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From mess to majority: how the BC Conservatives won the election

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Cite

Hager, M., Woo, A., & Bailey, I. (2026, October 31). From mess to majority: how the BC Conservatives won the election. The Globe and Mail. https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/british-columbia/article-how-the-bc-conservatives-won-the-election/

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

The Globe and Mail · collected 2026-10-31 · by Mike Hager, Andrea Woo, Ian Bailey

Quick Summary

The article details how chaos within the BC Conservative Party led to a surprising electoral victory. Prior to the election call, the party faced internal strife including staff dismissals, MLA defections, and leadership instability. Despite these challenges, new leader Lorne Doerkson took over after the previous leader's resignation on September 20, leading to a turnaround that resulted in the Conservatives winning a majority government. The Globe and Mail conducted interviews with multiple Conservative politicians and strategists to recount this dramatic shift.
Written by AI on 2026-10-31, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

The BC Conservative Party won the recent provincial election despite a chaotic lead-up marked by staff dismissals, MLA defections, and RCMP probes into alleged political inducements. In mid-August, MLA Peter Milobar quit the caucus to sit as an independent. Over the next month, twelve other MLAs either left or were expelled under new leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay's leadership. Ms. Findlay resigned on September 20, leading to speculation about potential replacements like MLA Harman Bhangu and former interim leader Iain Black, amidst a tumultuous period that endangered the party’s popularity gains.

Written for “BC Conservatives Win Election” on 2026-11-01, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 BC Conservatives Win Election
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 7% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Globe and Mail
⚖️ Centre Hedges 7 of 40 claims Outlet record 52/100
“The articles discuss different phases and contexts within the broader political landscape shift in British Columbia, with Article A focusing on the outcome of the election victory and Article B detailing the chaotic period leading up to the election.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 7 of 37 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles describe different aspects of the BC election; Article A focuses on the outcome and aftermath, while Article B details the chaos preceding the election.”
National Post
⚖️ Leans strongly right Hedges 0 of 6 claims Outlet record 60/100
“Article A focuses on how the B.C. Conservatives won the election and ousted the NDP from power, while Article B describes the chaos within the BC Conservative Party leading up to the election.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
72
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
7%
5 of 72 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
52/100
The Globe and Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-31 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Globe and Mail · 1031 article(s) · 35 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 35 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Mike Hager
19 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 It was plagued by staff dismissals, MLA defections, damaging leaks of internal conversations, separate probes by the RCMP and the elections watchdog into alleged political inducements, and – amid the mayhem – a leader unable to calm her dwindling caucus as it sought answers.
🔮 “At that point, you just don’t call it and you would have a perfectly good excuse: ‘It’s not a responsible thing to call an election when there’s so much disarray in the main opposition, we’re going to give them a chance to catch their breath.’
🔮 The ex-husband testified that at that time A.B. refused to file a police report or let him talk to Mr. Galloway, instead telling her partner that she would handle the situation.
🔮 The woman, who is known as A.B. because of a publication ban on her name, had said she wasn’t going to the authorities and instead would take care of the alleged incident herself, her ex-husband testified on Monday in B.C. Supreme Court.
🔮 His lawyers won a pre-trial motion this summer to keep the majority of his termination letter confidential, but Justice Neena Sharma is expected to weigh in Wednesday on a new motion by the counsel for the defendants to gain access to the redacted rationale for his firing.
🔮 The trial will not hear testimony from A.B.
🔮 But Mr. Burnett was allowed by the judge to pursue the discussion of financial compensation for A.B. because – if his client is awarded damages − it could point toward her malicious actions.
🔮 The trial will not hear testimony from A.B.
🔮 And so, he said, he was surprised to learn shortly afterward that his former partner had filed a sexual harassment complaint with the school’s administration – an allegation which would eventually publicly explode and torpedo his personal and professional life.
🔮 The woman whose allegations of sexual assault against Steven Galloway ended his career in academia will not testify and will not offer any evidence in a defamation case launched by the bestselling author, the trial in B.C. Supreme Court heard as it opened this morning.
Also by Mike Hager
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 19 articles by Mike Hager →
Andrea Woo
19 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 It was plagued by staff dismissals, MLA defections, damaging leaks of internal conversations, separate probes by the RCMP and the elections watchdog into alleged political inducements, and – amid the mayhem – a leader unable to calm her dwindling caucus as it sought answers.
🔮 The polls are closed in British Columbia and the tallying begins to determine whether the gamble by NDP Leader David Eby to call a snap election has paid off or whether the Conservatives will form government for the first time in the province in nearly a century.
🔮 “Every vote potentially could bring down the government.”
2026-10-15 · assertive framing · Five takeaways from the B.C. leaders’ debate
🔮 To encourage further investment, Mr. Eby pledged to make permanent B.C.’s Manufacturing Jobs Fund, which will support manufacturing companies with $60-million in annual funding for capital projects, expand food-processing opportunities across the Agricultural Land Reserve and build a new shipyard in the province in partnership with the federal government.
🔮 Incumbent Jordan Kealy, who was elected under the Conservative banner in 2024 and quit to sit as an independent last year, will face Conservative Curtis Whitford.
🔮 This month will see the first overlap of municipal and provincial elections since British Columbia’s Election Act was passed in 1995.
🔮 The pledges also come a week after the provincial and federal governments gave environmental approval to a major expansion of FortisBC’s Tilbury LNG facility in Delta, B.C. Speaking from the Port of Prince Rupert, Mr. Eby said a re-elected NDP government would double critical mineral exports in part by running environmental assessments and permitting processes concurrently, which he said would cut timelines by more than 60 per cent.
🔮 The B.C. Conservatives say interim leader Lorne Doerkson could remain at the helm of the party for years without a leadership vote, pushing back against B.C. NDP warnings that voters would have no guarantee who would serve as premier if that party formed government after the Oct. 24 provincial election.
🔮 Lorne Doerkson spent his birthday on Thursday doing media interviews as the new leader of the Conservative Party of B.C., a role he did not seek out but was suddenly appointed to last week, and that could see him elected premier by Halloween.
🔮 B.C. Premier David Eby has summoned reporters to the Lieutenant-Governor’s Victoria residence on Monday after days of speculation that he will call a snap election.
Also by Andrea Woo
Five takeaways from the B.C. leaders’ debate
2026-10-15 · The Globe and Mail
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 19 articles by Andrea Woo →
Ian Bailey
7 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 It was plagued by staff dismissals, MLA defections, damaging leaks of internal conversations, separate probes by the RCMP and the elections watchdog into alleged political inducements, and – amid the mayhem – a leader unable to calm her dwindling caucus as it sought answers.
🔮 Mr. Eby’s forests minister Ravi Parmar called out David Williams, the incumbent MLA for Salmon Arm-Shuswap, over for a Facebook post that showed much of B.C., the Yukon, Alberta and Saskatchewan as “The Republic of Western Canada,” and a “protectorate” of the U.S. Mr. Williams was re-elected Saturday night.
2026-10-25 · assertive framing · Five takeaways from B.C.’s election
🔮 “At that point, you just don’t call it and you would have a perfectly good excuse: ‘It’s not a responsible thing to call an election when there’s so much disarray in the main opposition, we’re going to give them a chance to catch their breath.’
🔮 Ms. Sturko, a former Mountie who was first elected in 2022, has been telling voters that she isn’t pretending CentreBC will form government.
🔮 Later in the day speaking in Hope, B.C., Mr. Eby said he didn’t use the tragedy for political gain and will steer clear of the topic through to voting day.
🔮 The first Green mayor of a major Canadian city says his top priority will be dealing with community safety and moving toward a thoughtful approach to getting people off the streets in Vancouver.
2026-10-19 · assertive framing · Vancouver elects Canada’s first Green mayor
🔮 For the first time in more than 70 years, a new monarch will appear on Canada’s $20 bill.
Also by Ian Bailey
Five takeaways from B.C.’s election
2026-10-25 · The Globe and Mail
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 7 articles by Ian Bailey →

Topics

Conservative Conservatives Globe RCMP the BC Conservative Party

Subjects

Findlay PERSON · 8× Conservative NORP · 7× Milobar PERSON · 4× Conservatives NORP · 3× Eby PERSON · 3× CentreBC ORG · 2× Globe ORG · 2× The Globe ORG · 2× David Eby’s PERSON · 1× the BC Conservative Party ORG · 1×

Narrative

When Ms. Findlay’s inevitable resignation did happen, strategists and the caucus immediately began floating names for her potential replacement: MLA Harman Bhangu; Mr. Halford, the party’s former interim leader; Conservative MP Aaron Gunn; and former provincial leadership hopeful Iain Black.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-31
🔮 It was plagued by staff dismissals, MLA defections, damaging leaks of internal conversations, separate probes by the RCMP and the elections watchdog into alleged political inducements, and – amid the mayhem – a leader unable to calm her dwindling caucus as it sought answers.
2026-10-31 · The Globe and Mail
From mess to majority: how the BC Conservatives won the election · assertive framing

Claims (72 extracted, 5 hedged)

In the months leading up to David Eby’s snap election call, chaos reigned in the BC Conservative Party. asserted
chaos → lead → Party
It was plagued by staff dismissals, MLA defections, damaging leaks of internal conversations, separate probes by the RCMP and the elections watchdog into alleged political inducements, and – amid the mayhem – a leader unable to calm her dwindling caucus as it sought answers. asserted
it → plague → answers
Peter Milobar was the first domino to fall, quitting the Conservative caucus to sit as an independent in mid-August. “You could tell that this was going to just keep spiralling out of control,” Mr. Milobar, who was re-elected last weekend as Kamloops Centre MLA, told The Globe at the time. uncertain
who → fall → time
Over the next month, a dozen other MLAs either quit or were expelled by the new leader, Kerry-Lynne Findlay, fuelling speculation that Mr. Eby, then the NDP leader and B.C. premier, would call an election to capitalize on his ravaged rivals. asserted
Eby → quit → rivals
As the pressure on her mounted to right the Conservative ship, it became increasingly clear that was unlikely. asserted
that → mount → ship
Ms. Findlay’s resignation on Sept. 20 capped months of turmoil that threatened to squander the party’s hard-fought gains in popularity. asserted
that → cap → popularity
Her departure cleared the path for new leader Lorne Doerkson and catalyzed a remarkable reversal of fortunes that would carry the Conservatives all the way to victory and a majority government. asserted
that → clear → victory
The Globe and Mail spoke with more than a dozen Conservative politicians, staffers and strategists to piece together the days leading up to the Sept. 22 election call and ensuing campaign. asserted
Globe → speak → call
In mid-September, delegates at the annual Union of BC Municipalities convention, rankled by the prospect of overlapping provincial and municipal elections, passed an emergency resolution urging Mr. Eby to hold off. asserted
delegates → rankle → Eby
Mr. Eby said he would “take the resolution under advisement.” asserted
he → say → advisement
That same Wednesday, Sept. 16, the Conservative caucus held an emergency meeting. asserted
caucus → hold → meeting
MLA Claire Rattée said the next day she was one of 10 signatories on a letter urging Ms. Findlay to step down. asserted
she → say → Findlay
A defiant Ms. Findlay told the municipalities convention that she was “not going anywhere,” and on Sept. 18 expelled Ms. Rattée, Trevor Halford and John Rustad, the long-time Northern B.C. MLA who led the Conservatives to within three seats of forming government in the 2024 election. asserted
who → tell → election
If your priority is building the movement, and supporting the Conservative Party of B.C., you are welcome,” Ms. Findlay wrote in a post on X. But behind the scenes, Ms. Findlay was already negotiating severance pay with the party before she would agree to leave, according to a member of the campaign team. uncertain
she → build → team
The Globe is not naming the person, who was not authorized to speak publicly about the matter. asserted
who → name → matter
Ms. Findlay did not respond to The Globe’s requests for comment this week. asserted
Findlay → respond → comment
When Ms. Findlay’s inevitable resignation did happen, strategists and the caucus immediately began floating names for her potential replacement: MLA Harman Bhangu; Mr. Halford, the party’s former interim leader; Conservative MP Aaron Gunn; and former provincial leadership hopeful Iain Black. asserted
strategists → happen → replacement
Caroline Elliott, who had narrowly lost the leadership race to Ms. Findlay four months earlier, said she received calls from people “just assuming she’d be jumping in.” asserted
she → lose → people
But she thought Mr. Doerkson was the perfect candidate, in part because, as a past supporter of Mr. Milobar’s failed leadership bid, he had the best chance at bringing the Conservative defectors back into the fold. asserted
he → think → fold
Mr. Milobar had since become leader of the nascent CentreBC party, bringing with him seven former Conservative MLAs. asserted
Milobar → become → MLAs
That afternoon, long-time conservative pollster Dimitri Pantazopoulos arrived home to Vancouver and immediately called Mr. Milobar to discuss how CentreBC might capitalize on the chaos to become the viable option for right-wing voters in the province. uncertain
CentreBC → arrive → province
A merger with the Conservatives wasn’t ruled out either, Mr. Pantazopoulos told The Globe this week. asserted
Pantazopoulos → rule → Globe
A marathon caucus meeting was held that night and resulted in a letter to the board supporting Mr. Doerkson as interim leader, signed by more than half the party’s 29 MLAs at the time. asserted
meeting → hold → time
According to Conservative caucus chair and MLA Jody Toor, this included Brent Chapman, then the MLA for Surrey South, and also the husband of Ms. Findlay. uncertain
this → accord → Findlay
Kiel Giddens, who was re-elected as Prince George-Mackenzie MLA last weekend, said Mr. Doerkson had long been “a leader in the caucus room” and didn’t have the baggage of past leadership hopefuls. asserted
Doerkson → re → hopefuls
Mr. Doerkson, meanwhile, learned of the developments on a layover in Amsterdam while returning from a conference in South Africa. asserted
Doerkson → learn → Africa
He accepted the position, recognizing the stakes of the imminent election, and began making calls the moment he stepped off the plane in Vancouver. asserted
he → accept → Vancouver
The next day, Sept. 21, Mr. Doerkson met with Mr. Milobar and Mr. Pantazopoulos in Vancouver. asserted
Doerkson → meet → Vancouver
They crafted a reunification proposal that the two leaders would present to their respective caucuses the next morning. asserted
leaders → craft → caucuses
“It’s important to recognize that when people left the caucus, myself and others, it wasn’t because there was this big rift between people within the caucus room,” Mr. Milobar said in an interview this week. asserted
Milobar → ’ → interview
Mr. Doerkson also met with Katy Merrifield, a political operative who had served as communications director to former B.C. premier Christy Clark, former Alberta premier Jason Kenney and Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre. asserted
who → meet → Clark
As well, she had managed leadership campaigns for both Mr. Poilievre and former BC Liberal leader Andrew Wilkinson. asserted
she → manage → Poilievre
Conservative Party members approached Ms. Merrifield about managing the campaign, but she was hesitant, with a new private-sector job just days away. asserted
she → approach → job
As well, polling then had the Conservatives at least seven points behind, and internal morale was low. asserted
morale → have → Conservatives
That night, she sought advice, including from Ms. Clark, who encouraged her to serve as campaign director. asserted
who → seek → director
“She said, ‘Look, you guys have a chance here. asserted
guys → say → chance
Folks are coming together. asserted
Folks → come → ?
I think you should do this,’” Ms. Merrifield said in an interview. asserted
Merrifield → think → interview
Mr. Eby called the snap election the next morning, Sept. 22, saying his party needed a stronger mandate to meet the “existential moment” brought by U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade war. asserted
party → call → war
For Mr. Doerkson’s first news conference as leader, held in Vancouver’s CRAB Park, the campaign team crafted a script that introduced him to British Columbians and emphasized party unity and credibility. asserted
that → hold → unity
…and 32 more, not listed.
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