UFC Edmonton predictions: Full fight card picks, best bets for Buckley vs. Malott

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Cite

Richter, E. (2026, October 17). UFC Edmonton predictions: Full fight card picks, best bets for Buckley vs. Malott. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/10/17/betting/ufc-edmonton-predictions-full-fight-card-picks-best-bets-for-buckley-vs-malott/

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New York Post · collected 2026-10-17 · by Erich Richter

Quick Summary

The UFC returns to Edmonton, Alberta, with 13 fights on the card starting at 5 p.m. ET. Key predictions include Joaquin Buckley (+114) versus Mike Malott, where the article favors Malott by knockout due to his recent form and wrestling skills compared to Buckley's limited takedown success. Erin Blanchfield (-300) faces Jasmine Jasudavicius in a closely analyzed bout; the prediction is for Blanchfield to win via decision despite Jasudavicius' strong defense and striking ability.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-17, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

The UFC returned to Edmonton, Alberta, on a packed 15th consecutive week of fights with no breaks since the Fourth of July weekend. The card features 13 fights, starting at its usual time of 5 p.m. ET. Key predictions include Joaquin Buckley vs. Mike Malott, where betting expert Erich Richter favors Malott (+114) due to his recent four-fight win streak and strong knockout record. Malott, who is now 8-1 in the UFC, has knocked out two of his last three opponents, while Buckley's wrestling skills are questionable given he hasn't landed a takedown in three fights. Richter predicts Malott by KO/TKO (+380, FanDuel).

Written for “UFC Edmontonpredictions” on 2026-10-17, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 UFC Edmontonpredictions
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Claims extracted
22
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
0%
0 of 22 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
67/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
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Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

New York Post · 11130 article(s) · 31 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 31 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Erich Richter
66 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction
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🔮 With it having been a while since we’ve been in the warehouse that’s located in the middle of the desert, and we’ll have another 12 fights to enjoy and bet on. Of the 12 fights, a whopping eight of them are projected to end inside distance.
Also by Erich Richter
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 66 articles by Erich Richter →

Topics

BetMGM Edmonton FanDuel Kalshi UFC

Subjects

FanDuel ORG · 6× Blanchfield PERSON · 5× UFC ORG · 5× Kalshi ORG · 4× Malott PERSON · 4× Buckley PERSON · 3× Barriault PERSON · 2× BetMGM ORG · 2× Jasudavicius PERSON · 2× Landwehr PERSON · 2×

Narrative

Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps - Check out the best sports betting sites and apps Rest of the card Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Perez: Under 1.5 rounds (55.9 percent, Novig). Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Kyle Daukaus: Barriault moneyline (+170, BetMGM); Small bet on Barriault by decision (13.9 percent, Kalshi). Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba: Fight goes the distance (-110, BetMGM). Mandel Nallo vs. Nate Landwehr: Small bet on Landwehr by decision.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-17

Claims (22 extracted, 0 hedged)

Another week in the UFC as the promotion continues to pump out cards. asserted
promotion → continue → cards
The UFC hasn’t been off since Fourth of July weekend, a wild stretch that included Conor McGregor’s return plus four title fights. asserted
that → include → return
Though we had a horrid time betting last week, buckle up for 13 fights, with the card starting at its normal 5 p.m. ET. asserted
card → have → ET
If I thought Buckley was going to wrestle in this welterweight bout, I’d be interested in wagering on the underdog. asserted
I → think → underdog
But that’s just not what we’ve seen from him in his UFC career. asserted
we → see → career
Buckley (+114) hasn’t landed a takedown in three fights, the last one he had coming against Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson, a former kickboxing world champion who is a notoriously bad grappler. asserted
who → land → Thompson
Malott has looked excellent recently, winning four straight and is 8-1 in his UFC career. asserted
Malott → look → career
Buckley’s floor is too low for me, and Malott has knocked out two of his last three opponents. asserted
Malott → knock → opponents
I’m targeting Malott to win by knockout in this fight at home in Canada. asserted
I → target → Canada
’s a rarity: a consequential fight in the women’s division that doesn’t feel like an obvious decision. asserted
that → ’ → decision
Blanchfield, who for my money should have been fighting for the women’s flyweight title, comes in as a big -300 favorite against Jasudavicius. asserted
who → fight → Jasudavicius
She is a submission threat and decent wrestler with some volume striking to make things interesting on the feet. asserted
things → make → feet
Jasudavicius likes to wrestle as well and doesn’t really get taken down much, defending attempts at a 75 percent rate. asserted
Jasudavicius → like → rate
She’s an even-level striker, absorbing 3.46 significant strikes per minute against 3.47 landed. asserted
She → ’ → 3.47
Blanchfield is more efficient as a striker, averaging 5.24 significant strikes per minute landed against 4.25 absorbed. asserted
Blanchfield → average → 4.25
I think Blanchfield wins the striking and is the better grappler. asserted
Blanchfield → think → striking
I’m on this fight to go the distance since it’s three rounds, and Blanchfield should take it relatively effortlessly. asserted
Blanchfield → ’m → it
Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps - Check out the best sports betting sites and apps Rest of the card Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Perez: Under 1.5 rounds (55.9 percent, Novig). Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Kyle Daukaus: Barriault moneyline (+170, BetMGM); Small bet on Barriault by decision (13.9 percent, Kalshi). Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba: Fight goes the distance (-110, BetMGM). Mandel Nallo vs. Nate Landwehr: Small bet on Landwehr by decision. asserted
Fight → get → decision
(15/1, FanDuel); Live bet Landwehr at +500 or better if he survives the first four minutes of Round 1. asserted
he → survive → Round
Why Trust New York Post Betting Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. asserted
he → trust → betting
During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. asserted
he → showcase → market
While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022. asserted
return → bet → 2022
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