Strait of Hormuz tracker: The maps and charts that debunk Trump’s claim the route has reopened

The Independent World · collected 2026-08-21 · by Maira Butt
Read the original at The Independent World ↗

Summary

US-Iran peace talks have stalled, leading to a significant decline in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Only seven commodity vessels passed through the waterway on Thursday, down from 14 on Wednesday, with no supertankers or liquefied natural gas carriers recorded. The Strait's average daily oil flow has not reached pre-conflict levels, currently averaging around 2.3 million barrels per day since a memorandum of understanding was signed in June. US President Donald Trump has threatened "tremendous" sanctions against Iran and previously stated that the Strait is now "new US territory".
Written by the local model on 2026-08-21, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
23
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
9%
2 of 23 hedged
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject
Publisher trust
94.8
red-flag proxy, not a credibility rating
Outlets on this story
193
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-08-21 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

Here are the articles grouped by topic:

Iran War

Trade Tariffs

Other

Note that some of the article summaries are quite similar, and it may be worth combining or rephrasing them to reduce duplication.

Written for “US-Iran Trade Dispute Escalation” on 2026-08-31, grounded in this article and the 192 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Score -0.35 Confidence high
Leaning score -0.35 for article 1842 (high confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-08-28

Story

📰 US-Iran Trade Dispute Escalation
Politics · 193 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 9% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 10% hedged 5 of 52 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article A reports on Trump's threat to designate the Strait of Hormuz a US territory, while Article B discusses the current low shipping traffic through the waterway due to stalled peace talks, which is a related but separate development”
News | Euronews RSS
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 7% hedged 1 of 15 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A reports a ship being hit by a projectile in the Strait of Hormuz, while Article B mentions low shipping numbers and no specific incident involving a ship being hit.”
The Independent World
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 19% hedged 6 of 31 📰 publisher trust 95
“Both articles report on the ongoing situation with the Strait of Hormuz closure, specifically referencing a threat from Trump and its current state”
Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 28% hedged 5 of 18 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article A describes oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz while a MoU was in effect, whereas Article B reports on the impact of stalled US-Iran peace talks on shipping through the Strait.”
BBC News
⚖️ Leans right further right than this 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 28 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article A reports low shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, while Article B quotes Trump stating that all mines have been cleared from the strait, with no mention of current traffic numbers.”
The Straits Times World News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 4 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A discusses a threat by Trump on Aug 20, while Article B reports on shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz two days later”
Home - CBSNews.com
⚖️ Leans right further right than this 🔴 12% hedged 16 of 136 📰 publisher trust 58
“Article A reports low vessel traffic in the Strait of Hormuz due to stalled US-Iran peace talks, while Article B announces new sanctions against Iran and mentions ongoing negotiations between Iran and Oman on managing the Strait's traffic”
Home - CBSNews.com
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 8% hedged 21 of 278 📰 publisher trust 58
“Article A reports on low shipping numbers through the Strait of Hormuz, while Article B discusses a proposal to reopen the Strait via a temporary route and demands from Iran that the US lift its naval blockade”
The Straits Times World News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 7 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A reports on a statement from an Iranian negotiator, while Article B reports on shipping activity in the Strait of Hormuz”
Just In
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 18% hedged 4 of 22 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article B describes a general trend of reduced shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz over several days, while Article A specifically reports on attacks on three ships in recent days with casualties”

Publisher

The Independent World · 96 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
SignalValueWeight
Correction rate 0.000 0.4
Uncertainty density 0.105 0.25
Assertive mismatch rate 0.000 0.35
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Maira Butt
8 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Earlier this month, the Wall Street Journal reported that US intelligence assessments had indicated that Putin could test Nato’s resolve with a limited assault on an allied country over the coming years.
🔮 It was the first known trip to Moscow by a US spy chief since his predecessor, William Burns, held talks with Vladimir Putin in November 2021.
🔮 He added: “If Trump repeats these types of remarks, then it will be more difficult for Oman to act as a trusted diplomatic bridge between Washington and Tehran.”
🔮 Iran has accused US president Donald Trump of threatening "economic terrorism" after the US treasury said it would introduce the “toughest sanctions in history" against Tehran.
🔮 Foreign minister Abbas Araghchi said that it would only bring “further defeat” to the US and said the leader was using it as a “diversion from America’s own crisis: unprecedented debt and surging interest costs.”
🔮 People in Russia are withdrawing billions from the nation’s banks over fears that the Kremlin could begin to seize money to finance the war with Ukraine, a report says.
🔮 The fifth clause of the MOU states that the Islamic Republic of Iran will “make arrangements using its best efforts for the safe passage of commercial vessels, with no charge for 60 days only, from the Persian Gulf to the Sea of Oman, and vice versa.”
🔮 The attack comes as Trump told reporters on Monday that Iran would not make the type of deal with his country that he thought was “necessary”.
More on this subject from Maira Butt
All 8 articles by Maira Butt →

Topics

Hormuz Iran Kpler Oman Tehran

Subjects

Oman GPE · 6× Tehran GPE · 4× Trump PERSON · 4× Iran GPE · 3× Hormuz GPE · 2× Kpler ORG · 2× Al Jazeera ORG · 1× America GPE · 1× Donald Trump PERSON · 1× Scott Bessent PERSON · 1×

Narrative

The US has grown increasingly frustrated at a lack of progress with President Donald Trump threatening “TREMENDOUS” sanctions on Wednesday while US treasury secretary Scott Bessent vowed to impose the “toughest sanctions in history” against Iran on Thursday.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-08-21
🔮 He added: “If Trump repeats these types of remarks, then it will be more difficult for Oman to act as a trusted diplomatic bridge between Washington and Tehran.”

Claims (23 extracted, 2 hedged)

Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has plunged to single digits as US-Iran peace talks have ground to a complete halt. asserted
talks → plunge → halt
Only seven commodity vessels passed through the waterway on Thursday, some of the lowest numbers seen in weeks, according to Kpler data. uncertain
vessels → pass → data
Four ships entered the Gulf while only three exited. asserted
three → enter → Gulf
No supertankers or liquefied natural gas carriers were recorded passing through the vital chokepoint through which one fifth of the world’s energy passes. asserted
fifth → liquefy → energy
Between 130 to 140 vessels transited the passage every day, before US-Israeli strikes sparked the war with Iran on 28 February. asserted
strikes → transit → February
Oman, which has been working on a deal with Tehran to reopen the strait, said on Thursday that lasting security required permanent peace in the region and rejected further escalation or conflict. asserted
security → work → escalation
Before a 60-day ceasefire deal expired on Monday, oil flows through Hormuz had nearly tripled with 6.1 million barrels per day transiting on average, according to Al Jazeera, citing a Kpler briefing published on Wednesday. uncertain
barrels → expire → Wednesday
When the memorandum of understanding was signed in June this figure had dropped to around 2.3 million barrels per day. asserted
figure → sign → day
But despite the halting progress throughout the agreement period, numbers have not reached the heights of 15 million barrels a day that were seen before the conflict broke out. asserted
conflict → halt → barrels
The US has grown increasingly frustrated at a lack of progress with President Donald Trump threatening “TREMENDOUS” sanctions on Wednesday while US treasury secretary Scott Bessent vowed to impose the “toughest sanctions in history” against Iran on Thursday. asserted
Bessent → grow → Thursday
Tehran has hit back at the threats as “economic terrorism” and has previously warned it is preparing to switch to a “fully offensive” strategy in the event that America escalates its campaign. asserted
America → hit → campaign
Trump declared the vital waterway “new US territory” in a bizarre post on Truth Social on Tuesday accompanied by a map. asserted
waterway → declare → map
“The Naval Blockade remains in full force and effect,” he continued on the platform. asserted
he → remain → platform
“The Hormuz Strait is open and operating. asserted
Strait → operate → ?
All water mines have been removed or detonated.” asserted
mines → remove → ?
Oil prices have hit a three-week high amid the uncertainty. asserted
prices → hit → uncertainty
Earlier this week, Tehran said that it was close to finalising a deal with Oman over Hormuz acknowledging that there had been delays in the agreement. asserted
it → say → agreement
Parliamentary speaker Mohammed Bagher Ghalibaf said that the shipping route is to remain closed until the US meets the conditions agreed in an interim deal. asserted
US → say → deal
This includes lifting a marine blockade and sanctions as well as releasing Iran’s frozen assets. asserted
This → include → assets
Trump threatened to launch an attack on Oman on Monday, writing: “If Oman gets in the way, we’ll bomb the s**t out of them.” asserted
we → threaten → them
He was later asked if he was out of patience with Oman and told reporters: "No, I don't think they behaved very well, but we'd handle them very easily, just like we do other things." asserted
we → ask → things
“Trump's remarks are unlikely to fundamentally alter US-Oman ties, which are deep, multidimensional and institutionalised,” Neil Quilliam an analyst at Chatham House told The Independent. asserted
Quilliam → alter → Independent
He added: “If Trump repeats these types of remarks, then it will be more difficult for Oman to act as a trusted diplomatic bridge between Washington and Tehran.” asserted
Oman → add → Washington
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