Midterm Elections Polls Predict Democratic Gains

What happened

The outlets' own sentences, most widely reported first. Hover or tap one to see who reported it.

Analysis

How it changed

1. 2 Nov

   In Texas, James Talarico is ahead of Republican Ken Paxton, 50 to 43pc.

   4 outlets · Dawn

Coverage 7 articles

• 2 Nov Trump’s favorite CNN pollster delivers devastating news just before midterm electionsCNN data analyst Harry Enten, whom President Trump has praised, recently analyzed polls indicating strong leads for Democratic candidates in several key Senate races ahead of midterm elections. According to the New York Times/Siena poll, Democrats are leading in states like Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas. If these trends hold, Democrats could gain control of the Senate with a net increase of seven seats…The Independent
• 2 Nov WATCH: A look at the state of the midterm racesRachel Scott, ABC News' Senior Political Correspondent, discusses the current state of midterm races based on a new New York Times poll that indicates Democrats are slightly ahead in key Senate races. The analysis focuses on how Democrats have gained ground recently.ABC News (US)
• 2 Nov Democrats lead in seven Senate battlegrounds as Trump approval weighs on GOP: PollDemocrats are currently leading Republican candidates in seven key Senate battleground states according to a recent poll conducted by the New York Times and Siena College. These states range geographically from Texas to Alaska and include areas that President Donald Trump won comfortably during previous elections. However, the race remains tight with some polls falling within their margins of error.Washington Examiner
• 2 Nov New poll predicts doomsday scenario for Republicans in all seven toss-up Senate races as Trump eyes scapegoatA New York Times poll predicts significant losses for Republican candidates in seven key Senate races for the upcoming midterms. The poll shows Democratic leads or ties in states like Michigan, Texas, Maine, Ohio, Iowa, Kansas, and Alaska. In these races, Democrats are responding to polls at a rate 30% higher than Republicans, potentially skewing results. Despite President Trump's efforts to boost Republican turnout…Daily Mail
• 2 Nov Poll flashes warning signs for Republicans in 7 battleground Senate racesA recent poll from The New York Times/Siena Research Institute shows Democratic candidates leading or nearly tying with Republican incumbents in seven key Senate battleground states ahead of the midterm elections. In states like Texas and Kansas—traditionally strongholds for Republicans—Democrat James Talarico leads Republican Ken Paxton 50% to 43%, while Democrat Adam Hamilton holds a narrow lead over Senator Roger…Fox News
• 2 Nov On eve of midterms, final polls point to Democratic gains, but can Republicans hold the Senate?Final polls before the 2026 midterms indicate potential Democratic gains in traditionally Republican-leaning states like Texas and Kansas. The New York Times/Siena College surveys show Democrats leading in five out of seven key Senate battlegrounds, including Michigan, Texas, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio. In these races, margins range from narrow to significant, with some contests, such as Alaska and Iowa, still too…Dawn
• 2 Nov Late deciders favor Republicans in key Senate races by nine-point margin despite strong Democratic lead: PollA recent poll conducted jointly by The New York Times and Siena University shows that late-deciding voters in seven key Senate races favor Republicans over Democrats by a nine-point margin. This finding contrasts with the overall trend where Democrats have an advantage, highlighting how voter decisions made close to election day could impact the outcomes of these races on Tuesday.Washington Examiner

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