'Free' social care could cost taxpayer £18BILLION as Labour floats scrapping pensions triple lock and introducing 'death tax' to pay for it

Read the original at Daily Mail ↗
Daily Mail · collected 2026-09-27 · by Jason Groves, James Tapsfield

Quick Summary

Andy Burnham, speaking at the Labour Party conference in Liverpool, proposed raising billions more in taxes to fund free social care, similar to the NHS model. Experts estimate this could cost £18 billion annually. Burnham declined to specify a price tag but indicated he is open to tax increases and a 10% inheritance tax on all inheritances to pay for it. Former Labour Cabinet minister Darren Jones suggested scrapping the pensions triple lock as another measure to fund social care reforms.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-28, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Andy Burnham, the UK Prime Minister, pledged during the Labour Party conference in Liverpool to offer a universal free social care system at the next general election expected by 2029. Burnham aims to address England's "threadbare" social care services and avoid financial ruin for individuals, likening it to American healthcare where vulnerable people can lose everything due to costs. He emphasized that the current system is unsustainable and could break the NHS if left unaddressed.

Burnham acknowledged potential political risks, including being labeled as seeking a “death tax” on estates, but he remains committed to implementing reforms despite possible unpopularity. The proposal's funding details are yet undisclosed; however, experts suggest it might cost around £18 billion annually. Burnham denied this figure, suggesting the final cost would be lower.

Burnham indicated his readiness to spend political capital for these reforms and ruled out immediate implementation before the 2029 election due to potential backlash from opponents who view tax rises as a red line issue. Shadow home secretary Chris Philp warned that any plan requiring more tax hikes could face significant Conservative opposition, with some sources hinting at potentially scrapping the pensions triple lock to fund such reforms.

Written for “Social Care Reform Plan England” on 2026-10-05, grounded in this article and the 10 other(s) covering the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
28
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
14%
4 of 28 hedged
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Correction & hedging signals
64.9
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
11
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-28 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Social Care Reform Plan England
Politics · 11 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 14% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Daily Mail · 0.89 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 33% hedged 6 of 18 📰 publisher trust 65
“Both articles discuss Andy Burnham's pledge at the Labour Party conference to introduce 'free' social care and the associated costs, with expert warnings about the financial implications.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 10% hedged 4 of 40 📰 publisher trust 65
“The articles discuss different aspects of Labour's policies and their potential impacts on taxation; Article A focuses on stamp duty and pension tax implications for individuals, while Article B discusses Andy Burnham's plans to fund 'free' social care through increased taxes.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans strongly right 🔴 5% hedged 1 of 21 📰 publisher trust 68
“The articles describe different political events with distinct proposals from separate parties and thinktanks.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 32% hedged 8 of 25 📰 publisher trust 65
“The articles discuss different aspects of Andy Burnham's policies: one focuses on nationalisation and its potential impact on government debt, while the other addresses social care funding and related tax proposals.”
The Straits Times
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 5% hedged 1 of 19 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles discuss Prime Minister Andy Burnham's pledge to offer social care reform at his Labour Party conference on September 27th.”
The Guardian
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 11% hedged 4 of 35 📰 publisher trust 68
“Both articles report on Andy Burnham's announcement regarding free social care at the Labour party conference in Liverpool on the same date.”
BBC News
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 11% hedged 4 of 37 📰 publisher trust 78
“Both articles report on Andy Burnham's proposal for an NHS-style social care system in England announced around the same time.”
BBC News
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 38% hedged 9 of 24 📰 publisher trust 78
“Both articles discuss Andy Burnham's plans for social care reform and the potential financial implications during a Labour Party conference.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 36% hedged 10 of 28 📰 publisher trust 68
“Both articles describe Andy Burnham's announcement at the Labour Party conference about his plan for free NHS-style social care during the next election campaign.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 33% hedged 1 of 3 📰 publisher trust 65
“Both articles discuss Andy Burnham's proposal for a 'death tax' to fund free social care, presented at the Labour Party conference.”

Publisher

Daily Mail · 3692 article(s) · 12 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 12 correction(s)
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Clarifications and corrections

Who wrote this

James Tapsfield
46 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The figures could be enough to give Mr Burnham a small majority should he go for an early ballot - something many believe is still possible despite repeated denials.
🔮 The intervention came after the PM used his conference speech last week to reopen the Brexit debate, suggesting Labour could even support rejoining the bloc in full at the next election.
🔮 The Conservative leader said reducing the levy would be 'morally right' amid mounting speculation about an eye-catching move. The party is gathering in Birmingham as Mrs Badenoch tries to build on fledgling signs of a revival.
🔮 There are fears that markets could react badly if Mr Healey decides not to rebuild 'headroom' against the fiscal rules.
🔮 Britain could face a diesel crisis this winter if Donald Trump forces Europe to release emergency stocks before US mid-term elections next month.
🔮 - See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source Andy Burnham admitted Brits could face more tax hikes to fund his massive social care plan today.
🔮 The PM was given a brutal reality check after his Labour conference 'vision' speech as energy bills were forecast to spike another 16 per cent in January.
🔮 The PM used his big conference speech yesterday to blame Brexit for many of the country's problems, saying he will spell out options for the future at a summit with Brussels later this year. But the move has sparked concerns among his own troops, with Scottish Labour leader Michael Marra warning returning to the bloc is 'unrealistic'.
🔮 - See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source Andy Burnham's NHS-style social care vow could take 'decades' to deliver and cost far more than £18billion a year, a top expert warned today.
🔮 - See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source John Healey will attempt to cool nerves about Budget tax hikes today as he vows an 'industrialisation' drive in his Labour conference speech.
Also by James Tapsfield
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 46 articles by James Tapsfield →
Jason Groves
32 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Britain's biggest environmental quangos could be scrapped as part of a new Tory war on red tape designed to boost growth.
🔮 Andy Burnham's plans to reverse Brexit could push up immigration by more than 200,000 a year it was claimed - after Emmanuel Macron told him Britain would have to accept free movement.
🔮 The Tory leader has ended speculation she could follow Andy Burnham in ditching the mechanism which has helped protect the value of the basic state pension for years.
🔮 G7 countries including Britain, France and Germany said they would release up to 100 million barrels starting immediately after the US threatened a diesel export ban.
🔮 Vowing to reverse Labour's soft-justice approach, the Conservative leader has signed off proposals to build 50,000 new prison places, increasing the size of the estate by more than 50 per cent. The scheme will be funded mainly by slashing the foreign aid budget to just £1billion a year.
🔮 But it is this spoof version that is set to be the star attraction at next week's Conservative Party conference, as it pokes fun at Labour's first two years in power.
🔮 The triple lock raid will cost pensioners £15billion a year by the end of the next decade. But government sources said unspecified tax rises would be needed to help fund the grandiose plan.
🔮 In a dramatic move, the Prime Minister said the mechanism - which has protected pensioner incomes for years - will be ditched in 2030 to help fund social care reforms.
🔮 Ministers fear the price could reach £3 if Donald Trump halts diesel exports to the UK as part of efforts to cut prices in the US.
Also by Jason Groves
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 32 articles by Jason Groves →

Topics

Daily Mail Labour Cabinet Labour Party Liverpool NHS

Subjects

Burnham PERSON · 7× Andy Burnham PERSON · 3× Darren Jones PERSON · 2× Labour ORG · 2× Labour Cabinet ORG · 2× Liverpool GPE · 2× Reform UK's ORG · 2× Robert Jenrick PERSON · 2× Treasury ORG · 2× Daily Mail ORG · 1×

Narrative

He told the BBC's Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg show: 'Social care in England is as unfair as American healthcare, where the most vulnerable in society can lose everything, they can be wiped out, not just by the condition that they have, but wiped out financially.'
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-28
🔮 - See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source Andy Burnham yesterday said he will fight the next election on a pledge to raise billions more in tax to fund 'free' social care.

Claims (28 extracted, 4 hedged)

- See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source Andy Burnham yesterday said he will fight the next election on a pledge to raise billions more in tax to fund 'free' social care. asserted
he → see → care
Speaking as the Labour Party conference got under way in Liverpool, the Prime Minister said he was ready to 'grasp the nettle' and find the money needed to create an NHS-style 'national care service'. asserted
he → speak → service
Experts have warned making social care free at the point of use could cost £18billion a year – equal to 2p on the basic rate of income tax. uncertain
care → warn → tax
Mr Burnham said the final cost would be lower, but declined to put a price tag on his plans. asserted
cost → say → plans
The PM indicated he was ready to countenance tax rises and said his proposal for a 10 per cent 'death tax' on all inheritances remained 'on the table'. asserted
proposal → indicate → table
He said it would be a system where 'everyone contributes, everyone is covered'. asserted
everyone → say → ?
Last night government sources told The Times that measures to pay for the Prime Minister's social care reforms could include scrapping the pensions triple lock. uncertain
measures → tell → lock
And former Labour Cabinet minister Darren Jones said the cost was too high to be raised purely through tax – and suggested axeing the triple lock to help pay for it: 'The triple lock is very expensive and of benefit to older people. uncertain
lock → say → people
If you are reallocating money to help older people in the social care system, maybe there is some reform that can be done there.' asserted
that → reallocate → system
Andy Burnham yesterday said he will fight the next election on a pledge to raise billions more in tax to fund 'free' social care. asserted
he → say → care
Mr Burnham is seen here attending the first day of the Labour Party Conference in Liverpool Former Labour Cabinet minister Darren Jones said the cost was too high to be raised purely through tax – and suggested axeing the triple lock to help pay for it uncertain
cost → see → it
The PM said a final decision on the funding model would depend on the outcome of Louise Casey's review of the social care system. asserted
decision → say → system
But he said he was willing to take 'unpopular' decisions to 'rip the plaster off' a problem that successive governments have failed to deal with. asserted
governments → say → that
Mr Burnham said the recent death of his father Roy, who was in a care home with Alzheimer's, had redoubled his determination to act. asserted
who → say → determination
In comments that will revive speculation about an early election, the PM said he would put his plan to the country in Labour's next manifesto. asserted
he → revive → manifesto
Mr Burnham said on Friday he wanted to 'knock dead' speculation about a snap election. asserted
he → say → election
But it is highly unusual for party leaders to start talking about the contents of a manifesto three years out from an election. asserted
leaders → start → election
Cross-party talks have already been held on social care and the PM said he hoped to reach a 'consensus'. asserted
he → hold → consensus
But both Reform and the Conservatives yesterday said they would not countenance tax rises to fund a new system. asserted
they → say → system
Shadow home secretary Chris Philp said reforms should be funded by cuts to the welfare budget and other areas of government spending. asserted
reforms → say → spending
He said tax rises were a 'red line'. asserted
rises → say → ?
Reform UK's Treasury spokesman Robert Jenrick claimed Mr Burnham was 'too weak to cut the sky-high benefits bill' asserted
Burnham → claim → bill
Reform UK's Treasury spokesman Robert Jenrick said: 'Andy Burnham is too weak to cut the sky-high benefits bill, so he's coming for your home instead.' asserted
he → say → home
But Mr Burnham pointed out many families are already paying huge sums to care for elderly loved ones. asserted
families → point → ones
He told the BBC's Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg show: 'Social care in England is as unfair as American healthcare, where the most vulnerable in society can lose everything, they can be wiped out, not just by the condition that they have, but wiped out financially.' asserted
they → tell → that
Mr Burnham's intervention came as the work and pensions secretary admitted the welfare system is too focused on handing people benefits instead of helping them to work. asserted
them → come → benefits
Pat McFadden said the benefits system was 'the wrong way round'. asserted
system → say → ?
In his speech to Labour's conference yesterday, he said it was time to focus on getting people into work, including ending the 'shameful' situation which has left one million young people not in education, employment or training (the so-called 'Neets'). asserted
which → say → education
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