In an offer that baffled most observers, United States President Donald Trump has made a pitch to his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping that has seldom been made in modern history.
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that → baffle → history
Trump’s suggestion that Beijing buy US weapons was another off-script remark that appeared to stray from official policy, prompting the State Department to clarify that Washington has no such plans.
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Trump asked Xi “at one point” whether China was interested in procuring US arms, the US envoy to Beijing, David Perdue, said in an interview with Fox News on Sunday.
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envoy → buy → Sunday
The president reportedly made the suggestion in discussions with Xi about US arms sales to Taiwan, but it was unclear whether that happened during their joint summit last week or at another time.
uncertain
that → make → time
The comments are all the more striking given Washington’s concerns about Beijing’s support for Iran, as Trump’s ongoing war with Tehran continues.
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war → give → Tehran
Analysts were quick to dismiss Trump’s proposal as lacking any strategic logic – not least of all due to the arms embargo the US has imposed on China since 1989.
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US → dismiss → 1989
“Such ‘gambits’ by Donald Trump [are] spontaneous flights of fancy that are not part of any strategy,” Alejandro Reyes, an Asia Pacific policy specialist and professor at the University of Hong Kong, told Al Jazeera.
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Reyes → tell → Jazeera
“It is certainly unusual to suggest to your main strategic rival and adversary [that it] should buy your weapons.”
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it → suggest → weapons
But experts also said it revealed how Trump views Beijing: through a strictly mercenary framework.
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Trump → say → framework
US law strictly prohibits arms sales to China and Washington officially identifies Beijing as its primary strategic and economic competitor – so there is no practical policy framework for such a transaction, said Beijing-based analyst Einar Tangen, a senior fellow at the Center for International Governance Innovation.
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Tangen → prohibit → Innovation
“It is an off-the-cuff negotiating probe designed to disrupt standard diplomatic scripts, test reactions and create transactional leverage,” Tangen told Al Jazeera.
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Tangen → design → Jazeera
The US has always viewed China and its military capabilities with concern, citing its Communist Party’s fusion with the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) as a threat.
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US → view → threat
It has accused Beijing of acquiring and diverting the world’s cutting-edge technologies – including through theft – in order to achieve “military dominance”, a US State Department memo states.
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memo → accuse → dominance
“The US officially regards China as a leading national security threat,” said Reyes.
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Reyes → regard → threat
“The Pentagon’s long-term military planning treats China as the ‘sole pacing threat’, meaning that the US military reckons its technological edge, naval capacity and now its AI progress primarily against China’s capabilities and performance.”
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military → treat → capabilities
“The remark highlights the friction between Trump’s transactional political style and a national security establishment that views China as a systemic rival to be contained,” said Tangen.
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Tangen → highlight → rival
Trump’s motivation, he explained, is based on his need to acquire rare earth metals to replenish America’s depleted weapons stockpiles – which have taken a major hit following his ongoing war with Iran.
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which → explain → Iran
China dominates the world’s rare earth supply chains.
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China → dominate → chains
William Yang, a senior analyst on North East Asia at Crisis Group, agreed that Trump views Beijing through a transactional lens – and that his offer held no realistic, strategic thinking.
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offer → agree → thinking
“This incident reflects Trump’s almost pure transactional view of Washington’s relationship with Beijing,” Yang told Al Jazeera.
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Yang → reflect → Jazeera
It’s also in line with the president’s conduct throughout his second term – making remarks that contradict existing US policies, which sow confusion and require clarification later, he added.
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he → ’ → clarification
A brief history of arming rivals
History offers few examples of geopolitical rivals striking arms deals, making Trump’s proposal particularly unusual.
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proposal → arm → deals
During World War II, the US’ Lend-Lease Act to Allied countries also included the Soviet Union – as they were driven by a common enemy, Nazi Germany, explained Tangen.
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Tangen → include → enemy
Years later, technological cooperation between the US and China in the late Cold War “was motivated by a shared objective of countering Soviet power and it never involved frontline technology”, he said.
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he → motivate → technology
Dov H. Levin, a professor of international relations at the University of Hong Kong, also pointed to the Iran-Contra affair, when in the eighties, the US sent secret weapons transactions to Iran and Nicaragua – which violated the US Congress and the stated public policy of the government at the time.
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which → point → time
“I see no US weapon system that the US would plausibly offer China to purchase in the current state of their bilateral relationship,” Levin told Al Jazeera.
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Levin → see → Jazeera
Britain sold jet engines to the Soviet Union in 1947 during the early Cold War, said Reyes.
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Reyes → sell → War
Nazi Germany, in turn, sold the Soviet Union an unfinished heavy cruiser in 1940, during their temporary rapprochement, before invading the country the following year, he added.
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he → sell → country
“These cases show how commercial or strategic interests have sometimes permitted military transactions between countries that were rivals or subsequently became adversaries,” said Reyes.
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Reyes → show → countries
But Tangen argued that such transactions reflected “temporary alignments born of immediate geopolitical necessity”.
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transactions → argue → necessity
The analysts agreed that the historical examples do not translate to the relationship between China and the US today.
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examples → agree → China
“What distinguishes today’s China-US relationship is that the two countries are directly competing over the strategic balance of power in the Asia Pacific and beyond – and are even said to be heading for inevitable kinetic conflict,” said Reyes.
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Reyes → distinguish → conflict
If Trump genuinely wanted to use US weapons as a bargaining chip with Beijing, there are multiple barriers in his way, not least of all national security constraints, said the analysts.
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analysts → want → all
Selling weapons to Beijing “would potentially compromise US national security, allow China to gain access to advanced US defence technology and further bolster China’s military modernisation efforts,” said Yang.
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Yang → sell → efforts
Additionally, US systems do not align with Beijing’s security architecture, said Tangen.
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Tangen → align → architecture
“The US model is built for global power projection.
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model → build → projection
Platforms like the F-35 combine extreme technological sophistication – such as stealth, sensor fusion and electronic warfare – but depend on an expensive, vulnerable ecosystem of tankers, AWACS, satellites, forward bases and global logistics,” Tangen said.
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Tangen → combine → tankers
The Chinese model, meanwhile, is built for regional defence and sovereignty protection, he added.
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he → build → defence
“Systems like the J-20 [Chinese fighter jet] are integrated into a robust regional framework combining long-range missiles, drones, domestic sensors, satellites and land-based command-and-control, all backed by a massive industrial base capable of high-volume mass production,” said Tangen.
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Tangen → integrate → production
Reyes was blunt in his analysis of Beijing’s need for US arms: “China now produces most of its own weapons.
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China → produce → weapons
Why would it need to buy American?”
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it → need → American
…and 9 more, not listed.
The Aporia
