We’ve reached a perverse moment. Things are only going to get worse

Read the original at The Sydney Morning Herald ↗
The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-10-08 · by Waleed Aly

Quick Summary

The article discusses the interconnected challenges facing contemporary politics, focusing on issues like inflation, interest rates, AI ethics, and immigration policies in Australia. It argues that these problems are complex and often worsen each other, leading to public anxiety and a sense of political desperation as solutions come with significant trade-offs. The author highlights specific examples such as government spending cuts for the National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS) and potential economic risks associated with proposed changes to immigration policies.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-08, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

The Sydney Morning Herald's Waleed Aly observes that Australian politics is experiencing a chaotic period marked by continuous public concern over various interconnected issues. Recently, immigration has taken center stage, followed by inflation and interest rates, and then AI's existential threats. These topics persistently create anxiety among the populace, with each issue potentially exacerbating others. For instance, addressing inflation through economic measures risks either worsening it or triggering a recession. Similarly, efforts to manage immigration could strain public finances needed for essential services like healthcare and education. The complexity of these intertwined problems leaves voters desperate for change but facing political solutions that often make matters worse, contributing to an overall tumultuous political atmosphere in Australia.

Written for “Economic Downturn Forecasts” on 2026-10-08, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans strongly left (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans strongly left for article 66451 (high confidence, 4 verified quotes) · logged 2026-10-08

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
66
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
11%
7 of 66 hedged
Leaning
Leans strongly left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Correction & hedging signals
61.1
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-10-08 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Economic Downturn Forecasts
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans strongly left and hedges 11% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 11% hedged 6 of 53 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles discuss different aspects and time periods related to political issues in Australia but do not describe the same specific incident.”

Publisher

The Sydney Morning Herald · 2876 article(s) · 6 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 6 correction(s)
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Who wrote this

Waleed Aly
5 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Or we demand reduced government spending – though very rarely by specifying the cuts – which will almost certainly deny people cherished services.
🔮 Probably nowhere is that truer than in sport and the arts, which we will talk about at The Age’s Melbourne Assembly civic forum later this month.
🔮 If Labor suffers a shock catastrophe at the next federal election, there’s a good chance this will have been the inflection point.
🔮 It seems astonishing that anything quite so unified could grow from America’s famously polarised soil, but here we are, watching as such sworn enemies as Fox News and MS NOW stand in solidarity with each other, and against President Donald Trump’s latest attack on their craft.
🔮 You might see them in the manosphere, or the institutions teaching our kids gender fluidity.
Also by Waleed Aly
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Australian Coalition NDIS One Nation the Reserve Bank

Subjects

NDIS ORG · 3× the Reserve Bank ORG · 3× Australian NORP · 2× Albanese NORP · 1× Coalition ORG · 1× Labor ORG · 1× One Nation ORG · 1×

Narrative

They’re more like the clamour of an unruly classroom: always rumbling away, driving the background noise from which there is no respite, occasionally piercing the din to demand attention like fingernails down the blackboard.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-08
🔮 Or we demand reduced government spending – though very rarely by specifying the cuts – which will almost certainly deny people cherished services.
2026-10-08 · The Sydney Morning Herald
We’ve reached a perverse moment. Things are only going to get worse · assertive framing

Claims (66 extracted, 7 hedged)

This week it’s immigration. asserted
it → ’ → ?
These issues are never neatly confined to a single political week, of course. asserted
issues → confine → course
They don’t come and go away. asserted
They → come → ?
They’re more like the clamour of an unruly classroom: always rumbling away, driving the background noise from which there is no respite, occasionally piercing the din to demand attention like fingernails down the blackboard. asserted
They → ’re → blackboard
But look at them all at once, and you see why we have the political mood we do: fevered, anxious, tumultuous. asserted
we → look → mood
That’s because none of these is a discrete issue. asserted
none → ’ → these
They are instead wickedly integrated, such that they crash into one another, each demanding a solution that has a real risk of making things worse. asserted
things → integrate → risk
I don’t mean to say politics was ever neat, or issues hermetically sealed. asserted
issues → mean → ?
I mean only to say we’ve approached a critical point where the trade-offs seem intolerable. asserted
offs → mean → point
And that shows up politically in voters’ desire for constant change. asserted
that → show → change
Let’s start with inflation. asserted
’s → start → inflation
It’s about the worst economic problem a government can have because the responses we demand either make the problem worse and more enduring, or plunge us into acute misery. asserted
problem → ’ → misery
We demand cost-of-living relief from government, which is inflationary. asserted
which → demand → government
Or we demand reduced government spending – though very rarely by specifying the cuts – which will almost certainly deny people cherished services. asserted
which → demand → services
If the government slashed these, it would receive no thanks. asserted
it → slash → thanks
Even its huge NDIS cuts don’t reduce today’s spending: they mean NDIS spending still grows, just slower than originally forecast. asserted
spending → reduce → spending
Still, they bring political pain. asserted
they → bring → pain
But cut too much, or at the wrong time, and you end up in recession. asserted
you → cut → recession
Normally when you have an inflation problem, you have high economic growth and low unemployment, so removing government money from the economy should do the trick. asserted
removing → have → trick
House prices are falling. asserted
prices → fall → ?
One clear possibility, which the Reserve Bank acknowledges, is that the economy is about to dip, and that the recent interest-rate hikes haven’t yet done their work. asserted
hikes → acknowledge → work
Maybe that’s wrong. asserted
that → ’ → ?
But if it’s right, and you slash government spending to fight inflation, the whole thing might crash. uncertain
thing → ’ → inflation
Especially if you’re about to slash immigration asserted
you → ’re → immigration
We’ve already seen One Nation wave away economists who say its policy of depopulation would cause a recession. asserted
policy → see → recession
Now the Coalition is waving away similar warnings its newly announced policy – the greatest cut in Australian history, it boasts – would damage economic growth and leave us with a skills shortage. asserted
it → wave → shortage
Labor’s version diminishes the workforce on which rural businesses especially rely. asserted
businesses → diminish → which
Economists broadly agree this reverse auction carries serious economic risk. asserted
auction → agree → risk
The central problem is this: anything more than slight economic growth in our economy causes inflation. asserted
anything → cause → inflation
As things stand, we have a choice between a stagnant economy and an inflationary one. asserted
we → stand → economy
The solution is to boost productivity, which the Reserve Bank lamented last week “is doing nothing”. asserted
Bank → boost → nothing
But throughout human history, advances in productivity have come overwhelmingly from new technology, like the plough or the steam engine. asserted
advances → come → plough
Today’s version is AI, which is why governments are so keen to extract its benefits. asserted
governments → extract → benefits
The Albanese government’s rosy productivity forecasts rely on it. asserted
forecasts → rely → it
The problem, as the Reserve Bank has warned, is it might turn out to be a bubble. uncertain
it → warn → ?
Oh, and that it might kill us all. uncertain
it → kill → us
To summarise then, we have a diabolical economic problem that is inflicting all sorts of pain, and our response is either to reach for tools that will probably make it worse, or to seek refuge in what might destroy us. uncertain
what → summarise → us
An Australian problem suggests an Australian cause. uncertain
problem → suggest → cause
One like this suggests something far deeper: a system that has reached critical instability, offering only bad choices. uncertain
that → suggest → choices
Whoever can untie it will rule. asserted
untie → untie → it
…and 26 more, not listed.
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