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Trump approval rating tracker: How unpopular is the president as Democrats triumph nationwide?

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Cite

Farrell, P. (2026, November 4). Trump approval rating tracker: How unpopular is the president as Democrats triumph nationwide? The Independent. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-approval-rating-midterms-democrats-house-senate-b3078757.html

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The Independent · collected 2026-11-04 · by Paul Farrell

Quick Summary

President Donald Trump recorded his lowest midterm election approval rating at 38%, according to CBS News exit polls, down from 45% in the previous midterms and lower than ratings for other recent presidents like Biden and Obama during their respective midterm years. Exit polls also indicated that 43 percent of voters cast ballots against Republicans as a rebuke of Trump’s policies, contributing to Democrats sweeping wins nationwide. The article highlights growing public dissatisfaction with Trump's handling of economic issues and foreign policy, including the use of tariffs and the war in Iran.
Written by AI on 2026-11-04, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

On November 3, 2026, U.S. citizens voted in midterm elections that determined control of Congress during President Donald Trump's final two years in office. Voters across the country cast ballots for all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and a third of Senate seats. The results saw Democrats gain significant ground, reversing Republican control of both chambers. Prior to the election, Trump had held rallies in traditional Republican strongholds and promised $5,000 USD to every adult U.S. citizen if his party retained control; however, exit polls showed his job approval rating at a record low 38%, down from 45% in 2018 midterms during his first term. The shift is attributed to voter discontent over rising costs of living and energy prices.

Written for “Midterm Elections Unfold Against Trump” on 2026-11-04, grounded in this article and the 122 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans left for article 127819 (high confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-11-04

Story

📰 Midterm Elections Unfold Against Trump
Politics · 123 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 8% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Independent
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this Hedges 2 of 23 claims Outlet record 59/100
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 31 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Trump's approval ratings over time and during midterms, rather than a single specific incident.”
CBS News
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 46 claims Outlet record 65/100
NBC News
Hedges 4 of 41 claims Outlet record 78/100
CBS News
Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 65/100
“While both articles reference CBS News exit polls from the same day, Article A focuses specifically on voters' perceptions of Trump's impact on the economy, whereas Article B discusses overall approval ratings and compares them to historical data.”
CBS News
Hedges 1 of 3 claims Outlet record 65/100
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 31 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles report on different aspects of public opinion polling around the same time but focus on distinct findings: one on handling of economic issues and tariffs, the other on overall job approval ratings during midterms.”
The Straits Times
Hedges 2 of 10 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different polls conducted on different dates, not a single identical incident.”
The Independent
Hedges 4 of 24 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles report on different aspects of polling data and approval ratings for President Trump, but they do not describe the exact same specific incident or timeframe.”
South China Morning Post
Hedges 1 of 4 claims Outlet record 62/100
“The articles describe different aspects of polling data and timeframes for assessing Trump's approval rating around midterms, not a single identical incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
37
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
8%
3 of 37 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
59/100
The Independent's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
123
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-04 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Independent · 3696 article(s) · 10 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 10 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Paul Farrell
48 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Despite that, Trump lamented that his party would have won if he had been on the ballot.
🔮 The markets rose to prominence in 2024 when they bucked traditional opinion polls in signaling that Donald Trump would win the presidency.
🔮 On top of that, they will need to pick up four more seats, and their best opportunities are in Alaska, Iowa, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio and Texas.
🔮 The dismal numbers arrive just weeks before midterm elections that will determine whether Republicans maintain control of Congress.
🔮 On top of that, they will need to pick up four more seats, and their best opportunities are in Alaska, Iowa, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio and Texas.
🔮 The dismal numbers arrive just weeks before midterm elections that will determine whether Republicans maintain control of Congress.
🔮 The lawyer also argues that the court would not let her keep the attorney of her choice, after the judge ruled there was a conflict of interest because the lawyer had represented both her and her husband.
🔮 Just 48 hours before an election that could decide control of the U.S. Senate, Stevens abandoned her party’s nominee, progressive Abdul El-Sayed, and endorsed the GOP.
🔮 Before joining the Joint Staff, Sylvia commanded the storied 101st Airborne Division at Fort Campbell, Kentucky, until May 2025.
🔮 The sheriff hoped that, despite the adverse weather conditions, the college students would be found “hunkered down” somewhere.
Also by Paul Farrell
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 48 articles by Paul Farrell →

Topics

Democrats GOP Iran Republicans U.S.

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 13× Democrats NORP · 6× Republicans NORP · 6× U.S. GPE · 3× Americans NORP · 2× GOP ORG · 2× Iran GPE · 2× Republican NORP · 2× CBS News ORG · 1× Donald Trump PERSON · 1×

Narrative

Over recent months, Americans have grown more worried about affording basics like groceries and gas, with roughly half of U.S. adults saying they are “extremely” or "very" concerned about both.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-04
🔮 Despite that, Trump lamented that his party would have won if he had been on the ballot.

Claims (37 extracted, 3 hedged)

President Donald Trump scored the lowest voter approval rating of any president during the midterm elections, according to the latest exit polls. uncertain
Trump → score → polls
Trump’s job approval rating sits at 38 percent, according to a CBS News exit poll, down from 45 percent in the 2018 midterms during his first term. It’s also lower than the 44 percent that Joe Biden received in 2022 and the 44 percent that Barack Obama received in 2010. uncertain
Obama → sit → 2010
Even George W. Bush, who was in the midst of his “War on Terror” in the 2006 midterms, received a better approval rating than Trump at 43 percent. asserted
who → receive → percent
An NBC News exit poll found that 43 percent of respondents said that their vote against Republicans was a rebuke of Trump’s policies. asserted
vote → find → policies
The damming numbers come as Democrats swept the GOP nationwide to win majorities in both houses. asserted
Democrats → dam → houses
The findings signaled growing weariness over his aggressive use of tariffs and continued unhappiness with the war with Iran. asserted
findings → signal → Iran
In a separate poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research prior to Election Day, only 17% of U.S. adults approved of Trump's handling of the cost of living. asserted
% → approve → living
Overall approval of the Republican president on the economy slipped to 26%, a new low. asserted
approval → slip → %
A majority of U.S. adults, 65%, blamed Trump's policies for persistently high costs more than factors outside of his control. asserted
majority → blame → control
Democrats held surprise leads in red states on the eve of voting The Democratic Party’s Senate candidates lead their GOP counterparts in several key battleground states on the eve of voting, including Texas and Alaska, where the president won comfortably in 2024, according to the latest New York Times polling. uncertain
president → hold → polling
Trump hit the campaign trail with an aggressive rally schedule, asking voters to pretend that he is on the ballot as he tries to bolster turnout. asserted
he → hit → turnout
Despite that, Trump lamented that his party would have won if he had been on the ballot. asserted
he → lament → ballot
Even so, he remains deeply unpopular, with even many Republicans faulting him for failing to deliver on promised relief. asserted
Republicans → remain → relief
“I was hoping it would be better or different, but it’s not really good,” said Robert Gault, 66, a retired factory worker from Bradford, Pennsylvania, who describes himself as a Republican. asserted
who → hop → Republican
“Our president, I thought, was going to help the country, and so far he has not really seemed to have done that with the economy or in general. asserted
he → think → general
He said, ‘Make America Great Again.’ asserted
America → say → ?
And I have not seen him do that.” asserted
him → see → that
Trump’s rating dropped to 32% as voters favor Democrats on the economy A Reuters/Ipsos poll last week showed Trump's overall rating at 32% heading into the midterms. asserted
poll → drop → midterms
The survey showed registered voters favoring Democrats over Republicans on the generic congressional ballot, 47% to 36%, with the lead holding among likely voters at 53% to 44%. asserted
lead → show → 44
The congressional race has turned sharply on inflation after February military strikes on Iran drove fuel prices higher. asserted
strikes → turn → prices
In the poll, 73% of voters said their cost of living was heading in the wrong direction. asserted
cost → say → direction
Voters now favor Democrats over Republicans as better economic stewards by 37% to 33%, while 46% of Democrats report high enthusiasm to vote compared with just 30% of Republicans. asserted
% → favor → Republicans
Trump's current approval on the economy marks a 14-percentage-point drop from March 2025, just after he took office for the second time. asserted
he → mark → time
Much of the 2024 campaign saw Trump hammer Democrats on inflation and promise to lower prices. asserted
Trump → see → prices
Rising food and gas prices trigger widespread buyer's remorse, even among Trump voters About 7 in 10 Americans say Trump's handling of the cost of living has been “worse than expected.” asserted
handling → rise → living
That figure includes roughly half of Republicans, about 6 in 10 of whom now disapprove of his handling of the issue. asserted
10 → include → issue
Over recent months, Americans have grown more worried about affording basics like groceries and gas, with roughly half of U.S. adults saying they are “extremely” or "very" concerned about both. asserted
they → grow → both
Just the cost of everything is going up as a result of fuel,” said Pedro Sanchez, 52, of Perris, California, a law enforcement worker who voted for Trump. asserted
who → go → Trump
“I used to have a lot more disposable income. asserted
I → use → income
I don’t have that anymore. asserted
I → have → that
It’s gotten eaten up because of all these increases in the cost of everything.” asserted
It → eat → everything
Bethany Lnenicka, 41, who operates a small farm in Fairfax, Iowa, voted for Trump three times and hoped his second term would match his first. asserted
term → operate → first
“Groceries are just like kind of out of control,” she said. asserted
she → say → control
“It seems like everything is going up... asserted
everything → seem → ?
And of course your income doesn’t go up.” asserted
income → go → course
Kristen Slaven, 41, a therapist in Gluckstadt, Mississippi, who typically votes Republican, agreed: “It definitely doesn’t feel like we have trended in the right direction. asserted
we → vote → direction
Obviously, wars don’t help... but our focus on renaming bodies of water and pieces of land, that’s just stupid to me when people can’t feed their family.” asserted
people → help → family
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