Hurricane Nolo still threatens Hawaii as Mexico's Baja braces for major Hurricane Polo

Read the original at The Guardian ↗
The Guardian · collected 2026-09-27 · by Associated Press

Quick Summary

Hurricane Nolo was moving away from Hawaii on Sunday but continued to pose threats of heavy rain, flash flooding, and strong winds for parts of the island chain still recovering from previous storms like Hurricane Lala. As of Sunday, Nolo was approximately 365 miles south-southwest of Honolulu, with maximum sustained winds at 115 mph. Forecasters warned that outer bands could cause life-threatening conditions, potentially bringing up to 20 inches of rain to the Big Island and prompting evacuations and National Guard support across multiple islands.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-28, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Tropical Storm Nolo, which has since strengthened into a hurricane, threatens Hawaii, particularly the Big Island, with potentially catastrophic flooding and mudslides. Forecasters predict up to 35 inches of rain in some areas, causing life-threatening flash floods and severe damage. The storm's slow movement over warm ocean waters is expected to intensify it further before moving westward and skirting the islands on Saturday and Sunday, avoiding direct landfall but still causing heavy rainfall. Communities already recovering from earlier storms like Hurricane Lala in August remain vulnerable, with some residents displaced and rebuilding efforts at risk of being devastated again by Nolo's impact.

Written for “Hurricane Nolo Threatens Hawaii” on 2026-10-05, grounded in this article and the 12 other(s) covering the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
39
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
13%
5 of 39 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Correction & hedging signals
59.7
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
13
Environment
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-28 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Hurricane Nolo Threatens Hawaii
Environment · 13 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 13% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Toronto Star · 0.99 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 14% hedged 5 of 36 📰 publisher trust 63
“Both articles describe Hurricane Nolo's threat to Hawaii at nearly the same time, with similar details about its movement and impact.”
The Independent
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 17% hedged 5 of 30 📰 publisher trust 59
“The articles describe two separate hurricanes affecting different regions on consecutive days.”
ABC News (US) · 0.89 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 6% hedged 2 of 32 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles discuss Hurricane Nolo's impact on Hawaii during the same time period and mention similar weather conditions and warnings.”
The Guardian · 0.89 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 6% hedged 2 of 31 📰 publisher trust 60
“Both articles discuss Hurricane Nolo's impact on Hawaii, with similar warnings and details about wind speeds and movement.”
CBS News · 0.87 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 3 📰 publisher trust 66
“While both articles discuss Hurricane Nolo's impact on Hawaii, Article A is reporting about imminent danger and warnings before its arrival, whereas Article B describes the situation after it has moved away from the Big Island.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 21% hedged 8 of 39 📰 publisher trust 63
“The articles describe different stages of two distinct hurricanes affecting separate regions at different times.”
CBS News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 2 📰 publisher trust 66
“The articles describe different stages of Hurricane Nolo's impact on Hawaii, but they are not reporting on a single, identical incident occurring at the exact same time and place.”
CBS News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 3 📰 publisher trust 66
“The articles describe different stages of Hurricane Nolo's impact, with Article A covering its approach and strengthening near Hawaii, while Article B discusses it moving away from Hawaii but still posing a threat.”
CBS News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 33% hedged 1 of 3 📰 publisher trust 66
“The articles describe different stages of Hurricane Nolo's impact, with Article A referring to an earlier stage and Article B describing its status as it moves away from Hawaii.”
CBS News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 2 📰 publisher trust 66
“The articles describe different stages of Hurricane Nolo's progression and impact, with Article A mentioning the initial threat to Hawaii while Article B details ongoing threats as it moves away.”

Publisher

The Guardian · 956 article(s) · 3 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 3 correction(s)
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Who wrote this

Associated Press
298 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Gabby Williams had 25 points, 11 rebounds and five assists, Kiah Stokes added 14 rebounds and three blocked shots, and the Valkyries took Game 1 of the WNBA semifinals by beating the defending champion Aces 71-60 on Sunday.
🔮 Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro, an ally of U.S. President Donald Trump, and Brazil’s incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will face off in a runoff Oct. 25 for the top job of Latin America’s powerhouse economy after neither won a majority in Sunday’s vote.
🔮 The move comes as US President Donald Trump weighs options for his war on Iran – including new strikes – despite his initial promises to Americans that the campaign would last a matter of weeks.
🔮 The official said the move could result in three carriers being in the region as early as the end of October.
🔮 Speaking at a news conference late on Sunday, Dodik said his nationalist party would also hold a “vast majority” in Republika Srpska’s assembly, and credited US president Donald Trump’s “magnificent victory” in 2024 and Russian president Vladimir Putin’s support for the election win.
🔮 The returnees are among 5,000 Myanmar nationals who will be repatriated in stages from Malaysia, where 10,388 others were being held at immigration detention centres, according to Malaysia’s Home Ministry.
🔮 “I think if she had stepped on the gas a little earlier, it would have been a completely different fight,” UFC President Dana White said.
🔮 Ben Black III and Clay Thevenin scored for Rutgers, who next will travel to Maryland to face the Terrapins.
🔮 William Contreras hit a tiebreaking homer in the seventh inning and the Milwaukee Brewers hung on to beat San Diego 3-2 in their NL Division Series opener Saturday night after a potential go-ahead homer by the Padres’ Ty France hit the American Family Field roof and landed in outfielder Jackson Chourio’s glove for an out.
🔮 The outcome will be decided in places like Dayton, which once sprouted factories because it led America in patents per capita.
Wire or desk byline, not an individual reporter.
Also by Associated Press
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 298 articles by Associated Press →

Topics

Hawaiian Hilo Honolulu Hurricane Nolo Nolo

Subjects

Gill PERSON · 2× Hilo GPE · 2× Mexico GPE · 2× Hawaii GPE · 1× Hawaiian NORP · 1× Honolulu GPE · 1× Michael Brennan PERSON · 1× National Hurricane Center ORG · 1× Nolo GPE · 1× the National Hurricane Center ORG · 1×

Narrative

Hurricane Polo remained a dangerous category 3 hurricane with top sustained winds of 125mph (205kph) and was moving to the north-north-west at 12mph (19kph) about 275 miles (445km) south-south-west of Cabo San Lucas at the peninsula’s southern tip, US hurricane forecasters said Sunday afternoon.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-28
🔮 Nolo was expected to strengthen further and turn toward the north-west by Sunday night, though the US National Hurricane Center said the storm’s center would remain well south and south-west of the Hawaiian Islands.

Claims (39 extracted, 5 hedged)

Hurricane Nolo was moving away from the Hawaiian islands on Sunday, but the threat of heavy rain, flash flooding and strong winds persisted in areas of the island chain still recovering from previous storms. asserted
threat → move → storms
Nolo was about 365 miles (585km) south-south-west of Honolulu and moving away from the Big Island at about 12mph (19kph). asserted
Nolo → move → mph
But the Hawaii county civil defense agency said a high wind warning, wind advisory and high surf advisory remained in effect for parts of the island through Sunday evening as Nolo’s maximum sustained winds rose to 115mph (165kph). asserted
winds → say → mph
Nolo was expected to strengthen further and turn toward the north-west by Sunday night, though the US National Hurricane Center said the storm’s center would remain well south and south-west of the Hawaiian Islands. asserted
center → expect → Islands
The storm was expected to approach the Papahānaumokuākea Marine National Monument, a national conservation area, early this week. asserted
storm → expect → Monument
Forecasters said Nolo’s outer bands could cause life-threatening flooding and mudslides, with parts of the Big Island possibly getting up to 20in (50cm ) of rain. uncertain
parts → say → rain
Heavy rain also was expected on the other islands. asserted
rain → expect → islands
“Don’t venture out if you don’t have to into the dangerous flooding environment, but also high winds. asserted
you → venture → environment
We can have trees and power lines down,” said Michael Brennan, director of the National Hurricane Center. asserted
Brennan → have → Center
Heavy rain fell across the southern part of the Big Island on Saturday afternoon, prompting partial closures of one of the main highways linking Kailua-Kona in the west to Hilo in the east. asserted
rain → fall → east
Near Naalehu, at the island’s southern point, National Guard members were seen guiding a man driving through flooded streets as he tried to leave his home during a downpour. asserted
he → see → downpour
More than 120 guard members were activated on the island, part of roughly 400 statewide after the governor issued an emergency proclamation. asserted
governor → activate → proclamation
Residents are still recovering from Hurricane Lala , which produced heavy rain and winds strong enough to sweep about 100 homes off their foundations on the Big Island. asserted
which → recover → Island
About a dozen people were in the water Saturday morning at Carlsmith Beach Park in Hilo on the Big Island, despite signs saying the strand was closed. asserted
strand → say → signs
Andrea Gill was out for her regular swim before heading back home to hunker down with family. asserted
Gill → head → family
Shop owners boarded up businesses, and events were canceled. asserted
events → board → businesses
Gill said storms are common, but hurricanes are rare. asserted
hurricanes → say → ?
She was holding out hope that the islands might not get the full impact. uncertain
islands → hold → impact
“We’re used to lots of rain. asserted
We → ’re → rain
So it’s always a blessing when we don’t get the wind from the hurricane,” Gill said. asserted
Gill → ’ → hurricane
Donald Trump recently approved an emergency declaration, authorizing the Federal Emergency Management Agency (Fema) to coordinate assistance and provide funding support. asserted
Trump → approve → support
Hawaiian Electric, the state’s primary utility, said crews helping restore power in Kauai after this month’s Hurricane Lowell returned to Oahu, Maui and the Big Island in response to Nolo. asserted
crews → say → Nolo
The Pacific has been unusually active this season, according to National Weather Service lead forecaster Bob Oravec, with storm activity running above average during what is already the peak of hurricane season. uncertain
what → accord → season
He said that pattern is consistent with El Niño years, when the Pacific often sees more tropical storms and hurricanes. asserted
Pacific → say → storms
Meanwhile, parts of Mexico’s Baja California peninsula awaited the arrival of another major hurricane with a similar name, Polo, as it edged closer after lashing other parts of the country’s southwest coast with rain and strong winds. asserted
it → await → rain
Hurricane Polo remained a dangerous category 3 hurricane with top sustained winds of 125mph (205kph) and was moving to the north-north-west at 12mph (19kph) about 275 miles (445km) south-south-west of Cabo San Lucas at the peninsula’s southern tip, US hurricane forecasters said Sunday afternoon. asserted
forecasters → remain → tip
It was moving to the north at 12mph (19kph). asserted
It → move → mph
Mexico’s National Meteorological Service, or SMN, said in a post on the social media platform X that Polo was expected to make a Baja landfall on Monday. asserted
Polo → say → Monday
Mexico’s government issued a hurricane warning along the coast of mainland Mexico from Huatabampito to Guaymas. asserted
government → issue → Guaymas
The Mexican navy said in a statement that it has gathered personnel and humanitarian aid in the ports of Guaymas and Mazatlan, on Mexico’s Pacific coast, and has deployed three vessels that could ship aid to coastal communities isolated by the hurricane. uncertain
that → say → hurricane
One of the towns in the hurricane’s projected path is San Juanico, a small fishing community on Baja’s Pacific coast. asserted
One → project → coast
The town has only had full-time electricity for a few years, and still experiences frequent outages. asserted
town → have → outages
There is concern that washed-out roads could block access to the closest medical facility, about 80 minutes away in Ciudad Constitucion. uncertain
roads → be → Constitucion
“Our people are concerned about this event,” said Gloriely Robles Meza, a manager at a small hotel. asserted
Meza → say → hotel
“We haven’t faced such a worrying situation in many years.” asserted
We → face → years
Robles Meza said Sunday that the Mexican Army arrived in San Juanico to prepare a shelter and to provide support for possible emergencies. asserted
Army → say → emergencies
An electrical crew was also there to prepare for Polo’s arrival. asserted
crew → prepare → arrival
Also on Sunday, tropical storm Rachel formed well off Mexico’s south-west coast, the Miami-based US hurricane center said. asserted
center → form → coast
It added that Rachel had maximum sustained winds of 40mph (65kph) and was located about 300 miles (485km ) south of Acapulco, Mexico. asserted
Rachel → add → Acapulco
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