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Chris Selley: Does PSPP realize how unpopular he is?

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Selley, C. (2026, October 30). Chris Selley: Does PSPP realize how unpopular he is? National Post. https://nationalpost.com/opinion/chris-selley-does-pspp-realize-how-unpopular-he-is

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National Post · collected 2026-10-30 · by Chris Selley analysis

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Story summary

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney is hosting a two-day EU-Canada summit in Montreal starting October 27, aiming to deepen ties between Canada and the European Union amid growing global uncertainties. Originally, the EU proposed making Canada its first "associate member," but sources indicate that the final statement avoids using this term, focusing instead on establishing an Alliance for the Future with more than twenty measures to boost trade and cooperation. Despite initial skepticism from some Canadian politicians and EU members over the associate membership idea, the summit produced a joint declaration promising closer economic and strategic ties without formalizing Canada's status within the EU bloc. Quebec Premier Paul St-Pierre Plamondon had clashed with Carney over his right to represent Quebec at the summit, highlighting tensions between federal and provincial interests.

Written for “Canada EU Alliance For The Future” on 2026-10-31, grounded in this article and the 49 other(s) covering the same event.
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The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.50, but every quote it verified points right, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 118272: score contradicts its own evidence · logged 2026-10-30

Story

📰 Canada EU Alliance For The Future
Politics · 50 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 3% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Globe and Mail
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 27 claims Outlet record 52/100
Global News
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 33 claims Outlet record 63/100
Toronto Star
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 28 claims Outlet record 64/100
“Article A describes a direct clash between Quebec's premier and the Prime Minister over representation at a summit, while Article B discusses a broader strategy and approach of the Premier without specifying the same incident.”
National Post
Hedges 4 of 33 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the Canada-European Union Summit, but Article A focuses on statements made by EU officials regarding Canada's associate membership status, while Article B discusses Quebec Premier's refusal to attend the summit.”
Global News
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 13 claims Outlet record 63/100
“Article A reports on Premier's refusal to confirm attendance at the EU summit, while Article B discusses a columnist's commentary on the Premier's strategy and refusal to attend.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 42 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles discuss related political events in Quebec and its relationship with the EU, but they describe different aspects and do not clearly refer to the same specific incident.”
National Post
Hedges 0 of 23 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Quebec Premier's relationship with Ottawa and his stance on attending EU summit, not a single specific incident.”
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Claims extracted
35
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
3%
1 of 35 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
60/100
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50
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
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National Post · 1241 article(s) · 2 correction(s) detected
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Who wrote this

Chris Selley
12 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 You may have read about Quebec Premier Paul St-Pierre Plamondon’s “new strategy” for sovereignty, and you might have thought, “Hang on, this sounds a lot like the old strategy” — namely, pick fights with Ottawa and pitch the slightest federal-government resistance as an intolerable affront to all Quebecers.
2026-10-30 · assertive framing · Chris Selley: Does PSPP realize how unpopular he is?
🔮 In pursuit of cheaper groceries, she said she would offer tax breaks to independent and “mom-and-pop” stores opening shop in priority neighbourhoods.
🔮 Say what you will about his government’s performance, you can’t say Manitoba Premier Wab Kinew hasn’t cut an interesting figure.
🔮 But to say the Canadian government effectively cannot ban the distribution for profit of certain substances and be in Charter compliance is … well, something I would expect a group called the Drug User Liberation Front to argue.
🔮 We learned this week that Corrections Canada has approved a “safe snorting” program in federal prisons for inmates to reduce “the risk of internal nose cuts that could occur from homemade or plastic straws and reduce infections from diseases such as hepatitis B and C,” which doesn’t sound entirely implausible.
🔮 David Eby, the NDP premier of British Columbia, says he’s willing to support privatizing Vancouver airport so long as the revenues are invested in improving smaller airports in the province.
🔮 It seems like it could only make people more dubious.
🔮 No doubt the Journal asked the PMO to comment on this, which is when the PMO could have poured cold water on the idea right out of the gate.
🔮 The U.S.-Canada kerfuffle took an interesting tangent this week when the Buffalo Bills announced the Barenaked Ladies would sing the Canadian national anthem on Sept. 17 at the Bills’ new and lavishly taxpayer-funded US$2.1-billion stadium.
🔮 Finally we might (as some pundits hoped) “grow up,” “move out of our parents’ basement,” and install a resident head of state.
Also by Chris Selley
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 12 articles by Chris Selley →

Topics

Canada First Nations PSPP Parliament Quebec

Subjects

PSPP ORG · 9× Quebec GPE · 6× Canada GPE · 4× First Nations NORP · 3× Carney PERSON · 2× Parliament ORG · 2× Joseph Facal PERSON · 1× Ottawa GPE · 1× Paul St-Pierre Plamondon PERSON · 1× Quebecers NORP · 1×

Narrative

Sovereigntists wish they didn’t have to deal with Indigenous Quebecers, their irksome nations and their backward insistence on their treaties with the “King of England” (as PSPP would put it), not to mention their near-total historic opposition to sovereignty.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-30
🔮 You may have read about Quebec Premier Paul St-Pierre Plamondon’s “new strategy” for sovereignty, and you might have thought, “Hang on, this sounds a lot like the old strategy” — namely, pick fights with Ottawa and pitch the slightest federal-government resistance as an intolerable affront to all Quebecers.
2026-10-30 · National Post
Chris Selley: Does PSPP realize how unpopular he is? · assertive framing

Claims (35 extracted, 1 hedged)

You may have read about Quebec Premier Paul St-Pierre Plamondon’s “new strategy” for sovereignty, and you might have thought, “Hang on, this sounds a lot like the old strategy” — namely, pick fights with Ottawa and pitch the slightest federal-government resistance as an intolerable affront to all Quebecers. uncertain
this → read → Quebecers
But this time, as influential nationalist Quebec commentator Joseph Facal argued in an extraordinary encomium to PSPP (as St-Pierre Plamondon is nicknamed) in the Journal de Montréal, the approach is “uncompromising. asserted
approach → argue → Montréal
So PSPP simply outright refused to attend this week’s Canada-EU meeting in Montreal. asserted
PSPP → refuse → Montreal
Because that would “compromise” Quebec’s sovereignty, in Facal’s view at least, and draw attention to the appalling reality: Quebec is part of Canada. asserted
Quebec → compromise → Canada
To oversimplify: Hardcore sovereigntists tend to think nothing’s worth “sitting at the children’s table” of the federation along with all the other, lesser provinces. asserted
nothing → oversimplify → provinces
More strategic sovereigntists, and softer nationalists, tend to argue along the lines of, “if we’re not at the table, we’re on the menu.” asserted
we → tend → menu
One: PSPP sent his lead trade negotiator to the summit in his stead. asserted
PSPP → send → stead
So it’s not his government boycotting this intolerable event, just him. asserted
it → ’ → event
Two: this new “uncompromising sovereignty” thing leaves the federal Bloc Québécois in an interesting position. asserted
thing → leave → position
Its job is to compromise. asserted
job → compromise → ?
BQ members compromise from the moment they run for the “King of England’s” loyal Parliament (as PSPP often calls the Canadian monarch), then take their seats in Parliament having sworn oaths of allegiance to the King of Canada. asserted
PSPP → compromise → Canada
While Northern Ireland’s Sinn Féin MPs don’t take their seats at Westminster in part precisely because they would have to swear the same basic oath, the Bloc tries to make the best of federal legislation for Quebec’s purposes. asserted
Bloc → take → purposes
It’s a perfectly defensible, sensible policy. asserted
It → ’ → ?
Does PSPP support that? asserted
PSPP → support → that
He doesn’t lack for confidence, which I suppose is a positive, but it’s to the point that he seems to overestimate his and the sovereignty movement’s popularity. asserted
he → lack → popularity
Twenty-eight per cent of the popular vote (the PQ’s haul on Oct. 5) is even lower than than 30-ish per cent support for sovereignty, which is where polls have been stalled for many years. asserted
polls → stall → years
The PQ’s vote efficiency, and the provincial Liberals’ lack thereof — they only finished four points behind the PQ — don’t matter in a referendum. asserted
they → finish → referendum
Already PSPP shows signs of Mark Carney-style overconfidence, just with much less voter support. asserted
PSPP → show → support
He declined this week to attend a summit involving Prime Minister Carney, all the other provincial premiers and First Nations leaders. asserted
He → decline → Carney
I can’t see how that decision left him and his movement any better off. asserted
decision → see → him
He needs those First Nations leaders. asserted
He → need → leaders
Sovereigntists wish they didn’t have to deal with Indigenous Quebecers, their irksome nations and their backward insistence on their treaties with the “King of England” (as PSPP would put it), not to mention their near-total historic opposition to sovereignty. asserted
PSPP → wish → sovereignty
Now the PQ has peeved a not-insignificant voting bloc — Indigenous people accounted for 2.5 per cent of the province’s population as of the 2021 Census; it will certainly be higher today. asserted
it → peeve → Census
The press reaction I’ve seen has topped out at half-hearted support, and only in the context of “uncompromising” sovereignty. asserted
I → see → sovereignty
But successful uncompromising sovereignty would have to deal with First Nations along with everything else real live grown-up nations do. asserted
nations → have → everything
“Uncompromising sovereignty” cannot involve shirking these responsibilities. asserted
sovereignty → involve → responsibilities
On Wednesday, after Carney offered PSPP a seat at the head table for the dinner, but not a speech, the premier unleashed a 300-word diatribe that can only be described as unhinged. asserted
that → offer → diatribe
“This proposal essentially asks Quebec to fall into line — (re-enforcing) our vassalization and erasure — in exchange for a better seat from which to watch the game,” he fumed. asserted
he → ask → game
“We are facing a strategy designed to marginalize Quebec on the global stage and to subordinate Quebec’s areas of jurisdiction to the will of the federal government. asserted
We → face → government
So said the only premier to get an invitation to the head table. asserted
premier → say → table
Of a province that gets basically anything it wants. asserted
it → get → anything
I haven’t yet seen a poll on Quebecers’ attitudes toward all this. asserted
I → see → this
I would be shocked and disappointed if many cared at all. asserted
many → shock → ?
I’m positive many wouldn’t have cared before the PQ or the pollster brought it up, and dearly hope any poll asks people how much they actually give a hoot. asserted
they → ’m → hoot
PSPP seems to be diving headlong into the political-class periphery here. asserted
PSPP → seem → periphery
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