Fossil Fuel Emissions Fall Due to Iran War

What happened

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Analysis

How it changed

1. 10 Nov

   The report found that the world’s carbon budget – the amount of CO2 that can be emitted before global warming exceeds 1.5 deg C above pre-industrial levels – stands at 150 billion tonnes.

   7 outlets · The Straits Times

Coverage 9 articles

• 10 Nov More renewables and Hormuz disruption drive emissions fallGlobal fossil fuel emissions are forecasted to decrease by 0.4% in 2026, largely due to increased renewable energy production and disruptions caused by the Iran war affecting oil supplies through the Strait of Hormuz. However, the decline is not considered sustainable according to a study published in Nature, which emphasizes that oil emissions might only be temporarily reduced by 1.9%. The increase in…Semafor
• 10 Nov Fossil fuel emissions fall due to Iran war, renewables: researchGlobal fossil fuel emissions are projected to decrease by 0.4% in 2026, marking the first decline since 2020 due to a combination of increased renewable energy deployment and disruptions caused by the Iran war, according to researchers presenting at COP31 in Antalya, Turkiye. The Global Carbon Budget report indicates that emissions from oil are expected to drop by 1.9%, while gas emissions will fall by 0.3% and coal…Dawn
• 10 Nov Greenhouse pollution down but global warming surges as climate talks beginGlobal carbon emissions are expected to drop by 0.4% in 2026 according to a report from the Global Carbon Project, as world leaders convene for climate talks in Turkey. Despite this reduction, August 2026 was recorded as one of the warmest months ever, with global temperatures reaching 1.65°C above pre-industrial levels. The decline is attributed partly to geopolitical issues like the closure of the Strait of…Sydney Morning Herald
• 10 Nov Global carbon emissions from fossil fuels are projected to decrease by 0.4% in 2026, promising study revealsA new report by the Global Carbon Project forecasts a 0.4% decrease in global carbon emissions from fossil fuels in 2026, marking a potential turning point in reducing reliance on coal, oil, and gas. The projected decline stems largely from a significant drop of 1.9% in oil emissions due to disruptions in energy markets linked to the Iran conflict, alongside rapid growth in renewable energy sources like solar and…Daily Mail
• 10 Nov Fossil fuel emissions fall due to Iran war, renewables: ResearchGlobal fossil fuel emissions are projected to decrease by 0.4% in 2026 due to a combination of renewable energy expansion and an oil price shock caused by the Iran war, according to the Global Carbon Budget report released on November 10 during the COP31 climate summit in Antalya, Turkey. This marks the first annual decline since the pandemic-driven drop in 2020. The report attributes the decrease largely to reduced…The Straits Times
• 10 Nov Heat-trapping carbon pollution drops, but scientists cite Iran war rather than energy progressGlobal carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels dropped by 0.4% to 42.2 billion tonnes in 2026, according to a study by the Global Carbon Project. This slight decrease is attributed more to disruptions caused by the Iran war and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz than to efforts against climate change. The war has led to significant price increases for oil and gas, causing emissions from these sources to drop…The Hindu
• 10 Nov Heat-trapping carbon pollution drops, but scientists cite the Iran war rather than energy progressGlobal carbon dioxide emissions dropped by 0.4% in 2026 to 42.2 billion tons (38.2 billion metric tons), according to scientists at the Global Carbon Project. This slight decline is attributed to disruptions caused by the Iran war, particularly affecting oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, rather than significant progress in climate change mitigation efforts. Scientists warn that these reductions are…Toronto Star
• 10 Nov Renewables and Iran war help drive fall in global fossil fuel emissionsThe Global Carbon Project’s latest report indicates that fossil fuel emissions are projected to decrease by 0.4% in 2026 compared to 2025 levels, primarily due to a reduction in oil emissions linked to the Iran war. However, lead researcher Pierre Friedlingstein warns that this drop is not sustainable without significant acceleration in renewable energy capacity and electrification efforts. Total global carbon…ABC News (AU)
• 10 Nov Fossil Fuel Emissions Are Expected to Decrease in 2026Global fossil fuel emissions are projected to decrease by 0.4% in 2026, according to a report from the Global Carbon Project. This reduction stems from an energy shock caused by the Iran war and increased adoption of renewable energy sources like wind and solar power. Notably, China’s emissions are expected to drop by 0.9%, while those of the U.S. will decrease by 1.3%. India is a notable exception, with its…Time

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