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WATCH: A look at the state of the midterm races

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Cite

ABC News. (2026, November 2). WATCH: A look at the state of the midterm races. ABC News (US). https://abcnews.com/video/137764411/

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ABC News (US) · collected 2026-11-02 · by ABC News

Quick Summary

Rachel Scott, ABC News' Senior Political Correspondent, discusses the current state of midterm races based on a new New York Times poll that indicates Democrats are slightly ahead in key Senate races. The analysis focuses on how Democrats have gained ground recently.
Written by AI on 2026-11-02, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

In the 2026 U.S. midterm elections on November 3, Democrats are projected to win control of Congress from the Republicans, marking a significant shift after President Donald Trump's presidency has seen declining approval ratings. Despite initial uncertainties and campaign surprises such as the unexpected death of Republican Senator Lindsey Graham and the resignation of oysterman candidate Graham Platner in Maine amid allegations of sexual assault, polls show Democrats leading in seven key Senate battleground states according to surveys by The New York Times and Siena College. This outcome could effectively end the Trump era, setting the stage for substantial changes in national policy direction over the final two years of his term.

Written for “US Midterm Elections 2026 Predictions” on 2026-11-02, grounded in this article and the 14 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 123163 · logged 2026-11-02

Story

📰 US Midterm Elections 2026 Predictions
Politics · 15 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Fox News
Hedges 0 of 14 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of midterm elections and do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 4 of 20 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles cover different analyses of polling data from different dates and sources.”
Fox News
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 5 of 38 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of midterm election analysis and do not describe the same specific incident.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 19 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles discuss different updates and analyses of midterm election predictions on separate dates.”
Fox News
Hedges 6 of 59 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the midterm elections; Article A focuses on the potential outcomes and control of Congress, while Article B provides a summary and analysis with new poll results.”
The Independent
Hedges 10 of 55 claims Outlet record 59/100
“Article A discusses the context and stakes of the 2026 midterms, while Article B provides an update on the state of play based on polls, focusing on specific races.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 7 of 41 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss the overall state of midterm elections and campaigning rather than a single specific incident.”
Los Angeles Times
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 6 of 42 claims Outlet record 95/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the midterm election season and do not describe the same specific incident.”
Dawn
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 6 of 71 claims Outlet record 72/100
Al Jazeera
Hedges 6 of 52 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles cover different points in time and focus on varying aspects of the midterm race dynamics.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
1
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
0%
0 of 1 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
70/100
ABC News (US)'s corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
15
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-02 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

ABC News (US) · 1300 article(s) · 3 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 3 correction(s)

Who wrote this

ABC News
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Wire or desk byline, not an individual reporter.
Also by ABC News
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 277 articles by ABC News →

Topics

ABC News' Democrats New York Times Senate Siena

Subjects

ABC News' ORG · 1× Democrats NORP · 1× New York Times ORG · 1× Rachel Scott PERSON · 1× Senate ORG · 1× Siena ORG · 1×

Narrative

A look at the state of the midterm races ABC News' Senior Political Correspondent Rachel Scott breaks down the state of play as a new New York Times/Siena poll shows Democrats are gaining ground, slightly pulling ahead in key Senate races.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-02
2026-11-02 · ABC News (US)
WATCH: A look at the state of the midterm races · assertive framing

Claims (1 extracted, 0 hedged)

A look at the state of the midterm races ABC News' Senior Political Correspondent Rachel Scott breaks down the state of play as a new New York Times/Siena poll shows Democrats are gaining ground, slightly pulling ahead in key Senate races. asserted
Democrats → break → races
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