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Trump's ratings slump to lowest ever on the eve of crucial elections

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Loren, S. (2026, November 3). Trump's ratings slump to lowest ever on the eve of crucial elections. Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16260273/Trumps-ratings-slump-lowest-eve-crucial-elections.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490

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Daily Mail · collected 2026-11-03 · by Samantha Loren

Quick Summary

Donald Trump's approval ratings reached a record low of 41% to 56%, according to a Morning Consult survey conducted just before midterm elections, showing a -15 point net approval rating gap. This stark divide in public opinion highlights the political polarization in the U.S., with Democrats leading Republicans in polls by a 50% to 43% margin as voters express strong dissatisfaction over issues like housing and energy costs. Republican lawmakers are privately questioning Trump's influence, suggesting he could become a liability if their party suffers significant losses in the elections.
Written by AI on 2026-11-03, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of November 3, 2026, Donald Trump's approval rating has hit record lows ahead of the midterm elections, with only 41% approving and 56% disapproving according to recent polls. These polls suggest that voters increasingly see their votes as a way to oppose President Trump rather than support him. Approval ratings have dropped significantly across various metrics: the AP-NORC poll found only 17% approve of his handling of cost-of-living issues and just 26% overall economic performance. The poor approval numbers indicate potential challenges for Republicans in maintaining control of Congress, with Democrats gaining favor in generic ballot questions at 46% to 38%.

Written for “Trump Approval Ratings Slump” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 6 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans left for article 124599 (high confidence, 3 verified quotes) · logged 2026-11-03

Story

📰 Trump Approval Ratings Slump
Politics · 7 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 14% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
South China Morning Post
Hedges 1 of 4 claims Outlet record 63/100
The Straits Times
Hedges 1 of 16 claims Outlet record 66/100
The Straits Times
Hedges 2 of 10 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe polls with similar findings but are conducted and published at different times, suggesting they may be reporting on separate polling data or updates.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 31 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles report on different polls with slightly different dates and approval ratings, though both discuss Trump's low popularity ahead of midterm elections.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 27 claims Outlet record 59/100
“While both articles discuss low approval ratings for President Trump, they cite different dates and sources with varying figures.”
TIME
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 14 of 51 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles report on similar events, but not the exact same occurrence; one is from early October and the other just before elections.”
Los Angeles Times
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 4 of 58 claims Outlet record 95/100
“The articles discuss Trump's low approval ratings, but differ in timing and specifics of the poll data.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this Hedges 5 of 42 claims Outlet record 66/100
“While both articles discuss Donald Trump's low approval ratings and their implications for the midterm elections, Article A focuses on projected election outcomes and potential policy changes, whereas Article B emphasizes the record-low approval ratings themselves.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 17 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles report on similar events but provide different approval ratings from distinct polls, indicating separate polling data rather than the same exact incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
21
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
14%
3 of 21 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
69/100
Daily Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
7
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-03 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Daily Mail · 8954 article(s) · 22 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 22 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Samantha Loren
55 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Donald Trump's ratings hit a record low last night – hours before Americans vote today in elections expected to cause a Republican Party bloodbath.
🔮 Ocasio-Cortez, one of Abdul El-Sayed's most beloved supporters, reportedly called Stevens after concerns emerged that she could follow her fiancé, Jason Turkish, in backing Republican Mike Rogers.
🔮 President Trump's latest approval ratings could serve as an indicator of which way the midterm elections are headed.
🔮 'Democrats should understand that the allegation is almost certainly true - whatever conclusion they draw from that point could vary - and her denials calling it a right-wing, Islamophobic or racist conspiracy are almost certainly not,' Radinovich wrote.
🔮 An Obama-era federal investigation uncovered evidence that her long-disputed marriage to her former husband, British citizen Ahmed Nur Said Elmi, may have been a sham.
🔮 Omar married Ahmed Nur Said Elmi (right), a British citizen, in February 2009, when records gave their ages as 26 and 23 Omar's father Nur Omar Mohamed (center) at her swearing in ceremony with Speaker Nancy Pelosi in January 2019 Republicans seized on his appearance, with state and federal candidates questioning why Democrats would invite him to speak.
🔮 Republicans have been pushing for Rubio to hit the campaign trail, viewing the former Florida senator as a valuable messenger who could help candidates in competitive races.
🔮 - Sign up HERE to our DC Insider newsletter - your guide to what's rocking Washington, rattling the White House and setting tongues wagging on the Hill Democrats are heading into the final week before the midterm elections with a strong lead on the congressional ballot, but a new poll has revealed warning signs that could limit their gains as concerns grow over whether key groups will turn out to vote.
🔮 - Sign up HERE to our DC Insider newsletter - your guide to what's rocking Washington, rattling the White House and setting tongues wagging on the Hill President Trump is itching to crack down on purported 'voter fraud' this midterm season, and he's willing to pay big bucks to those willing to help rat out cheaters.
🔮 A Michigan rally on Sunday featuring President Trump and one of his most loyal voices within the MAGA movement, rapper Nicki Minaj, would likely lead voters to the conclusion that he is. But just hours before the star-studded rally, Collins would not directly answer Meet the Press' Kristen Welker's question of whether a vote for him is a vote for Trump's agenda.
Also by Samantha Loren
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 55 articles by Samantha Loren →

Topics

Americans Democrats Republican Party Republicans Texas

Subjects

Republicans NORP · 5× Democrats NORP · 3× Donald Trump's PERSON · 2× Texas GPE · 2× Trump PERSON · 2× Americans NORP · 1× Democratic Party ORG · 1× Morning Consult ORG · 1× Republican Party ORG · 1× the United States GPE · 1×

Narrative

Supporters of the ruling party are increasingly dissatisfied – just 68 per cent believing it was heading in the right direction, down from 73 per cent four weeks ago and 82 per cent at the start of 2025.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-03
🔮 Donald Trump's ratings hit a record low last night – hours before Americans vote today in elections expected to cause a Republican Party bloodbath.
2026-11-03 · Daily Mail
Trump's ratings slump to lowest ever on the eve of crucial elections · assertive framing

Claims (21 extracted, 3 hedged)

Donald Trump's ratings hit a record low last night – hours before Americans vote today in elections expected to cause a Republican Party bloodbath. asserted
Americans → hit → bloodbath
Some 56 per cent of voters 'disapproved' of the US President's performance, compared with just 41 per cent who 'approved', a survey showed. asserted
survey → disapprove → cent
This left Mr Trump with a net approval rating of -15 points – the lowest of his two terms in office, pollster Morning Consult said. asserted
Consult → leave → office
Almost half of all voters, 46 per cent, said they 'strongly disapproved' of Mr Trump – more than twice the 22 per cent who said they 'strongly approved'. asserted
they → say → Trump
The gap between those strongly opposed to the president and those firmly behind him reached its widest ever, illustrating how politically polarised the United States has become. asserted
States → reach → widest
The Republicans are expected to suffer heavy losses in the midterm elections today. asserted
Republicans → expect → elections
The opposition Democratic Party led the polls last night on 50 per cent, compared with 43 per cent for the Republicans. asserted
Party → lead → Republicans
Supporters of the ruling party are increasingly dissatisfied – just 68 per cent believing it was heading in the right direction, down from 73 per cent four weeks ago and 82 per cent at the start of 2025. asserted
it → rule → 2025
A survey showed that some 56 per cent of voters 'disapproved' of Donald Trump's performance, compared with just 41 per cent who 'approved' asserted
who → show → cent
The administration is struggling to convince voters it is addressing their financial concerns. asserted
it → struggle → concerns
Only 39 per cent believed housing costs were a priority, even though 59 per cent said they should receive greater attention. asserted
they → believe → attention
On prices, the gap was even wider, with 72 per cent saying lowering them should be a priority, compared with 49 per cent who believed Washington was tackling the situation. asserted
Washington → say → situation
Democrats led Republicans on healthcare, housing and energy. asserted
Democrats → lead → healthcare
In the race for a US Senate seat in Texas, which Democrats have not held since 1988, polls suggest their candidate, James Talarico, 37, could be on the verge of breaking through. uncertain
candidate → hold → verge
'If the Democrats do pull it off, it's going to cause a lot of psychological damage to the Republican Party,' said Brendan Steinhauser, a Texas-based campaign strategist for the party. asserted
Steinhauser → pull → party
Some Republican lawmakers are privately questioning whether the president is becoming a liability for candidates fighting to keep their seats. asserted
president → question → seats
One suggested he faces the blame if the party loses one or both chambers of Congress. uncertain
party → suggest → Congress
Some suggest a significant defeat could make him seek support from Republicans rather than dictate the party's direction through social media posts and private calls, as he does now. uncertain
he → suggest → posts
Others, however, insisted he would remain influential in the party regardless of the results. asserted
he → insist → results
The private criticism comes as vulnerable Republicans face difficult races. asserted
Republicans → come → races
Some have distanced themselves from the White House on the war with Iran and its impact on household costs. asserted
Some → distance → costs
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