Trump approval up from record low, but outlook sours for Republicans, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

The Straits Times · collected 2026-09-14 · by The Straits Times
Read the original at The Straits Times ↗

Summary

A Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted from September 10-14 shows President Donald Trump’s approval rating rising slightly to 35%, up from a record low of 33% in late August. However, 63% of Americans disapprove of Trump's proposal to give all Americans a $5,000 dividend if Republicans retain control of Congress in November's midterms. The poll also indicates that Democrats currently hold an electoral advantage over Republicans, with 44% preferring Democratic control compared to 37% for Republicans, the largest gap since January 2025.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-14, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
15
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
7%
1 of 15 hedged
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject
Correction & hedging signals
58.7
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-14 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

A recent four-day Reuters/Ipsos poll found 63% of Americans disapproved of President Donald Trump's proposal to give all citizens a $5,000 dividend if Republicans retain control of the U.S. Congress in November's midterm elections. This includes 40% of Republicans and 90% of Democrats. Despite this, Trump's approval rating increased slightly to 35%, up from its lowest point of 33% recorded in late August. The survey, which gathered responses from 1,143 Americans with a margin of error of ±3 percentage points, indicates growing support for Democratic gains in Congress during the midterms following the Republican Party's first-ever midterm convention last week.

Written for “Trump Approval Ratings Increase” on 2026-09-15, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Score -0.45 Confidence high 1 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning score -0.45 for article 9506 (high confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-09-14

Story

📰 Trump Approval Ratings Increase
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event. This is the one the site leads with.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 7% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
NBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 no claims extracted 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A describes Trump's claim about a $5k 'dividend' during a speech, while Article B reports on a poll reaction to this claim and other aspects of approval ratings.”
The Guardian
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 4% hedged 4 of 93 📰 publisher trust 60
“The articles cover different aspects: one describes Trump's pledge during the GOP convention, while the other reports on public approval ratings and poll findings regarding the pledge after the convention.”
TIME
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 22% hedged 7 of 32 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A reports on President Trump's promise of a $5,000 dividend at a specific event (the Republican Party’s midterm convention in Dallas), while Article B discusses public opinion and poll results regarding that promise, not the original announcement itself.”
Los Angeles Times
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 4% hedged 2 of 47 📰 publisher trust 95
“The articles describe related topics but different events: one covers Trump's pledge and its economic implications, while the other reports on public opinion polls regarding the pledge.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 22% hedged 4 of 18 📰 publisher trust 59
“The articles describe different polls with varying focus and findings about public opinion towards the midterms.”
CBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 14% hedged 3 of 22 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A describes Trump's announcement about offering $5,000 to every American at the Republican Party's midterm convention, while Article B reports on a poll taken after that event, discussing public reaction and approval ratings.”
Semafor
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 33% hedged 1 of 3 📰 publisher trust 95
“While both articles mention Trump's promise to give voters $5,000 if Republicans win the midterms, they describe different events: Article A reports the initial pledge, while Article B discusses public reaction and poll results following the convention speech.”
CBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 18% hedged 7 of 39 📰 publisher trust 95
“The articles discuss different aspects of Trump's political situation and poll results regarding his $5,000 promise, rather than describing the exact same incident.”
CBS News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 3 📰 publisher trust 77
“The articles report on different polls conducted by Reuters/Ipsos and CBS News, each focusing on distinct aspects of public opinion regarding President Trump.”
The Independent
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 23% hedged 5 of 22 📰 publisher trust 59
“Article A describes President Trump's pledge to send out $5,000 checks during his speech at the Republican Party's midterm convention. Article B discusses a poll about public reaction and approval ratings regarding the same pledge, but covers different content (poll results) related to a subsequent event.”

Publisher

The Straits Times · 469 article(s) · 1 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 1 correction(s)
2026-09-13
Russia hits Ukrainian-Polish border area, Kyiv says

Who wrote this

The Straits Times
310 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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Topics

Americans Democrats Republicans Reuters U.S.

Subjects

Republicans NORP · 10× Trump PERSON · 8× Americans NORP · 6× Democrats NORP · 6× Reuters ORG · 3× U.S. GPE · 3× Congress ORG · 2× Donald Trump PERSON · 1× WASHINGTON GPE · 1× the Republican Party's ORG · 1×

Narrative

The four-day poll showed 63% of Americans - including four in 10 Republicans and nine in 10 Democrats - disapproved of Trump's offer made in his convention speech that he would ensure all Americans get a $5,000 dividend if Republicans retain control of the U.S. Congress in November's midterm elections.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-14
🔮 The four-day poll showed 63% of Americans - including four in 10 Republicans and nine in 10 Democrats - disapproved of Trump's offer made in his convention speech that he would ensure all Americans get a $5,000 dividend if Republicans retain control of the U.S. Congress in November's midterm elections.

Claims (15 extracted, 1 hedged)

Trump approval up from record low, but outlook sours for Republicans, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds WASHINGTON, Sept 14 - asserted
poll → sour → Republicans
President Donald Trump's public approval rating rose from a record low, while Americans voiced growing support for Democrats gaining power in the U.S. Congress in a Reuters/Ipsos poll taken in the days after the Republican Party's first-ever midterm convention last week. asserted
Democrats → rise → convention
The four-day poll showed 63% of Americans - including four in 10 Republicans and nine in 10 Democrats - disapproved of Trump's offer made in his convention speech that he would ensure all Americans get a $5,000 dividend if Republicans retain control of the U.S. Congress in November's midterm elections. asserted
Republicans → show → elections
The survey gathered responses from 1,143 Americans nationwide and had a margin of error of 3 percentage points in either direction. asserted
survey → gather → direction
Some 35% of Americans give Trump a thumbs up for his performance in the White House, up from 33% in an August 28 to 31 Reuters/Ipsos poll, the lowest of his political career. asserted
% → give → career
Trump's popularity has declined since he launched a war on Iran in February that has disrupted oil shipments from the Middle East and pushed fuel prices near record highs, hitting U.S. household finances. asserted
that → decline → finances
Since the war started, Trump's Republicans have also lost some support, and in recent weeks have lost their longtime edge as the better party for economic policy. asserted
Republicans → start → policy
Asked which party they would vote for if the congressional elections were held today in what is known as a "generic ballot" poll, 44% picked Democrats and 37% picked Republicans. asserted
% → ask → Republicans
The 7-point gap was the widest since Trump returned to the White House in January 2025. asserted
Trump → return → January
For Republicans, losing control of either chamber could complicate Trump's agenda in the last two years of his term. uncertain
losing → lose → term
Generic ballot polls are national polls that provide an overall view of which party poll respondents want to see in charge in Congress. asserted
respondents → provide → Congress
While these polls provide a view of national public sentiment, they do not capture all the nuances of the state-by-state and district-by-district contests that determine control of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives, contests in which Republicans hold some structural advantages. asserted
Republicans → provide → advantages
Voters picked Democrats over Republicans as the better stewards of the economy - 38% to 37% - with Democrats gaining that edge over the summer for the first time in about a decade. asserted
Democrats → pick → decade
Trump's construction projects throughout the U.S. capital - including a ballroom for the White House - were largely polarizing and viewed through a partisan lens, with 91% of Democrats in the survey saying they opposed the plans, compared to one in four Republicans who were against them. asserted
who → include → them
Some two-thirds of Americans - including half of Republicans - considered the construction projects to be a low priority. asserted
projects → include → Republicans
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