Separatist support was strongest in ridings where Pierre Poilievre had some of his best results

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Tumilty, R. (2026, October 21). Separatist support was strongest in ridings where Pierre Poilievre had some of his best results. Toronto Star. https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/alberta/separatist-support-was-strongest-in-ridings-where-poilievre-had-some-of-his-best-results/article_d490cadf-0609-4099-9a3c-f68affa4f736.html

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Toronto Star · collected 2026-10-21 · by Ryan Tumilty

Quick Summary

The vote for separation in Alberta's referendum was strongest in rural areas where Conservative Party candidate Pierre Poilievre performed well federally. Two provincial ridings, Rimbey—Rocky Mountain House and Central Peace (though the name Notley is mentioned incorrectly), narrowly voted for leaving Canada. These overlap with three federal ridings represented by Conservatives Chris Warkentin, Arnold Viersen, and William Stevenson, who won their seats with margins of nearly 70% and over 65%, respectively.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-21, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

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Written for “Pierre Poilievre And Separatist Support” on 2026-10-21, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans right (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans right for article 95773 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-10-21

Story

📰 Pierre Poilievre And Separatist Support
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans right and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
CBS News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 no claims extracted 📰 publisher trust 66
“The articles discuss related topics but describe distinct events: one about the general context of Alberta's referendum, and the other about specific results in certain ridings where support was strongest.”
The Straits Times
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 4% hedged 1 of 28 📰 publisher trust 60
“Article A describes the voting day and immediate aftermath of Alberta's referendum on leaving Canada, while Article B discusses the results in relation to federal election outcomes.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 6% hedged 2 of 34 📰 publisher trust 60
“The articles describe different aspects of the same referendum event, but are not reporting on the exact same occurrence or outcome.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 4% hedged 1 of 25 📰 publisher trust 63
“Article A describes Poilievre's speech urging against separation, while Article B discusses the referendum results and their relation to Poilievre's electoral support.”
Fox News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 11% hedged 3 of 28 📰 publisher trust 67
“Article A describes the beginning of a non-binding referendum vote in Alberta, while Article B discusses the results and analysis of the referendum, focusing on support in specific ridings.”
CBS News
⚖️ Leans left further left than this 🔴 11% hedged 2 of 18 📰 publisher trust 66
“While both articles discuss the same referendum in Alberta, Article B focuses on the geographic distribution of support for separation, which is a related but distinct analysis rather than the immediate results and broader implications covered in Article A.”
Euronews
⚖️ Leans left further left than this 🔴 5% hedged 2 of 39 📰 publisher trust 60
“Article A discusses the overall outcome of the referendum in Alberta, while Article B focuses on the specific areas where support for separation was strongest.”
Alberta voters weigh future in Canada different event · 70%
NPR
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 9% hedged 5 of 54 📰 publisher trust 60
“While both articles discuss Alberta's separatist referendum, Article B focuses on the results and analysis of the vote rather than the event itself as described in Article A.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

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Claims extracted
26
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
0%
0 of 26 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
63/100
Toronto Star's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-21 · how these are computed

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Publisher

Toronto Star · 8778 article(s) · 23 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 23 correction(s)
2026-10-07
Correction
2026-09-24
Correction

Who wrote this

Ryan Tumilty
6 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 As of Tuesday afternoon with almost all votes counted, only two provincial ridings have a majority vote for option two in the referendum, which would have seen the province start the process toward a binding vote to leave Canada.
🔮 Poilievre, who was born and raised in Calgary and now represents a rural Alberta riding, made the pitch ahead of Monday’s vote, in which Albertans will choose either to remain in Canada or begin the process toward a second binding referendum on leaving the country.
🔮 OTTAWA — With the Liberal government’s backing of a fast-tracked pipeline, the only box left to check in the grand Alberta bargain is the Pathways carbon capture project, which has still not been agreed to and which won’t cancel out the new carbon emissions from all the new oil set to be heading down the pipeline.
🔮 The Conservatives’ inroads with unions could hit a dead end if they don’t come out against the Liberals’ changes to Canada’s labour code, but so far the party hasn’t picked a lane on the controversial reforms.
🔮 The government first suggested Indigenous communities would have an equity stake in the pipeline when Ottawa purchased it in 2018, and the finance minister said the payment is making up for lost time.
🔮 Last month, the Star emailed Alberta MPs to ask how they plan to vote in the Oct. 19 referendum, which will ask whether the provincial government should “commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether or not Alberta should separate from Canada.”
Also by Ryan Tumilty
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 6 articles by Ryan Tumilty →

Topics

Alberta Albertans Canada Conservative OTTAWA

Subjects

Alberta GPE · 7× Albertans NORP · 6× Barnes PERSON · 4× Canada GPE · 4× Conservative NORP · 3× OTTAWA GPE · 3× Conservatives NORP · 2× Star ORG · 2× Viersen PERSON · 2× Warkentin PERSON · 2×

Narrative

Not ‘business as usual’ Questions No. 1 through No. 4 sought a mandate to reduce the number of immigrants settled in Alberta and restrict their access to pricey social Questions No. 1 through No. 4 sought a mandate to reduce the number of immigrants settled in Alberta and restrict their access to pricey social
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-21
🔮 As of Tuesday afternoon with almost all votes counted, only two provincial ridings have a majority vote for option two in the referendum, which would have seen the province start the process toward a binding vote to leave Canada.

Claims (26 extracted, 0 hedged)

OTTAWA—The vote for separation in Alberta was stronger in rural areas where Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives have some of their safest seats — which an upstart federal party now intends to target. asserted
party → have → which
As of Tuesday afternoon with almost all votes counted, only two provincial ridings have a majority vote for option two in the referendum, which would have seen the province start the process toward a binding vote to leave Canada. asserted
province → count → Canada
Those two ridings, Central Peace—Notley and Rimbey—Rocky Mountain House, both narrowly voted for the leave option. asserted
both → vote → option
Federal ridings have different boundaries from provincial ones in Alberta and those two ridings overlap with three federal ridings, all represented by Conservative MPs: Chris Warkentin in Grande Prairie, Arnold Viersen in Peace River—Westlock and William Stevenson in the riding of Yellowhead. asserted
all → have → Yellowhead
Warkentin won his riding with a nearly 70-percentage-point margin, while Viersen’s margin was over 65 points. asserted
margin → win → margin
The Star contacted Warkentin and Stevenson, but did not hear back before deadline and Viersen didn’t stop for the Star outside Parliament, saying only that “they are what they are,” when asked about the results. asserted
they → contact → results
Not ‘business as usual’ Questions No. 1 through No. 4 sought a mandate to reduce the number of immigrants settled in Alberta and restrict their access to pricey social Questions No. 1 through No. 4 sought a mandate to reduce the number of immigrants settled in Alberta and restrict their access to pricey social asserted
. → seek → social
Conservative MP Dane Lloyd, who led the party’s campaign for remaining in Canada, said he’s happy Albertans saw the benefits of staying, but as they knocked on doors they heard a clear message from people looking for serious change. asserted
they → lead → change
“We’re incredibly pleased by the result,” he said Tuesday outside the House of Commons. asserted
he → please → Commons
“But I don’t want anyone to think that we’re going back to business as usual in Ottawa. asserted
we → want → Ottawa
I think people realize that Alberta has these legitimate grievances.” asserted
Alberta → think → grievances
Lloyd said many of the people who voted for option two didn’t actually want to leave Canada, but they did want a better deal for the province. asserted
they → say → province
“They would never fathom voting to actually separate from Canada, what they were saying was they wanted to send a message to Ottawa.” asserted
they → fathom → Ottawa
He said delivering for the province will mean delivering results, like shovels in the ground on major projects. asserted
delivering → say → projects
Other provincial ridings where the support for separation was closer to a tie included the ridings held federally by Conservative MP Glen Motz and party leader Pierre Poilievre. asserted
support → include → Motz
At a news conference in Calgary, Poilievre said it is clear there is more to do because even a quarter of Albertans supporting leaving is too many. asserted
quarter → say → Albertans
“I’m very concerned that after 11 years of Liberal government, there’s a quarter of Albertans, a third of Quebecers that voted for a separation option in the last month,” he said, referring to the Parti Québécois winning a minority in the provincial election. asserted
Québécois → ’m → election
Plans for a new federal party Former Alberta MLA Drew Barnes said his new federal party will target all 37 Alberta ridings, but he intends to use the ridings where support for separatism is high as a road map. asserted
support → say → map
“When you look at those constituencies, 50 per cent of Albertans believe that the current system is broken,” he said. asserted
he → look → Albertans
Barnes said those voters don’t see the current major federal parties, the Liberals and Conservatives, as serving their interests well. asserted
voters → say → interests
“They believe that they’re not getting an adequate voice,” he said. asserted
he → believe → voice
Barnes, a former Wildrose and United Conservative member, has yet to file to formally register his new party with Elections Canada, but said he has the required signatures and plans to do so soon. asserted
he → have → signatures
The party, currently named Alberta Now, is being styled after the Bloc Québécois, Barnes said, with an explicit aim to represent only Albertans’ interests in the House of Commons. asserted
Barnes → name → Commons
Barnes, who supported option two in the referendum, said the party would respect Albertans’ choice and would be a federalist party, but one pushing for a better position for the province. asserted
party → support → province
Lloyd, the Conservative MP, said previously he is not concerned about Alberta Now, and on Tuesday, he said Albertans already know the Conservatives have their best interests at heart. asserted
Conservatives → say → heart
“We had 1.4 million Albertans who voted Conservative in the last federal election precisely because people in Alberta believe that the Conservative Party of Canada is the party that’s in Ottawa fighting for their best interests.” asserted
that → have → interests
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