Hurricane Nolo expected to bring heavy rain as it skirts Hawaii’s Big Island

Read the original at NBC News ↗
NBC News · collected 2026-09-26 · by Shanshan Dong

Quick Summary

Hurricane Nolo is moving north-northeast in the Pacific Ocean and is expected to strengthen into a major hurricane over the weekend. It will pass about 155 miles south of Hawaii’s Big Island, bringing heavy rain, potential flash flooding, and dangerous surf conditions starting Friday night. The storm’s path and intensity raise concerns among residents still recovering from previous hurricanes Lala and Lowell, with some feeling overwhelmed by another significant weather event so soon after the last one.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-26, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Tropical Storm Nolo, which has since strengthened into a hurricane, threatens Hawaii, particularly the Big Island, with potentially catastrophic flooding and mudslides. Forecasters predict up to 35 inches of rain in some areas, causing life-threatening flash floods and severe damage. The storm's slow movement over warm ocean waters is expected to intensify it further before moving westward and skirting the islands on Saturday and Sunday, avoiding direct landfall but still causing heavy rainfall. Communities already recovering from earlier storms like Hurricane Lala in August remain vulnerable, with some residents displaced and rebuilding efforts at risk of being devastated again by Nolo's impact.

Written for “Hurricane Nolo Threatens Hawaii” on 2026-10-05, grounded in this article and the 12 other(s) covering the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
36
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
17%
6 of 36 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Correction & hedging signals
95.1
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
13
Environment
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-26 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Hurricane Nolo Threatens Hawaii
Environment · 13 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 17% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Toronto Star · 0.92 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 6% hedged 2 of 31 📰 publisher trust 63
“Both articles describe Hurricane Nolo's approach to Hawaii's Big Island, mentioning similar details about timing, location, wind speed, and potential impacts.”
The Guardian · 0.92 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 6% hedged 2 of 31 📰 publisher trust 60
“Both articles describe Hurricane Nolo's approach and impact on Hawaii's Big Island during the same time period, with consistent details about wind speeds and potential hazards.”
New York Post · 0.94 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 36% hedged 4 of 11 📰 publisher trust 64
“Both articles describe Hurricane Nolo's approach and expected impact on Hawaii's Big Island at around the same time, with similar details about wind speeds and rain forecasts.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 21% hedged 8 of 39 📰 publisher trust 63
“The articles describe different aspects of two distinct hurricanes, Polo affecting Mexico's Pacific coast and Nolo approaching Hawaii. While they are both tropical storms occurring around the same time, they refer to separate events.”
NPR · 0.91 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 32% hedged 6 of 19 📰 publisher trust 60
“Both articles describe Hurricane Nolo's threat to Hawaii's Big Island with heavy rain and potential flooding on the same weekend.”
CBC News · 0.89 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 10% hedged 5 of 48 📰 publisher trust 60
“Both articles describe Hurricane Nolo's approach to Hawaii's Big Island with similar threats of heavy rain and potential flooding.”
The Guardian · 0.87 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 6% hedged 1 of 16 📰 publisher trust 60
“Both articles discuss Hurricane Nolo's impact on Hawaii, specifically mentioning life-threatening flooding and heavy rain expected for the Big Island.”
CBS News · 0.88 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 3 📰 publisher trust 66
“Both articles describe Hurricane Nolo approaching Hawaii's Big Island with similar timing and warnings.”
CBS News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 3 📰 publisher trust 66
“The articles describe different stages of Hurricane Nolo's impact; Article A covers its strengthening near Hawaii while also mentioning a nor'easter affecting the East Coast, whereas Article B focuses specifically on Hurricane Nolo's forecasted effects on Hawaii’s Big Island.”
The Guardian
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 12% hedged 3 of 26 📰 publisher trust 68
“The articles describe different storms affecting distinct regions: a nor'easter on the US East Coast and Hurricane Nolo in Hawaii.”

Publisher

NBC News · 963 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Shanshan Dong
1 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Hurricane Nolo is forecast to strengthen into a major hurricane in the Pacific Ocean over the weekend, unleashing intense rain, the possibility of life-threatening flash flooding, and dangerous surf for Hawaii’s Big Island.
The only article under this byline in the corpus.

Topics

Hawaii Lowell NAALEHU Nolo the National Hurricane Center

Subjects

Nolo GPE · 5× Hawaii GPE · 4× Maui GPE · 3× the National Hurricane Center ORG · 3× NAALEHU GPE · 2× Hawaiian NORP · 1× Mark Peters PERSON · 1× National Hurricane Center ORG · 1× Peters PERSON · 1× Waiohinu GPE · 1×

Narrative

He recalled driving through Waiohinu in the aftermath of Hurricane Lala and his “eyes getting wide open with all the damage, and the cars and houses moved and not where they’re supposed to be, and Waiohinu Park having buildings in the baseball field.”
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-26
🔮 Hurricane Nolo is forecast to strengthen into a major hurricane in the Pacific Ocean over the weekend, unleashing intense rain, the possibility of life-threatening flash flooding, and dangerous surf for Hawaii’s Big Island.

Claims (36 extracted, 6 hedged)

Hurricane Nolo is forecast to strengthen into a major hurricane in the Pacific Ocean over the weekend, unleashing intense rain, the possibility of life-threatening flash flooding, and dangerous surf for Hawaii’s Big Island. asserted
Nolo → forecast → Island
Nolo, which was a Category 1 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph, will trigger tropical storm conditions for the Big Island on Friday night, the National Hurricane Center forecast. asserted
Center → trigger → night
Come Saturday, hurricane conditions are possible on the island, especially in areas with steep terrain, the weather service warned. asserted
service → Come → terrain
Nolo is about 155 miles south of South Point, the southernmost point of the Big Island, moving north-northeast at 5 mph as of Friday 8 p.m. ET (2 p.m. HST). asserted
Nolo → move → Friday
This marks the third hurricane in less than two months to whip past Hawaii (following Lala and Lowell). asserted
This → mark → Lala
The active Pacific hurricane season is likely due to a record-setting El Niño — a natural climate pattern characterized by a rise in sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific, and spawns more intense and frequent cyclones there. asserted
season → set → cyclones
On its current path, Nolo will move slowly northward Friday night, but will remain south of Big Island through Saturday. asserted
Nolo → move → Saturday
Then, it will turn westward and move away from the island but increase in speed Saturday into Sunday, the hurricane center said. asserted
center → turn → Sunday
Nolo’s center will remain well south of the main Hawaiian islands, the National Hurricane Center said in its Friday afternoon local time advisory. asserted
Center → remain → advisory
Time is almost up for residents to finish preparations for heavy rain and flooding impacts “as heavy rain increases in both coverage and intensity late today,” the National Hurricane Center warned in an advisory. asserted
Center → finish → advisory
For some locals still reeling from Hurricanes Lala and Lowell, Nolo’s approach is taking an emotional toll. asserted
approach → reel → toll
“It hurts me when I see friends and neighbors and people of this community that I know, and I just see it in their eyes. asserted
I → hurt → eyes
I hear it in their voices. asserted
I → hear → voices
We’ve been through a lot down here, and we still got a lot to go,” said Mark Peters, a resident of Naalehu in southern Big Island for seven years. asserted
Peters → got → years
“We’re just getting started with our recovery, but to have yet another big storm hit us, and potentially even bigger than the last one, it’s difficult. asserted
it → start → one
While he praised his community for its resilience, he said the people are still in need of basics like food and water, and many are in the process of reconstruction. asserted
many → praise → reconstruction
“We’re talking years. asserted
We → talk → years
This is going to be a long recovery,” Peters said Friday. asserted
Peters → go → ?
He recalled driving through Waiohinu in the aftermath of Hurricane Lala and his “eyes getting wide open with all the damage, and the cars and houses moved and not where they’re supposed to be, and Waiohinu Park having buildings in the baseball field.” asserted
Park → recall → field
Tess Kala, a South Point resident who grew up in the area, said the back-to-back storms are a shock to locals. asserted
who → grow → locals
“Honestly, this is the first like, whoa, what happened? asserted
what → happen → ?
We had a lot of family and friends that have lived here all their lives through generations and never experienced this before,” she said. asserted
she → have → this
Now she is preparing for Nolo by “moving everything away from the houses, tying things down, making sure that everything is hosed up and taped up as best as we possibly can.” uncertain
we → prepare → things
Nolo will bring periods of heavy rain that will continue across Big Island and Maui over the weekend, and could trigger life-threatening catastrophic flooding and mudslides, especially in steep terrain across eastern and southern portions of both Big Island and Maui, the hurricane center said. uncertain
center → bring → Island
Nolo is forecast to dump 10 to 15 inches of rain, with up to 25 inches forecasted, in eastern and southern parts of Big Island. asserted
inches → forecast → Island
Western portions of Big Island could see two to four inches of rain with maximum amounts of eight inches. uncertain
portions → see → inches
Meanwhile, Maui could see four to six inches, with maximum amounts of 10 inches, the National Hurricane Center said. uncertain
Center → see → inches
The rest of Hawaii will experience lesser rainfall totals but isolated flooding is possible. asserted
flooding → experience → totals
Nolo could also bring large and damaging waves along portions of Big Island’s coastline into the weekend. uncertain
Nolo → bring → weekend
A hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within 24-36 hours. asserted
conditions → mean → hours
A wind advisory has been issued for the rest of the state. asserted
advisory → issue → state
Tropical storm force winds will reach the Big Island on Friday afternoon, with hurricane force winds possible by late evening. asserted
winds → reach → evening
A high surf advisory is in effect for south and east facing shores of Big Island and east facing shores of Maui and Molokai. asserted
advisory → face → Maui
A high surf advisory was also issued for east facing shores of Niihau, Kauai, and Oahu beginning Friday evening. asserted
advisory → issue → evening
Nolo could also spawn tornadoes and large waterspouts over and near Big Island and to the right of the track of the tropical cyclone. uncertain
Nolo → spawn → cyclone
Marlene Lenthang reported from Los Angeles and Ryan Chandler and Shanshan Dong from Naalehu. asserted
Lenthang → report → Naalehu
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