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Trump approval rating tracker: How the president's popularity has plunged ahead of the midterms

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Cite

Farrell, P. (2026, November 2). Trump approval rating tracker: How the president's popularity has plunged ahead of the midterms. The Independent. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-economy-approval-cost-living-b3077639.html

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The Independent · collected 2026-11-02 · by Paul Farrell

Quick Summary

A recent poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research shows that only 17% of U.S. adults approve of Donald Trump's handling of living costs, while approval of his economic management has dropped to a new low of 26%. This decline is attributed largely to voter frustration over high costs and Trump’s use of tariffs and military actions like the war with Iran. The poll also indicates that Democrats have surprise leads in traditionally Republican states ahead of the midterms, driven by voter discontent with the economy.
Written by AI on 2026-11-02, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of November 2, 2026, President Donald Trump's approval ratings have hit record lows according to recent polls ahead of the midterm elections. Only 17% of U.S. adults approve of his handling of living costs, while 65% blame his policies for high expenses rather than external factors. Overall economic approval has dropped to a new low of 26%, with majorities disapproving across party lines. Democrats are leading in several key red states like Texas and Alaska, driven by voter frustration over the economy, potentially threatening Republican control of Congress. Trump's net approval rating stands at -15 points based on a Morning Consult poll, indicating significant dissatisfaction among voters who strongly disapprove (46%) compared to those who strongly approve (22%).

Written for “Trump Approval Ratings Plunge” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence high 1 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning: leans left for article 123333 (high confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-11-02

Story

📰 Trump Approval Ratings Plunge
Politics · 2 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 6% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
TIME
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 14 of 51 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles discuss Trump's low approval ratings but reference different polls and timeframes.”
The Straits Times
Hedges 2 of 10 claims Outlet record 66/100
“While both articles discuss Trump's approval ratings around the time of midterms, they cite different polls and provide distinct data.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 27 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles describe different polls conducted by Pew Research Center and AP-NORC, showing varying approval ratings.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
31
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
6%
2 of 31 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
59/100
The Independent's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
2
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-02 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Independent · 3563 article(s) · 9 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 9 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Paul Farrell
44 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 On top of that, they will need to pick up four more seats, and their best opportunities are in Alaska, Iowa, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio and Texas.
🔮 The dismal numbers arrive just weeks before midterm elections that will determine whether Republicans maintain control of Congress.
🔮 The lawyer also argues that the court would not let her keep the attorney of her choice, after the judge ruled there was a conflict of interest because the lawyer had represented both her and her husband.
🔮 Just 48 hours before an election that could decide control of the U.S. Senate, Stevens abandoned her party’s nominee, progressive Abdul El-Sayed, and endorsed the GOP.
🔮 Before joining the Joint Staff, Sylvia commanded the storied 101st Airborne Division at Fort Campbell, Kentucky, until May 2025.
🔮 The sheriff hoped that, despite the adverse weather conditions, the college students would be found “hunkered down” somewhere.
🔮 Nathan Johnson leads Mayes Middleton 47% to 45% in the contest for attorney general.
🔮 Consumers who believe they are helping abandoned or mistreated animals may instead be financially supporting commercial breeding operations, including puppy mills.
🔮 Terry is expected to be extradited from California.
🔮 Someone could unknowingly cross paths with him without realizing the danger they may be in,” the unnamed woman said.
Also by Paul Farrell
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 44 articles by Paul Farrell →

Topics

Democrats Iran Republican Republicans U.S.

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 10× Democrats NORP · 6× Republicans NORP · 6× U.S. GPE · 3× Americans NORP · 2× Iran GPE · 2× Republican NORP · 2× Center for Public Affairs Research ORG · 1× Donald Trump's PERSON · 1× The Associated Press ORG · 1×

Narrative

Rising food and gas prices trigger widespread buyer's remorse, even among Trump voters About 7 in 10 Americans say Trump's handling of the cost of living has been “worse than expected.” That figure includes roughly half of Republicans, about 6 in 10 of whom now disapprove of his handling of the issue.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-02
🔮 The dismal numbers arrive just weeks before midterm elections that will determine whether Republicans maintain control of Congress.

Claims (31 extracted, 2 hedged)

Only 17% of U.S. adults approve of Donald Trump's handling of the cost of living, according to a recent poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. uncertain
% → approve → Research
Approval of the Republican president on the economy overall has slipped to 26%, a new low. asserted
Approval → slip → %
A majority of U.S. adults, 65%, now blame Trump's policies for persistently high costs more than factors outside of his control. asserted
majority → blame → control
The findings signal growing weariness over his aggressive use of tariffs and continued unhappiness with the war with Iran. asserted
findings → signal → Iran
The dismal numbers arrive just weeks before midterm elections that will determine whether Republicans maintain control of Congress. asserted
Republicans → arrive → Congress
Democrats hold surprise leads in red states on the eve of voting, driven by voter frustration over the economy The Democratic Party’s Senate candidates are leading their GOP counterparts in several key battleground states on the eve of voting, including Texas and Alaska, where the president won comfortably in 2024, according to the latest New York Times polling. uncertain
president → hold → polling
Trump has been hitting the campaign trail with an aggressive rally schedule, asking voters to pretend that he is on the ballot as he tries to bolster turnout. asserted
he → hit → turnout
Even so, he remains deeply unpopular, with even many Republicans faulting him for failing to deliver on promised relief. asserted
Republicans → remain → relief
“I was hoping it would be better or different, but it’s not really good,” said Robert Gault, 66, a retired factory worker from Bradford, Pennsylvania, who describes himself as a Republican. asserted
who → hop → Republican
“Our president, I thought, was going to help the country, and so far he has not really seemed to have done that with the economy or in general. asserted
he → think → general
He said, ‘Make America Great Again.’ asserted
America → say → ?
And I have not seen him do that.” asserted
him → see → that
Trump’s rating drops to 32% as voters favor Democrats on the economy A Reuters/Ipsos poll last week showed Trump's overall rating at 32% heading into the midterms. asserted
poll → drop → midterms
The survey showed registered voters favoring Democrats over Republicans on the generic congressional ballot, 47% to 36%, with the lead holding among likely voters at 53% to 44%. asserted
lead → show → %
The congressional race has turned sharply on inflation after February military strikes on Iran drove fuel prices higher. asserted
strikes → turn → prices
In the poll, 73% of voters said their cost of living was heading in the wrong direction. asserted
cost → say → direction
Voters now favor Democrats over Republicans as better economic stewards by 37% to 33%, while 46% of Democrats report high enthusiasm to vote compared with just 30% of Republicans. asserted
% → favor → Republicans
Trump's current approval on the economy marks a 14-percentage-point drop from March 2025, just after he took office for the second time. asserted
he → mark → time
Much of the 2024 campaign saw Trump hammer Democrats on inflation and promise to lower prices. asserted
Trump → see → prices
Rising food and gas prices trigger widespread buyer's remorse, even among Trump voters About 7 in 10 Americans say Trump's handling of the cost of living has been “worse than expected.” That figure includes roughly half of Republicans, about 6 in 10 of whom now disapprove of his handling of the issue. asserted
10 → rise → issue
Over recent months, Americans have grown more worried about affording basics like groceries and gas, with roughly half of U.S. adults saying they are “extremely” or "very" concerned about both. asserted
they → grow → both
Just the cost of everything is going up as a result of fuel,” said Pedro Sanchez, 52, of Perris, California, a law enforcement worker who voted for Trump. asserted
who → go → Trump
“I used to have a lot more disposable income. asserted
I → use → income
I don’t have that anymore. asserted
I → have → that
It’s gotten eaten up because of all these increases in the cost of everything.” asserted
It → eat → everything
Bethany Lnenicka, 41, who operates a small farm in Fairfax, Iowa, voted for Trump three times and hoped his second term would match his first. asserted
term → operate → first
“Groceries are just like kind of out of control,” she said. asserted
she → say → control
“It seems like everything is going up... asserted
everything → seem → ?
And of course your income doesn’t go up.” asserted
income → go → course
Kristen Slaven, 41, a therapist in Gluckstadt, Mississippi, who typically votes Republican, agreed: “It definitely doesn’t feel like we have trended in the right direction. asserted
we → vote → direction
Obviously, wars don’t help... but our focus on renaming bodies of water and pieces of land, that’s just stupid to me when people can’t feed their family.” asserted
people → help → family
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