Diesel and gas prices are spiking and hitting record levels. Experts say it’s going to get worse

Read the original at The Independent ↗
Cite

Golding, B. (2026, September 17). Diesel and gas prices are spiking and hitting record levels. Experts say it’s going to get worse. The Independent. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/gas-diesel-prices-trump-iran-war-b3051494.html

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

The Independent · collected 2026-09-17 · by Bruce Golding

Quick Summary

Diesel prices reached a new record high at $6.40 per gallon nationally, marking a 73% increase from last year, while gasoline prices climbed to an average of $4.44 per gallon, up 39%. Experts predict further increases due to ongoing disruptions in global oil supplies caused by President Trump's conflict with Iran. Patrick De Haan of GasBuddy reported that diesel costs are at all-time highs in 44 states, and Tom Kloza from Gulf Oil warned of significant future price hikes.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-20, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Diesel prices hit another record high on Thursday at $6.40 per gallon nationally, up 9 cents from the previous day and marking a 73 percent increase over the past year, according to AAA. Regular unleaded gas also surged to an average of $4.44 per gallon, up 7 cents overnight and reflecting a 39% rise since last year. Patrick De Haan from GasBuddy warned that diesel could reach as high as $6.60 per gallon by the weekend due to ongoing conflicts in Iran and Ukraine, which are restricting global oil supplies. The situation is particularly dire on the West Coast and in Illinois, where prices are well above the national average. With these escalating costs, experts advise consumers to prepare for sustained higher fuel expenses.

Written for “Fuel Prices Spiking” on 2026-10-16, grounded in this article and the 2 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Fuel Prices Spiking
Economy/Business · 3 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 23% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
ABC News (US) · 0.86 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 50% hedged 1 of 2 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles report on diesel prices reaching record highs due to ongoing geopolitical conflicts, and mention similar price points around $6.40-$6.43 per gallon.”
Dawn
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 11% hedged 2 of 18 📰 publisher trust 71
“The articles describe different actions by governments regarding fuel prices, with Article A focusing on record-high prices in a broader context of supply issues and Article B detailing specific price changes implemented by the government.”
CBS News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 24% hedged 8 of 34 📰 publisher trust 66
“Both articles describe the exact same day's price spikes in diesel and gasoline, citing the same expert and similar data.”
New York Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 56% hedged 9 of 16 📰 publisher trust 67
“The articles discuss rising gas and diesel prices but describe different time periods and contexts, one broadly national and current, another focused on future relief for California.”
New York Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 17% hedged 1 of 6 📰 publisher trust 67
“The articles describe different time periods and causes for diesel price increases, with Article A focusing on an agreement between Ukraine and Russia while Article B attributes the rise to the Iran war.”
NBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 no claims extracted 📰 publisher trust 95
“While both articles discuss rising gas prices, they are reporting on different time periods and do not describe the exact same incident.”
BBC News
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 9% hedged 2 of 23 📰 publisher trust 72
“While both articles discuss rising fuel costs, they report on different time periods and details of the price increases.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 40% hedged 6 of 15 📰 publisher trust 64
“The articles describe rising fuel prices in different countries (USA and Australia) at different times, indicating separate events.”
ABC News (US)
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 10% hedged 4 of 42 📰 publisher trust 59
“While both articles discuss rising diesel and gas prices, they do not describe the same specific incident or time frame; Article A focuses on the impact on Americans' daily lives without detailed price figures, while Article B provides specific price data for a particular day.”
NBC News
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 14% hedged 7 of 49 📰 publisher trust 95
“The articles describe price increases over different time periods with distinct key dates and average prices.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
22
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
23%
5 of 22 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
59/100
The Independent's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
3
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-20 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Independent · 2407 article(s) · 5 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 5 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Bruce Golding
24 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Trump also told reporters that the U.S. would “help anybody that has that kind of a problem.”
🔮 Noem's post also said that calling Daedalus Aviation Corp. Chair William Walters a “donor” was “materially misleading” and "conveys a false implication of a direct financial relationship obviously intended to influence official action." “Numerous times clarifications were made to the journalists responsible for this libelous story,” Noem, now a State Department special envoy to the “Shield of the Americas” security initiative, said Sunday.
🔮 “We may have to not purchase a piece of equipment for the classroom.”
🔮 But he acknowledged that Donalds's race against David Jolly, a former Republican House member-turned-Democrat, would “be more competitive than people could have anticipated just a few months ago.”
🔮 “When you walk onto a commercial flight, it's possible that the pilot flying your plane could have a deranged fetish of dressing up like an animal.
🔮 But he told Politico, “I dispute these allegations in the complaint and will address them through the legal process.
🔮 More than 760,000 people are being kicked off Obamacare in what Trump administration officials described Tuesday as a crackdown on fraudulent enrollments that's projected to save about $2.2 billion in federal subsidies.
🔮 But the House's highest-profile progressive said she hasn’t made a decision, which she previously said would come after the crucial November midterm elections for control of Congress.
🔮 We will demand truth, transparency and accountability.
🔮 Democratic Rep. Robert Garcia of California, ranking member of the House Oversight Committee, told Bloomberg Government in April that Stephen Miller was among several people the committee would subpoena if Democrats take control after the midterms.
Also by Bruce Golding
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 24 articles by Bruce Golding →

Topics

AAA GasBuddy Iran New Jersey Republican

Subjects

Iran GPE · 5× Trump PERSON · 4× Republican NORP · 2× Saudi Arabia GPE · 2× AAA ORG · 1× Donald Trump PERSON · 1× GasBuddy ORG · 1× Maine GPE · 1× New Jersey GPE · 1× Patrick De Haan PERSON · 1×

Narrative

The president said the war would also justify price hikes that were “a lot more,” before repeating his prediction that they’ll “come tumbling down...like a rocket ship in reverse.” Former U.S. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, a one-time Trump loyalist, lashed out at the president in a social media video that showed her standing in front of a fuel pump in California, where diesel was selling for $8.50 a gallon. “This is Trump's fault.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-20
🔮 The price of diesel hit another record high Thursday morning and is expected to climb higher — along with the surging cost of gasoline — as fallout from President Donald Trump’s ongoing Iran war continues to restrict global oil supplies.

Claims (22 extracted, 5 hedged)

The price of diesel hit another record high Thursday morning and is expected to climb higher — along with the surging cost of gasoline — as fallout from President Donald Trump’s ongoing Iran war continues to restrict global oil supplies. asserted
fallout → hit → supplies
Diesel now costs an average of $6.40 a gallon nationally, up 9 cents from Wednesday and a staggering 73 percent over the past year, according to AAA. uncertain
Diesel → cost → AAA
The average national price of regular unleaded gas jumped 7 cents overnight to $4.44 a gallon, and has increased by 39 percent since a year ago as it closes in on the record $5.02 set in June 2022. asserted
it → jump → June
Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis for the GasBuddy price-tracking website, said on social media Thursday morning that New Jersey and Maine had just broken their diesel-cost records, “making it now 44 states where diesel prices are at all-time highs.” asserted
prices → track → highs
Only Connecticut, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New York, Rhode Island and Vermont have seen higher prices in the past — and De Haan said Tuesday that each was no more than 25 cents per gallon away from surpassing those marks. asserted
each → see → marks
Gulf Oil's chief energy adviser, Tom Kloza, also predicted “staggering increases at the pump for both gasoline & diesel” in a social media post Tuesday. asserted
adviser → predict → post
“Fuel margins have yet to catch up with previous wholesale hikes. asserted
margins → catch → hikes
Watch for huge increases in Great Lakes and Rocky Mountain states in particular,” he wrote. asserted
he → watch → states
SoFi chief market strategist Liz Thomas also said Tuesday that she’d previously predicted that “diesel prices could rise to $6.65/gal by election day based on trends five days ago.” uncertain
prices → say → trends
“Well, trends have worsened,” she added in a post on X. The midterm elections are on November 3. asserted
elections → worsen → November
Diesel is critical to the American economy because it powers the trucks, trains and boats that deliver most consumer goods, including groceries and other household staples like toilet paper, personal care items and cleaning products. asserted
that → power → paper
During an appearance in North Carolina on Wednesday, Trump acknowledged that fuel prices were “a little higher” but said they were worth it to wage his ongoing war against Iran, now in its seventh month. asserted
they → acknowledge → month
“It's a very inexpensive price to pay for what we've done,” he said during a campaign rally for Republican Senate nominee Michael Whatley. asserted
he → pay → Whatley
The president said the war would also justify price hikes that were “a lot more,” before repeating his prediction that they’ll “come tumbling down...like a rocket ship in reverse.” Former U.S. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, a one-time Trump loyalist, lashed out at the president in a social media video that showed her standing in front of a fuel pump in California, where diesel was selling for $8.50 a gallon. “This is Trump's fault. asserted
This → say → 8.50
It needs to end. asserted
It → need → ?
Ridiculous,” the Georgia Republican said. asserted
Republican → say → ?
Global fuel supplies have been pinched by Iran’s closure of the Persian Gulf’s crucial Straight of Hormuz, through which about 20 percent of the world’s oil traveled before Trump launched his war on February 28 without congressional approval. asserted
Trump → pinch → approval
The limited traffic there dropped this week as fighting intensified between Saudi Arabia and Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen, and only a single ship exited the strait Wednesday, according to Reuters, which identified the vessel as an oil tanker that used a so-called dark route. uncertain
that → drop → route
Recent drone attacks against a crucial East-West oil pipeline in Saudi Arabia led to its temporary shutdown Friday, threatening 4 percent of the world’s oil supply. asserted
attacks → lead → supply
The Saudis have blamed the attacks on Iran-backed militias in Iraq. asserted
Saudis → blame → Iraq
Fuel-related costs can account for up to 30 percent of the total cost of some food items, and a sustained increase of 10 to 15 percent in fuel prices can push up retail food prices by 2 to 4 percent, according to the Chicago-based Independent Grocers Alliance. uncertain
increase → relate → Alliance
As of last month, the cost of food eaten at home was up 2.2 percent from a year earlier, while the cost of food eaten away from home was up 3.4 percent, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. uncertain
cost → eat → Statistics
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