Closing the Afghan file

Read the original at Dawn ↗
Cite

Rana, M. A. (2026, October 18). Closing the Afghan file. Dawn. https://www.dawn.com/news/2037978/closing-the-afghan-file

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

Dawn · collected 2026-10-18 · by Muhammad Amir Rana

Quick Summary

The article discusses tensions between Pakistan's civilian government and military establishment over security policies. It highlights how past disagreements, such as those during the PTI government's tenure, have led to political instability. The piece also examines the changing approach towards Afghanistan, noting that while previous policies were effective in certain contexts, they are now seen as outdated and ineffective by many within the security apparatus. The article suggests a shift away from these historic strategies, though it emphasizes that applying a sociocultural lens to current issues might obscure the roles of key policy architects.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-18, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

The civil-military relationship in Pakistan remains strained despite recent efforts at conciliation. Security-focused circles criticize the former PTI government for its reluctance to decisively confront terrorists, allowing groups like the Taliban to expand their influence in southern districts of the country. The current establishment views any disagreement with security policies as subversive and part of a hybrid warfare strategy. This tension was evident when the PTI government was ousted through governor’s rule and emergency measures.

The narrative surrounding the PTI's handling of security issues is contentious, with some critics pointing to historical precedents such as General Naseerullah Babar's role in nurturing the Taliban during Benazir Bhutto's tenure. The establishment interprets any support for alternative views on security policies as aiding the enemy. Terminology used by security agencies, like referring to Taliban-aligned terrorists as ‘Fitna al-Khwarij’ and Baloch insurgents as ‘Fitna al-Hindustan,’ underscores this approach.

Written for “Closing The Afghan File” on 2026-10-18, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence medium
Leaning: leans left for article 88179 (medium confidence, 3 verified quotes) · logged 2026-10-18

Story

📰 Closing The Afghan File
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 3% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Deutsche Welle
⚖️ Leans right further right than this 🔴 14% hedged 5 of 37 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A reports on the immediate announcement of emergency rule in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, while Article B discusses broader civil-military tensions and past actions against the PTI government.”
Dawn
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 17% hedged 2 of 12 📰 publisher trust 71
“Article A reports on a joint opposition meeting condemning the imposition of emergency and governor's rule in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, while Article B discusses broader civil-military tensions with reference to the PTI government being ousted through governor’s rule but does not describe the same specific event.”
A perfect storm different event · 85%
Dawn
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this 🔴 19% hedged 9 of 47 📰 publisher trust 71
“The articles discuss different periods and contexts related to civil-military tensions in Pakistan, with Article A referring to recent actions and potential consequences, while Article B provides a broader historical context including the ousting of the PTI government.”
Dawn
⚖️ Leans strongly right further right than this 🔴 6% hedged 6 of 95 📰 publisher trust 71
“Article A reports on the joint sitting of Parliament endorsing emergency and governor's rule in KP, while Article B discusses broader civil-military tensions involving PTI's ousting but does not describe the same specific event.”
Dawn
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 8% hedged 4 of 50 📰 publisher trust 71
“The articles discuss different topics; one focuses on civil-military relations and concerns about a previous government, while the other discusses historical events involving Pakistan's involvement in Afghanistan and recent emergency rule.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
37
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
3%
1 of 37 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
71/100
Dawn's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-18 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Dawn · 1836 article(s) · 3 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 3 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Muhammad Amir Rana
6 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Everyone is expected to follow this approach; the PTI government’s disagreement on several security-related policies is, therefore, interpreted as an act of subversion.
2026-10-18 · assertive framing · Closing the Afghan file
🔮 One may argue that synchronisation within the internal security structure will improve coordination, the very dream for which Nacta was conceived.
2026-10-11 · assertive framing · The lost civilian CT body
🔮 It was a simple statement, but perhaps one that may ease some of the cross-border bitterness.
2026-10-04 · assertive framing · Pakistan’s Russian dilemma
🔮 The crisis runs deep, and even the postponement of the protest by the PTI, and earlier by the Jamaat-i-Islami, will not solve the country’s political, governance, economic, and security crisis.
2026-09-27 · assertive framing · A broken power accord
🔮 However, the recent Saravan attack has raised questions about how the changing regional environment could affect the future course of frontier security, particularly as Pakistan’s border with Afghanistan remains closed and Iran is an alternative, although very expensive, route for transnational trade.
2026-09-20 · mixed framing · An eye on Balochistan border
🔮 Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia may be seen as something of a pioneer on this front with the creation of the Islamic Military Alliance to Fight Terrorism in 2015, which was partly the basis for the recently concluded Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
2026-09-06 · assertive framing · Searching for past glory
Also by Muhammad Amir Rana
The lost civilian CT body
2026-10-11 · Dawn
Pakistan’s Russian dilemma
2026-10-04 · Dawn
A broken power accord
2026-09-27 · Dawn
An eye on Balochistan border
2026-09-20 · Dawn
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 6 articles by Muhammad Amir Rana →

Topics

Afghan Baloch PTI Pakistan Taliban

Subjects

Afghan NORP · 5× PTI ORG · 4× Taliban ORG · 3× Zia PERSON · 3× Mian Nawaz Sharif PERSON · 2× Pakistan GPE · 2× Baloch NORP · 1× Fitna al-Hindustan ORG · 1× Imran Khan’s PERSON · 1× PPP ORG · 1×

Narrative

Now it is up to the supporters of the PPP how they take the argument, and whether they are ready to carry the entire burden of history on their shoulders; they also face criticism that Benazir Bhutto continued Bhutto’s legacy and allowed Gen Naseerullah Babar to nurture the Taliban in 1994-96, the same general who had crafted the Afghan files for her father.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-18
🔮 Everyone is expected to follow this approach; the PTI government’s disagreement on several security-related policies is, therefore, interpreted as an act of subversion.
2026-10-18 · Dawn
Closing the Afghan file · assertive framing

Claims (37 extracted, 1 hedged)

Despite recent conciliatory efforts and the policy of accommodation adopted by the coalition government, concerns within security-focused circles persist about the handling of several government affairs. asserted
concerns → adopt → affairs
For now, though, there is little chance of an escalation in civil-military tensions involving the federal and provincial governments; the last hitch was the PTI government, which was ousted through governor’s rule and emergency. asserted
which → be → rule
The major allegation against the PTI government has been that it was hesitant to take a clear position against the terrorists, enabling them to expand their influence in parts of the province, especially in the southern districts. asserted
it → take → districts
The establishment is sensitive about the narrative, and considers it subversion and part of hybrid warfare; it looks upon any political or ideological support for it as support to the enemy. asserted
it → consider → enemy
Terminology describing Taliban-aligned terrorists as ‘Fitna al-Khwarij’ and Baloch insurgents as ‘Fitna al-Hindustan’ reflects the same approach. asserted
Terminology → describe → approach
Everyone is expected to follow this approach; the PTI government’s disagreement on several security-related policies is, therefore, interpreted as an act of subversion. asserted
disagreement → expect → subversion
Meanwhile, it is clear how much civilian governments actually contribute to security-related affairs. asserted
governments → contribute → affairs
The security domain has often caused friction between the establishment and civilian governments; over the decades, the political leadership has learned not to voice disagreement on security-related affairs. asserted
leadership → cause → affairs
‘Memogate’ was the last such lesson for the PPP; and ‘Dawn leaks’ for Mian Nawaz Sharif; the removal of Imran Khan’s PTI from its provincial seat of power in KP appears to have followed the same pattern. asserted
removal → appear → pattern
There are other relevant aspects that some commentators have pointed out: among them is the fiscal issue which also triggered the call for new provinces and the reversal of the 18th Amendment. asserted
which → be → Amendment
Yet another dimension is linked to closing the Afghan file. asserted
dimension → link → file
It was Zia who turned it into an ideology. asserted
who → turn → ideology
The Afghan policy has shaped Pakistan’s politics for half a century; but now there is a general acceptance, even within security circles, that it has not worked. asserted
it → shape → circles
It is evident that the state is distancing itself from past approaches. asserted
state → distance → approaches
In this regard, some intellectuals and commentators have painted militancy as a cultural expression of Pakhtuns, which the local dynamics of the larger Pakhtun society has aggravated. asserted
dynamics → paint → society
There is no need to deconstruct such a perception, which would be stigmatisation. asserted
which → be → perception
In effect, applying a sociocultural lens to the issue takes away focus from the main architects of the security and Afghan policy. asserted
applying → apply → security
The previous Afghan policy worked well but had lost its utility in geopolitical contexts. asserted
policy → work → contexts
This was the policy crafted by the military dictator Gen Ziaul Haq and his team, and it was more or less functional until the Taliban captured power in Afghanistan in August 2021. asserted
Taliban → craft → August
Though the Zia file saw a few changes and amendments, the overall framework for dealing with these affairs did not change much. asserted
framework → see → affairs
The Zia file had a few critical components that even allies including Washington, Beijing, Riyadh, and Ankara had concerns about — particularly the reliance on non-state actors. asserted
allies → have → actors
Mian Nawaz Sharif had drawn attention to it but faced the consequences. asserted
Sharif → draw → consequences
Many analysts believe that this flawed policy was responsible for spawning the TTP and generating terrorism in KP but official narratives do not link the state of affairs to the policy choices made earlier. asserted
narratives → believe → choices
Establishment circles appear to want a new Afghan policy that best suits their geopolitical and internal security objectives. asserted
that → appear → objectives
A complete detachment from the Taliban is part of the new approach, and the Sohail Afridi government was reluctant to adopt it because it would mean a large-scale military operation, displacement, and increased security-related resource allocation — which would also have political consequences. asserted
which → adopt → consequences
After the removal of his government, the hurdles preventing a new policy have been eliminated; the new set-up now has to deliver, as was expected of the Afridi government. asserted
up → prevent → government
However, the dimensions of the new Afghan policy remain unclear. uncertain
dimensions → remain → policy
For instance, how will the state proceed if the Afghan Taliban agree to detach themselves from the terrorist networks operating against Pakistan from Afghan soil? asserted
Taliban → proceed → soil
Still, another argument being promoted is that Zulfikar Ali Bhutto, not Gen Ziaul Haq, was the real architect of Pakistan’s Afghan policy. asserted
Bhutto → promote → policy
After Sardar Daud’s 1973 coup in Kabul and his revival of the Pakhtunistan issue, the Bhutto government began hosting and training Afghan Islamists, among them men who would later become the commanders of the anti-Soviet jihad. asserted
who → begin → jihad
The FC and a small circle of officials ran this as a pressure tool against Kabul. asserted
FC → run → Kabul
Notably, the province’s first governor after 1973, appointed in 1975, following the ban on the National Awami Party, reflected the same anxieties about Pakhtun nationalism and Afghanistan. asserted
governor → appoint → nationalism
It was Zia who turned it into an ideology. asserted
who → turn → ideology
After the Soviet invasion of 1979, the Afghan question became the organising principle of the state: the jihad, the refugee economy, the madressah network, the doctrine of strategic depth, and an intelligence apparatus that grew more powerful than the elected institutions meant to oversee it. asserted
institutions → become → it
That legacy matters, and it is Zia’s. asserted
it → matter → ?
Now it is up to the supporters of the PPP how they take the argument, and whether they are ready to carry the entire burden of history on their shoulders; they also face criticism that Benazir Bhutto continued Bhutto’s legacy and allowed Gen Naseerullah Babar to nurture the Taliban in 1994-96, the same general who had crafted the Afghan files for her father. asserted
who → take → father
The Taliban generations have caused huge losses to the PPP, including the assassination of Benazir Bhutto herself. asserted
generations → cause → Bhutto
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