The Aporia
Tehran announced a new “exclusion zone” in the Strait of Hormuz amid reports that its grip on the key waterway, and its negotiating leverage, is diminishing: The US has quietly worked to clear mines for months, and traffic last week approached pre-war levels, before sharply falling again after new strikes.
Iran feels it has “not yet achieved its key objectives in the conflict,” ISW analysts wrote, increasing the likelihood of escalation.