Westminster's time is coming to an end, Welsh, Scottish, Northern Irish leaders say

BBC News · collected 2026-09-14 · by David Deans, Cemlyn Davies
Read the original at BBC News ↗

Summary

Welsh, Scottish, and Northern Irish nationalist leaders have signed an agreement declaring that "Westminster's time is coming to an end," advocating for their countries to leave the United Kingdom. During a joint press conference on Monday, Scotland’s John Swinney and Northern Ireland’s Michelle O'Neill called for referendums on independence, while Wales' Rhun ap Iorwerth declined to give a specific timeline for one in his country. The memorandum of understanding signed by Plaid Cymru, Sinn Féin, and the SNP asserts that no Westminster government can block democratic processes or undermine people's right to decide their future independently.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-14, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
54
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
9%
5 of 54 hedged
Leaning
Leans strongly left
of the writing, not the subject
Correction & hedging signals
95.5
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
10
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-14 · source text last changed 2026-09-14 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

On September 14, 2026, the first ministers of Scotland (John Swinney), Wales (Rhun ap Iorwerth), and Northern Ireland (Michelle O’Neill) met in Cardiff to sign a memorandum of understanding pushing for referendums on independence from the UK. The leaders are in their capacity as party heads, not government officials, highlighting tensions with Westminster's stance against such votes. The meeting comes days after US President Donald Trump expressed support for a united Ireland, fueling debate. With 73 pro-independence MSPs in Scotland's parliament representing the largest majority ever, Ms Gilruth argues that the trigger for another referendum is already met. However, Northern Ireland’s DUP criticized O’Neill’s attendance at the event as she requires consensus with her party to attend such significant meetings. The agreement also emphasizes cooperation on issues like child poverty and cost of living pressures.

Written for “UK Devolution Independence Push” on 2026-09-14, grounded in this article and the 9 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Score -0.65 Confidence high 2 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning score -0.65 for article 9054 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-09-14

Story

📰 UK Devolution Independence Push
Politics · 10 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans strongly left and hedges 9% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Hindu
⚖️ Leans strongly left 🔴 20% hedged 2 of 10 📰 publisher trust 96
“Both articles describe the same joint declaration by leaders from Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland asserting their right to self-determination and signed on September 14, 2026.”
Evening Standard
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 11 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles describe the identical press conference and signing of an agreement by Welsh, Scottish, and Northern Irish leaders on September 14, 2026.”
Dawn
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 18% hedged 4 of 22 📰 publisher trust 95
“Both articles describe the identical meeting on September 14, 2026, in Cardiff where leaders from Scottish, Welsh, and Northern Irish nationalist parties declared their right to self-determination.”
South China Morning Post
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 20% hedged 1 of 5 📰 publisher trust 93
“Both articles describe the signing of an agreement by the first ministers of Wales, Scotland, and Northern Ireland on the same day (Monday), expressing their intent to move away from Westminster's control and towards more autonomy or independence.”
ABC News (AU)
⚖️ Leans strongly left 🔴 11% hedged 3 of 27 📰 publisher trust 60
“Both articles describe the identical joint press conference held by the first ministers of Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland on the same day declaring their desire for greater autonomy from Westminster.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans strongly left 🔴 5% hedged 2 of 37 📰 publisher trust 96
“Both articles describe the same joint agreement signed by leaders from Wales, Scotland, and Northern Ireland on the same day in Cardiff.”
Evening Standard
⚖️ Leans strongly left 🔴 11% hedged 2 of 19 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles describe the meeting on Monday where First Ministers from devolved nations signed an agreement pushing for referendums, with the same individuals involved and the same location.”
Evening Standard
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 4% hedged 1 of 26 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles describe the meeting between leaders of Plaid Cymru, Sinn Fein, and SNP in Cardiff on Monday to sign an agreement for referendums on leaving the UK.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 12% hedged 3 of 26 📰 publisher trust 60
“Article A reports on statements made by Welsh, Scottish, and Northern Irish leaders regarding Westminster's end, while Article B discusses historical shifts in views about a united Ireland following Brexit.”
Evening Standard
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 10% hedged 1 of 10 📰 publisher trust 59
“While both articles discuss similar political developments regarding independence referendums, they describe different aspects or stages of ongoing political dialogue and do not focus on a single specific incident.”

Publisher

BBC News · 793 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

David Deans
1 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The memorandum of understanding said: "For people watching across these islands - for people watching around the world - there could be no clearer sign that Westminster's time is coming to an end. "
The only article under this byline in the corpus.
Cemlyn Davies
1 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The memorandum of understanding said: "For people watching across these islands - for people watching around the world - there could be no clearer sign that Westminster's time is coming to an end. "
The only article under this byline in the corpus.

Topics

Northern Ireland Scotland Wales Westminster the United Kingdom

Subjects

Wales GPE · 8× Westminster ORG · 7× Northern Ireland GPE · 4× Scotland GPE · 4× ap Iorwerth PERSON · 4× the United Kingdom GPE · 4× Swinney PERSON · 3× Welsh NORP · 3× SNP ORG · 2× Sinn Féin ORG · 2×

Narrative

The nationalist leaders from Plaid Cymru, Sinn Féin and the SNP - who want their countries to leave the United Kingdom - signed an agreement on Monday which said no Westminster government had the right to "block democracy". But while Scotland's John Swinney and Northern Ireland's Michelle O'Neill called for referendums at a joint press conference, Wales' Rhun ap Iorwerth declined to give a timetable for one in his country.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-14
🔮 The memorandum of understanding said: "For people watching across these islands - for people watching around the world - there could be no clearer sign that Westminster's time is coming to an end. "

Claims (54 extracted, 5 hedged)

- Published The first ministers of Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland have declared that "Westminster's time is coming to an end". asserted
time → publish → end
The nationalist leaders from Plaid Cymru, Sinn Féin and the SNP - who want their countries to leave the United Kingdom - signed an agreement on Monday which said no Westminster government had the right to "block democracy". But while Scotland's John Swinney and Northern Ireland's Michelle O'Neill called for referendums at a joint press conference, Wales' Rhun ap Iorwerth declined to give a timetable for one in his country. asserted
Iorwerth → want → country
Labour and Reform accused Plaid of wanting to break up the UK. asserted
Labour → accuse → UK
Swinney and ap Iorwerth's governments later backed a separate agreement agreed to work together on pressing UK government on "fairness" in funding and powers. asserted
governments → back → funding
For the first time since devolution began, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland all have first ministers who want to leave the United Kingdom. asserted
who → begin → Kingdom
All three met on Monday as representatives of their parties. asserted
three → meet → parties
Sinn Féin president Mary Lou McDonald also attended. asserted
McDonald → attend → ?
The memorandum of understanding said: "For people watching across these islands - for people watching around the world - there could be no clearer sign that Westminster's time is coming to an end. " uncertain
time → say → end
No Westminster government has the right to block democracy or undermine the principle that our people will decide their own future. asserted
people → have → future
We recognise that our parties have different constitutional positions and that each nation will determine its own future in its own way and in its own time." asserted
nation → recognise → time
Plaid has ruled out an independence referendum before the next Senedd election in 2030. asserted
Plaid → rule → 2030
At the press conference, ap Iorwerth said there was a "growing recognition that Westminster is not working" and "power genuinely needs to be brought closer to people and communities". asserted
power → say → people
He said the May Senedd election gave his government "a mandate for change to make Wales more confident, more prosperous and more in control of its future". uncertain
Wales → say → future
"Wales should have the power, the resources, the fair treatment we need as a nation to build the future our people deserve," he said. asserted
he → have → future
SNP leader Swinney said Monday was a "pivotal moment in the constitutional journey of the United Kingdom". asserted
Monday → say → Kingdom
He said the elections in May for each nation created a situation with first ministers who believe "their countries should decide their own future". uncertain
countries → say → future
"That principle of self-determination is an inalienable right," he said. asserted
he → say → determination
He described Andy Burnham as the "last prime minister of the United Kingdom". "Because the people of Scotland, if given the choice of independence in a referendum will take that choice." asserted
people → describe → choice
Sinn Féin's McDonald described Monday's meeting as "historic", saying: "We have the right to referendum. asserted
We → describe → right
We have the right to decide our future. asserted
We → have → future
We will not accept or tolerate any prime minister telling us that right is off the table." asserted
right → accept → table
Northern Ireland's First Minister O'Neill said all three nations were "distinctively different" and had their own priorities. asserted
nations → say → priorities
But she said the "common cause here is that Westminster does not and will never serve our people well". asserted
Westminster → say → people
O'Neill serves in a power sharing executive in Northern Ireland, where the Democratic Unionist Party's (DUP) deputy first minister Emma Little-Pengelly accused the Sinn Fein politician of attempting to "weaponise the role of first minister". asserted
minister → serve → minister
In Northern Ireland, the first and deputy first minister have identical powers. asserted
minister → have → powers
Asked by BBC Wales to clarify what the memorandum of understanding meant for Wales, and whether it meant asking Westminster not to block a Welsh independence referendum, ap Iorwerth said it was "up to the people of Wales to decide its own future". asserted
it → ask → future
Pressed further, he said: "The timescale will be set by the people of Wales when they are persuaded. asserted
they → press → Wales
My job is to persuade." asserted
job → persuade → ?
The Welsh government does not have the power to hold such a referendum, but ap Iorwerth told the press conference he wanted to see that devolved. asserted
that → have → conference
Later on Monday, Swinney and ap Iorwerth signed an agreement between the Welsh and Scottish governments. asserted
Swinney → sign → governments
The agreement, which is not legally binding, said it would "press the case for greater fairness for Wales and Scotland in areas such as the operation of the UK funding arrangements and powers over our constitutional future". asserted
it → say → future
It said the two governments would work together on a range of issues, including tackling child poverty and maximising the benefits of their relationships with the European Union. asserted
governments → say → Union
At a second press conference, Swinney declined to offer support for reform of the Barnett Formula - the system that determines how Wales is funded. asserted
Wales → decline → Formula
Welsh ministers have long called for the Barnett funding formula to be reformed, claiming it disadvantages Wales. asserted
it → call → Wales
However, it is argued Scotland does well from the formula. asserted
Scotland → argue → formula
Before he became prime minister, Burnham made the case for change, but on his recent visit to Wales he played down the prospect of reform. asserted
he → become → reform
Swinney said: "Financial arrangements across the United Kingdom vary and by constituent part of the United Kingdom. asserted
arrangements → say → Kingdom
We all have to put forward the issues and the interests and the perspectives in each of our countries." asserted
We → have → countries
Ap Iorwerth said: "There are flexibilities that Scotland already have right now as a minimum to be handed to Wales, is something that is important to us." asserted
that → say → us
During Prime Minister's Questions on Wednesday, Burnham appeared to indicate a second referendum could be held in Scotland if there was clear public support for a vote. uncertain
referendum → appear → vote
…and 14 more, not listed.
💬 Give feedback
🕘 History 🎫 Support