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CNN data analyst Harry Enten warns that President Donald Trump is losing support among white non-college-educated voters, who were crucial to his previous election victories. According to Enten’s analysis, Trump's approval rating with this demographic has dropped by 27 points since the last presidential race, now standing at negative territory compared to rival Kamala Harris. This shift, driven largely by dissatisfaction with economic issues like inflation, is described as "ripping the heart out of" Trump's presidency and could mirror previous Republican presidents' losses in midterm elections due to voter disenchantment.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-30,
using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the
same event (that is the story summary below).
Story summary
CNN's data analyst Harry Enten warned on CNN News Central that President Donald Trump is losing support among white, non-college-educated voters, who were previously his main base of support. This demographic shift is described as "ripping the heart out" of Trump’s presidency ahead of the midterms. Two years ago, Trump was 25 points ahead with this group compared to Kamala Harris, but now he has slipped into negative territory with them. Despite losing ground among these key voters, Trump maintains a 98% approval rating with MAGA die-hard supporters, whose support remains largely unchanged over the past two years.
Written for “Trump Presidency Criticism” on 2026-10-04,
grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
President Donald Trump is being deserted by white non-college-educated voters ahead of the midterms, a phenomenon that is “ripping the heart out” of his presidency, according to CNN’s data analyst Harry Enten.
uncertain
that → desert → analyst
Speaking to John Berman on CNN News Central Tuesday, Enten was asked why the president had promised a new $15 billion steel plant in Iowa Monday.
asserted
president → speak → Iowa
“The target group of voters is white, non-college voters,” he answered.
asserted
he → answer → voters
And right now, the heartland is ripping the heart out of Donald Trump’s presidency.”
asserted
heartland → rip → presidency
Enten pointed out that, two years ago, he was 25 points up on presidential rival Kamala Harris but is now on just -2.
asserted
he → point → -2
“He’s now in the negative with white non-college voters!” he said.
asserted
he → ’ → voters
“He’s in the negative territory with a group of voters that fueled his three presidential bids and allowed him to win a second term in the White House back in 2024.
asserted
him → ’ → 2024
“We’re talking a drop here with the key core group of Donald Trump’s presidential campaigns, of 27 points away from the president of the United States.
asserted
We → talk → States
No wonder he’s so low.”
asserted
he → ’ → ?
Asked how the situation compared with other presidents, Enten said that Trump is “more reliant on white non-college voters than any previous Republican president, and now he’s at the lowest of any Republican president, at this point in his second term among white non-college voters.”
asserted
he → ask → voters
He said that neither George W Bush nor Ronald Reagan nor Dwight D Eisenhower was as dependent on the group as Trump “and now even they have turned on him.”
asserted
they → say → him
Enten added that Bush had lost the House of Representatives and the Senate in his second-term midterms “in large part because a lot of voters who had previously been voting Republican decided to vote Democratic.”
asserted
who → add → Democratic
The analyst concluded that the economy was the reason for the demographic’s disaffection with Trump, suggesting they had “decided to give [him] a second chance” because they had lost faith in Joe Biden’s stewardship of the economy – and now appear to feel his successor has proven no better.
asserted
successor → conclude → economy
“Oh my goodness gracious!” Enten said as he flashed up a graphic showing Trump’s approval rating on inflation with the group sliding from 24 points to -39.
asserted
group → say → -39
“That’s a change of 63 points in the wrong direction, on the key issue that got Donald Trump re-elected to a second term, among the key group that got him re-elected,” he said.
asserted
he → ’ → group
Enten’s broadcasts have often made for uncomfortable viewing for the president in recent months, with the analyst last week presenting a 50 percent job disapproval rating for him and commenting: “They don’t just dislike him.
asserted
They → make → him
However, Trump himself posted a clip of Enten on Truth Social Tuesday in which he could be seen marveling at how solid his support is with MAGA die-hards, with whom he retains a 98 percent approval rating, down just one percent in two years, their faith seemingly unshakeable.
uncertain
faith → post → years
The same excerpt was also played by Jesse Watters on Fox News in a segment headed: “No cracks in the MAGA wall.”
asserted
excerpt → play → wall
The White House has similarly pointed The Independent towards a recent Economist/YouGov poll highlighting his ongoing popularity among his base, which found 91 percent approval among MAGA voters, 79 percent among Republicans generally and 75 percent among people who voted for him in 2024.
asserted
who → point → 2024
White House spokesperson Davis Ingle told The Independent: “No one can dispute the fact that President Trump has created one of the most robust coalitions in political history with the MAGA movement, and the president understands how to communicate with them.”
asserted
president → tell → them
He characterized November’s vote as a clear choice between “doubling down on President Trump’s winning, commonsense agenda or the Democrats’ extreme liberal policies and obstruction.”
asserted
He → characterize → agenda
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