Trump’s disapproval ratings are hitting historic levels ahead of the midterms

Read the original at The Independent ↗
The Independent · collected 2026-09-25 · by Bruce Golding

Quick Summary

CNN reports that President Donald Trump's disapproval ratings have reached historic levels ahead of the midterm elections, surpassing his own record from 2018 with 50% of Americans strongly disapproving of his job performance. Harry Enten, CNN’s polling analyst, notes this is also higher than former President George W. Bush’s disapproval rate before the 2006 midterms. Additionally, Trump's "strongly approve" rating stands at just 18%, significantly lower than previous presidents entering midterm elections.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-25, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

As midterm elections approach, President Donald Trump faces a historic 50% "strongly disapprove" rating according to CNN's polling analyst Harry Enten. This marks an increase from his previous record in 2018 when it was 45%. Independent voters are particularly critical, with 56% expressing strong disapproval. Enten notes that Trump has fewer people who strongly approve of him compared to other presidents before midterms, stating that this level of hatred for a sitting president is unprecedented. The White House did not immediately respond to inquiries regarding these ratings.

Written for “Trump Disapproval Ratings Rise” on 2026-10-04, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
19
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
21%
4 of 19 hedged
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Correction & hedging signals
58.8
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-25 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Trump Disapproval Ratings Rise
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 21% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 6% hedged 1 of 17 📰 publisher trust 72
“The articles cover different aspects of public opinion ahead of the midterms but describe distinct events: one focuses on party preference, while the other highlights disapproval ratings for President Trump.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 5% hedged 1 of 22 📰 publisher trust 59
“The articles report on different polling periods and have varying approval/disapproval ratings, indicating they describe distinct surveys or poll results.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 20% hedged 4 of 20 📰 publisher trust 59
“The articles cover different aspects of public opinion regarding President Trump, with Article A focusing on approval ratings for his handling of the war in Iran and Article B discussing overall disapproval ratings ahead of the midterms.”
CBS News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 2 📰 publisher trust 66
“The articles discuss different aspects of Trump's approval ratings over distinct time periods with varying contexts.”
NBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 17% hedged 10 of 59 📰 publisher trust 95
“The articles discuss different polls on Trump's approval rating with slight differences in timing and poll specifics.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 17% hedged 3 of 18 📰 publisher trust 65
“The articles discuss different aspects of Trump's political situation leading up to midterms but do not describe the same specific incident.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 10 📰 publisher trust 60
“The articles describe different polling periods and results, indicating distinct data points rather than the same specific incident.”
NBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 8% hedged 4 of 53 📰 publisher trust 95
“While both articles discuss President Donald Trump’s approval ratings and their impact on the midterms, they provide different details and focus more broadly on separate aspects of the political climate.”
Three Mistakes That Made Donald Trump different event · 80%
Reason
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 8% hedged 4 of 53 📰 publisher trust 66
“The articles discuss Trump's disapproval ratings but refer to different points in time and slightly different polling figures, suggesting they are describing trends rather than a single specific occurrence.”
The Independent
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 10% hedged 2 of 21 📰 publisher trust 59
“While both articles discuss Trump's disapproval ratings, they cover different aspects and times — one focuses on overall disapproval ahead of midterms, while the other highlights a specific demographic shift warned by Harry Enten.”

Publisher

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Running correction rate · 4 correction(s)
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Who wrote this

Bruce Golding
22 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction
🔮 “We may have to not purchase a piece of equipment for the classroom.”
🔮 But he acknowledged that Donalds's race against David Jolly, a former Republican House member-turned-Democrat, would “be more competitive than people could have anticipated just a few months ago.”
🔮 “When you walk onto a commercial flight, it's possible that the pilot flying your plane could have a deranged fetish of dressing up like an animal.
🔮 But he told Politico, “I dispute these allegations in the complaint and will address them through the legal process.
🔮 More than 760,000 people are being kicked off Obamacare in what Trump administration officials described Tuesday as a crackdown on fraudulent enrollments that's projected to save about $2.2 billion in federal subsidies.
🔮 But the House's highest-profile progressive said she hasn’t made a decision, which she previously said would come after the crucial November midterm elections for control of Congress.
🔮 We will demand truth, transparency and accountability.
🔮 Democratic Rep. Robert Garcia of California, ranking member of the House Oversight Committee, told Bloomberg Government in April that Stephen Miller was among several people the committee would subpoena if Democrats take control after the midterms.
🔮 “My imagination could not foresee some of the stuff that's going on right now,” Obama said during an appearance at Colgate University.
🔮 A traveler infected with measles may have spread the highly contagious disease while riding an Amtrak train from Chicago to Los Angeles and then taking trains and buses across at least six California counties and a train to Denver.
Also by Bruce Golding
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 22 articles by Bruce Golding →

Topics

Americans CNN Democrats Enten House

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 9× Democrats NORP · 7× Enten PERSON · 4× House ORG · 4× Senate ORG · 3× Americans NORP · 2× CNN ORG · 2× The Cook Political Report ORG · 2× the Silver Bulletin ORG · 2× the United States GPE · 2×

Narrative

That's because the president's “strongly approve” rating is just 18 percent, one-third less than the average 27 percent for previous presidents going into the midterms — including Trump in 2018, Enten said. “So, Trump actually has fewer people loving him than what we see with the average president,” he said.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-25

Claims (19 extracted, 4 hedged)

President Donald Trump is approaching the midterm elections with a historic 50 percent of Americans strongly disapproving of his job performance — shattering the rejection record he set before the 2018 midterms, CNN's polling guru said Friday. asserted
guru → approach → midterms
“They don't just dislike him,” Harry Enten said. asserted
Enten → dislike → him
Trump also fares worse with independent voters, with 56 percent expressing strong disapproval, Enten said. asserted
Enten → fare → disapproval
"Among the group that determines elections in this country, you see the hatred for the president of the United States. asserted
you → determine → States
This is what the voters are saying now," he said. asserted
he → say → what
The White House didn’t immediately return an inquiry from The Independent. asserted
House → return → Independent
Enten said Trump’s overall 50 percent “strongly disapprove” rating eclipses the 45 percent he notched in 2016. asserted
he → say → 2016
Before that, President George W. Bush held the record when 41 percent of Americans strongly disapproved of his job performance ahead of the 2006 midterm elections, according to CNN’s chief data analyst. uncertain
percent → hold → analyst
And while Trump's “historically polarizing” effect on American voters has sometimes worked to his benefit, Enten said, it's not doing so now. asserted
it → work → benefit
That's because the president's “strongly approve” rating is just 18 percent, one-third less than the average 27 percent for previous presidents going into the midterms — including Trump in 2018, Enten said. “So, Trump actually has fewer people loving him than what we see with the average president,” he said. asserted
he → approve → president
“What's going on here is normally Trump is able to counteract that strong hatred with strong love, but not anymore.” asserted
Trump → go → love
The 2018 midterms took place during Trump's first term, when Democrats flipped six seats in the House and two in the Senate, but failed to win a majority in either chamber. asserted
Democrats → take → chamber
But Trump is now a lame duck, like Bush was in 2006, when Democrats gained control of both chambers by flipping 31 seats in the House and five in the Senate, along with two seats won by independents who caucused with them. asserted
who → gain → them
The latest so-called generic congressional ballot polling average shows Democrats with an 8.7 percent edge over Republicans, according to data posted Friday by Real Clear Polling. uncertain
average → call → Polling
Democrats have enjoyed an “incredible upswing” during September, when they began with a generic congressional ballot lead of 6.7 percent, according to the Silver Bulletin. uncertain
they → enjoy → Bulletin
That's now up to 8.1 percent, or 8.8 percent with a “likely voter” adjustment, according to the Silver Bulletin. uncertain
That → accord → Bulletin
The Cook Political Report also said that Democrats were on track to gain control of the House, with 15 races shifting in their favor, largely because voters are unhappy with Trump’s handling of the economy. asserted
voters → say → economy
Democrats now hold 215 House seats and need just three more for a majority. asserted
Democrats → hold → majority
The Republican advantage in the Senate is 53-47, and The Cook Political Report described it Wednesday as a “true toss-up” after three races shifted toward Democrats. asserted
races → describe → Democrats
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