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“This means ELWAY is now less suited to predicting the outcome of an NFL game in the 1930s or the 1960s because it’s calibrated to modern football, but it should be slightly better at forecasting next week’s Cowboys-Giants game.”

“Expect ELWAY and QBERT to be updated once per week until the midterm elections and then we’ll investigate the possibility of more frequent updates.”

“This page will update every week.13 We’ll move some of the text you see above to the methodology page once the NFL season is underway.”

“Next week, we’ll launch our midterms model, with complete forecasts of the 435 U.S.”