Alberta Premier Danielle Smith says she wants to see Canada “double down” on diplomacy efforts with U.S. officials and avoid any further escalation of the trade war between the two countries.
asserted
Canada → say → countries
On Wednesday, the premier rejected calls by the Opposition NDP, along with others such as former premier Jason Kenney, to use Alberta’s energy exports as a high-stakes bargaining chip.
asserted
premier → reject → chip
“Although I understand the need to respond strongly to these tariffs, I cannot think of a more disastrous policy decision than cutting off or taxing Alberta’s oil to the United States,” she said.
asserted
she → understand → States
“When you take an action, you have to expect an equal and opposite — and probably even more forceful — reaction.”
asserted
you → take → reaction
The U.S. has the power to cripple Canada energy-wise, she cautioned.
asserted
she → have → Canada
“It would not only extinguish the livelihoods of hundreds of thousands of Albertans, it would economically hobble our friends and neighbors in other provinces to the east.”
asserted
it → extinguish → east
Smith predicted if Canada were to enact a 50 per cent tariff on the four million barrels of oil exported south each day, the U.S.would hit back with a 50 to 100 per cent retaliatory tariff on all the oil and gas products, including ones shipped up to Eastern Canada like aviation and other refined fuels.
asserted
U.S.would → enact → aviation
“This would result in the loss of about half a million jobs at a minimum, mostly in Alberta, but also hundreds of thousands of jobs in Ontario and Quebec.”
asserted
This → result → Ontario
Cutting off exports entirely would hurt even worse, the premier cautioned.
asserted
premier → cut → exports
“The United States would, of course, respond and cut off all gasoline and diesel from their refineries to Ontario and Quebec, right as we turn into fall and winter,” Smith said.
asserted
Smith → respond → fall
She also predicted American refineries that currently process Alberta’s heavy oil would switch to refining Venezuelan oil.
asserted
that → predict → oil
“As a result, we would lose the United States as a customer entirely and likely forever.”
asserted
we → lose → customer
So far, Alberta’s oil and gas exports to the U.S. have dodged Trump’s tariffs.
asserted
exports → dodge → tariffs
Provincial statistics peg the value of Alberta’s oil exports to the U.S. in 2025 at close to $111 billion — representing much of the province’s nearly $177 billion worth of all global exports.
asserted
statistics → peg → exports
Smith said she doesn’t think Canada could win the dispute through force and that it’ll come down to Canada being “too friendly, kind and helpful to resist.”
uncertain
Canada → say → force
“We need to be wise, patient, careful and deliberate to overcome the economic attacks our country is facing.
asserted
country → need → attacks
So rather than making threats and promises we know we cannot keep, Canada should focus on what we can control and do,” Smith said.
asserted
Smith → make → what
The U.S. midterm elections on Nov. 3 will see votes for all 435 Congress seats and 35 of the 100 seats in the Senate.
asserted
elections → see → Senate
If Democrats regain control of either chamber, they will be empowered to block U.S. President Donald Trump’s agenda and launch investigations into his administration for the final two years of his term.
asserted
they → regain → term
Smith said Canada needs to seize the moment.
asserted
Canada → say → moment
“We must give our people and our businesses the resources they need to survive, and give the American people and their leaders the time they need to reverse these terrible policies after the November midterms.”
asserted
they → give → midterms
The Alberta premier said that means de-escalating threats and ramping up diplomacy with U.S. Congress members and State governors in both parties, to communicate how destructive tariffs are for Americans.
asserted
tariffs → say → Americans
“Canada will not win this battle through brute force.
asserted
Canada → win → force
We will win it through being smarter, more strategic, more agile, and using our relationship with the American people to have these tariffs reversed.
asserted
tariffs → win → people
“That is how we win.”
asserted
we → win → ?
Opposition NDP leader Naheed Nenshi said Smith’s strategy is to do nothing.
asserted
strategy → say → nothing
“She thinks being nice to the Americans and hoping they come around is a strategy,” Nenshi said after Smith’s news conference.
asserted
Nenshi → think → conference
“Hope is not a strategy and relying on Trump is certainly not a strategy.”
asserted
relying → rely → Trump
The NDP said it’s time for tough decisions like banning American liquor and cancelling the referendum to focus on the trade war.
asserted
it → say → war
“For more than a year now we’ve been talking about the need to strengthen Canadian markets, forming a more strategic relationship with the United States, diversifying our global trade relations, attracting global talent, and, most of all, protecting Alberta’s workers.
asserted
we → talk → workers
Let’s get back to work and save Canada.”
asserted
’s → let → Canada
Those leading the charge to stay in Canada agreed.
asserted
Those → lead → Canada
On Wednesday, Forever Canadian organizer Thomas Lukaszuk said the Oct. 19 referendum must be deferred.
asserted
referendum → say → Wednesday
“In light of the recent unprovoked trade war launched by U.S. President Donald J. Trump, we submit that this is not the time for unnecessary domestic conflict; this is the time for Albertans to stand together with our fellow Canadians and collectively rally against this unprecedented economic threat,” he said in an open letter to the premier on Wednesday.
asserted
he → launch → Wednesday
Smith said the vote is a separate situation and if anything, the timing reiterates the importance of considering the nation’s unity.
asserted
timing → say → unity
“I think this is an important time for us to be looking at the benefits that come from being a part of Canada.
asserted
that → think → Canada
That’s what I’ve been advocating.
asserted
I → ’ → what
That’s why I’m voting to remain,” she said.
asserted
she → ’ → ?
During her afternoon news conference on the trade dispute, Smith said she opposes tariffs on all fronts but that Prime Minister Mark Carney’s list of proposed counter-tariffs is a good match for the U.S. tariffs that took affect Saturday.
asserted
that → say → affect
The U.S. has levied import fees on $28 billion worth of Canadian goods, with Canada announcing counter-tariffs that are to kick in Sept. 8 on an array of items, ranging from American steel and aluminum products to video game consoles and fishing rods.
asserted
that → levy → consoles
…and 5 more, not listed.
The Aporia
