The Aporia · Texans vs. Jaguars prediction, best bets: AFC South to be shaken up with Week 6 upset in London

Texans vs. Jaguars prediction, best bets: AFC South to be shaken up with Week 6 upset in London

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APA MLA Chicago

Richter, E. (2026, October 18). Texans vs. Jaguars prediction, best bets: AFC South to be shaken up with Week 6 upset in London. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/10/18/betting/texans-vs-jaguars-prediction-london-game-picks-best-bets-for-week-6/

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Quick Summary

This article predicts an upset victory for the Houston Texans over the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 6 of the NFL season played in London. Despite the Texans' poor record of 1-4, the author believes they are better than their record suggests and will start a winning streak due to upcoming easier matchups. The Jaguars, at 4-1 but not as strong defensively as their statistics indicate, are favored by 2.5 points, but the article advises betting on the Texans' moneyline at +130 odds.

Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-18, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

As of October 18, 2026, sports analysts predict that the Houston Texans will upset the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 6 of the NFL season in London. Despite being 1-4, the Texans are seen as a stronger team than their record suggests and are favored to win against the 4-1 Jaguars, who have struggled historically in London games with a 7-8 against-the-spread record since 2013. Analyst Erich Richter from the New York Post argues that while the Jaguars have an elite red-zone defense, they may experience regression over time. The Texans are predicted to start winning more consistently, making this game particularly significant as it could shift the AFC South standings.

Written for “Texans Vs Jaguars Prediction” on 2026-10-18, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

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sentences that state something as happening or true

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1 of 14 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")

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takes no side on a contested political question

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New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.

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Who wrote this

Erich Richter

68 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction

🔮 - Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL - Check out the best NFL betting sites - Get the BetMGM Bonus Code That 0-4 start could quickly turn into 5-4 and you’ll be off to the races. Buy low on a Houston team that is all-in this year.

2026-10-18 · assertive framing · Texans vs. Jaguars prediction, best bets: AFC South to be shaken up with Week 6 upset in London

🔮 As is always the goal in sports wagering, we’re looking to get the best numbers and values on players. On “Sunday Night Football,” we have a massive projected total of 52.5 total points between the Cowboys and Packers, implying seven touchdowns will be scored in this game. Let’s buy the dip here and say thank you in what will be a bettor’s delight of a game.

2026-10-17 · assertive framing · NFL Week 6 player props picks, best bets: Nico Collins, Jake Ferguson are poised for big games

🔮 With some positivity, Kiper has Manning rated ahead of Oregon QB Dante Moore, whom many prognosticators believed would be the No. 2 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, a pick held by the Jets.

2026-10-15 · assertive framing · ESPN’s Mel Kiper Jr. reveals shocking Arch Manning fall on NFL draft big board

🔮 McAfee threw cold water on a Front Office Sports opinion piece stating he could replace Aikman, who is in the last year of his deal and remains without a new contract while partner Joe Buck has been extended.

2026-10-14 · mixed framing · Pat McAfee responds to speculation he could replace Troy Aikman in ‘MNF’ booth

🔮 Fox colleague Curt Menefee previously said the former signal caller would never leave the NFL pregame show, and this is an honest admission from Bradshaw about his future.

2026-10-14 · assertive framing · Terry Bradshaw admits his TV career is ‘coming to an end’ in surprise

🔮 The bizarre situation comes as the Astros are uncertain about nearly everything that involves the team’s future, with Espada’s contract set to expire at the end of October.

2026-10-13 · assertive framing · Mariners interviewing Joe Espada with his Astros future in limbo

🔮 We move into Week 6 with two games featuring favorites of more than two scores that will garner the lion’s share of attention.

2026-10-13 · assertive framing · NFL Week 6 Survivor picks, analysis: The case to avoid the obvious Rams

🔮 A Patriots weapon is set to miss time, just as another is nearing a return.

2026-10-13 · assertive framing · Patriots offense dealt fresh TreVeyon Henderson injury blow with AJ Brown nearing return

🔮 During a halftime show alongside Scott Van Pelt and Pat McAfee on Sept. 28, when the Bears made easy work of the Eagles on “Monday Night Football,” Kelce couldn’t stop referring to the Eagles as his team.

2026-10-13 · assertive framing · ESPN reveals it’s trying to get Jason Kelce to stop saying one controversial word

🔮 Mevis would line up for the field goal and it would be blocked by star defensive lineman Greg Rousseau to keep Buffalo alive.

2026-10-13 · assertive framing · Peyton, Eli Manning go off on refs for ‘icing’ the Rams at game-deciding moment

Also by Erich Richter

NFL Week 6 player props picks, best bets: Nico Collins, Jake Ferguson are poised for big games

2026-10-17 · New York Post

UFC Edmonton predictions: Full fight card picks, best bets for Buckley vs. Malott

2026-10-17 · New York Post

The Post’s expert Week 7 college football grid picks, best bets

2026-10-17 · New York Post

ESPN’s Mel Kiper Jr. reveals shocking Arch Manning fall on NFL draft big board

2026-10-15 · New York Post

Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

All 68 articles by Erich Richter →

Claims (14 extracted, 1 hedged)

They’re 1-4, but the Houston Texans are far better than their record indicates. asserted

record → ’re → ?

Demeco Ryans’ group comes in as a 2.5-point underdog against the Jaguars in London, as many pundits joke that this is actually a home game for their Eastern Florida foes. Though that’s not exactly a reality. The Jaguars are 7-8 against the spread in London since 2013 and have one cover in their last four games there. asserted

Jaguars → come → games

They’re also 8-7 straight-up across the pond. asserted

They → ’re → pond

Liam Coen’s group is No. 2 overall in DVOA, but I’m expecting major regression there. asserted

I → expect → regression

The Jaguars are allowing 332 yards per game (18th), but their DVOA ranking is so high because they are coughing up just 13.3 points per game (second-best). asserted

they → allow → game

This is all backed by an elite red-zone defense; they’re giving up touchdowns on just 14 percent of trips, second best in the NFL. asserted

they → back → NFL

We saw cornerback Travis Hunter record an interception last week at the goal line against the Eagles; that won’t hold up over a long season. asserted

that → see → season

The Texans started slowly, but I think they’re going to rip off a few consecutive wins starting Sunday morning in England. asserted

they → start → England

Target the Texans to win this overseas clash, and this is going to be your last chance to wager on a preseason AFC favorite to win their division. asserted

this → target → division

Houston has games upcoming against the Giants (No. 27 DVOA), Chargers (No. 29 DVOA) and Browns (No. 26 DVOA). asserted

Houston → have → Giants

- Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL - Check out the best NFL betting sites - Get the BetMGM Bonus Code That 0-4 start could quickly turn into 5-4 and you’ll be off to the races. Buy low on a Houston team that is all-in this year. uncertain

that → read → team

PREDICTION: Texans moneyline (+130, 43.48 percent, Novig) | Texans win the AFC South (+631, 13.68 percent, Novig) Why Trust New York Post Betting Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. asserted

he → win → betting

During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. asserted

he → showcase → market

While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022. asserted

return → bet → 2022

Texans vs. Jaguars prediction, best bets: AFC South to be shaken up with Week 6 upset in London

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Claims (14 extracted, 1 hedged)