Hurricane Nolo, a zig-zagging storm, threatens Hawaii with flooding rain

Read the original at NPR ↗
NPR · collected 2026-09-25 · by Bill Chappell

Quick Summary

Hurricane Nolo is threatening Hawaii with heavy rainfall and potential flooding, currently moving over the Pacific Ocean toward the Hawaiian archipelago. As of Friday morning, the storm has maximum sustained winds of nearly 85 mph and is expected to strengthen to Category 4 status by Sunday, potentially bringing up to 3 feet of rain in some areas. The Big Island and Maui are under alerts for hurricane and tropical storm conditions respectively, with warnings about catastrophic flooding and mudslides, especially in steep terrain.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-25, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Tropical Storm Nolo, which has since strengthened into a hurricane, threatens Hawaii, particularly the Big Island, with potentially catastrophic flooding and mudslides. Forecasters predict up to 35 inches of rain in some areas, causing life-threatening flash floods and severe damage. The storm's slow movement over warm ocean waters is expected to intensify it further before moving westward and skirting the islands on Saturday and Sunday, avoiding direct landfall but still causing heavy rainfall. Communities already recovering from earlier storms like Hurricane Lala in August remain vulnerable, with some residents displaced and rebuilding efforts at risk of being devastated again by Nolo's impact.

Written for “Hurricane Nolo Threatens Hawaii” on 2026-10-05, grounded in this article and the 12 other(s) covering the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
19
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
32%
6 of 19 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Correction & hedging signals
59.6
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
13
Environment
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-25 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Hurricane Nolo Threatens Hawaii
Environment · 13 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 32% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Guardian · 0.91 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 6% hedged 1 of 16 📰 publisher trust 60
“Both articles describe Hurricane Nolo threatening Hawaii with heavy rain and flooding on the same day, September 25, 2026.”
CBS News · 0.89 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 3 📰 publisher trust 66
“Both articles describe warnings and preparations for Hurricane Nolo's approach to Hawaii's Big Island on the same day, September 25, 2026.”
The Guardian · 0.92 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 6% hedged 2 of 31 📰 publisher trust 60
“Both articles discuss Hurricane Nolo threatening Hawaii on the same weekend with similar warnings about heavy rain and strong winds, indicating coverage of the same storm's progression.”
Toronto Star · 0.92 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 6% hedged 2 of 31 📰 publisher trust 63
“Both articles describe Hurricane Nolo threatening Hawaii with heavy rain, powerful winds, and potential flash floods during the same period.”
New York Post · 0.92 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 36% hedged 4 of 11 📰 publisher trust 64
“Both articles discuss Hurricane Nolo threatening Hawaii with heavy rain and flooding on the same day, indicating coverage of the same ongoing weather event.”
NBC News · 0.91 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 17% hedged 6 of 36 📰 publisher trust 95
“Both articles describe Hurricane Nolo's threat to Hawaii's Big Island with heavy rain and potential flooding on the same weekend.”
CBS News · 0.89 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 50% hedged 1 of 2 📰 publisher trust 66
“Both articles describe Hurricane Nolo threatening Hawaii with heavy rain and flooding at nearly the same time.”
CBC News · 0.88 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 10% hedged 5 of 48 📰 publisher trust 60
“Both articles report on Hurricane Nolo threatening Hawaii with flooding, specifically mentioning the Big Island and potential major hurricane conditions.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 21% hedged 8 of 39 📰 publisher trust 63
“The articles describe different hurricanes impacting different locations at distinct times: Hurricane Polo affecting Mexico's coast, and Hurricane Nolo threatening Hawaii.”
ABC News (US) · 0.91 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 6% hedged 2 of 32 📰 publisher trust 59
“The articles describe Hurricane Nolo's progression over different days, with Article A predicting potential threats and Article B reporting on actual impacts and new volcanic hazards.”

Publisher

NPR · 534 article(s) · 2 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 2 correction(s)
2026-10-01
COMIC: How the census gives your state power (and what Trump wants to change)
2026-08-31
Hit shows from Edinburgh's Fringe festival are coming to America. Here are our top picks

Who wrote this

Bill Chappell
3 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 By then, the storm will likely be a major hurricane, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).
🔮 Instead, they can ponder the chances that last year's winner, the immense Bear 32 nicknamed "Chunk," might again be dubbed the fattest bear of them all.
🔮 "Under current U.S. law and practice, it is extremely rare that an extradition judge will release on bail a person sought in international extradition," according to the State Department.
Also by Bill Chappell
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Hawaii Hawaiian Hurricane Nolo NHC the National Hurricane Center

Subjects

NHC ORG · 3× Hawaii GPE · 2× Hawaiian NORP · 1× Maui GPE · 1× the National Hurricane Center ORG · 1×

Narrative

The cyclone is the latest in a busy hurricane season in the Pacific, where warm water is feeding a powerful El Niño phenomenon that's sparking storms and reshaping weather patterns around the world.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-25
🔮 By then, the storm will likely be a major hurricane, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

Claims (19 extracted, 6 hedged)

Hurricane Nolo, a zig-zagging storm, threatens Hawaii with flooding rain asserted
Nolo → zagge → rain
People on the Big Island of Hawaii are under a hurricane watch Friday morning, as Hurricane Nolo moves over the Pacific Ocean toward the Hawaiian archipelago. asserted
Nolo → move → archipelago
The alert means hurricane conditions are possible within 24 to 36 hours. asserted
conditions → mean → hours
By then, the storm will likely be a major hurricane, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). uncertain
storm → accord → Center
Nolo isn't expected to make landfall this weekend, but it has two dangerous qualities: slow movement and heavy rain. asserted
it → expect → qualities
Maximum rainfall amounts from the storm in some areas could reach nearly 3 feet, forecasters say, with totals of 15 to 30 inches expected more widely. uncertain
totals → reach → inches
"This rainfall could produce catastrophic life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain," the NHC said in its public advisory. uncertain
NHC → produce → advisory
As of Friday morning, Nolo's maximum sustained winds were at nearly 85 mph and it was moving at only 5 mph. asserted
it → move → mph
It's now moving north-northeast and is expected to slow to a crawl before turning toward the west and picking up forward speed on Saturday and Sunday. asserted
It → move → Saturday
But it will continue to build strength from warm ocean waters. asserted
it → continue → waters
Over the next 72 hours, Nolo's winds could top out at 140 mph, according to the forecast discussion, making it a Category 4 storm. uncertain
it → top → discussion
The heaviest rains will likely fall on the Big Island's eastern and southern areas, forecasters say. asserted
forecasters → fall → areas
Neighboring Maui is under a tropical storm watch and could see up to 15 inches of rain. uncertain
Maui → neighbor → rain
Earlier this week, it was heading west across open ocean when it took an abrupt right-hand turn, sending it north directly toward the Big Island. asserted
it → head → Island
The cyclone is the latest in a busy hurricane season in the Pacific, where warm water is feeding a powerful El Niño phenomenon that's sparking storms and reshaping weather patterns around the world. asserted
that → feed → world
The Pacific region has already seen three Category 5 hurricanes: Genevieve, Lowell and Polo. asserted
region → see → hurricanes
Nolo's growth represents a reversal: Last week, forecasters declared the system was dissipating and would not merit further updates unless it regenerated -- and that's precisely what it did. asserted
it → represent → what
Days ago, the NHC renewed issuing advisories of Tropical Depression Fifteen-E and warned that it could strengthen quickly. uncertain
it → renew → E
It then became Tropical Storm Nolo before intensifying into a hurricane. asserted
It → become → hurricane
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support