A Secretive DHS ‘Predictive Policing’ Unit is Analyzing Americans’ Financial Habits and Pulling Them Over

404 Media · collected 2026-09-08 · by Joseph Cox
Read the original at 404 Media ↗

Summary

A secretive DHS unit called Predictive Intelligence Targeting Teams (PITT) is analyzing Americans' financial habits and other data to identify people who may be worth searching, even if they're not suspected of any specific crime. The units feed this intelligence to local police, who then pull over individuals based on the government's predictions. In one case, a man driving through Montana was stopped under false pretenses and charged with DUI after PITT analyzed his financial activity. 404 Media identified two PITTs in Washington and Texas, raising concerns about the use of "parallel construction" to cloak the reasons behind car stops.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-08, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
54
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
17%
9 of 54 hedged
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject
Publisher trust
94.8
red-flag proxy, not a credibility rating
Outlets on this story
1
Crime & Law
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-08 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

The Department of Homeland Security's (DHS) Predictive Intelligence Targeting Teams (PITT) are secretly analyzing Americans' financial habits and other data to identify potential targets for police stops. At least two PITT units have been identified, one in the Spokane Sector in Washington state and another in Laredo, Texas. According to 404 Media's investigation, these teams feed their intelligence to local authorities, who then stop drivers without probable cause, often under pretextual reasons such as an obstructed license plate. For example, a driver was pulled over in Montana after his financial activity was analyzed by a PITT and charged with a DUI. Critics argue that this use of mass surveillance and predictive policing is a recipe for tyranny, as it allows the government to target individuals without suspicion or probable cause.

Written for “DHS Predictive Policing Unit” on 2026-09-08, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Score -0.60 Confidence high
Leaning score -0.60 for article 6941 (high confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-09-08

Story

📰 DHS Predictive Policing Unit
Crime & Law · 1 article(s) covering the same event. This is the one the site leads with.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 17% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Markup
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 14% hedged 12 of 87 📰 publisher trust 94
“Article A describes a discovery on California's border, while Article B discusses predictive policing units in Montana”
404 Media
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 26% hedged 10 of 39 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A describes an incident in May 2025 where a woman's financial activity was searched, while Article B mentions a different case involving a man driving across Montana with no mention of the original event”
The Intercept
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 14% hedged 9 of 63 📰 publisher trust 97
“The articles describe two separate incidents involving different agencies (ICE and DHS/Border Patrol) with distinct activities (hiding identities of agents vs. analyzing financial habits for predictive policing)”
404 Media
⚖️ Leans strongly right further right than this 🔴 5% hedged 2 of 43 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A discusses Flock's webinar on surveillance capabilities, while Article B reports on a separate predictive policing unit called PITT analyzing financial habits and pulling people over for no reason”
Fox News
⚖️ Leans right further right than this 🔴 7% hedged 2 of 28 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A discusses potential surveillance risks in general, while Article B reports on a specific case of predictive policing units pulling people over”
Reason
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 8% hedged 4 of 51 📰 publisher trust 90
“Article A mentions a bill called the Flock-Off Act aimed at regulating ALPRs, while Article B reports on secretive DHS units analyzing financial habits and pulling people over”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 12% hedged 4 of 33 📰 publisher trust 94
“Article A discusses bipartisan backlash against Flock Safety cameras, while Article B reveals a secretive DHS unit called PITT that analyzes financial activity and pulls people over without suspicion”

Publisher

404 Media · 38 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Joseph Cox
10 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Border Patrol is running secretive predictive policing units that analyze Americans’ financial activity and other data, then feed that intelligence to local police who pull people over who are not suspected of any specific crime, but which the government thinks may be worth searching, 404 Media has found.
🔮 The comments highlight how Axon is trying to take advantage of sustained opposition against Flock's license plate cameras, with one law enforcement customer suggesting a camera redesign would “help with the optics while we batten down the hatches” as the backlash spreads.
🔮 The baba lao was going to do a ritual designed to ensure a Nigerian scammer would make more money in his blackmailing or manipulation of an overseas victim, maybe back in the United States.
🔮 “I would rather your event flyer look like this than see more AI slop,” one flyer posted to Instagram, written in pencil on a page of lined paper, reads.
2026-08-28 · assertive framing · Businesses Go Viral for Making Signs Without AI
🔮 So the woman could never have been under investigation for having an abortion.
🔮 But handling such a large volume of data in a clean and reliable manner could be a challenge.
2026-08-26 · assertive framing · ICE Wants the Country’s Voter Data
More on this subject from Joseph Cox
ICE Wants the Country’s Voter Data
2026-08-26 · 404 Media · 56% similar
All 10 articles by Joseph Cox →

Topics

404 Media Americans Border Patrol PITT Predictive Intelligence Targeting Teams

Subjects

Olson PERSON · 14× 404 Media ORG · 8× Border Patrol ORG · 5× Beck PERSON · 4× Phelps PERSON · 3× Americans NORP · 2× PITT ORG · 2× Montana GPE · 1× Predictive Intelligence Targeting Teams ORG · 1× Washington GPE · 1×

Narrative

“The government’s increasing use of mass surveillance — whether that surveillance comes via ALPRs, financial records, or the like — coupled with predictive policing is a recipe for tyranny,” Rob Frommer, senior attorney at the Institute for Justice, told 404 Media.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-08
🔮 Border Patrol is running secretive predictive policing units that analyze Americans’ financial activity and other data, then feed that intelligence to local police who pull people over who are not suspected of any specific crime, but which the government thinks may be worth searching, 404 Media has found.

Claims (54 extracted, 9 hedged)

Border Patrol is running secretive predictive policing units that analyze Americans’ financial activity and other data, then feed that intelligence to local police who pull people over who are not suspected of any specific crime, but which the government thinks may be worth searching, 404 Media has found. uncertain
Media → run → crime
The units, the name of which 404 Media is revealing here for the first time, are called Predictive Intelligence Targeting Teams (PITT). asserted
Media → reveal → time
In one case, a PITT analyzed the financial activity of a man who was driving across Montana, and local authorities stopped him under the pretense of an obstructed license plate and charged him with a DUI. asserted
authorities → analyze → DUI
404 Media identified one PITT in the Spokane Sector, Washington, which polices the U.S. border with Canada, and another in the Laredo Sector, Texas, which polices the border with Mexico. asserted
which → identify → Mexico
The findings add to an Associated Press investigation from last year which found Border Patrol was using automatic license plate readers (ALPRs) as part of the same wide-spanning predictive policing program. asserted
Patrol → add → program
“The bottom line is genuine probable cause cannot be synthetically generated,” Jake Laperruque, deputy director of the Security and Surveillance Project at the Center For Democracy & Technology, told 404 Media in an email. asserted
Laperruque → generate → email
Here Border Patrol seems to be “using parallel construction to cloak the reason behind its car stops in secrecy. asserted
Patrol → seem → secrecy
If we can't meaningfully review and evaluate these systems, we can't trust them,” he added. asserted
he → review → them
Predictive policing is a highly controversial practice that police departments and federal agencies are increasingly turning to. asserted
departments → turn → that
The practice is designed to find people who may have committed crimes, but at the moment, no evidence of them doing so exists. uncertain
them → design → moment
Broadly, law enforcement may analyze data — such as a person's movements, where they are at a certain time, or the roads they drive — then create or find another pretense to pull them over. uncertain
they → analyze → them
At around 9:30pm one night in May, Kyle William Olson was driving his black Chevy SUV on Interstate 90, with his dog Ducky in the backseat, according to police reports and an interview Olson gave to 404 Media. uncertain
Olson → drive → Media
He works on a licensed cannabis farm in California, where he had picked up the weed, and was transporting it home to Wisconsin, he told 404 Media. asserted
he → work → Media
Olson drove past Sergeant James Beck of the Montana Highway Patrol who was sitting in his police car along with a colleague. asserted
who → drive → colleague
When Olson passed, Beck noticed the vehicle’s license plate was obstructed by what he described as a tinted cover and the luggage holder, according to a police report. uncertain
he → pass → report
Beck pulled out, caught up to Olson, and pulled him over. asserted
Beck → pull → him
“Nothing major,” Beck said once he approached the passenger side window and exchanged pleasantries with Olson, according to bodycam footage. uncertain
he → say → footage
Beck said Olson’s license plate was “a little bit obstructed.” asserted
plate → say → ?
“Just so you know, that’s our reason for stopping you,” Beck said. asserted
Beck → know → you
In the end, the officers demanded Olson step out of the vehicle, they tested his blood and charged him with a DUI. asserted
they → demand → DUI
Authorities later charged Olson with possession with intent to distribute because of the marijuana in his vehicle, Olson told 404 Media. asserted
Olson → charge → Media
But that wasn’t the real reason for stopping Olson. asserted
that → stop → Olson
During discovery in his case, Olson was provided a Department of Homeland Security (DHS) document that explained how Border Patrol instigated his traffic stop. asserted
Patrol → provide → stop
Written by Border Patrol Agent Matthew Phelps, the document said Phelps was assigned to the “Spokane Sector Border Patrol Targeting & Intelligence Division (TID) — Predictive Intelligence Targeting Team (PITT).” asserted
Phelps → write → Division
Olson shared the document with 404 Media. asserted
Olson → share → Media
In his role at the PITT, Phelps wrote he reviews “law enforcement-sensitive databases” to develop intelligence before handing over information to local law enforcement. asserted
he → write → enforcement
That intelligence specifically involves reviewing Americans’ financial activity, the document says. asserted
document → involve → activity
In Olson’s case, Phelps says he observed, “information contained within law enforcement-sensitive systems suggesting financial activity patterns commonly associated with illicit narcotics activity.” asserted
he → say → activity
The document says Phelps also looked at Olson’s prior arrest and criminal history. asserted
Phelps → say → arrest
Phelps wrote he then sent over what he found to Sergeant Beck, to “support general interdiction efforts.” asserted
he → write → efforts
Phelps says in the document that his intelligence was not the “sole basis” for the stop. asserted
intelligence → say → stop
In his own report detailing the stop, Sergeant Beck wrote, “It was relayed to me by U.S. Border Patrol targeting analyst Matthew Phelps that he had identified a vehicle that had indicators of possible narcotics trafficking.” asserted
that → detail → trafficking
Beck then pulled over Olson for the obstructed license plate. asserted
Beck → pull → plate
The DHS document obtained by 404 Media shows that Border Patrol is analyzing the financial activity of Americans to find people to pull over. asserted
Patrol → obtain → people
The Associated Press’s investigation found the predictive policing program is also heavily using ALPRs to track potential targets’ movements. asserted
program → find → movements
It is not clear how exactly Border Patrol is monitoring Americans’ financial activity. asserted
Patrol → monitor → activity
Customs and Border Protection (CBP) declined to answer what financial activity the agency was monitoring, and whether it obtained a warrant or not. asserted
it → decline → warrant
A CBP spokesperson told 404 Media in an email: “U.S. Border Patrol uses intelligence-informed analysis and planning to support national security operations, allocate resources, and help identify potential threats and bad actors to public safety. asserted
Patrol → tell → safety
These efforts are conducted consistent with applicable law, policy, privacy protections, and oversight requirements.” asserted
efforts → conduct → law
“For operational security reasons, we do not discuss specific analytical methods, data sources, targeting criteria, investigative techniques, system capabilities, or deployment details. asserted
we → discuss → methods
…and 14 more, not listed.
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