Geoff Russ: Conservatives have ceded love of Canada to Liberal vanity

National Post · collected 2026-09-05 · by Carson Jerema analysis
Read the original at National Post ↗

Summary

Geoff Russ writes an opinion piece arguing that Canadian conservatism has lost its way by allowing the Liberals to co-opt their best policies. A recent trio of byelections saw the Liberals sweep majorities in every seat, with polls indicating the Conservatives would win only 84 seats if an election were held tomorrow. Russ suggests that Canadian conservatism is in decline and urges those on the right to accept this reality rather than trying to revive past momentum. He believes the Conservative party must adapt to changing voter demographics and find new ways to appeal to Canadians, particularly young people who are disillusioned with the current economic model.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-06, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
45
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
4%
2 of 45 hedged
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher trust
95.8
red-flag proxy, not a credibility rating
Outlets on this story
unclustered
not grouped into a story yet
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-06 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.55, but none of the 3 quote(s) it offered could be found in the article text, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 5009: no verified evidence · logged 2026-09-06

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 4% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Globe and Mail
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 10% hedged 3 of 30 📰 publisher trust 37
“Article A discusses election interference accusations by PQ Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, while Article B is unrelated commentary on Conservative policies being adopted by Liberals”
National Post
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 9% hedged 3 of 34 📰 publisher trust 96
“The articles cover different topics, with one discussing trade tariffs and government policies, and the other criticizing the Liberal party for appropriating Conservative ideas”
www.thestar.com - RSS Results of type article
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 12% hedged 4 of 32 📰 publisher trust 62
“Article B discusses a broader topic of Canadian conservatism and policy appropriation by Liberals, without mentioning the specific party turmoil or defections described in Article A.”
National Post
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 6% hedged 3 of 52 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article A discusses a backlash against data centre projects in Canada, while Article B is an opinion piece on Conservative policies being co-opted by Prime Minister Mark Carney's government”
National Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 17% hedged 10 of 58 📰 publisher trust 96
“The two articles discuss unrelated topics, one regarding a poll on Canadian views of the US under Trump and the other criticizing Conservatives for ceding their ideas to Liberals”
The Globe and Mail
⚖️ Leans strongly right 🔴 11% hedged 3 of 28 📰 publisher trust 37
“Article A discusses a poll about Canadian support for Prime Minister Mark Carney's trade policies, while Article B is an opinion piece about Conservative Party policies being co-opted by the Liberal party”
globalnews.ca
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 8% hedged 4 of 51 📰 publisher trust 50
“Article A refers to a specific statement made by Prime Minister Mark Carney in September 2025 regarding Canada's recognition of Palestine, while Article B does not mention this event at all and instead discusses the adoption of Conservative policies by the Liberal party”
The Globe and Mail
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 27 📰 publisher trust 37
“Article A discusses a news conference by CAQ Leader Christine Fréchette in Lorraine, while Article B discusses a completely unrelated topic about Canadian politics and policies”
National Post
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 5% hedged 1 of 22 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article A describes a separatist rally on September 1 to coincide with Alberta's birthday, while Article B does not mention any event on September 1 and discusses Liberal appropriation of Conservative policies”
The Globe and Mail
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 6 📰 publisher trust 37
“Article A describes a campaign launch by the federal Conservatives to encourage Albertans to vote against separation in an upcoming referendum, while Article B discusses how Conservative policies are being adopted and modified by Liberals, without mentioning any specific event or action.”

Publisher

National Post · 120 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
SignalValueWeight
Correction rate 0.000 0.4
Uncertainty density 0.084 0.25
Assertive mismatch rate 0.000 0.35
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Carson Jerema
13 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 A state may maintain its own names database or have other policies that govern state map production, but typically and for consistency, they use the names in GNIS.
🔮 However, policies are not copyrighted, and the public will not judge Carney for championing an expanded housing supply, accelerated major projects, and stronger national defence, among other plans.
🔮 Instead, CBC highlights how differently the case would proceed if the killings had happened in Canada and the trial were heard here.
🔮 It would be hard to deny that a trade war is a bad time to impose new costs on Canadians and it’s encouraging to see the government acknowledge this.
🔮 Thirty years ago, women’s golf was scandalized when CBS sports commentator Ben Wright allegedly claimed that women were “handicapped” by virtue of having breasts, which, he stupidly claimed, would “get in the way” of their golf swings.
🔮 Exner-Pirot argues that any attempt to inflict economic pain on the U.S. could backfire on Canada, hurting domestic oil producers, disrupting supply chains, and inviting further American retaliation.
🔮 Anyone willing to bet Findlay will remain at the party’s helm longer than the typical leafy green can prevail in your fridge clearly isn’t paying attention to current events.
🔮 The new, higher U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods have come into effect, and Canada has officially confirmed the retaliatory tariffs that will come into effect on Sept. 8.
🔮 If it was worth producing, the government wouldn’t need to force Netflix or Amazon to fund it, or to alter their algorithms to promote it.
🔮 The next massive blackout may happen because trade barriers raised the cost of preventing it beyond the industry’s ability to afford resilience.
More on this subject from Carson Jerema
J.D. Tuccille: Canada can win at trade by ignoring Trump
2026-08-25 · National Post · 60% similar
All 13 articles by Carson Jerema →

Topics

Canada Canadian Conservative Conservatives Liberals

Subjects

Canada GPE · 6× Conservative NORP · 5× Liberals NORP · 5× Canadian NORP · 3× Carney PERSON · 3× Canadians NORP · 2× Conservatives NORP · 2× Liberal NORP · 2× Poilievre PERSON · 2× Mark Carney PERSON · 1×

Narrative

The best lines and policies it has pitched to voters are being appropriated and stolen by the Liberals, altered, and presented to the public as if Prime Minister Mark Carney himself had thought of them. Recommended Videos Pierre Poilievre and other Conservative party figures can try to gloat through the pain and sneer that they are the faction with the best ideas.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-06
🔮 However, policies are not copyrighted, and the public will not judge Carney for championing an expanded housing supply, accelerated major projects, and stronger national defence, among other plans.
2026-09-06 · National Post
Geoff Russ: Conservatives have ceded love of Canada to Liberal vanity · assertive framing

Claims (45 extracted, 2 hedged)

The best lines and policies it has pitched to voters are being appropriated and stolen by the Liberals, altered, and presented to the public as if Prime Minister Mark Carney himself had thought of them. Recommended Videos Pierre Poilievre and other Conservative party figures can try to gloat through the pain and sneer that they are the faction with the best ideas. asserted
they → pitch → ideas
However, policies are not copyrighted, and the public will not judge Carney for championing an expanded housing supply, accelerated major projects, and stronger national defence, among other plans. asserted
public → copyright → plans
Imitation only flatters the people in power, not the opposition, and Carney is reaping the benefits of his own popularity. asserted
Carney → flatter → popularity
He can pick the 2025 Conservative platform clean, without a care in the world, and blend what he takes with his own agenda and the leftovers of the Trudeau government. asserted
he → pick → government
It is very possible that the current era of Canadian conservatism, with its genesis in carbon taxes and the pandemic, is winding down as a viable force. asserted
era → wind → force
In the summer of 2024, it appeared to be ascendant both federally and provincially. asserted
it → appear → 2024
On Monday, the Liberals swept a trio of byelections with majorities in every one, retaining two seats they had won in the 2025 federal election and seizing one more from the Conservatives in Quebec. asserted
they → sweep → Quebec
An August 30 projection from 338Canada has the Conservatives winning just 84 seats if an election were held tomorrow. asserted
election → have → seats
Those on the right should not waste time on the first four. asserted
Those → waste → four
They’ve had since April 28, 2025, to accept that the momentum built over the past few years will not produce a Conservative government anytime soon. asserted
momentum → have → government
The wheels have come off the bus, and it is time to start looking for a new vehicle. asserted
it → come → vehicle
To be clear, Poilievre’s economic populism has tremendous merit. asserted
populism → have → merit
Indeed, Canada’s youth are being crushed by a cartel economic model that greatly benefits the asset-rich, while imported labour and other impediments delay their adulthood and careers. asserted
labour → crush → adulthood
One of the best things to happen under Poilievre’s leadership has been the broadening of the Conservative voter pool, encompassing everyone from frustrated younger voters to blue-collar workers rallying to the Conservative standard. asserted
One → happen → standard
Keeping the tent open to them is essential going forward. asserted
Keeping → keep → them
Still, the loss of boomers and other older suburban voters was a crushing blow. asserted
loss → crush → boomers
Carney and the Liberals still possess another massive advantage: ownership of a largely, semi-fictional version of Canada. asserted
Carney → possess → Canada
When Donald Trump began his rhetorical war on Canada, the Liberals were, for that reason, very comfortable waving the flag, to devastating electoral effect. asserted
Liberals → begin → effect
The recent byelections proved that once again. asserted
byelections → prove → that
The Canadian right is very good at attacking Liberal economics and spending, but is rather hapless when it comes to critiquing the Liberals’ national narrative, much less offering a strong alternative. asserted
it → attack → alternative
Canadians are more emotional than they pretend to be. asserted
they → pretend → ?
They have a longstanding pattern of somewhat irrationally rallying around the flag, especially when threatened with economic or political absorption into the United States. asserted
They → have → States
Our attachments to loved ones are not perfectly rational, yet who would question enduring great pain or even shedding blood to protect them? asserted
who → love → them
Love of country applies too. asserted
Love → apply → country
Attacking Liberal vanity with a calculator and tax fact sheets will not displace their strange, administrative nationalism that so many Canadians are inspired by, owing to the lack of an alternative. asserted
Canadians → attack → alternative
Nor can the right simply copy and paste the ideals of the American Revolution and graft them onto Canada. asserted
right → copy → Canada
Taken together or individually, these are inherently liberal conceptions of what constitutes a people, and the right should move away from trying to craft its own liberal “idea” of Canada. asserted
right → take → Canada
Properly understood, Canada is the sum of its Canadian people, their Canadian history, and their Canadian sacrifices. asserted
Canada → understand → people
There is great value and power there that goes beyond ideology. asserted
that → be → ideology
Currently, Canadians are not even granted legitimacy on their own land if the land acknowledgements recited by the federal government are regarded as the official Liberal position. asserted
acknowledgements → grant → position
There is a wider range for Conservatives to pitch a right-of-centre and nationalist alternative for Canada than many think. asserted
many → be → Canada
How else should they spend their current spell in the wilderness? asserted
they → spend → wilderness
As recently as the spring, British Columbia promised to become a laboratory of revitalized conservative governance in the wake of a weak, flailing NDP government. asserted
Columbia → promise → government
All the party needed was the right leader, and it could become the right’s political vanguard in the Carney era. uncertain
it → need → era
That leadership race was won by Kerry-Lynne Findlay, a former federal MP and cabinet minister under Stephen Harper, whose experience in Ottawa was touted as a great advantage. asserted
experience → win → advantage
Three months after her victory, no fewer than nine provincial Conservative MLAs have bolted to become independents, citing poor ethics, coziness with Alberta separatists, and poor relations between the inner circle and caucus. asserted
MLAs → bolt → circle
In Ontario, the Progressive Conservatives have ruled the province with little difficulty since 2018, but Premier Doug Ford seems uninterested in advancing the cause of conservatism with any great vigour. asserted
Ford → rule → vigour
The best thing the right has going for it right now is the intellectual growth it has undergone since 2020. asserted
it → go → 2020
As Howard Anglin, a veteran of conservative politics, has noted, there are more right-of-centre journals, societies, and networks than ever, all dedicated to debate and strengthening the intellectual fabric of the right. asserted
all → note → right
Converting that intellectual growth into political power will be a challenge, but the infrastructure itself is a start. asserted
infrastructure → convert → power
…and 5 more, not listed.
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