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More than 50m Americans cast ballots in early voting with three days to go before midterms

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Cite

Milman, O. (2026, October 31). More than 50m Americans cast ballots in early voting with three days to go before midterms. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/oct/31/early-voting-midterms

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

The Guardian · collected 2026-10-31 · by Oliver Milman

Quick Summary

More than 50.5 million Americans have already cast their ballots in early voting for the upcoming midterm elections, a significant increase from the previous election cycle in 2022. Democrats are showing higher voter turnout with 10.7 million registered voters having voted compared to 7.8 million Republicans. Notably, Texas has seen more than 7 million people vote early this year, an increase of 1.5 million over 2022 figures, reflecting intense competition in traditionally Republican-leaning states like Texas and Kansas.
Written by AI on 2026-10-31, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of November 1, 50.5 million Americans have cast their ballots early in the 2026 US midterm elections, surpassing the previous record set during the 2022 midterms by nearly five million votes. Early voting began weeks before Election Day and is especially high in states with contentious Senate races. The surge is significant as both Republicans and Democrats face tight contests that could determine control of Congress for President Donald Trump's final two years in office. Key battlegrounds like Texas have seen a substantial increase in voter turnout, reflecting broader national trends of heightened political engagement.

Written for “US Midterms Early Voting Surges” on 2026-11-02, grounded in this article and the 8 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 US Midterms Early Voting Surges
Politics · 9 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 22% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Times of India
Hedges 1 of 19 claims Outlet record 59/100
Times of India
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 30 claims Outlet record 59/100
CBS News
Hedges 1 of 2 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A discusses polling data on voter motivations, while Article B reports on early voting turnout statistics.”
The Guardian
Hedges 2 of 7 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A discusses voter engagement and opinions of Gen Z regarding the upcoming US midterm elections, while Article B reports on actual early voting data from those midterms.”
TIME
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 8 of 48 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the midterm elections: one focuses on poll predictions and Republican-Democratic perspectives, while the other reports on early voting turnout.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 25 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the midterm elections: one is about poll numbers and voter concerns, while the other reports on early voting turnout.”
The Free Press
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 46 claims Outlet record 96/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the midterm elections; one covers public opinion and political commentary while the other reports on early voting turnout statistics.”
Al Jazeera
Hedges 8 of 47 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles describe different aspects of the midterm elections; one focuses on the current state of polls and rallies six days before the election, while the other reports on early voting trends three days before the election.”
Fox News
Hedges 17 of 121 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the midterms - one about voter sentiment and anger, the other about early voting turnout.”
The Bulwark
Hedges 2 of 13 claims
“Article A discusses poll numbers and predictions before an upcoming election, while Article B reports on early voting turnout in a different context.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
23
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
22%
5 of 23 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
66/100
The Guardian's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
9
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-31 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Guardian · 2803 article(s) · 6 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 6 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Oliver Milman
14 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 There has been a surge of early voting for the US midterm elections, with millions more Americans going to the polls compared with the last such election amid a series of tight contests that will determine control of Congress.
🔮 In July, the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) approved Reflect Orbital’s proposal to launch an initial demonstration satellite next year, which will orbit the Earth and, via a 59-foot-diameter mirror, reflect sunlight in 3-mile-wide beams in strengths from moonlight up to the brightness of the sun at noon.
🔮 In July, the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) approved Reflect Orbital’s proposal to launch an initial demonstration satellite next year, which will orbit the Earth and, via a 59ft-diameter mirror, reflect sunlight in 3-mile-wide beams in strengths from moonlight up to the brightness of the sun at noon.
🔮 “We’re restoring sanity in our approach to energy and rejecting the agenda of the radical green zealots,” he said in a post on the X social media platform when making climate a lower state priority in May 2024.
🔮 “We’re restoring sanity in our approach to energy and rejecting the agenda of the radical green zealots,” DeSantis said in a post on the X social media platform when making climate a lower state priority in May 2024.
🔮 The overall consequence has been a positive one for our shared climate, with global fossil fuel emissions set to drop by 0.5% this year due to the crisis, Carbon Brief has estimated.
🔮 But the former US vice-president insists he still has optimism the world will confront the climate crisis.
🔮 But the science told us unmistakably that as the world warms these events will become more frequent and intense.
🔮 The ability of landscapes and bodies of water to cope with this and act as a buffer to the worsening climate crisis is “weakening and may be significantly overestimated”, the new report warns.
🔮 Concerned that residents could be exposed to the bacteria if they inhaled evaporating droplets of the water used for irrigation, Cheyenne officials took until July before deciding to stop taking wastewater from Meta’s contractor, Goat Systems—a decision that is now being appealed.
Also by Oliver Milman
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 14 articles by Oliver Milman →

Topics

Democrats Republican Republicans Senate Texas

Subjects

Senate ORG · 9× Trump PERSON · 6× Republican NORP · 5× Democrats NORP · 4× Republicans NORP · 4× Democratic NORP · 3× Texas GPE · 3× Democrat NORP · 2× Kansas GPE · 2× Americans NORP · 1×

Narrative

The midterms will decide the composition of the US House of Representatives and Senate for the final two years of Trump’s second term, with the rising costs of food, gasoline and other essentials, as well as the Iran war and concern over government corruption, forming the backdrop to the voting.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-31
🔮 There has been a surge of early voting for the US midterm elections, with millions more Americans going to the polls compared with the last such election amid a series of tight contests that will determine control of Congress.

Claims (23 extracted, 5 hedged)

There has been a surge of early voting for the US midterm elections, with millions more Americans going to the polls compared with the last such election amid a series of tight contests that will determine control of Congress. asserted
that → go → Congress
More than 50.5m early votes have been cast across the US as of Saturday morning, according to an analysis by the University of Florida. uncertain
votes → cast → Florida
This is already nearly 5m more votes than the total number of early votes made in the last midterm elections, in 2022. asserted
This → make → 2022
Voter enthusiasm for Tuesday’s election appears to be strongest among Democrats, with 10.7 million registered Democrats having voted so far, according to the states that collate such information, compared with 7.8 million registered Republicans. uncertain
that → appear → Republicans
These party affiliations are not indicative of actual votes cast but polling has shown widespread unhappiness with the presidency of Donald Trump and unusually close races in states usually won comfortably by Republicans. asserted
polling → cast → Republicans
Republicans are defending a 53-47 Senate majority in a midterm election in which the battleground map has expanded significantly, with Democrats aiming to pull off victories in traditionally conservative-leaning states such as Texas, Alaska and even Kansas that could allow them to take control of the Senate. uncertain
them → defend → Senate
In Texas, a state central to Democratic ambitions, more than 7 million people have already voted early, University of Florida data shows. asserted
data → vote → Florida
This is already 1.5 million more people than the number who voted early in the state during the 2022 midterms. asserted
who → vote → midterms
In Harris county, which includes Houston, 862,700 people had voted as of Wednesday, an Associated Press analysis found, compared with 564,500 at the same point in 2022. asserted
analysis → include → 2022
The surge comes in a county that has reliably voted Democratic in recent elections, though by varying margins. asserted
that → come → margins
In 2024, Kamala Harris defeated Trump there by nearly 6% in the presidential contest, while Democratic Senate candidate Colin Allred carried the county by roughly 11% over the Republican incumbent senator Ted Cruz. asserted
Allred → defeat → senator
This year, the state’s Republican attorney general, Ken Paxton, faces Democrat James Talarico in a closely watched Senate race, while the Republican governor, Greg Abbott, is seeking re-election against Democrat Gina Hinojosa. asserted
governor → face → Hinojosa
Hundreds of millions of dollars have poured into the Senate race as Republicans fight to defend a state where Democrats have not won a statewide election in more than three decades. asserted
Democrats → pour → decades
Trump visited Texas earlier this week, his third trip there in a month. asserted
Trump → visit → month
In other close-fought Senate races, early voting has also increased in these midterms, according to the AP. uncertain
voting → fight → AP
In South Carolina, which Trump won by nearly 18% in the 2024 president election, early voting is up 83% compared with the 2022 midterms. asserted
voting → win → midterms
The midterms will decide the composition of the US House of Representatives and Senate for the final two years of Trump’s second term, with the rising costs of food, gasoline and other essentials, as well as the Iran war and concern over government corruption, forming the backdrop to the voting. asserted
costs → decide → voting
Trump, weighed down by deep unpopularity among voters, has sought to boost struggling Republican candidates with rallies held across various previously safe states. asserted
Trump → weigh → states
This effort has included the US president commenting repeatedly on the physical appearance of candidates and dismissing alarm over rising gasoline costs as secondary to the profits of fossil fuel companies. asserted
president → include → companies
Trump hinted at the toil of this effort at a rally in Florida on Friday night. asserted
Trump → hint → night
“I thought this was it,” he said. asserted
he → think → ?
“I thought I could relax. uncertain
I → think → ?
It’s a lot.” asserted
It → ’ → ?
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