Trump promised to lower prices for Americans. Here's what the data shows.

Read the original at CBS News ↗
CBS News · collected 2026-10-09 · by Aimee Picchi, Megan Cerullo, Mary Cunningham

Quick Summary

President Trump campaigned on lowering Americans' cost of living, promising prices like $2 per gallon gas and 2% mortgage rates. However, two years later, many essential costs have risen sharply, causing voter frustration ahead of the midterm elections. Despite solid economic growth and low unemployment, inflation remains high at 3.6%, far above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. The article attributes some inflation to Trump’s policies, including tariffs and military interventions, which have contributed additional financial pressures on consumers.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-09, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

In his 2024 campaign, President Trump promised to lower Americans' cost of living by reducing gasoline prices below $2 a gallon and delivering 2% mortgage rates. However, two years later, many necessities have become more expensive, fueling voter frustration despite solid economic growth and low unemployment. A recent poll shows that nine in ten Americans consider rising prices the most critical factor affecting their views on the economy. While inflation began before Trump's return to office, his policies, such as imposing tariffs, contributed an additional 2.9 percentage points to inflation through February, according to research from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Additionally, Mr. Trump's decision to intervene in Iran has disrupted oil shipments and driven up fuel costs further.

Written for “Us Tariff Policy Impact” on 2026-10-09, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans strongly left (beta estimate) Confidence high 1 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning: leans strongly left for article 68764 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-10-09

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
86
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
19%
16 of 86 hedged
Leaning
Leans strongly left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Correction & hedging signals
65.6
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-10-09 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Us Tariff Policy Impact
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans strongly left and hedges 19% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 14% hedged 6 of 44 📰 publisher trust 61
“Article A discusses Trump's immediate action to release oil reserves, while Article B reflects on his broader campaign promises and current economic conditions.”
CBS News
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 3 📰 publisher trust 66
“The articles discuss different aspects of public opinion on Trump's handling of the economy and do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
Washington Examiner
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 12% hedged 2 of 16 📰 publisher trust 69
“The articles discuss different aspects of Trump's presidency and economic policies without describing the same specific incident.”
Washington Examiner
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 12% hedged 1 of 8 📰 publisher trust 69
“The articles discuss different aspects of Trump's presidency related to gas prices and economic promises, not the same specific incident.”
Semafor
⚖️ Centre further right than this 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 3 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A describes a specific executive order Trump plans to sign on diesel prices, while Article B discusses his broader economic promises and their current state.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans right further right than this 🔴 7% hedged 1 of 14 📰 publisher trust 64
“Article A describes Trump signing an executive order to lower gas prices, while Article B discusses the broader context of Trump's economic promises and their current status relative to reality.”
New York Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 8% hedged 1 of 13 📰 publisher trust 67
“Article A reports on Trump's consideration of suspending federal gas tax to lower costs, while Article B discusses the discrepancy between Trump's promises and current economic realities.”
BBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 10% hedged 8 of 82 📰 publisher trust 72
“The articles discuss different aspects of President Trump's economic claims and voter sentiment over time, not a single specific incident.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 13% hedged 3 of 23 📰 publisher trust 60
“Article A discusses a specific leaked audio where Ken Paxton mentions Trump's Iran war and rising fuel prices hurting Republicans, while Article B focuses on an analysis of President Trump's economic promises and their current status.”
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans strongly right further right than this 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 22 📰 publisher trust 69
“The articles discuss different aspects of Trump's economic policies without describing the same specific incident.”

Publisher

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Running correction rate · 6 correction(s)
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Who wrote this

Aimee Picchi
14 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 But his campaign promises raised hopes that he would lower consumer prices.
🔮 The figures come a day before the Labor Department's monthly jobs report, with economists forecasting that employers across the U.S. added 90,000 jobs in September.
🔮 She had hoped to regain that aid on her 54th birthday, when she would age out of those restrictions, but then learned that a new federal law had extended the program's work requirement to 64.
🔮 A move by the U.S. to temporarily halt diesel exports amid would initially lower costs, but a prolonged ban could drive up domestic gasoline prices, according to Goldman Sachs.
🔮 One Georgia food bank said it will spend an extra $100,000 this year on diesel, money that otherwise would have gone to feed families.
🔮 Prolonged tensions could keep oil prices elevated, stoking inflation and increasing pressure on the Fed to raise its benchmark interest rate, economists said.
🔮 Nvidia co-founder and CEO Jensen Huang told CBS News he disagrees with recent warnings from artificial intelligence researchers that the technology could lead to humanity's extinction within a few years, calling such statements overblown "doomsday narratives."
🔮 The Fed on Wednesday delivered a widely anticipated , a modest increase that will make credit cards and other loans incrementally more expensive.
🔮 The new research is reminiscent of the 1990s bestseller "The Millionaire Next Door" by Thomas Stanley and William Danko, which found that many millionaires were average Americans who built their wealth through careful saving and investing.
2026-09-17 · assertive framing · Millionaires are everywhere in the U.S., new book says.
🔮 The Census figures also may reflect some tax changes implemented under the "One Big Beautiful Bill" act, or OBBBA, which President Trump signed into law in July 2025.
Also by Aimee Picchi
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 14 articles by Aimee Picchi →
Megan Cerullo
20 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 AI companies are facing a dilemma between promoting the technology's capabilities as more experts are about the dangers the tech could pose to society.
🔮 But his campaign promises raised hopes that he would lower consumer prices.
🔮 American Airlines customers will soon be able to mix cash and airline miles to pay for flights.
🔮 Amazon said the money will go toward education, job training, energy affordability, and water and energy preservation, and also fund other local priorities.
🔮 When will Amazon customers get their money?
🔮 Americans traveling for the holidays this year could face sticker shock as high jet fuel costs stemming from the drive up domestic airfares, according to a new forecast.
🔮 The unaccredited program, called the Horowitz Andreessen Academy, will focus its curriculum on teaching people how to build products and services from the ground up using AI.
🔮 Central to the dire warnings about artificial intelligence's potential is the risk that a "swarm" of AI agents could collaborate in nefarious ways, like hordes of digital extras from The Matrix.
🔮 The breach comes as AI's capabilities and vulnerabilities have been thrust into the spotlight, with leading tech developers calling for a slowdown in building AI platforms due to concerns that they could harm people.
🔮 For example, healthcare providers may send a bill with erroneous charges, and the consumer should dispute them if they believe the charges were a mistake.
Also by Megan Cerullo
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 20 articles by Megan Cerullo →
Mary Cunningham
28 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 But his campaign promises raised hopes that he would lower consumer prices.
🔮 In an update on its website, Anthropic said the ban will only apply in "extreme cases where users repeatedly act cruelly toward our models, with no discernible purpose."
🔮 Any delay will "result in increasing consumer harm and risk to game integrity," the NFL wrote.
🔮 A 2023 survey by the Environmental Protection Agency projects that drinking water systems across the U.S. will need $625 billion in investment over the next two years to implement upgrades and meet health requirements.
🔮 David Ellison, who orchestrated the merger as CEO of Paramount Skydance, will lead the new company along with co-CEO Ynon Kreiz, who was previously CEO of toy company Mattel.
🔮 The company said Monday that it will roll out "innovations" for its Coca-Cola, Fairlife, Mr. Pibb, Powerade and Topo Chico brands starting in 2027.
🔮 New Jersey residents got some bad news earlier this year when the state's public utilities board warned that their electricity bills could surge up to 20% starting on June 1.
🔮 "They will perform a lot better because, I mean, it is, it's their company as well," he said.
🔮 The latest generative AI models show startling capabilities, with proponents for the technology claiming that it will unlock important new discoveries.
🔮 She had hoped to regain that aid on her 54th birthday, when she would age out of those restrictions, but then learned that a new federal law had extended the program's work requirement to 64.
Also by Mary Cunningham
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 28 articles by Mary Cunningham →

Topics

Americans CBS News Iran U.S. the White House

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 10× Americans NORP · 4× American NORP · 2× CBS News ORG · 2× EY-Parthenon ORG · 2× Iran GPE · 2× U.S. GPE · 2× the White House GPE · 2× Greg Daco PERSON · 1× the Federal Reserve Bank of New York ORG · 1×

Narrative

Mr. Trump's decision to attack Iran in February has also led to a drawn-out conflict that has disrupted oil shipments and sharply driven up the price of oil, gas and diesel. "It's undeniable that several of these supply shocks that the U.S. economy has been navigating through come from policy decisions made by the administration — namely, decisions to intervene in Iran and decisions to impose tariffs," Greg Daco, chief economist at investment advisory firm EY-Parthenon, told CBS News.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-09
🔮 But his campaign promises raised hopes that he would lower consumer prices.

Claims (86 extracted, 16 hedged)

President Trump campaigned in 2024 on promises to lower Americans' cost of living, vowing to push gasoline prices below $2 a gallon and to deliver 2% mortgage rates. asserted
Trump → campaign → rates
Two years later, consumers face sharply higher costs for many of the necessities he pledged to make more affordable. asserted
he → face → necessities
Less than a month before the midterm elections, the gap between Mr. Trump's promises and the financial realities facing many Americans is fueling voter frustration over the economy. asserted
gap → face → economy
Although economic growth is solid and unemployment remains low, nine in 10 Americans say prices are the most important factor shaping their views of the economy, according to a recent . uncertain
prices → remain → recent
The financial pressures affecting Americans predate Mr. Trump's return to the White House last year. asserted
pressures → affect → House
Consumers are reeling from the cumulative impact of five years of post-pandemic inflation, economists note. asserted
economists → reel → inflation
But his campaign promises raised hopes that he would lower consumer prices. asserted
he → raise → prices
At the same time, some of Mr. Trump's policies have exacerbated inflation. asserted
some → exacerbate → inflation
His tariff regime contributed about 2.9 percentage points to inflation through February, according to new research from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. uncertain
regime → contribute → York
Without the tariffs, the price of goods would have declined, the researchers said. asserted
researchers → decline → goods
Mr. Trump's decision to attack Iran in February has also led to a drawn-out conflict that has disrupted oil shipments and sharply driven up the price of oil, gas and diesel. "It's undeniable that several of these supply shocks that the U.S. economy has been navigating through come from policy decisions made by the administration — namely, decisions to intervene in Iran and decisions to impose tariffs," Greg Daco, chief economist at investment advisory firm EY-Parthenon, told CBS News. asserted
Daco → attack → News
Inflation in September is forecast to have risen at an annual rate of 3.6%, up from 3.4% in August, according to economists polled by FactSet — well above the Federal Reserve's 2% annual target. uncertain
Inflation → forecast → target
Ryan Bourne, an economist at the libertarian Cato Institute, said that consumers "judge the prices they're paying against the prices they paid four or five years ago, and are still shocked by it." He added, "As a result of that, they think the economy's doing very, very badly." asserted
economy → say → that
The White House said that Mr. Trump's agenda "stopped Biden's inflation crisis" while creating jobs and economic growth. asserted
agenda → say → jobs
The administration's policies "will continue to deliver economic wins over the next two years," White House spokeswoman Taylor Rogers told CBS News. asserted
Rogers → continue → News
The President has delivered tangible wins for American families: He signed the largest working-class tax cuts in history, cut the cost of prescription drugs, added more than one million private-sector jobs, locked in nearly 20 trade deals that put American workers first and sent 401(k)s to record highs," Rogers added. asserted
Rogers → deliver → highs
The following charts show how U.S. costs have changed for expenses ranging from groceries to car insurance. asserted
costs → follow → insurance
"A vote for Trump means your groceries will be cheaper." asserted
groceries → mean → Trump
For consumers, each visit to the supermarket is a fresh reminder of inflation's impact on food costs, which has continued to rise since Mr. Trump vowed to lower grocery prices. asserted
Trump → continue → prices
The cost of food prepared at home has climbed 4% since November 2024, according to Consumer Price Index data, when Mr. Trump said a vote for him would lead to lower costs. uncertain
vote → prepare → costs
That increase comes on top of a 23% jump in food prices during the prior four years. asserted
increase → come → years
Because consumers tend to remember what they spent on groceries before the pandemic, they get a jolt each time they visit the supermarket, said Daco of EY-Parthenon. asserted
Daco → tend → Parthenon
"Whether it's talking about gas prices or grocery prices or restaurant prices or travel prices, everybody talks about inflation," he said. asserted
he → talk → inflation
"The salience of prices is what is driving this downbeat consumer morale. asserted
what → drive → morale
" Food costs are continuing to rise due to a number of factors, ranging from the elevated price of gas and diesel, which are needed to fuel farm equipment and ship items to stores, to the Trump administration's tariffs, economists said. asserted
economists → continue → tariffs
Gasoline "Energy is going to bring us back. asserted
Energy → go → us
That means we're going down and getting gasoline below $2 a gallon, bring down the price of everything from electricity rates to groceries, airfares, and housing costs." asserted
we → mean → groceries
Gas prices have surged since the in late February. asserted
prices → surge → ?
That's up 47% from $2.98 on Feb. 27, one day before the war began, according to CBS News data. uncertain
war → begin → data
Diesel prices rose to a record high of $6.53 per gallon on Sept. 22 and now hover around $6.28. asserted
prices → rise → 6.28
Diesel, which is widely used in the trucking, agriculture and construction sectors, is a factor in consumer prices for nearly every type of good, including groceries. asserted
which → use → groceries
Gas prices tend to have an outsized impact on consumer sentiment, influencing their views on future inflation and the broader economy, according to research from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. uncertain
prices → tend → Francisco
"By contrast, I'm announcing today that under my leadership, the United States will commit to the ambitious goal of slashing energy and electricity prices by half, at least half." asserted
States → announce → half
Consumers' energy bills have continued to increase this year. asserted
bills → continue → ?
Data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that average monthly residential electricity costs rose 12.5% between December 2024 and July of this year. asserted
costs → show → year
Electricity bills are rising as utilities spend more to upgrade the nation's aging power grid, and overall energy demand grows amid the data center buildout. asserted
demand → rise → buildout
Natural gas is also growing more expensive. asserted
gas → grow → ?
Average monthly residential prices for natural gas rose 106% between December 2024 and July 2025, according to the EIA. uncertain
prices → rise → EIA
Energy Innovation, a nonpartisan policy and research firm, attributes the jump to geopolitical conflict, an increase in domestic exports, extreme weather linked to climate change and rising infrastructure costs. asserted
Innovation → attribute → change
A July report from advocacy groups The Century Foundation and Protect Borrowers found that the national average utility bill reached $280 per month in early 2026, up 12% since the end of 2024, just before Mr. Trump took office. asserted
Trump → find → office
…and 46 more, not listed.
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