Right state drew thousands of the AfD's opponents to a rally on Saturday in Magdeburg, the regional capital, with banners saying 'Life is better without Nazis' The result was a stinging rebuke to German Chancellor Friedrich Merz (pictured), whose centre-Right Christian Democratic Union (CDU) finished far behind AfD on around 17 per cent In 2024, a Saudi refugee ploughed a BMW 4X4 into crowds at the Christmas market in one of Magdeburg's squares.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-07
🔮 - See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source Germany stands on the brink of a political earthquake as a hard-Right nationalist party looks set to take control of a regional parliament for the first time since the end of Nazi rule eight decades ago. Last night an official exit poll showed that 44.5 per cent of voters in the sprawling eastern state of Saxony-Anhalt backed the xenophobic and anti-migration party Alternative for Germany (AfD).
2026-09-07 · News | Mail Online
SUE REID: Germany in shock as hard-Right party stands on the brink of power · assertive framing

Claims (26 extracted, 1 hedged)

- See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source Germany stands on the brink of a political earthquake as a hard-Right nationalist party looks set to take control of a regional parliament for the first time since the end of Nazi rule eight decades ago. Last night an official exit poll showed that 44.5 per cent of voters in the sprawling eastern state of Saxony-Anhalt backed the xenophobic and anti-migration party Alternative for Germany (AfD). asserted
cent → see → Germany
The projected victory set alarm bells ringing in Berlin and Brussels as the AfD has pledged to 'protect the homeland' by deporting all illegal migrants, shutting the border, banning LGBTQ rainbow flags in state schools and halting the construction of new wind farms. asserted
AfD → project → farms
Its leader in the state, 35-year-old Ulrich Siegmund, also wants to reform the public broadcasters, end compulsory school attendance and rewrite school history books, which focus too much for his liking on the crimes of the Third Reich. asserted
which → want → Reich
The AfD feeds on a sense of nostalgia for communist East Germany in Saxony-Anhalt and simmering resentment over the wealth gap between it and the former West Germany decades after the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989. asserted
AfD → feed → 1989
The prospect of a hard-Right state drew thousands of the AfD's opponents to a rally on Saturday in Magdeburg, the regional capital, with banners saying 'Life is better without Nazis'. asserted
Life → draw → Nazis
Alternative for Germany (AfD) national co-leaders Alice Weidel (left) and Tino Chrupalla (right) congratulate Ulrich Siegmund (centre), the party's victorious candidate in Saxony-Anhalt AfD has tapped into a sense of nostalgia for communist East Germany, using props like the Simson scooter Ulrich Siegmund and his wife arrived at the polling station in Tangermuende on asserted
Siegmund → congratulate → Tangermuende
'No matter the outcome of tomorrow's election, we have already made history,' Siegmund told cheering supporters. asserted
Siegmund → make → supporters
'Because what we have started here in Saxony-Anhalt – that is currently sweeping across all of Germany – can no longer be stopped. asserted
that → start → Germany
The official result will be announced early today, but the German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, the CDU leader, is already tipped to cut state funds to Saxony-Anhalt if AfD does win. asserted
AfD → announce → Anhalt
He is expected to create a so-called 'firewall', in alliance with Left-wing parties, that would exclude the AfD's politicians from sensitive government intelligence briefings due to alleged, but unproven, links to Russia. asserted
that → expect → Russia
But with the CDU expected to lose power in the region after its share of the vote, according to the exit poll, plunged from 36 per cent four years ago to 18 per cent, Merz has never been more at risk. uncertain
Merz → expect → risk
'If the AfD wins in Saxony-Anhalt, Merz's critics will become even more vocal and calls for better leadership will become impossible to ignore,' said political scientist Wolfgang Schroeder of Kassel University. asserted
Schroeder → win → University
The AfD's star has risen as fast as the CDU's has fallen in recent months, with Merz's popularity rating at the lowest level ever recorded for a German Chancellor in post-war history. asserted
CDU → rise → history
It stems from his failure to control immigration, with 15million migrants entering the country, many illegally, since 2015 when the then Chancellor Angela Merkel, one of his predecessors as leader of the CDU, opened the border to Syrians fleeing civil war – a move that provoked a mass inrush from not just Syria but the Middle East, Africa and Balkans. asserted
that → stem → Syria
Germany has since been plagued by rapes and sexual assaults, often perpetrated by individuals who entered the country as part of the migrant surge, police figures show. asserted
figures → plague → surge
Members and supporters of the hard-Hard Alternative for Germany (AfD) party react after the first exit poll results were announced at the AfD's election party on September 6, 2026 The prospect of a hard-Right state drew thousands of the AfD's opponents to a rally on Saturday in Magdeburg, the regional capital, with banners saying 'Life is better without Nazis' The result was a stinging rebuke to German Chancellor Friedrich Merz (pictured), whose centre-Right Christian Democratic Union (CDU) finished far behind AfD on around 17 per cent In 2024, a Saudi refugee ploughed a BMW 4X4 into crowds at the Christmas market in one of Magdeburg's squares. asserted
refugee → react → squares
Six were killed, including a nine-year-old boy, and hundreds injured. asserted
hundreds → kill → boy
Yesterday, in the same square, voters emerging from a polling booth told me they wanted no more atrocities. asserted
they → emerge → atrocities
Alexander von alten Blaskowitz, 76, said: 'These attacks have happened way too often. asserted
attacks → say → ?
Christian, 40, and Katharina, 37, said immigration had to stop: 'Criminals should be kicked out and a person's religion considered when deciding who to let in.' asserted
religion → say → who
The AfD has become the main opposition in German parliament, polling nationally at more than 20 per cent. asserted
AfD → become → cent
In Magdeburg, AfD supporters sang the national anthem and listened to leaders' speeches at the final rallies before polling began. But tensions were high with opponents watching nearby amid a huge police presence. asserted
opponents → sing → presence
When a German woman in a burka tried to enter the AfD zone to 'talk to a politician', she was refused entry by security and led away by police as she screamed: 'I'm afraid they will expel all Muslims.' asserted
they → try → Muslims
When Hans-Thomas Tillschneider, the region's AfD vice-chairman, was later asked about the confrontation, he said: 'We would send back all who don't have legal status. asserted
who → ask → status
Saxony-Anhalt should think more German, be proud of their German identity. asserted
Anhalt → think → identity
Even Elon Musk says it's OK to be German.' asserted
it → say → ?
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