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Sir Andrew Dilnot, a Government expert on social care, warns that Andy Burnham's proposal for NHS-style social care could cost more than £18 billion annually and take decades to implement. Burnham made the promise during Labour’s annual conference after his father's death from Alzheimer's disease. However, Sir Andrew argues that this initiative delays addressing the crisis until after the next election in 2029, questioning the feasibility of implementing a fully free social care system similar to the NHS within a short timeframe or budget.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-28,
using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the
same event (that is the story summary below).
Story summary
Andy Burnham, the UK Prime Minister, pledged during the Labour Party conference in Liverpool to offer a universal free social care system at the next general election expected by 2029. Burnham aims to address England's "threadbare" social care services and avoid financial ruin for individuals, likening it to American healthcare where vulnerable people can lose everything due to costs. He emphasized that the current system is unsustainable and could break the NHS if left unaddressed.
Burnham acknowledged potential political risks, including being labeled as seeking a “death tax” on estates, but he remains committed to implementing reforms despite possible unpopularity. The proposal's funding details are yet undisclosed; however, experts suggest it might cost around £18 billion annually. Burnham denied this figure, suggesting the final cost would be lower.
Burnham indicated his readiness to spend political capital for these reforms and ruled out immediate implementation before the 2029 election due to potential backlash from opponents who view tax rises as a red line issue. Shadow home secretary Chris Philp warned that any plan requiring more tax hikes could face significant Conservative opposition, with some sources hinting at potentially scrapping the pensions triple lock to fund such reforms.
Written for “Social Care Reform Plan England” on 2026-10-05,
grounded in this article and the 10 other(s) covering the same event.
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Andy Burnham's NHS-style social care vow could take 'decades' to deliver and cost far more than £18billion a year, a top expert warned today.
uncertain
expert → see → 18billion
Sir Andrew Dilnot, who wrote a landmark Government review, said the PM had effectively delayed any solution to the crisis until after the next election.
asserted
PM → write → election
The economist also cautioned that Mr Burnham was hugely underestimating the cost to the taxpayer of having a 'free' social care system, and how long it would take to implement.
asserted
it → caution → long
Mr Burnham used the first day of Labour's annual conference in Liverpool yesterday to promise he will 'grasp the nettle' of reform.
asserted
he → use → reform
He said the recent death of his father Roy, who was in a care home with Alzheimer's, had redoubled his determination to act.
asserted
who → say → determination
The PM said a final decision on the funding model would depend on the outcome of a review by Whitehall troubleshooter Louise Casey, and go into the next Labour manifesto.
But he said he was willing to take 'unpopular' decisions to 'rip the plaster off' a problem that successive governments have failed to deal with.
Sir Andrew Dilnot, who wrote a landmark Government review of social care, said the PM had effectively delayed any solution to the crisis until after the next election
There are rumours that downgrading the state pension 'triple lock' could help fund the move, while Mr Burnham said his proposal for a 10 per cent 'death tax' on all inheritances remained 'on the table'.
The premier denied that the care policy would cost the £18billion a year estimated by experts, although he declined to give a figure.
uncertain
he → say → figure
Interviewed on BBC Radio 4's Today programme this morning, Sir Andrew said Mr Burnham's announcement suggested 'if anything change is now further away' than had been implied previously.
uncertain
change → interview → programme
'It now looks like this is a set of proposals that will go into the manifesto, so not for implementation until after the election in 2029, if that is when it is,' Sir Andrew said.
asserted
Andrew → look → 2029
'But he did also talk about making social care free.
asserted
care → talk → ?
And what he implied was that he wanted social care to be completely free...
asserted
care → imply → what
'So I think what he is really talking about probably is social care that looks very like the NHS, that it will be entirely free.'
asserted
it → think → NHS
Sir Andrew said that would cost a 'very substantial sum of money', and be far more comprehensive than in Scotland – where many people needing residential care still face large bills.
asserted
people → say → bills
The economist - who penned a review under the Coalition proposing an £80,000 cap on care costs - warned Mr Burnham was 'envisaging something that could take many years, even many decades before it came to fruition'.
uncertain
it → pen → fruition
He said the Government now seemed to be 'beginning a move' that would not be realised 'very quickly'.
asserted
that → say → move
Sir Andrew said he was 'puzzled' by Mr Burnham's claim that the costs could be lower than £18billion a year.
uncertain
costs → say → claim
'If we were to make social care free in the same way that health care is largely free then I think we would be talking about an amount of money very much in excess of £18billion,' he said.
asserted
he → make → 18billion
'If we were to be talking about simply something like the Scottish model then we might be talking about a sum that was only around half of the £18billion.
uncertain
that → talk → 18billion
'But that would fail the challenges that Mr Burnham himself has said, that he wants people not to face losing everything, not to face the catastrophic risks...'
asserted
people → fail → risks